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The X Factor Poll Thread
The X Factor Poll Thread
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her negatives for me if we are nit picking are her looks and her personality, she seemed a bit of a cold fish when interviewed on xtra factor. However maybe she will open up as the show goes on. Her positives being her voice and the weakness of the field.
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That's true cj. Any flaws she has are tiny compared with the rest of the field.
It's always difficult to lead all the way on this show. Cardie kind of did it, though the market found a couple of challengers. One of them a genuine challenger. A couple might emerge from this mob and we'll see 3 ish at some stage. If no strong challengers do emerge, which strikes me as the most likely scenario, then she'll just continue to shorten. |
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There just HAS to be a challenger emerging from the pack somewhere, surely?! It can't be this one-sided.
I disagree with the comments above about Ella's achilles heel though. I think she's confident and articulate, but this doesn't overspill into arrogance like it did with Devlin. She should be pliable enough for TPTB too, so my only worry is if she gets the wobble through being homesick. 16 years old is still very young to take the pressure of being such a hot favourite from start to finish. |
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At Boarding School so used to be away from home, I read somewhere.
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Oh, right - that would explain her confidence, I guess. Bombproof then!
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beING, that should have been
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Tellymix latest numbers
X Factor 2012 final 12: Who's your favourite? Ella Henderson (34%, 727 Votes) Lucy Spraggan (11%, 233 Votes) James Arthur (10%, 208 Votes) Jahmene Douglas (9%, 192 Votes) Carolynne Poole (7%, 151 Votes) Union J (7%, 143 Votes) Kye Sones (5%, 96 Votes) Jade Ellis (4%, 92 Votes) GMD3 (4%, 84 Votes) Melanie Masson (4%, 78 Votes) MK1 (3%, 74 Votes) Rylan Clark (2%, 37 Votes) Which X Factor 2012 wild card do you want in the live shows? Christopher Maloney (39%, 771 Votes) Amy Mottram (29%, 580 Votes) Times Red (19%, 377 Votes) Adam Burridge (13%, 249 Votes) Total Voters: 1,977 |
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maloney got more votes than henderson
 should do wonders for his price on sunday  |
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lol yes, WC poll must be more prominent
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X Factor 2012 final 13: Who's your favourite?
Ella Henderson (35%, 272 Votes) Jahmene Douglas (10%, 81 Votes) Union J (7%, 55 Votes) Lucy Spraggan (7%, 52 Votes) James Arthur (6%, 51 Votes) Carolynne Poole (6%, 48 Votes) Jade Ellis (6%, 44 Votes) Melanie Masson (5%, 43 Votes) Christopher Maloney (5%, 42 Votes) Kye Sones (4%, 33 Votes) MK1 (3%, 24 Votes) GMD3 (3%, 22 Votes) Rylan Clark (3%, 18 Votes) Total Voters: 785 Read more: http://tellymix.co.uk/reality-tv/the-x-factor/109609-poll-x-factor-2012-finalists-who-is-your-favourite.html#ixzz28ZqwET4Q View Poll Results: Who gave the best performance in Live Show #1? District 3 8 1.96% James Arthur 11 2.70% Melanie Masson 42 10.29% Lucy Spraggan 10 2.45% MK1 15 3.68% Christopher Maloney 4 0.98% Union J 7 1.72% Jade Ellis 37 9.07% Kye Sones 16 3.92% Rylan Clark 19 4.66% Ella Henderson 165 40.44% Carolynne Poole 38 9.31% Jahmene Douglas 36 8.82% DS Poll. |
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Ella Henderson (33%, 603 Votes)
Jahmene Douglas (10%, 177 Votes) Lucy Spraggan (7%, 127 Votes) James Arthur (7%, 126 Votes) Union J (7%, 123 Votes) Christopher Maloney (7%, 120 Votes) Jade Ellis (5%, 96 Votes) Carolynne Poole (5%, 91 Votes) Melanie Masson (5%, 91 Votes) MK1 (5%, 86 Votes) GMD3 (4%, 81 Votes) Kye Sones (4%, 79 Votes) Rylan Clark (1%, 43 Votes) Read more: http://tellymix.co.uk/reality-tv/the-x-factor/109864-x-factor-2012-district3-tipped-for-exit-tonight.html#ixzz28ctlvVnJ This could be very close between the acts at the bottom of the vote. |
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Will post this,but it seems to be a carry over from the previous poll,rather than a new one
X Factor 2012 final 12: Who's your favourite? Ella Henderson (34%, 1,332 Votes) Jahmene Douglas (11%, 416 Votes) James Arthur (8%, 314 Votes) Lucy Spraggan (7%, 292 Votes) Union J (7%, 263 Votes) Christopher Maloney (7%, 262 Votes) Jade Ellis (5%, 208 Votes) GMD3 (5%, 200 Votes) Melanie Masson (5%, 191 Votes) MK1 (5%, 182 Votes) Kye Sones (5%, 178 Votes) Rylan Clark (1%, 99 Votes) Total Voters: 3,937 Read more: http://tellymix.co.uk/reality-tv/the-x-factor/110128-poll-x-factor-2012-who-is-your-favourite.html#ixzz28nWEGQDa |
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Increases since previous post
Ella. 729 Jahmene. 239 James. 188 Lucy. 165 Shaky. 142 Union J. 140 District 3. 119 Jade. 112 Mel. 105 Kye. 99 MK1. 96 Rylan. 56 |
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33.29% of total increase is Ella. Which, alone, would imply odds of 3.00 if the vote was today.
(But the only thing today is me with too much time on my hands). |
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if the vote was today I'd probably take 1.05 Henry
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Yeah so would I, I was just messing about really.
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Henry
If she's got 34% of the vote doesn't that make her a 2/1 shot? That would be more realistic in my eyes. Like i say even money very skinny. |
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Some interesting Twitter stats on the link below. The peak of 14,013 tweets per minute during James Arthur's performance will please GB! He was also the most talked about act according to this article, getting mentioned in 52,000 tweets.
http://secondsync.tumblr.com/ |
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If you could trust the polls and then in 12 horse race 34% and 23% clear of the 2nd would make her a 1.01 shot if the vote was today
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"Henry
If she's got 34% of the vote doesn't that make her a 2/1 shot? That would be more realistic in my eyes. Like i say even money very skinny." It’s too simplistic really Lou. We don’t know how many of those looked at 1, 2, 3…. or all the videos, which ones they missed out, did they like the video after watching it. It’s not the same as giving each person one vote and asking them who they’d vote for. |
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"Henry
If she's got 34% of the vote doesn't that make her a 2/1 shot? That would be more realistic in my eyes. Like i say even money very skinny." It’s too simplistic really Lou. We don’t know how many of those looked at 1, 2, 3…. or all the videos, which ones they missed out, did they like the video after watching it. It’s not the same as giving each person one vote and asking them who they’d vote for. |
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I only ever click on "post reply" once. Even my computer hates me.
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...and even if it was votes it's not a correct translation
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lol. On that sample size, and a robust sample, it would be very close to 1.
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One obvious flaw is what`s known as `The Devlin Effect`. A static 34% of diehard fans, neither increasing nor decreasing, will, mathematically, guarantee exactly second place. So her price really should be 1000.
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Fortunately she's not a misery with an annoyingly affected voice, so we're more likely to see the 'Quinn Effect' where someone who is a different class to their opponents increases their percentage as the final approaches and p1sses up.
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Ella had over 60% on 1st plus 2nd pref Tim. Not a bad approval rating you might say
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She's polling well to be fair. Commensurate with her price.
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fll (and anyone else who might have mis-interpreted)
I do hope you realise the `flaw` I was referring to was in the theory that 34% equates to 3.0. I am NOT suggesting Ella should be 1000! |
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Anyone still got the post-show tvpolls?
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My one concern is, we're all heavy backers of Ella, so who the heck is laying her?
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I realised it was tongue in cheek Tim
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People who got more on the HS than us
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cider?
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Even Cider seems strangely complimentary now
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Who will you vote for to SAVE and Stay in the X Factor?
District 3 (Groups) 3% ███ Lucy Spraggan (Girls) 11% ██████████ Kye Sones (Overs) 6% ██████ Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 9% █████████ James Arthur (Boys) 2% ██ Ella Henderson (Girls) 37% █████████████████████████████████████ Carolynne Poole (Overs) 5% █████ Union J (Groups) 2% ██ Melanie Masson (Overs) 3% ███ Jade Ellis (Girls) 5% █████ MK1 (Groups) 2% ██ Rylan Clark (Boys) 1% Christopher Maloney (Overs) 13% ████████████ 100% Who do you want to win The X Factor 2012? District 3 (Groups) 1% Lucy Spraggan (Girls) 9% █████████ Kye Sones (Overs) 5% ████ Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 16% ████████████████ James Arthur (Boys) 2% ██ Ella Henderson (Girls) 36% ███████████████████████████████████ Carolynne Poole (Overs) 5% █████ Union J (Groups) 2% ██ Melanie Masson (Overs) 3% ███ Jade Ellis (Girls) 5% █████ MK1 (Groups) 4% ███ Rylan Clark (Boys) 1% Christopher Maloney (Overs) 10% ██████████ 100% Who's your 2nd Favourite? District 3 (Groups) 0% Lucy Spraggan (Girls) 2% █ Kye Sones (Overs) 2% █ Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 14% ██████████████ James Arthur (Boys) 5% █████ Ella Henderson (Girls) 26% ██████████████████████████ Carolynne Poole (Overs) 7% ███████ Union J (Groups) 4% ███ Melanie Masson (Overs) 11% ██████████ Jade Ellis (Girls) 12% ████████████ MK1 (Groups) 4% ███ Rylan Clark (Boys) 0% Christopher Maloney (Overs) 14% ██████████████ 100% |
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Cheers fig. Ella 62% on 1st plus 2nd pref
 Not really marmite |
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More like nectar
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Vickers and Devlin had tones which were marmite, Ella is as commercial as it gets. The white, young, unassuming, less boring Leona Lewis in a dirge year, can't we just get paid out now?
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