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Replies: 398
By:
five leaves left
When: 20 Dec 20 17:48
Superb work as always horse Cool
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 02 Sep 21 07:32
NEW SERIES   -   STRICTLY COME DANCING 19   -   AUTUMN 2021

Back to a normal schedule series (but no Blackpool).
This year's participants started to be announced on 4th August with the 15th person announced on 13th August.

The launch show, when pairings will be officially announced, will air on 18th Sept with the first live show a week later on the 25th.

Betfair prices:

Tom Fletcher..........................7 - 9     (ignoring small amounts, matched between 7.4 & 5)
Rose Ayling-Ellis....................6.8 - 7.6     (10.5 & 7.2)
Rhys Stephenson..................7.4 - 7.8     (10.5 & 7.4)
Robert Webb.........................10.5 - 11.5     (14 & 8)
AJ Odudu..............................11.5 - 12.5     (20 & 10)
John Whaite..........................13 - 15.5     (17 & 10)
Adam Peaty..........................15.5 - 19.5     (16 & 5.7)
Katie McGlynn......................16 - 18     (17 & 10)
Tilly Ramsey.........................17 - 18.5     (19 & 12.5)
Greg Wise............................19 - 25     (32 & 23)
Dan Walker...........................28 - 29     (29 & 13)
Sara Davies..........................26 - 32     (42 & 24)
Nina Wadia..........................36 - 40     (38 & 26)
Ugo Monye..........................36 - 50     (44 & 18)
Judi Love.............................55 - 80     (70 & 48)

Amount matched £8,273.  Back 107.1%, Lay 92.6%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 18 Sep 21 07:08
Launch show tonight (recorded on the 11th), when pairings will be officially announced, then the first live show next Saturday.

Current prices:

Rose Ayling-Ellis..................5.2 - 5.4     (shortened from 6s yesterday morning, 5.1 lowest matched)
Tom Fletcher........................8.4 - 9.8     (9 highest matched)
Rhys Stephenson................8.6 - 9.4
Robert Webb......................9.2 - 10
AJ Odudu...........................10 - 12
Adam Peaty........................11 - 11.5
John Whaite.......................13.5 - 15
Katie McGlynn....................16.5 - 17
Dan Walker.........................18.5 - 26
Tilly Ramsey.......................20 - 26
Greg Wise..........................32 - 40
Ugo Monye........................28 - 42
Nina Wadia........................32 - 38
Sara Davies........................42 - 50     (drifted yesterday)
Judi Love...........................60 - 90

Amount matched £15,632.  Back 110.1%, Lay 97.3%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 18 Sep 21 07:18
Lads/C0ral betting on Top Male & Top Female:

5/2 Tom, 4/1 Rhys, 9/2 Robert, 11/2 Adam, 7/1 John, 8/1 Ugo, 10/1 Dan, 12/1 Greg

9/4 Rose, 3/1 AJ, 4/1 Katie, 5/1 Tilly, 10/1 Sara, 11/1 Nina, 14/1 Judi


Hills betting on First Elimination:

3/1 Judi, 9/2 Nina, 11/2 Greg, 11/2 Sara, 6/1 Ugo, 12/1 Katie, Tilly, 14/1 Dan, 16/1 Robert, John, Adam, 20/1 AJ, 25/1 Rhys, 33/1 Tom, Rose
By:
timbuctooth
When: 18 Sep 21 18:38
Little house on the Prairie
By:
timbuctooth
When: 18 Sep 21 18:38
Sorry!
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 21 Sep 21 19:39
Tuesday evening, 3 days after the launch show

Current prices:

Rose Ayling-Ellis..................4.5 - 4.6     (shortened during the show, 4.3 lowest matched)
Rhys Stephenson................5.8 - 6     (shortened during the show, 4.9 lowest matched)
John Whaite.......................8.2 - 8.6     (shortened during the show, 7.4 lowest matched, drifted to 10 afterwards but shortened again Sunday)
Tom Fletcher........................9.4 - 11     (12.5 highest matched))
Adam Peaty........................12.5 - 13     (briefly shortened to around 7 after group dance before drifting back out afterwards)
Robert Webb......................14 - 16.5     (drifted during the show)
Katie McGlynn....................16 - 16.5
Nina Wadia........................17 - 19.5     (started to shortened after the show, 20s Sunday morning, shortened further since, 17 lowest)
AJ Odudu...........................18.5 - 19
Ugo Monye........................34 - 36
Dan Walker.........................42 - 50     (drifted big time during the show)
Greg Wise..........................60 - 85
Tilly Ramsey.......................70 - 90     (drifted big time after the show, constant mentions of Gordon)
Judi Love...........................70 - 150
Sara Davies........................75 - 110

Amount matched £52,329.  Back 106.2%, Lay 98%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 25 Sep 21 07:41
Saturday morning of the first live show

Current prices:

Rose Ayling-Ellis..................4.2 - 4.3
Rhys Stephenson................6.2 - 6.8
John Whaite.......................6.6 - 6.8     (6 lowest matched)
Adam Peaty........................10.5 - 12
Tom Fletcher........................13 - 13.5
AJ Odudu...........................14 - 15.5
Robert Webb......................15.5 - 18.5
Nina Wadia........................17 - 17.5
Katie McGlynn....................26 - 29
Dan Walker.........................36 - 40
Ugo Monye........................38 - 40
Tilly Ramsey.......................48 - 55
Judi Love...........................85 - 95
Greg Wise..........................80 - 110
Sara Davies........................95 - 100

Amount matched £61,753.  Back 106.6%, Lay 99.2%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 25 Sep 21 08:01
Hills + Lads/C0ral betting on:

Top Male - 5/2  Rhys, 7/2 John, 9/2 Tom, 5/1 Adam, 13/2 Robert, 16/1 Ugo, 20/1 Dan, 20/1 Greg

Top Female - Evs Rose, 9/2 AJ, 6/1 Katie, 13/2 Nina, 14/1 Tilly, 16/1 Sara, 25/1 Judi

First Elimination - 5/1 Judi, 5/1 Tilly, 6/1 Sara, 6/1 Ugo, 7/1 Greg, 12/1 Dan, 14/1 Katie, 16/1 Robert, 20/1 Nina, 25/1 AJ, 33/1 Adam, 40/1 John, 50/1 Rhys, 50/1 Tom, 50/1 Rose
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 26 Sep 21 09:11
Sunday morning, after the first live show

AJ top scored with 34 (danced 14th), John (12th) & Adam (15th) joint second with 30

Current prices:

Rose Ayling-Ellis..................4.5 - 4.6     (3.7 matched just before the show, 4 pre dance, 3.35 matched during, low of 3.2 matched during judges comments, settled mid 3s afterwards until drifting towards end of show)
John Whaite.......................5.9 - 6     (8 pre show, same before dancing, 7.4 end of dance, low 6s during judges comments, 7s end of show before shortening again overnight)
Adam Peaty........................6 - 6.2     (8 pre show, trading 7 to 9s pre dance, low of 4.2 matched by end of dance, 5 after, 6 after being scored)
AJ Odudu...........................7 - 7.6     (18 pre show, around 15 pre dance, 8 matched during dance, 7 matched after scored, 6 lowest matched)
Rhys Stephenson................8.2 - 8.4     (5.5 at end of dance before drifting as the show went on)
Tom Fletcher........................19.5 - 20     (danced first, 10 matched after judges comments before drifting during the rest of the show)
Nina Wadia........................29 - 30     (16 matched at end of dance)
Robert Webb......................32 - 36     (13 matched by end of dance, back out to 18 after scored)
Katie McGlynn....................36 - 44     (15 by end of dance, 21 after scored)
Dan Walker.........................55 - 60     (27 matched at end of dance)
Judi Love...........................90 - 300
Ugo Monye........................120 - 140
Tilly Ramsey.......................120 - 180
Greg Wise..........................130 - 150     (50 matched at end of dance)
Sara Davies........................280 - 790

Amount matched £91,767.  Back 102.5%, Lay 97%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 02 Oct 21 08:03
Saturday morning, second live show tonight, with first elimination

Current prices:

Rose Ayling-Ellis..................4.7 - 4.8
AJ Odudu...........................5.2 - 5.3     (shortened Thurs & Fri, 4.7 lowest matched)
John Whaite.......................6.2 - 6.6     (4.8 lowest been matched, drifted a little yesterday)
Adam Peaty........................7 - 7.2
Rhys Stephenson................9.2 - 9.4
Nina Wadia........................20 - 22     (been shortening over the week)
Tom Fletcher.......................23 - 25
Robert Webb......................29 - 30
Dan Walker.........................28 - 32     (30s earlier in the week, briefly shortened to low 20s yesterday)
Katie McGlynn....................44 - 55
Judi Love............................80 - 140
Tilly Ramsey........................100 - 120
Ugo Monye.........................120 - 140
Greg Wise...........................130 - 180
Sara Davies.........................230 - 350

Amount matched £113,790.  Back 104.7%, Lay 99.3%


Top Male - 15/8 John, 9/4 Adam, 3/1 Rhys, 8/1 Tom, 14/1 Robert, 16/1 Dan, 33/1 Ugo, 50/1 Greg

Top Female - 5/4 Rose, 13/8 AJ, 8/1 Nina, 12/1 Katie, 25/1 Tilly, 28/1 Judi, 50/1 Sara

First Elimination - 5/2 Ugo, 5/2 Sara, 7/1 Tilly, 9/1 Katie, 9/1 Judi, 9/1 Greg, 10/1 Robert, 25/1 Dan, 40/1 Nina, 66/1 AJ, 66/1 Adam, 66/1 Rhys, 80/1 Rose, 100/1 John (Tom exempt)
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 04 Oct 21 08:21
Monday morning after the first elimination - Nina Wadia   Shocked  Sad

Nina was bottom of the 2 week leaderboard. Available Saturday morning at 40/1 best price on the High street, after the Saturday suspension she had been matched between 14 (plus £10 at 28 and pennies at 100) and 4 (plus £13 at 3.5, £7 at 3.4, £5 at 3 and £3 at 2.86) with that 2.86 the LPM. On the whole market, only £317 was matched on her
Katie, joint second bottom of the leaderboard, was matched between 12.5 and 1.6 with LPM 2.2
Ugo had been matched as low as 2.86 with some small amounts down to 2
Sara had been matched as low as 2.5
Greg had been matched as low as 4.3
Judi had been matched as low as 5
Tilly had been matched as low as 7 with tiny amounts at 6 and 5

£4,187 matched on the market at the Saturday suspension
Carrying on from last year, the market was reopened during Sunday's results show with many hundreds then getting matched on Nina between 1.1 and 1.01, giving a final total matched on the market of £7,689
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 04 Oct 21 09:04
Monday morning, after the first elimination

Nina had danced in second position and was trading 20 beforehand. Similar after dancing but then drifted during judges comments, 25 then 28 then 30s. Her LPM in the Outright market at suspension was 44

Sara & Tilly received most points on the second week, 34, with AJ & John getting 31 and Rhys 30. AJ topped the two week leaderboard on 65, John next on 61

Current prices:
AJ Odudu...........................3.85 - 3.9     (shortened pre show to 4.5, then further to high 3s pre dance, where she settled after dance, 4 end of show)
John Whaite.......................4.3 - 4.5     (mid 5s before dance, mid 4s by end of judges comments, 4.9 end of show)
Rose Ayling-Ellis..................4.7 - 4.9
Adam Peaty........................9.8 - 10.5     (a lump was trying to back at 6 just before dance, 6.6 end of dance, judges pointing out errors caused drift to 9s)
Rhys Stephenson................18 - 20     (trading around 10 be end of dance, 13 after judges comments, 17 by end of show)
Tom Fletcher.......................22 - 25
Dan Walker.........................23 - 26     (trading 40 at end of show, shortened last night)
Robert Webb......................30 - 34     (briefly shortened as low as 17 after dance, settled low 20s, opened high 20s last night)
Tilly Ramsey........................50 - 65
Judi Love............................90 - 110
Ugo Monye.........................90 - 140
Sara Davies.........................110 - 160
Katie McGlynn....................110 - 290
Greg Wise...........................210 - 360

Amount matched £134,400.  Back 105.1%, Lay 98%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 09 Oct 21 07:36
Saturday morning, third live show this evening (Movie week) and second elimination

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis..................3.75 - 3.8     (been shortening over the week, low 4s by Thurs, same yesterday but then shortened further overnight)
John Whaite.......................4 - 4.3     (3.95 shortest matched)
AJ Odudu...........................5.4 - 5.5     (been drifting last few days, from low 4s to 4.5 Thurs then higher yesterday)
Adam Peaty........................13.5 - 15
Rhys Stephenson................17 - 18
Tom Fletcher.......................18 - 20
Dan Walker.........................30 - 34
Robert Webb......................38 - 44
Tilly Ramsey........................55 - 65
Ugo Monye.........................60 - 85
Judi Love............................65 - 75
Sara Davies.........................100 - 110
Katie McGlynn....................130 - 170
Greg Wise...........................200 - 320

Amount matched £152,192.  Back 102.4%, Lay 96%


Top Male - 11/10 John, 5/1 Adam, 6/1 Rhys, 13/2 Tom, 10/1 Robert, 12/1 Dan, 25/1 Ugo, 50/1 Greg

Top Female - Evs Rose, 11/10 AJ, 16/1 Tilly, 20/1 Judi, 25/1 Sara, 33/1 Katie

Gender of Winner - 4/5 Male, Evs Female

Second Elimination - 7/2 Greg,  4/1 Katie, 11/2 Sara,  11/2 Ugo,  10/1 Judi, 16/1 Tilly,  20/1 Robert,  20/1 Adam,  33/1 Dan,  33/1 Tom,  50/1 Rhys, 100/1 John, AJ & Rose
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 11 Oct 21 08:20
Monday morning after the second elimination - Katie McGlynn

Katie was matched between 5.5 and 2.14 with that 2.14 being the LPM. Her LPM in the outright was 250
Judy was backed down to 4.2 (plus £6 at 3.6), LPM 4.3
Greg was matched as low as 2.7, Robert, Dan & Sara all matched as low as 3, Ugo as low as 4 and Adam as low as 7.2 (plus £3 at 7 & £6 at 6)
£4,325 was matched on the Saturday suspension
After the market was reopened during Sunday's show, £1,382 was matched on Katie at 1.01 with small amounts between 1.02 - 1.04, for a final amount matched of £5.857


John topped the leaderboard on 39, Rhys 37, Rose 36 & AJ 35

Current prices:
John Whaite.......................2.86 - 2.98     (3.85 pre show, danced last, around 3.5 pre dance, 3.25 as dance finished, 3.15 during judges' comments, 3 after scored, 2.8s/2.9s after show, new low of 2.52 matched during Sunday's show)
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................2.96 - 3.1     (danced 8th, 3.65 - 4 pre dance, 3.45 as dance finished, 3.25 during judges' comments, then 3 matched, then new low of 2.86 matched after scored, around 3.3 after show, shortened back last night)
AJ Odudu...........................6.4 - 7.8     (danced 4th, around 5 pre dance, 4.7 end of dance, 4.3 matched during judges' comments, 4.5 after scored, back to 5s by end of show, drifted more last night with front two's shortening)
Tom Fletcher.......................20 - 24
Rhys Stephenson................22 - 25
Adam Peaty........................23 - 27     (15 pre dance, 20 after scored)
Dan Walker.........................34 - 50
Tilly Ramsey........................70 - 80
Robert Webb......................90 - 130
Sara Davies........................100 - 200
Judi Love............................200 - 850
Ugo Monye.........................180 - 340
Greg Wise..........................320 - 640

Amount matched £178,387.  Back 106.4%, Lay 95.6%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 16 Oct 21 07:52
Saturday morning, fourth live show this evening and third elimination

Robert Webb withdrew on Wednesday due to ill health
Ugo Monye gets a bye this week due to a bad back

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................2.8 - 2.92     (2.64 new low matched Weds/Thurs before drifting back out slightly yesterday)
John Whaite.......................3.5 - 3.6     (briefly matched in 4s Weds/Thurs before shortening back)
AJ Odudu...........................5 - 5.1     (been steadily shortening over the week)
Tom Fletcher.......................19 - 25
Rhys Stephenson................23 - 29
Adam Peaty........................24 - 28
Dan Walker.........................34 - 36
Sara Davies........................65 - 90     (shortened last couple of days)
Tilly Ramsey........................95 - 140
Ugo Monye.........................160 - 1000
Greg Wise..........................300 - 740
Judi Love............................400 - 1000

Amount matched £201,078.  Back 105.1%, Lay 97.4%


Best High Street prices for:

Top Male - 8/15 John, 7/1 Rhys, 7/1 Tom, 8/1 Adam, 12/1 Dan, 40/1 Ugo, 66/1 Greg

Top Female - 8/15 Rose, 15/8 AJ, 20/1 Tilly, 33/1 Sara, 40/1 Judi

Gender of Winner - 10/11 Male, 10/11 Female

Third Elimination - 5/4 Greg, 6/1 Judi, 15/2 Sara, 10/1 Tilly, 14/1 Dan, 16/1 Adam, 33/1 Rhys, 40/1 Tom, 100/1 AJ, 125/1 John, 200/1 Rose
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 18 Oct 21 08:47
Monday morning after the third elimination - Greg Wise

Greg was matched between 3.6 and 1.12 with LPM 1.2. His LPM in the outright was 980
Judy (the other Bottom 2, like last week) was matched between 8.8 and 4.8 (small amounts below) with LPM 7.8
£3,215 was matched by the Saturday suspension. Although the market was reopened during Sunday's show, nothing further was matched


Sara topped the leaderboard on 36, Adam & Tilly next on 32

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................2.18 - 2.24     (danced first, 3.05 touched during judges' comments before then steadily shortening as the show went on, 2.5 at suspension, opened around 2.3 yesterday, 2.18 new low matched overnight)
John Whaite.......................4 - 4.2     (3.4 pre dance, 3.7 as dance finished, further drift during judges' comments, 4.1 at suspension)
AJ Odudu...........................7.2 - 7.6     (4.5 - 4.9 pre dance in pimp, 5 as dance finished, 6.2 during judges' comments, 7 matched as scored, 6.8 at suspension)
Tom Fletcher.......................24 - 26
Adam Peaty........................26 - 28     (shortened to around 18 after dancing but back to low 20s by show end)
Sara Davies........................34 - 36     (85 LPM pre dance, 40 then 32 then 27 during judges' comments, 23 matched after scored)
Rhys Stephenson................38 - 40
Tilly Ramsey.......................60 - 70
Dan Walker.........................65 - 90
Ugo Monye.........................200 -
Judi Love............................450 -

Amount matched £214,522.  Back 102.7%, Lay 96.8%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 23 Oct 21 05:42
Saturday morning, fifth live show this evening and fourth elimination

It was announced on Thursday evening Judi Love has Covid and therefore gets a bye this week

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................2 - 2.04     (£21 matched at 1.9 on Weds)
John Whaite.......................4.2 - 4.3
AJ Odudu...........................7.4 - 8
Adam Peaty........................25 - 28
Tom Fletcher.......................26 - 30
Sara Davies........................36 - 44
Rhys Stephenson................40 - 55
Dan Walker.........................50 - 60
Tilly Ramsey.......................60 - 75
Ugo Monye.........................410 - 980
Judi Love............................610 -

Amount matched £235,463.  Back 104.9%, Lay 98.9%


Best High Street prices (PP & Fred currently pulled all markets) for:

Top Male - 4/9 John, 13/2 Tom, 7/1 Adam, 10/1 Rhys, 16/1 Dan, 40/1 Ugo

Top Female - 2/7 Rose, 3/1 AJ, 20/1 Tilly, 20/1 Sara, 66/1 Judi

Fourth Elimination - 4/7 Ugo, 4/1 Dan, 15/2 Tilly, 12/1 Sara, 14/1 Adam, 16/1 Rhys, 20/1 Tom, 40/1 AJ, 100/1 John, 100/1 Rose  (Judi was fav earlier in the week with Ugo around 6/4)
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 25 Oct 21 08:33
Monday morning after the fourth elimination - Ugo Monye

Ugo was matched between 3 (before Judi was a non runner) and 1.15 with LPM 1.16
Rhys (the other Bottom 2) was matched between 18.5 and 12.5 with LPM 14
Judi was matched between 2.96 and 1.85, before her Covid bye was announced, obviously
£3,932 was matched by the Saturday suspension. The market was reopened during Sunday's show with an addition £600 matched on Ugo at 1.01. No news yet on what the backer or backers will do with their £3 winnings.


John topped the leaderboard on 38 then Rose with 37, Tilly 36 & AJ 35

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................1.63 - 1.67     (around 1.9 pre dance, 1.85 after dance, 1.79 after scored, trading 1.6s a few minutes later, 1.6 lowest)
John Whaite.......................5.7 - 6.2     (around 5 pre dance, 4.5 after scored, drifted since on Rose's shortening)
AJ Odudu...........................9 - 10     (7s pre dance, 5.1 matched end of dance, 5.9 during judges' comments, 6.6 after scored, 7.2 a few minutes later, 9s end of show)
Tom Fletcher.......................22 - 24
Adam Peaty........................55 - 65
Dan Walker.........................60 - 75
Tilly Ramsey.......................60 - 75
Sara Davies........................65 - 80
Rhys Stephenson................80 - 170
Judi Love............................510 -

Amount matched £254,008.  Back 103.3%, Lay 96.2%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 30 Oct 21 07:49
Saturday morning, sixth (Halloween themed) live show this evening with fifth elimination

Judi is back from Covid but with very little practice time, although doing the same dance she was preparing for the previous week

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................1.68 - 1.69
John Whaite.......................5.1 - 5.3
AJ Odudu...........................9.2 - 9.4
Tom Fletcher.......................21 - 23
Adam Peaty........................46 - 55
Dan Walker.........................60 - 75
Tilly Ramsey.......................75 - 85
Sara Davies........................65 - 90
Rhys Stephenson................70 - 90
Judi Love............................1000

Amount matched £265,257.  Back 103.9%, Lay 99.6%


Best High Street prices for:

Top Male - 4/9 John, 5/1 Tom, 10/1 Adam, 16/1 Rhys, 20/1 Dan

Top Female - 2/9 Rose, 9/2 AJ, 25/1 Tilly, 33/1 Sara, 125/1 Judi

Gender of Winner - 1/3 Female, 9/4 Male

Fifth Elimination - 8/13 Judi, 5/1 Dan, 7/1 Sara, 15/2 Rhys, 12/1 Tilly, 14/1 Adam, 25/1 Tom, 40/1 AJ, 80/1 John, 100/1 Rose
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 01 Nov 21 08:02
Monday morning after the fifth elimination - Judi Love

Judi was matched between 2.12 and 1.33 with LPM 1.48
Adam (the other Bottom 2) was matched between 16 and 6 with LPM 8
Sara was matched down to 2.22 (plus £8 at 1.72) with LPM 4 and Dan was matched down to 5.1 (plus £40 at 4, £4 at 2.7 & £14 at 2.02) with LPM 5.1
£5,206 was matched by the Saturday suspension. The market was reopened during Sunday's show with an additional £1,555 matched on Judi at 1.01 and £18 matched on Adam at 55. Final amount matched £6,782


Rose topped the leaderboard on 40 (earliest ever top score) then AJ on 37

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................1.43 - 1.45     (new low of 1.54 matched pre dance, 1.51 by end of dance, 1.43 during judges, 1.41 after scored, lowest 1.4)
John Whaite.......................8 - 8.4
AJ Odudu...........................9.2 - 9.8
Tom Fletcher.......................28 - 42
Tilly Ramsey.......................55 - 80
Dan Walker.........................65 - 80
Rhys Stephenson................70 - 110
Adam Peaty........................80 - 110
Sara Davies........................110 - 380

Amount matched £277,310.  Back 104.6%, Lay 98%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 06 Nov 21 07:40
Saturday morning, seventh live show this evening with sixth elimination

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................1.45 - 1.47
AJ Odudu...........................7 - 8.2     (LPM 7, shortened from high 8s yesterday morning, expected to score well tonight)
John Whaite.......................8.4 - 8.8
Tom Fletcher.......................26 - 30
Tilly Ramsey.......................70 - 90
Dan Walker.........................85 - 130
Adam Peaty........................100 - 130
Rhys Stephenson................120 - 160
Sara Davies........................210 - 340

Amount matched £294,287.  Back 104.5%, Lay 98.5%


Best High Street prices for:

Top Male - 1/2 John, 9/2 Tom, 14/1 Rhys, 16/1 Dan, 20/1 Adam

Top Female - 1/6 Rose, 9/2 AJ, 33/1 Tilly, 40/1 Sara

Sixth Elimination - 11/4 Adam, 3/1 Dan, 11/2 Rhys, 6/1 Sara, 8/1 Tom, 14/1 Tilly, 40/1 John, 50/1 AJ, 100/1 Rose
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 08 Nov 21 08:41
Monday morning after the sixth elimination - Adam Peaty

Adam was matched between 3.65 (plus £3 at 5) and 1.2 with LPM 1.4
Tilly (the other Bottom 2) was matched between 20 and 5.3 with LPM 9.4
Dan was matched down to 2.5 with LPM 5
£4,204 was matched by the Saturday suspension. The market was reopened during Sunday's show with an additional £1,077 matched on Adam at 1.01. Final amount matched £5,341


AJ topped the leaderboard on 39 then Tom on 38 & John on 35

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................1.46 - 1.48     (previous low of 1.4 matched again after dancing)
AJ Odudu...........................5.4 - 6.6     (7 matched after dancing, small amounts traded in 6s, 7.2 at suspension, shortened again overnight)
John Whaite.......................8.4 - 9.8
Tom Fletcher.......................25 - 30     (25 as danced finished, 18 then 17 traded during judges' comments, 20 after scored, back to mid 20s after show)
Rhys Stephenson................95 - 140
Dan Walker.........................100 - 130
Tilly Ramsey.......................100 - 190
Sara Davies........................210 - 750

Amount matched £302,909.  Back 107.1%, Lay 98.4%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 13 Nov 21 08:06
Saturday morning, eighth live show this evening with seventh elimination

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................1.43 - 1.44
AJ Odudu...........................7.2 - 7.4
John Whaite.......................9.6 - 10.5
Tom Fletcher.......................28 - 34
Dan Walker.........................100 - 120
Rhys Stephenson................150 - 190
Tilly Ramsey.......................130 - 330
Sara Davies........................340 - 580

Amount matched £322,976.  Back 101.2%, Lay 97.3%


Best High Street prices for:

Top Male - 1/2 John, 3/1 Tom, 12/1 Rhys, 14/1 Dan

Top Female - 1/5 Rose, 7/2 AJ, 40/1 Tilly, 50/1 Sara

Gender of Winner - 1/6 Female, 4/1 Male

Seventh Elimination - 13/8 Sara, 12/5 Dan (PP, really?, otherwise 7/4), 4/1 Tilly, 10/1 Rhys, 12/1 Tom, 66/1 John, 80/1 AJ, 125/1 Rose
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 15 Nov 21 09:08
Monday morning after the seventh elimination - Sara Davies

Sara was matched between 6 (£202 matched) and 2.1 with LPM that 6
Tilly (the other Bottom 2) was matched between 8 and 1.4 (+£4 at 1.3) with LPM 1.49
Dan was matched between 7 and 2.28 with LPM 6
£5,950 was matched by the Saturday suspension. The market was reopened during Sunday's show with an additional £900 matched on Sara at 1.01 plus a few other small amounts here and there. Final amount matched £6,875


Rhys topped the leaderboard on 40 then Rose 39 & John 36
Rose's VT & Couples Choice dance was themed all about her deafness

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................1.27 - 1.28     (Matched sub 1.4 for the first time, 1.37 lowest, during Saturday, 1.35 matched during show, pre pimp dance, still 1.35 end of dance but 1.28 matched after judges' comments)
John Whaite.......................9.8 - 10
AJ Odudu...........................11 - 13
Tom Fletcher.......................36 - 50
Rhys Stephenson................80 - 110
Dan Walker.........................80 - 150     (everybody, he's NOT a trained dancer)
Tilly Ramsey.......................210 - 800

Amount matched £332,669.  Back 104.6%, Lay 99.4%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 20 Nov 21 07:27
Saturday morning, ninth live show this evening (musicals week) with eighth elimination

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................1.24 - 1.25     (1.24 matched by Tues morning, 1.23 by Weds morning, 1.22 by Thurs morning)
John Whaite.......................11.5 - 12.5
AJ Odudu...........................12 - 13
Tom Fletcher.......................60 - 75
Rhys Stephenson................100 - 110
Dan Walker.........................110 - 190
Tilly Ramsey.......................290 - 690

Amount matched £348,734.  Back 102.4%, Lay 98.6%


Best High Street prices for:

Top Male - 4/11 John, 5/1 Tom, 20/1 Rhys, 25/1 Dan

Top Female - 1/10 Rose, 7/1 AJ, 100/1 Tilly

Gender of Winner - 1/7 Female, 9/2 Male

Eighth Elimination - 11/8 Dan, 7/4 Tilly, 4/1 Tom, 7/1 Rhys, 40/1 AJ, 66/1 John, 200/1 Rose
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 22 Nov 21 07:56
Monday morning after the eighth elimination - [b]Tom Fletcher[/b]

Tom was matched between 8 and 1.7 (+ £21 at 1.63 & £3 at 1.5) with LPM 2
Rhys (the other Bottom 2) was matched between 8.4 (+ £17 at 12) and 3.05 with LPM 4
Dan was mostly matched between 5.5 and 2.16 with LPM that 5.5
Tilly was mostly matched between 4 and 2.4 with LPM 11 (pennies matched there)
£6,798 was matched by the Saturday suspension. The market was reopened during Sunday's show with an additional £305 matched on Tom at 1.01. Final amount matched £7,117


Tilly topped the leaderboard on 40 then AJ 38 & Rose 37

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................1.23 - 1.24
AJ Odudu...........................11.5 - 12.5
John Whaite.......................15 - 19
Dan Walker.........................34 - 60     (dipped down into 60s/80s on Saturday evening, opened lower last night, briefly matched in 20s)
Rhys Stephenson................95 - 180
Tilly Ramsey.......................140 - 410

Amount matched £351,848.  Back 102.3%, Lay 96.4%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 27 Nov 21 07:06
Saturday morning, tenth live show this evening with ninth elimination

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................1.21 - 1.23     (1.21 new low matched on Weds)
AJ Odudu...........................12.5 - 13
John Whaite.......................15.5 - 16
Dan Walker.........................44 - 50
Rhys Stephenson................130 - 220
Tilly Ramsey.......................120 - 280

Amount matched £370.267.  Back 101.9%, Lay 98.1%


Best High Street prices for:

Top Male - 4/11 John, 7/2 Dan, 10/1 Rhys

Top Female - 1/12 Rose, 7/1 AJ, 50/1 Tilly

Gender of Winner - 1/8 Female, 5/1 Male

Ninth Elimination - 5/6 Dan, 9/4 Tilly, 4/1 Rhys, 20/1 John, 50/1 AJ, 100/1 Rose
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 29 Nov 21 07:36
Monday morning after the ninth elimination - Tilly Ramsey

Tilly was matched between 4.3 and 1.66 with LPM 1.67
Rhys (the other Bottom 2) was matched between 8 (a few quid higher, up to 20) and 2 with LPM 12
Dan was matched between 2.8 and 1.51 with LPM 2.7
£4,468 was matched by the Saturday suspension
The market was reopened during Sunday's show with an additional £3,166 matched on TIlly at 1.01 and £246 at 1.02. There was even money still trying to lay at 1.01 on suspension. Final amount matched £7,934


John topped the leaderboard on 39 then AJ 36, Rhys 35 & Rose 33

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................1.24 - 1.26     (small amounts matched at 1.18 & 1.19 when market went in-play. 1.28 matched during show and last night)
AJ Odudu...........................9 - 9.8     (12.5 pre show, 8.2 touched after dancing, 9s at suspension)
John Whaite.......................14.5 - 16
Dan Walker.........................36 - 42     (25 getting matched at times)
Rhys Stephenson................140 - 220

Amount matched £378,051.  Back 103.1%, Lay 98.7%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 04 Dec 21 07:28
Saturday morning, eleventh live show (quarter final) this evening with tenth elimination

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................1.24 - 1.26
AJ Odudu...........................8.4 - 8.6
John Whaite.......................18 - 19.5
Dan Walker.........................40 - 46
Rhys Stephenson................230 - 300

Amount matched £392.420.  Back 102%, Lay 98.6%


Best High Street prices for:

Top Male - 4/11 John, 7/2 Dan, 10/1 Rhys

Top Female - 1/8 Rose, 11/2 AJ

Gender of Winner - 1/10 Female, 11/2 Male

Tenth Elimination - 10/11 Dan, 13/8 Rhys, 9/1 John, 16/1 AJ, 50/1 Rose   (Rhys 2/1 yesterday morning, John at least 14/1 earlier in the week)
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 06 Dec 21 08:38
Monday morning after the tenth elimination - Dan Walker

Dan was matched between 2.5 and 1.22 with LPM 1.3
AJ (the other Bottom 2) was mostly matched between 42 and 6 with LPM that 6
Rhys was matched between 25 and 2.14 with LPM 8.2
John was matched between 17 and 5 with LPM 6.6
£5,261 was matched by the Saturday suspension
The market was reopened during Sunday's show with an additional £140 matched on Dan at 1.01. Final amount matched £5,401
Dan's Outright LPM at the Saturday suspension was 60


Both John & AJ made a significant mistake in their dances. The leaderboard - Rhys & Rose 39, John 32, Dan 31, AJ 30

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................1.23 - 1.24     (Saturday suspension LPM 1.24, 1.2 matched during the show)
AJ Odudu...........................11.5 - 14     (Saturday suspension LPM 8.2)
John Whaite.......................9.2 - 13.5      (Saturday suspension LPM 23)
Rhys Stephenson................46 - 80     (Saturday suspension LPM 75)

Amount matched £399,672.  Back 104.1%, Lay 96.4%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 11 Dec 21 06:33
Saturday morning, twelfth live show (semi final) this evening with eleventh elimination

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................1.18 - 1.2     (1.18 lowest matched so far)
AJ Odudu...........................14 - 16
John Whaite.......................14 - 15
Rhys Stephenson................44 - 55

Amount matched £415.807.  Back 102.4%, Lay 98.1%


Best High Street prices for:

Top Male - 2/9 John, 7/2 Rhys

Top Female - 1/12 Rose, 7/1 AJ

Gender of Winner - 1/12 Female, 6/1 Male

Eleventh Elimination - 8/15 Rhys, 4/1 AJ, 5/1 John, 33/1 Rose
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 13 Dec 21 12:44
Monday after the eleventh elimination - Rhys Stephenson

Rhys had £9 matched at 1.62 then was matched between 1.55 and 1.01 with LPM 1.01. Around 1.1 end of show but at suspension money was trying to back at 1.01, not sure I've ever seen that before for an elimination that was still to be decided
John was the other Bottom 2
£11,120 was matched by the Saturday suspension, £7,355 of which was on Rhys at 1.01
The market was reopened during Sunday's show with an additional £1,010 matched on Rhys at 1.01. Final amount matched £12,150
Rhys's Outright LPM at the Saturday suspension was 200


The leaderboard - Rose & AJ 79, John 78, Rhys 74

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................1.13 - 1.14     (low of 1.12 matched Saturday evening but back to 1.18 at suspension, opened lower Sunday evening briefly down to 1.09 before drifting back out a little)
AJ Odudu...........................11 - 12     (9s matched during both her dances, LPM at suspension 9.2, opened higher yesterday)
John Whaite.......................38 - 55      (15 pre second dance, 20 during judges comments, LPM at suspension 25, opened higher after being bottom 2, 100 even matched)

Amount matched £441,144.  Back 101.4%, Lay 97.9%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 18 Dec 21 05:50
Saturday morning - FINAL TONIGHT

In bitterly disappointing news, it was announced on Wednesday that AJ had badly injured a foot and then yesterday we learnt she wouldn't be able to dance in the final. From Wednesday she was trading late teens, 20s and 30s at times

Current prices:
Rose Ayling-Ellis.................1.05 - 1.06     (1.05 lowest matched so far, for a couple of hundred)
John Whaite.......................18 - 21

Amount matched £517,128
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 19 Dec 21 07:05
Winner  -  ROSE AYLING-ELLIS

Runner-up  -  John Whaite



The two couples final ran from 7:13pm to 9:04pm
As the show started, Rose was trading 1.05 - 1.06, John 17.5 - 19. £555,203 matched

LINES OPENED at 7:43pm, after they had both danced their Judges' Choice. Rose was still 1.05

After Rose had danced her Favourite Dance, she was getting matched at 1.03 for the first time
After Rose had danced her Showdance, 1.02 had been matched, but only for a couple of hundred
During the judges' comments, lots was now getting matched at 1.02
Both couples scored 119 (39/40/40)

LINES CLOSED 8:48pm. Last prices matched - Rose 1.02, John 34. £672,856 final amount matched


Lowest & highest matched for Rose Ayling-Ellis:
1.02   £15,539
1.03   £46,902
1.04   £17,337
1.05   £26,060
1.06   £45,146
1.07   £16,382
1.08   £7,950
1.09   £2,427
1.10   £6,232
-------------------------
9.0    £20
9.2    £36
9.4    £21
9.6    £72
9.8    £37
10.0     £20
10.5  £22
12.5  £8

Lowest matched for John Whaite:
2.52   £20
2.54   £7
2.66   £100
2.68   £20
2.70   £187
2.76   £6
2.78   £8
2.80   £434
2.82   £52
2.84   £240
2.86   £299
2.88   £769
2.90   £777

Lowest matched for AJ Odudu:
3.05   £14
3.60   £4
3.65   £216
3.70   £1,345
3.75   £309
3.80   £268
3.85   £420
3.90   £342
3.95   £498
4.00   £1,142

Lowest matched for Rhys Stephenson:
4.9    £78
5.0    £344
5.1    £565
5.2    £994
5.3    £956
5.4    £1,322
5.5    £1,845

Lowest matched for Adam Peaty:
4.1    £4
4.2    £68
4.3    £35
4.4    £20
5.0    £38
5.1    £64
5.2    £204
5.3    £200
5.4    £188

Lowest matched for Tom Fletcher:
5.0    £13
5.2    £24
5.3    £100
5.4    £60
5.5    £200
5.6    £159
5.7    £138
5.8    £275

Lowest matched for the rest:
8   Robert Webb
10   Katie Glynn
13   Dan Walker  (plus £4 at 11 & £4 at 12.5)
12.5   Tilly Ramsey
15   Nina Wadia
16.5   Greg Wise
17   Ugo Monte  (plus £8 at 15 & £4 at 15.5)
22   Sara Davies
40   Judi Love  (plus £4 at 22)
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 18 Dec 22 15:15
STRICTLY COME DANCING 20   -   AUTUMN 2022

Like IAC, I didn't watch this series (my RTV watching and serious betting days are pretty much over) but I (fairly) accurately recorded prices during the final so here's a summary...


Winner  -  HAMZA YASSIN

Joint Runner-ups  -  Helen Skelton  /  Fleur East  /  Molly Rainford


The four couples final ran from 7:05pm to 9:35pm
As the show started, Hamza was trading 1.52, Helen 3, Molly 100, Fleur 120. £454k matched

Lines opened after they had all danced their first dance
After the first round Hamza was 1.66 (having drifted as high as 1.8s), Helen 2.6s (touched 2.3 after her dance), Fleur 50 (had touched 30), Molly 75
Hamza made mistakes in his second dance and drifted to 1.9s, Helen touched 2.1
After the second round Hamza was 1.7, Helen 2.5 (she also made a mistake), Fleur 30, Moilly 110
After Hamza's third dance, he was 1.51, Helen 3.15, Fleur 36 (having touched 20)
After Helen's third dance (and last dance of the night), she shortened from just below 3 to 2.1
9:15pm, Hamza 1.85, Helen 2.24, Fleur 30
9:20pm - LINES CLOSED. Last Prices Matched - Hamza 1.77, Helen 2.28, Fleur 36, Molly 180, £542,734 total matched


Lowest & highest matched for Hamza Yassin:
1.25   £29
1.30   £862
1.31   £33
1.32   £2,150
1.33   £1,548
1.34   £1,812
1.35   £6,252
---------------------------
40    £121
42    £104
44    £101
46    £72
48    £59
50    £107
55    £161
65    £6.57
80    £1.52

Lowest & Highest matched for Helen Skelton:
2.00   £15
2.02   £8
2.04   £326
2.06   £6
2.08   £92
2.10   £908
2.12   £54
2.14   £307
2.16   £730
2.18   £178
2.20   £1,693
-----------------------------
6.6    £898
6.8    £258
7.0    £449
7.2    £210
7.4    £24
7.6    £46

Lowest matched for Fleur East:
7.8    £4
8.0    £2
8.2    £99
8.4    £129
8.6    £43
8.8    £130
9.0    £253
9.8    £18

Lowest matched for Molly Rainford:
7.8    £4
8.0    £2
8.2    £99
8.4    £129
8.6    £43
8.8    £130
9.0    £253

Lowest matched for Will Mellor:
2.60   £20
2.64   £160
2.68   £44
2.70   £358
2.72   £100
2.74   £60
2.76   £160
2.78   £70
2.80   £107

Lowest matched for Tyler West:
3.00   £97
3.05   £6
3.10   £85
3.30   £258
3.35   £30

Other lows matched (ignoring small amounts):
7.4     Kym Marsh
9.6     Ellie Taylor
20     Tony Adams
5.2     Ellie Simmonds
14     James Bye
18     Jayde Adams
7       Matt Goss
15     Richie Anderson
55     Kaye Adams
By:
timbuctooth
When: 18 Dec 22 17:35
For one night only, The Master is back!
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 18 Dec 22 19:27
Thank you Tim, but...

The master no more. I see I've made a mistake re Fleur & Molly's prices, which have been duplicated. I don't have the correct prices for whoever is wrong, nor do I know which one is wrong Sad
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 18 Dec 22 19:39
Fleur's prices are wrong. Her lowest matched was 4. Apologies.
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