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John Curtis the election guru said it was a statistical tie yesterday. Had a bit more on leave at 2.9 and left a lay bet up in case a new poll has leave ahead again. Think it will be a remain vote though.
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http://news.sky.com/story/1713684/imf-brexit-may-not-mean-a-british-recession
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.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/jun/18/imf-says-brexit-would-trigger-uk-recession-eu-referendum |
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FIGHT
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imf-doesnt-have-a-clue
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decided this is a no bet for me, i'm very tempted to lump on Remain but a lot of older and wiser people than myself believe it will be very close so i'll revert back to being a chicken sheeet.
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Didn't lay off my leave bets so will let it ride unless price drops. Fancy turnout 70%+ and specifically 70%-75%
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turnout 69.7%
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53%
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No way that low. Pre election poll had 67% "certain to vote" and turnout was 66%..."certain to vote" with this is over 70%
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no way will it be over 70%
half the population havn't got a clue |
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Post the link where it says 70% plus certain to vote
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Half the population hate foreigners innit...its General Elections lots can't be arsed because "they are all the same/in it for themselves" etc etc
. https://www.thecourier.co.uk/fp/news/politics/uk-politics/186592/new-eu-referendum-poll-remain-stays-ahead-many-scots-undecided/ . http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/eu-referendum-brexit-supporters-more-likely-to-vote-poll-finds-a6931766.html |
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The first link is Scotland only, and the 2nd link is from March.
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we'll soon know
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looks like we will be swinging back below 3 soon for brexit
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Seems postal votes breaking for brexit...big turnout expected which should favour remain
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where did you here that gb?
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PVs? Was on C4 news michael crick..see twitter. They don't count the votes just open them but some sampling can take place. I saw 60%v40%...but many will be elderly who support brexit anyway.
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Should be a few polls tonight...1% leave lead becomes 7% when likelihood to vote applied
. http://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/682415/EU-referendum-Opinium-poll-Leave-one-per-cent-lead-Remain-Brexit |
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ta
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Nothing on Michael Cricks timeline Bails??
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Not sure it was Crick thinking about it but deffo C4...someone on twitter said it was Crick. I was watching it so can confirm its what was said.
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UK Rants @uk_rants 3h3 hours ago
Channel 4 reporting that #Remain have a comfortable majority in Postal votes, which are 20-25% of tomorrows vote. Feel it's all fair still? |
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WheelieDealer @wheeliedealer 3h3 hours ago
Michael Crick C4 News says Leave Campaign think they have big lead in Postal Vote esp in Labour areas. |
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clear as mud
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David Herdson @DavidHerdson 47m47 minutes ago
Betfair #Brexit market officially becomes the firm's first political market to trade more than £50m. Huge. #EURef |
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my polling station is like 2 minutes walk from my house
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Market saying its all over
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is it tiem to lump on remain yet master Bailey?
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time
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value gone and I didn't lay off my brexit votes so hoping high turnout levels me out in that market. Funny as the last six people I have spoken to on the street are all brexiters yet looks like game over.
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#brexit bets
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Doesn't look like game over to me (although I'd say on balance Remain have a slight lead atm).
The latest Standard/IPSOS had immigration increased to as big a concern as economy. http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/brexit-poll-remain-secure-narrow-lead-in-final-eu-referendum-poll-a3278996.html |
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finally seeing Remainers come out in force as they voice their vote on social media. i've lumped on remain, happy to risk it for a soggy biscuit.
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Turnout looks very mixed...lower in key remain areas and higher in the brexit heartlands....I'm starting to think maybe a 68% turnout so have covered 65-70
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#allbasescovered
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I'm sure you have as usual
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But what do I know....
Libby Brooks Verified account @libby_brooks Scotland's chief returning officer Mary Pitkeithley just interviewed on BBC estimates turnout at 70-80% #EUref |
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But there again turnout in GE in Scotland was 5% higher than UK total....71% v 66%
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