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*** Strictly Pricewatch ***
*** Strictly Pricewatch ***
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Week 12, 11th Elimination - Mollie King
Gemma & Mollie were fighting for favouritism to go this week with Mollie just about winning the battle by show start and at half time she was trading odds on Mollie was mostly matched between 2.6 and 1.43 with lpm 1.44 Gemma was mostly matched between 3.85 and 2.16 with lpm 3.7 Debbie was mostly matched between 25 and 9 (+ had £20 matched at 3.1 & £60 at 3.05 when market first loaded) with lpm 9.2 Alex was matched between 110 and 7.4 with lpm 100 Joe was matched between 60 and 17 with lpm that 60 £10,560 was matched in total Gemma was the other Bottom 2 and was unanimously saved Mollie's lpm in the Outright was 30 A whopping (for this market) £671 was matched on Bottom 2, nearly all on Mollie & Alex |
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Monday morning after Mollie's elimination. Final this coming Saturday
Alex topped the leaderboard on 79 pts, Debbie & Joe 70, Gemma 62, Mollie 56 Just as the show was about to start, Joe was trading 2.08 - 2.16, Debbie 3.35 - 3.4, Alex 10 - 11, Gemma 13 - 14, Mollie 13 - 14 Joe danced 1st and was trading 2.2s afterwards Alex 2nd, traded 9s as dance finished and 8s after being scored Mollie 3rd and went from 14/15 beforehand to low 20s afterwards Gemma 4th and went from 10/11 beforehand to 12 then 16 afterwards Debbie 5th, was trading 3.05 - 3.3, 3 matched at end of dance then drifted out to 3.3/3.4 after judges comments and score Half time prices - Joe 2.12 - 2.2, Debbie 3.2 - 3.55, Alex 8.8 - 10, Gemma 12 - 15, Mollie 25 - 27 Joe danced 6th, matched at 2 during dance, then 2.2 during judges comments when they mentioned a mistake made, 2.1 after being scored Alex 7th, 8.2 was matched during the dance, 8.6 after being scored Mollie 8th and was trading at 27 during dance and still that after being scored Gemma 9th and was trading 13.5 during dance and after being scored Debbie 10th, was trading 3.25 - 3.45, 3.4 matched at end of dance, 3.5 end of judges comments At the end of the show - Joe 2 - 2.1, Debbie 3.55 - 3.75, Alex 8.2 - 8.6, Gemma 10.5 - 11, Mollie 28 - 38 Last prices matched at suspension - Joe 1.88 (having been matched down to 1.8), Debbie 3.9, Alex 9, Gemma 13.5, Current prices: Joe McFadden...............1.72 - 1.74 (new low of 1.7 matched when market came back) Debbie McGee...............3.8 - 3.95 Alexandra Burke............7.8 - 8.2 (trading high 8s when market came back, shortened a little overnight) Gemma Atkinson.............23 - 25 (opened around 16 but then drifted considerable) Amount matched £609,468 Back 102.8%, Lay 99% |
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Thursday morning, 2 days before final
Joe McFadden...............1.86 - 1.88 (low of 1.68 matched during Monday, steady drift since, mid 1.9s at times) Debbie McGee...............3.15 - 3.35 (shortened to around 3.4 on Tuesday, further shortened yesterday) Alexandra Burke............9 - 9.2 (drifted to high 9s earlier in week then shortened to near 8 before drifting back out a little) Gemma Atkinson............21 - 22 (drifted as high as 36 on Monday before steadily shortening, getting matched as low as 19 yesterday) Amount matched £650,187 Top Women, best high street prices - 5/6 Debbie, 9/4 Alexandra, 5/1 Gemma |
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Winner - Joe McFadden
Triple Dead Heat for 2nd - Debbie McGee / Alexandra Burke / Gemma Atkinson The final was one show with no 4th place elimination and ran from 6:30pm to 9pm 10am Joe 1.75, Debbie 3.5, Alex 9.6, Gemma 21 2pm Joe 1.71, Debbie 3.55, Alex 10, Gemma 26 6pm Joe 1.6, Debbie 4, Alex 11, Gemma 25 (around this time 4.3k was put up trying to back Joe at 1.61, taking his price down 10 ticks in one swoop) 6:30pm Prices almost identical to 6pm. £738,232 matched 6:42pm Alex up 1st, Joe 1.7, Debbie 3.7, Alex 7s, Gemma 23. Alex went 8s during her dance but back to 7 after receiving 40 6:50pm Debbie 2nd, trading 3.7 - 3.8, 3.6 by end of dance, 3.55 after judges comments and score 6:58pm Gemma 3rd, trading 27 - 28, 27 end of dance, 23 after scored 7:05pm Joe 4th, trading 1.72, 1.68 by end of dance, 1.6 after scored 7:13pm End of round 1, lines opened, Joe 1.6 - 1.61, Debbie 4.4 - 4.9, Alex 8.6 - 9, Gemma 24 - 27, 770k matched 7:15pm Alex 5th, mid 8s (Joe 1.56) 7:25pm Debbie 6th, trading 4.8 - 5.1, 4.4 end of dance, 4.7 after scored 7:33pm Gemma 7th, trading 27 - 32 (Joe matched at 1.5 then a minute later 1.44), Gemma 34 after dancing, 30 after scored (Joe now matched at 1.36) 7:41pm Joe 8th, trading 1.4, low 1.4s at end of dance and after judges 7:50pm end of round 2, Joe 1.43 - 1.44, Debbie 5.5 - 5.8, Alex 9.6 - 10, Gemma 23 - 26, 803k matched 7:53pm Alex 9th, trading around 10, 9s end of dance, 8s after judges comments and score 8:01pm Debbie 10th, trading 6.2 - 6.6, remained 6s 8:10pm Gemma 11th, trading around 30 8:19pm Joe 12th, trading 1.39 - 1.4, similar by end of dance but then suddenly plummeted to 1.26 8:28pm end of round 3, Joe 1.27 - 1.29, Debbie 7 - 8, Alex 13 - 14.5, Gemma 40 - 48, 850k matched 8:36pm 5 minutes until lines close, Joe 1.28, Debbie 7.8, Alex 12, Gemma 46 8:41pm LINES CLOSED. Last prices matched...Joe 1.32, Debbie 7.2, Alex 12, Gemma 42, £881,566 final amount matched Lowest & highest matched for Joe McFadden (highs matched pre live shows) 1.25 £6 1.26 £93 1.27 £919 1.28 £8,731 1.29 £10,065 1.30 £5,391 1.31 £2,328 1.32 £1,399 1.33 £323 --------------------------- 20 £619 21 £309 22 £224 23 £105 24 £59 25 £54 26 £18 27 £19 28 £2 30 £1 Lowest & highest matched for Debbie McGee (lows matched week 8, highs matched when the market was first loaded) 2.58 £34 2.60 £19 2.62 £114 2.64 £5 2.66 £82 2.68 £241 2.70 £521 2.72 £187 2.74 £284 2.76 £378 2.78 £561 2.80 £1,384 ------------------------------- 30 £109 32 £89 34 £76 36 £22 38 £31 40 £4 42 £26 44 £15 48 £4 50 £12 55 £10 Lowest & highest matched for Alexandra Burke (lows matched week 5, highs matched during the final) 3.15 £496 3.20 £1,515 3.25 £1,452 3.30 £2,049 3.35 £1,406 3.40 £2,807 3.45 £3,374 3.50 £6,120 ----------------------------- 11.0 £2,848 11.5 £2,365 12.0 £2,793 12.5 £919 13.0 £949 13.5 £403 14.0 £204 14.5 £36 15.0 £44 Lowest and highest matched for Gemma Atkinson (lows matched week 5, highs matched during the final) 4.1 £6 4.2 £3 4.3 £13 4.4 £416 4.5 £442 4.6 £540 4.7 £784 4.8 £1,108 4.9 £916 5.0 £2,368 ------------------------------- 40 £162 42 £155 44 £135 46 £193 48 £101 50 £155 55 £0 60 £62 65 £20 70 £84 Lowest matched for Mollie King (lows matched pre live shows) 4.4 £220 4.5 £382 4.7 £19 4.9 £88 5.0 £226 5.1 £76 5.2 £163 5.3 £225 5.4 £412 5.5 £224 Lowest matched for Davood Ghadami (lows matched week 9) 6.4 £13 7.0 £63 7.2 £58 7.4 £67 7.6 £41 7.8 £62 8.0 £282 8.2 £390 8.4 £254 8.6 £101 8.8 £699 9.0 £902 Lowest matched for Susan Calman 46 £98 48 £44 50 £73 55 £261 60 £258 65 £77 70 £135 75 £300 80 £299 Lowest matched for Jonnie Peacock (lows matched pre live shows) 8.80 £8 9.00 £184 9.20 £105 9.40 £143 9.60 £120 9.80 £70 10.0 £501 10.5 £678 11.0 £1,275 Lowest matched for Ruth Langsford 38 £10 40 £187 42 £18 44 £10 46 £15 48 £20 50 £88 55 £122 60 £65 Lowest matched for Aston Merrygold (never traded above 6 before elimination) 3.20 £4 3.25 £8 3.30 £449 3.35 £14 3.40 £188 3.45 £88 3.50 £235 3.55 £37 3.60 £1,006 3.65 £1,265 3.70 £1,238 3.75 £1,263 3.80 £2,508 3.85 £6,111 3.90 £7,070 3.95 £3,065 4.00 £10,917 Lowest matched for Simon Rimmer 40 £10 42 £4 46 £11 48 £24 50 £74 55 £40 60 £52 65 £31 70 £82 Lowest matched for Brian Conley 26 £4 32 £3 34 £81 36 £26 48 £20 50 £28 55 £44 60 £81 65 £42 Lowest matched for Charlotte Hawkins 14.0 £5 14.5 £18 15.0 £116 15.5 £66 16.0 £140 16.5 £128 17.0 £110 17.5 £6 18.0 £142 Lowest matched for Richard Coles 25 £4 26 £6 34 £0 38 £5 40 £29 42 £57 44 £46 46 £65 48 £104 50 £173 Lowest matched for Chizzy Akudolu 26 £4 42 £17 44 £2 46 £2 50 £12 65 £41 70 £35 75 £168 80 £192 |
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Excellent work Horse
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NEW SERIES - STRICTLY COME DANCING 16 - AUTUMN 2018
This year's participants (and a very sorry bunch of "celebs" they are this year) started to be announced on 13th August with the line-up completed on 21st August. The launch show where the pairings are announced will I think be filmed on 31st August with an expected air date of Saturday 8th Sept. First prices are Betfair, second prices are best High Street price: Ashley Roberts..........5 - 5.4 9/2 Vick Hope...............7.6 - 8.6 8/1 Danny John-Jules........9.2 - 10.5 9/1 Faye Tozer..............10 - 12 8/1 Lee Ryan................11 - 14 8/1 Stacey Dooley...........13 - 14.5 12/1 Joe Sugg................14.5 - 16 12/1 Charles Venn............15 - 22 8/1 Katie Piper.............18.5 - 22 16/1 Lauren Steadman.........18.5 - 24 14/1 Graeme Swann............30 - 36 25/1 Ranj Singh..............24 - 60 14/1 Kate Silverton..........36 - 60 20/1 Seann Walsh.............50 - 190 20/1 Susannah Constantine....65 - 33/1 Amount matched £4,852 Back 109%, Lay 88.2% |
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Launch show this Saturday (8th) where the pairings will be officially announced. The live shows then start on 22nd
Current prices: Ashley Roberts...........4.1 - 4.2 (ignoring small amounts, traded between 5.6 & 3.85) Vick Hope...................6 - 6.2 (10 - 5.8) Stacey Dooley............9.8 - 10 (14.5 - 9.2) Danny John-Jules........10 - 10.5 (14.5 - 8) Faye Tozer.................14 - 15 (15 - 9.2 Joe Sugg...................15.5 - 16 (20 - 11) Katie Piper.................18.5 - 19.5 (26 - 12.5) Charles Venn..............19.5 - 21 (22 - 15) Lauren Steadman........21 - 24 (28 - 8) Graeme Swann.............23 - 28 (50 - 25) Ranj Singh.................29 - 34 (40 - 25) Lee Ryan...................30 - 36 (38 - 11) Kate Silverton.............48 - 60 (55 - 30) Seann Walsh...............95 - 110 (110 - 70) Susannah Constantine.....270 - 890 (only £14 matched on her, at 880, 290 & 200) Amount matched £18,041 Back 104.8%, Lay 98.4% |
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Best High Street prices for:
Top Female - 2/1 Ashley, 4/1 Vick, 7/1 Stacey, 7/1 Faye, 10/1 Katie, 12/1 Lauren, 16/1 Kate, 28/1 Susannah Top Male - 3/1 Danny, 7/2 Charles, 4/1 Lee, 6/1 Joe, 8/1 Ranj, 12/1 Seann, 14/1 Graeme Winning Gender - 1/2 Female (was trading 8/11 a few days ago), 6/4 Male |
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had some on katie piper at 19 on here !
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Launch show 6 days ago when the pairings were revealed.
First live show in 8 days time when all 15 dance on the Saturday but scores will carry over to the weekend after that for the first elimination. Current prices: Vick Hope...................4.5 - 4.7 (5.3 just before launch show, low 4s after, lowest matched 4) Ashley Roberts............5.3 - 5.4 (around 4 just before launch show, mid to high 4s after, drifted more since) Stacey Dooley.............10.5 - 11.5 (9 just before launch show, 8.2 had been matched, 9s after, bit higher now) Danny John-Jules........10.5 - 11 (10 just before launch show, 9 after, bit higher now) Faye Tozer.................12.5 - 13.5 (trading 15-17 range during launch show, 19 had been matched but has since shortened this week) Joe Sugg....................16 - 17 (trading around 15/16 just before launch show, drifting during and was 25 afterwards, 40 been matched but has since shortened this week) Charles Venn...............17.5 - 22 (20s during launch show, shortened to high teens afterwards) Graeme Swann............18 - 20 (26-28 just before launch show before shortening considerably by the end, 14 been matched) Lee Ryan....................23 - 26 (25-36 just before launch show, 40s afterwards, 44 highest but very keen backer this week has shortened him back) Lauren Steadman........23 - 27 (around 19 just before launch show but drifted to 20s during) Katie Piper..................20 - 27 (trading 20 to 25 before launch show before drifting as high as 38 afterwards but has since shortened back) Ranj Singh..................40 - 42 Kate Silverton..............44 - 75 Seann Walsh...............95 - 130 Susannah Constantine....230 - 490 Amount matched £58,693 Back 105.6%, Lay 96.8% |
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First live show this evening! One show, 2 hours 20 minutes long (strewth), all 15 dance, first elimination next weekend
Current prices: Vick Hope...................4.7 - 4.8 Ashley Roberts............5.8 - 6 (6 highest matched) Stacey Dooley.............9 - 10 (did drift to 12 a few days ago but has shortened back today) Danny John-Jules........11 - 11.5 Faye Tozer.................11 - 12 (trading around 13 until yesterday when she shortened, 9.4 was matched) Joe Sugg....................15.5 - 16 (shortened as low as 11 a week ago but has drifted back out last few days) Charles Venn..............17.5 - 18.5 Katie Piper..................18.5 - 23 (shortened last few days) Lauren Steadman........20 - 22 (shortened last few days, 19 been matched) Graeme Swann............20 - 23 Lee Ryan....................28 - 36 (has traded low 20s but drifted back out last few days) Ranj Singh..................34 - 48 Kate Silverton..............46 - 50 Seann Walsh................70 - 100 Susannah Constantine....160 - 470 Amount matched £82,418 Back 106.1%, Lay 97.5% |
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Cheers horse. Amount matched up over 20K on last year, at this stage
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Blimey, some big price moves during the first show and it's wide open
Notable moves: Danny around 10 before dancing 1st, shortened to 8s during and in the immediate aftermath, then drifted the rest of the show, high of 15 matched again Lauren danced 3rd, was 18 - 24 beforehand, 15 then 14 matched afterwards Vick danced 5th, was 4.6 - 4.7 beforehand, 4.1 matched as she finished, 5.5 matched after poor judges comments & score, high 6s by end of show, constant drifting since Charles danced 7th, 14 - 18 beforehand, 8 matched afterwards before drifting back out the rest of the show and afterwards Ashley danced 8th, had shortened to 4s beforehand but drifted out afterwards, high of 7.2 matched Dr.Ranj danced 9th, matched as high as 85 just before, 40 as dance ended then 22 then low of 16 matched, 19 end of show Kate danced 10th, trading 19 before, 26 after Stacey danced 12th, around 8 before, 6.8 matched as dance ended then 6. Lowest matched 5.5 plus tenner at 5.2 Joe danced 14th, trading 19 - 21 before, during or immediately afterwards 15 matched then 13 then 10 then 9.2 then 8. Still 8s end of show but since shortened further, lowest 7 Faye danced 15th and last, trading 10 - 11 beforehand, similar after and end of show but since drifted Current prices: Stacey Dooley.............5.8 - 6 Ashley Roberts............7 - 7.2 Joe Sugg....................7 - 7.8 Vick Hope...................8.8 - 9.8 Lauren Steadman........13 - 14.5 Charles Venn..............13 - 14 Danny John-Jules........13.5 - 14.5 Faye Tozer.................14.5 - 15.5 Ranj Singh..................15.5 - 17 Katie Piper..................26 - 30 Lee Ryan....................29 - 38 Graeme Swann............32 - 40 Kate Silverton..............90 - 140 Seann Walsh................110 - 380 Susannah Constantine....360 - 800 Amount matched £103,606 Back 106%, Lay 96.4% |
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Saturday morning, weekend two with first elimination. Current prices:
Ashley Roberts............6.2 - 6.6 (shortened from around 7 yesterday morning) Joe Sugg....................7.2 - 7.6 Stacey Dooley.............7.4 - 7.8 (steady drift during the week) Vick Hope...................9.2 - 9.4 Faye Tozer.................9.6 - 10 (shortened during the week, 8.6 matched yesterday) Lauren Steadman........10.5 - 11.5 (shortened during the week, 9s matched yesterday but then drifted back out to 11.5 in the evening) Danny John-Jules........14 - 15 Charles Venn..............20 - 21 (drifted all week) Katie Piper..................23 - 25 Lee Ryan....................24 - 26 Ranj Singh..................25 - 29 (drifted all week) Graeme Swann............26 - 29 Seann Walsh................85 - 140 Kate Silverton..............120 - 150 Susannah Constantine....590 - 980 Amount matched £137,816 Back 105%, Lay 98% |
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Best High Street prices for:
First Elimination - 15/8 Susannah, 5/2 Seann, 8/1 Katie, 12/1 Kate, 16/1 Ranj, Lee, 20/1 Graeme, 25/1 Lauren, Vick, 40/1 Joe, 50/1 Danny, Charles, 66/1 Faye, 100/1 Stacey, Ashley Top Female - 11/4 Stacey, 3/1 Ashley, 4/1 Vick, 5/1 Faye, 8/1 Lauren, 20/1 Katie, 33/1 Kate, 125/1 Susannah Top Male - 9/4 Joe, 7/2 Charles, 4/1 Danny, 7/1 Ranj, 8/1 Graeme, 12/1 Lee, 33/1 Seann Winning Gender - 4/9 Female, 7/4 Male |
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Week 2, 1st Elimination - Susannah Constantine (& Anton)
Highest prices matched on Susannah (when the market was first loaded) £4 at 10, £50 at 8.8, £10 at 6 then from 4.1 down. Around the time she danced on Saturday she was swiped down with £198 matched at 1.61 (the lowest matched) before the price rebounded above evens then shortened again. Last price matched for elimination 1.78 and the last price matched Outright was 980. £7,225 matched in total, £3,140 on Susannah with £21 matched on Lee, the other bottom 2 |
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Monday morning after the first elimination
The market wasn't so volatile in running this week but the notable moves were: Kate dancing 5th was 140 - 190 beforehand, matched at 80 as the dance finished, 42 during judges comments, 21 when they finished then 30 after she was scored Joe dancing 6th was 6.6 beforehand, 6 matched during judges comments then 5.3 after scored Danny dancing 9th was 12.5 - 16 beforehand, 10 matched by end of dance Faye dancing 12th was 9.6 - 10 beforehand, 8 matched by end of dance then new low (at the time) of 7.4 matched Current prices: Joe Sugg....................5.3 - 5.5 (5 lowest matched) Faye Tozer.................7.6 - 8 (lowest matched now 6.8) Ashley Roberts............7.8 - 8 (trading in the 5s when dancing, settled around 6 afterwards, drifted big since market reopened) Stacey Dooley.............9.4 - 10 (danced first, slowly drifted as the show went on) Vick Hope...................9.6 - 10 Danny John-Jules........11 - 12 Lauren Steadman........12.5 - 13 Charles Venn..............16 - 19 Kate Silverton..............28 - 29 (£45 matched at 15 after the market reopened last night, I think) Lee Ryan....................28 - 29 (lpm 30 at suspension, surprised he's not now higher after being B2) Katie Piper..................34 - 36 Ranj Singh..................55 - 65 (friendless, 30s by end of show, matched up to 70 since market reopened) Graeme Swann............85 - 90 (also friendless) Seann Walsh................130 - 150 Amount matched £159,606 Back 103.2%, Lay 97.5% |
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Saturday, week 3, 2nd elimination. Current prices:
Joe Sugg....................5.3 - 5.4 Faye Tozer.................8 - 8.2 Stacey Dooley.............8.2 - 8.4 Ashley Roberts............8.2 - 8.6 Vick Hope...................9.4 - 9.6 Charles Venn..............11.5 - 13 (shortened yesterday morning from 15) Lauren Steadman........13 - 13.5 Danny John-Jules........14.5 - 15 Lee Ryan....................24 - 26 Katie Piper..................30 - 34 Kate Silverton..............44 - 46 Ranj Singh..................44 - 60 Seann Walsh................85 - 130 Graeme Swann............90 - 100 Amount matched £182,833 Back 104.1%, Lay 98.8% |
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Best High Street prices for:
Second Elimination - 7/4 Seann, 4/1 Katie, 5/1 Graeme, 7/1 Lee, 8/1 Ranj, 14/1 Lauren, 20/1 Kate, 33/1 Vick, 33/1 Charles, 66/1 Danny, 80/1 Faye, 100/1 Stacey, Ashley & Joe Top Female - 3/1 Ashley, 7/2 Faye, 4/1 Stacey, 5/1 Vick, 6/1 Lauren, 16/1 Katie, 25/1 Kate Top Male - 5/4 Joe, 7/2 Danny, 4/1 Charles, 10/1 Ranj, 14/1 Lee, 14/1 Graeme, 40/1 Seann Winning Gender - 4/9 Female, 7/4 Male |
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Week 3, 2nd Elimination - Lee Ryan (Mr Popular) (& Nadiya Bychkova)
£6 matched on Lee at 14 when the market was first opened, then matched between 8.6 down to 2.2 with last price matched 2.3 He danced 3rd, scored 19 which put him bottom of the leaderboard where he remained and down to the 2s and favourite to go Last price matched Outright was 65 £3,141 matched in total, £481 on Lee with £70 matched on Charles, the other bottom 2 |
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Monday morning after the 2nd elimination, Lee, during Movie Week
Current prices: Stacey Dooley.............5.1 - 5.3 (was a minion, shrewdly backed down to 7.2 pre show, 6 after dancing then 5.7 then 5 during judges comments) Faye Tozer.................5.6 - 6 (6 matched during her dance, 5.4 during judges comments, top scored with 38) Joe Sugg....................6 - 7 Ashley Roberts............8.2 - 8.6 (2nd on leaderboard with 35 but market doesn't like her) Lauren Steadman........14 - 15.5 Vick Hope...................14.5 - 16 (No Hope more like) Danny John-Jules........17 - 18 (disappointed in pimp, was trading 12.5-13 as about to dance, 16 matched during judges comments) Charles Venn..............18 - 22 (trading 13-14 as about to dance, lpm at suspension 15, obviously higher now as was bottom 2 (Lee backers take note)) Kate Silverton..............23 - 25 (46-55 as about to dance, 27 after, 25 after scored where she received 2x8s) Katie Piper..................32 - 38 Seann Walsh................38 - 50 (aka Neo or Love Rat, take your pick, 95-400 pre dance with lpm 200, 80 after then 60, matched down to 25 after market reopened last night) Graeme Swann............75 - 110 (50 matched after scored) Ranj Singh..................90 - 140 (32-50 pre dance, 60 matched after then higher) Amount matched £198,707 Back 104.6%, Lay 94.5% |
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*Correction - Faye top scored with 36, no one has received a 10 yet
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Saturday morning, week 4, 3rd elimination
Current prices: Faye Tozer.................5.1 - 5.2 (low of 4.8 matched during the week) Stacey Dooley.............5.4 - 5.6 Joe Sugg....................8 - 8.4 (been drifting over the week) Ashley Roberts............8.4 - 9.4 Vick Hope...................10 - 10.5 (been shortening during the week) Lauren Steadman........12 - 13 Charles Venn..............15.5 - 17 (shortened back during the week, backers not worried about him being B2 then) Kate Silverton..............20 - 21 Danny John-Jules........21 - 23 (has been matched as high as 29 during the last couple of days) Katie Piper..................38 - 40 Seann Walsh................60 - 70 (kissgate been in the news all week, was matched as high as 150 on Tuesday but since shortened back) Graeme Swann............70 - 80 Ranj Singh..................100 - 130 Amount matched £216,908 Back 104%, Lay 97.8% |
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Best High Street prices for:
Third Elimination - 13/8 Seann, 4/1 Katie, 4/1 Ranj, 8/1 Charles, 12/1 Graeme, 12/1 Lauren, 20/1 Kate, 20/1 Vick, 33/1 Danny, 100/1 Joe, Faye, Stacey & Ashley Top Female - 5/2 Faye, 5/2 Stacey, 4/1 Ashley, 7/1 Vick, 7/1 Lauren, 12/1 Kate, 16/1 Katie Top Male - Evs Joe, 7/2 Danny, 4/1 Charles, 14/1 Graeme, 16/1 Ranj, 30/1 Seann Winning Gender - 4/9 Female, 7/4 Male |
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Week 4, 3rd Elimination - Katie Piper (& Gorka)
For the 3rd elimination running, the person bottom of the leaderboard, which was also the person fav to go at market suspension, has gone Katie was a general 4/1 until being cut on the high street Saturday afternoon and trading high 3s on Betfair She was matched between 6 and 2 with lpm 2.02. She danced 5th and received 18 points which put her bottom of the leaderboard. When the show finished she was getting matched at 2.5 Last price matched Outright was 100 Charles was the other bottom 2 and was matched between 15 and 3.85 with lpm 4 Several of the others were matched fairly low during the show, Ranj down to 3, Kate down to 3.25 and Lauren down to 5 The story of the week though was Seann, always clear fav on the high street leading up to the show and generally trading here high 2s, sometimes 3s, sometimes 4s. He was briefly matched at 2.1, 2 and even 1.9 earlier in the week immediately after it was confirmed he wouldn't be chucked off the show before settling at that high 2s. After dancing 12th, receiving 28 (which put him 5th on the leaderboard) he was matched as high as 12, lpm 11 £9,969 matched in total (£5,982 on Seann) |
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Monday morning after Katie's elimination
Notable market moves during Saturday's show: Leading up to the show, both Faye & Stacey had shortened, last prices matched as the show started were Faye 4.6 and Stacey 4.9 Joe danced 1st, lpm as about to dance 7.2, matched down to 6.2 during the judges comments before going back out to 7.6 after being scored Faye danced 4th, lpm as about to dance 5.1, 4.8 matched at end of dance then out to 5.5 after Shirley's criticism Ranj danced 8th, lpm 110 as about to dance, matched as low as 50 after being scored Kate danced 9th, lpm 17.5 as about to dance, matched at 24 as the dance finished Ashley danced 11th, lpm 7.4 as about to dance, 6 matched as dance finished then 8 after the judges critique then 7s after being scored Stacey danced 13th & pimp, lpm 4.7 as about to dance, similar as dance finished then shortened during judges comments, as low as 4.3, then matched at 4 after being scored 33 which put her top of leaderboard Last prices matched at market suspension - Stacey 3.9, Faye 5.2, Joe 8.2, Ashley 9.4, Charles 22 Current prices: Stacey Dooley.............3.45 - 3.55 (opened last night 3.9 before shortening more, 3.55 matched by 10pm, 3.45 overnight) Faye Tozer.................5.8 - 6.6 Joe Sugg....................6.6 - 7 Ashley Roberts............9 - 9.4 Vick Hope...................10.5 - 11 Lauren Steadman........16 - 17 Danny John-Jules........25 - 28 Charles Venn..............26 - 30 Kate Silverton..............32 - 36 Seann Walsh................55 - 60 Graeme Swann............60 - 90 Ranj Singh..................80 - 130 Amount matched £235,652 Back 104.3%, Lay 96.4% |
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Friday evening before week 5, 4th elimination
Current prices: Stacey Dooley.............3.4 - 3.45 (traded up to 3.8ish this week but shortened back again today) Faye Tozer.................5.4 - 5.5 Joe Sugg....................6.8 - 7.2 Ashley Roberts............9.4 - 9.6 Vick Hope...................12 - 14 Lauren Steadman........13.5 - 14 Charles Venn..............22 - 23 Danny John-Jules........27 - 28 Kate Silverton..............30 - 34 Seann Walsh................60 - 70 Ranj Singh..................110 - 150 Graeme Swann............120 - 210 Amount matched £266,172 Back 103.9%, Lay 99% Best High Street prices for: Fourth Elimination - 11/4 Ranj, 5/1 Seann, 11/2 Charles, 13/2 Kate, 13/2 Graeme, 7/1 Lauren, 14/1 Danny, 25/1 Vick, 50/1 Joe, 50/1 Ashley, 70/1 Faye, 100/1 Stacey Top Female - 13/8 Stacey, 11/4 Faye, 9/2 Ashley, 6/1 Vick, 10/1 Lauren, 20/1 Kate Top Male - 5/6 Joe, 9/2 Danny, 11/2 Charles, 10/1 Seann, 12/1 Graeme, 16/1 Ranj Winning Gender - 1/3 Female, 5/2 Male |
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Week 5, 4th Elimination - Vick Hope (partnered with the useless Graziano)
Vick was top priced 25/1 on Friday but was cut by Saturday morning. Trading round the 15 mark before the show A huge plummet in her price when she danced and scored 20, bottom of the leaderboard. She was matched between 19.5 and 2 with lpm 2.4. Last price matched Outright was 27 Seann was the other bottom 2 and was matched between 5.7 and 2.3 with lpm 2.78 Ranj, briefly 8/1 then 6/1 at the beginning of last week before being backed into pre show favouritism to go, traded between 7.6 and 3.1 with lpm 7.4 Graeme, initially 10/1 early last week, mostly traded between 8.2 and 6.2 Charles traded as low as 5.9 £6,860 matched in total |
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Monday morning after Vick's elimination
I wasn't around for the shows this weekend so can't accurately comment on the in-running price moves Current prices: Stacey Dooley.............2.92 - 3.1 (new low of 3 and just under matched Saturday night, current low traded 2.86) Joe Sugg....................5.9 - 6 Faye Tozer.................6.2 - 6.4 Ashley Roberts............9 - 9.2 Danny John-Jules........13.5 - 14 (topped leaderboard on 37 for his jive, received the first 10 of the series) Charles Venn..............18 - 19 Lauren Steadman........26 - 40 (shot our after dancing, scored 24, joint 2nd bottom, when doing the first contemporary dance which had been keenly anticipated) Graeme Swann............34 - 42 (still 70 to back at market suspension, has opened lower last night) Kate Silverton..............46 - 65 Seann Walsh................75 - 120 Ranj Singh..................180 - 240 Amount matched £291,143 Back 102.6%, Lay 95.5% |
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Saturday morning, week 6 (Halloween), 5th elimination weekend
Current prices: Stacey Dooley.............2.96 - 3.1 Faye Tozer.................5.3 - 5.4 (been shortening) Joe Sugg....................6.4 - 6.8 Ashley Roberts............8 - 8.2 Danny John-Jules........14 - 14.5 Charles Venn..............17 - 18 Lauren Steadman........18.5 - 29 (drifted out to 50 earlier in the week but shortened back last couple of days, 18.5 lpm) Graeme Swann............32 - 36 Kate Silverton..............65 - 100 Seann Walsh................130 - 170 Ranj Singh..................150 - 180 Amount matched £316,669 Back 105.7%, Lay 98.5% Best High Street prices for: Fifth Elimination - 2/1 Ranj, 5/2 Seann, 9/2 Lauren, 5/1 Kate, 10/1 Graeme, 12/1 Charles, 33/1 Danny, 66/1 Joe, 66/1 Ashley, 66/1 Faye, 100/1 Stacey Top Female - 10/11 Stacey, 11/4 Faye, 5/1 Ashley, 12/1 Lauren, 20/1 Kate Top Male - 10/11 Joe, 7/2 Danny, 5/1 Charles, 12/1 Graeme, 16/1 Seann, 20/1 Ranj Winning Gender - 1/2 Female, 7/4 Male |
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Week 6, 5th Elimination - Seann Walsh (partnered with Katya)
Ranj was best priced 9/4 Friday morning but shortened that day, pushing out Seann slightly to a best priced 5/2 but it was his turn to shorten on Saturday morning 5 minutes before the show Seann was trading 2.98 - 3.25, Ranj 3.15 - 3.85, Lauren 5 - 5.8, Kate 6.2 - 7, Graeme 9 - 29 Seann, Ranj & Kate all propped up the leaderboard on 20 points with Graeme just above them on 21 As the show finished, Seann was trading 1.95 - 2.14 with back prices of 2.5 Ranj (who had been matched down to 1.8 in running), 7.2 Graeme, 9.2 Kate Seann mostly traded between 3.95 and 1.8 (+ £40 matched at 1.7) with lpm 3.15 (although that was an anomaly, he was mostly trading around evens leading up to suspension) Graeme, the other bottom 2, had £9 matched at 18, £3 at 17.5 then traded between 14 down to 5 with that low being the lpm Ranj traded between 4.3 and 1.8 with lpm 2.2 £5,384 total matched. Seann's last price matched in the Outright was 120 |
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Monday morning after Seann's elimination
Notable market moves during Saturday's show: Graeme, who had shortened a bit during Saturday and was matching at 30 just before dancing in 1st spot, non stop drifted afterwards Stacey danced 2nd, was 3 - 3.05, shortened to 2.9s during judges comments then new low of 2.8 was matched as scored (2.78 subsequently matched during the show) Ashley danced 6th and was trading 7.8 - 8.2, shortened to 7.2 during judges comments, 7.6 as scored 39, 8 three minutes later Faye danced 9th and was trading 5.4 - 5.6, matched at 5 by end of dance, 4.6 as scored (also 39) Joe danced 10th, was 6.6 to back, matched down to his previous low of 5 again as the judges were fulsome in their praise ("you're in the final", a hug from Shirley). 4.6 subsequently matched Current prices: Stacey Dooley.............2.98 - 3.05 Faye Tozer.................4.5 - 4.7 Joe Sugg....................5 - 5.1 Ashley Roberts............8.8 - 9.2 Danny John-Jules........15 - 16.5 Charles Venn..............26 - 34 Lauren Steadman........32 - 34 Graeme Swann............60 - 130 Kate Silverton..............80 - 100 Ranj Singh..................170 - 420 Amount matched £331,422 Back 104.8%, Lay 98.5% |
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Saturday morning, week 7, 6th elimination weekend
Current prices: Stacey Dooley.............3.25 - 3.3 (injured during the week, hampering practice) Faye Tozer.................4.8 - 4.9 Joe Sugg....................5 - 5.1 Ashley Roberts............9.6 - 10.5 Danny John-Jules........11 - 12 (shortened over last couple of days) Charles Venn..............25 - 26 Lauren Steadman........27 - 30 Kate Silverton..............48 - 55 Graeme Swann............110 - 160 Ranj Singh..................310 - 390 Amount matched £354,934 Back 102.6%, Lay 98.1% Best High Street prices for: Sixth Elimination - 13/8 Ranj, 4/1 Graeme, 6/1 Charles, 6/1 Kate, 6/1 Lauren, 25/1 Danny, 50/1 Ashley, 66/1 Joe, 70/1 Faye, 100/1 Stacey Top Female - 21/20 Stacey, 9/4 Faye, 7/2 Ashley, 14/1 Lauren, 25/1 Kate Top Male - 4/6 Joe, 100/30 Danny, 9/2 Charles, 16/1 Graeme, 25/1 Ranj Winning Gender - 2/5 Female, 2/1 Male |
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Week 7, 6th Elimination - Dr. Ranj Singh (partnered with Janette)
5 minutes before the show Ranj's lpm was 2.52, Graeme had shortened some and was trading around 4 with Charles, who had been bets priced 8/1 until cut Friday morning, was trading 5s/6s When the show finished the 5th bottom to bottom of the leaderboard were Graeme, Charles, Ranj, Kate then Danny. Kate was now shortest, trading 3s, then went 2s with Ranj 3s then also went 2s Ranj mostly traded between 4 and 2.46 (+ £20 matched at 2.2) with lpm 3.2 Charles, the other bottom 2 (for the third time) had £6 matched at 16 (which was the lpm), £3 at 11.5 then traded between 7.2 down to 3.8 Graeme had £3 matched at 7 (which was the lpm) then traded between 4.9 and 3.1 Kate mostly traded between 7 and 2.44 with lpm 2.66 Lauren traded as low as 6 and Danny as low as 9 which was the lpm £2,550 total matched. Ranj's last price matched in the Outright was 320 |
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Monday morning after the Doctor's elimination
Current prices: Stacey Dooley.............2.52 - 2.58 (3.15 to back pre dance, 2.96 matched afterwards,2.8 after scored then later 2.72. Traded lower last night, 2.5 new low) Joe Sugg....................4.8 - 4.9 (still trading around 5 up to suspension but has also has been matched lower overnight, down to 4.5) Faye Tozer.................5.6 - 5.8 (4.7 pre dance, 5 end of show, bit higher now after the above two have shortened) Ashley Roberts............9.8 - 10 (9.4 pre dance, 8.4 matched after judges comments but slow drift since) Danny John-Jules........17 - 17.5 (error strewn QS had him bottom of the leaderboard and getting matched at 20+) Charles Venn..............29 - 40 (lpm at suspension 23) Lauren Steadman........36 - 38 Kate Silverton..............120 - 180 Graeme Swann............130 - 330 Amount matched £376,279 Back 102.9%, Lay 98.1% |
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Saturday morning, week 8, 7th elimination weekend
The rags all reported a supposed bust up between Danny and his dance partner Amy yesterday, claims of him bullying, shooting out his outright price from bubbling under 20 and crashing in his elimination price which had been 16/1 Current prices: Stacey Dooley.............2.42 - 2.5 (2.42 new low matched) Joe Sugg....................4 - 4.2 (shortened all week, new low of 4 matched) Faye Tozer.................6 - 6.4 Ashley Roberts............9.6 - 9.8 Charles Venn..............36 - 38 Lauren Steadman........36 - 40 Danny John-Jules........36 - 44 (new high of 48 matched yesterday) Graeme Swann............200 - 250 Kate Silverton..............250 - 380 Amount matched £408,830 Back 103.2%, Lay 97.7% Best High Street prices for: Seventh Elimination - 2/1 Kate, 3/1 Graeme, 4/1 Charles, 5/1 Danny, 6/1 Lauren, 50/1 Ashley, 50/1 Joe, 100/1 Faye, 125/1 Stacey Top Female - 10/11 Stacey, 9/4 Faye, 4/1 Ashley, 20/1 Lauren, 50/1 Kate Top Male - 4/9 Joe, 7/2 Danny (5/1 online), 7/1 Charles, 20/1 Graeme Winning Gender - 4/11 Female, 9/4 Male |
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Week 8, 7th Elimination - Danny John-Jules (partnered with Amy)
It was a brutal Danny assassination Saturday evening and they got their man He danced 2nd, received 27 points which had him bottom of the leaderboard Trading in the 5s pre dance, in a very thin market (as usual) he quickly shortened to 2s before going odds on towards the end of the show Danny had £13 matched at 17 (earlier last week) then traded between 13.5 down to 1.45 with lpm 1.5 Graeme, the other bottom 2, had small amounts matched at 10, 8, 7.8 & 6 then traded between 5.4 and 3 plus £20 at 2.3 & £24 at 2.12. LPM was 5.4 Kate, the pre show fav, traded between 5.7 and 2.68 plus £4 at 1.8. Her lpm was 5.6 Charles traded as low as 4.3, Lauren 5.2 and Joe was even fancied a bit to go, matched between 50 & 30 £6,399 total matched. Danny's last price matched in the Outright was 220 |
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Monday morning after Danny's elimination. Blackpool next weekend
Joe was 3.95 pre show, £127 was then matched at 3.3 early in-play, he was trading 3.55 - 3.75 when about to dance in 7th position, 4.1 then 4.2 matched afterwards before he shortened again a few minutes later to 3.75. LPM at suspension was 3.85 but he's opened lower last night Current prices: Stacey Dooley.............2.54 - 2.58 (when Stacey was about to dance in 6th position she had been matched at a new low of 2.32 but was lpm 2.58 at suspension) Joe Sugg....................3.55 - 3.6 (see above) Ashley Roberts............9 - 9.2 Faye Tozer.................9.2 - 10 (trading 6s pre dance, drifted to 8s after, drifted more since market reopened) Lauren Steadman........15.5 - 20 (lpm 32 pre dance, 22 matched by end of judges comments then 13 after scored. 16 at suspension) Charles Venn..............24 - 27 Graeme Swann............38 - 470 (120 at suspension but some loon has backed him down to 30 overnight) Kate Silverton..............75 - 300 Amount matched £421,402 Back 104.8%, Lay 96.7% |
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Saturday morning, week 9 (Blackpool, exciting), 8th elimination weekend
Movers of the week, pop pickers, have been Joe drifting and Faye (plus Charles a bit) shortening Current prices: Stacey Dooley.............2.4 - 2.44 Joe Sugg....................4.3 - 4.4 Faye Tozer.................7 - 7.4 Ashley Roberts............9.4 - 9.8 Lauren Steadman........16 - 17 Charles Venn..............19.5 - 20 Graeme Swann............210 - 290 Kate Silverton..............220 - 380 Amount matched £445,266 Back 102.9%, Lay 98.9% Best High Street prices for: Eighth Elimination - 7/4 Kate, 2/1 Graeme, 7/2 Charles, 5/1 Lauren, 50/1 Ashley, 50/1 Faye, 100/1 Joe, 125/1 Stacey Top Female - 4/6 Stacey, 7/2 Faye, 9/2 Ashley, 9/1 Lauren, 70/1 Kate Top Male - 1/7 Joe, 11/2 Charles, 20/1 Graeme Winning Gender - 4/11 Female, 2/1 Male |
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Week 9, 8th Elimination - Kate Silverton (partnered with Aljaž)
The leaderboard was propped up by Lauren (25 points), Kate (30) & Graeme (32) and it was these 3 obviously in danger of going by the end of the show As the show finished, Lauren (who had danced 2nd) had shortened to evens then subsequently went odds on. Kate was mostly trading in the 2s Kate traded between 3.8 & 2 with lpm 3.75 Graeme, the other bottom 2, had £3 matched at 85 and higher but otherwise traded between 8 and 2 with lpm 85 Lauren traded between 7.6 & 1.6 with lpm 1.74 Charles had £20 matched at 3 but otherwise had traded in the 4s pre show £5,093 total matched. Kate's last price matched in the Outright was 320 |