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The X Factor Poll Thread
The X Factor Poll Thread
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Replies: 358
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I still think Rylan will be bottom. The other place I favour UJ over the rest, but Ella/James not out of it. District 3 must survive!
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Chris will clearly need to work on least favourite!
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Chris a gonner for me...cannot survive when the bar rises...goodbye...
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248 responses not much to go on but it's something I suppose. Well done figgy.
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If the sample is a good one and the weighting spot on its more than enough Lou...as it has proved over and over again
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George
You may well be right but I'd rather the figures over 2480 or 24800 ideally as it would surely be more accurate. |
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They don't poll that many for the US election Lou and got it pretty accurate. Sometimes less is more.
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Fair enough .......................... still ideally like to see more polled myself like.
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If you could guarantee robust sampling that would be more than enough.
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Its probably us chasing our own tail...a lot of those sampled are us...we vote with our books....because we are quite astute as a group our books are an accurate insight...full circle.....
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Just can't get the interest in Chris....this is a singing comp.....
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DS in agreement with a few of us on here it seems.....
Ella 40 17.70% Jahmene 58 25.66% James 30 13.27% Rylan 12 5.31% Christopher 9 3.98% Jaymi 76 33.63% JJ 0 0% George 1 0.44% Josh 0 0% |
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GB2 - you highlight my main concern with TV Polls. Yes, it is one of the most accurate historically - but is that due to our input or in spite of it?!
I would guess that specials bettors make up around 25% of the sample - although they do include a question on whether or not you bet on outcome. Would these be used to 'filter' results more accurately? |
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POLL: X Factor 2012: Who is your favourite after Guilty Pleasures week?
November 17, 2012 21:20 by Josh Darvill The X Factor 2012 stars took to the stage for the seventh time on Saturday night, but who did you rate? The remaining contestants took on their favourite guilty pleasures ahead of the quarter finals next weekend. Last of the girls, Ella Henderson wowed with You’re The One That I Want, but Union J disappointed Nicole with another track being performed on top of a box. Gary Barlow wanted James Arthur to win after the singer performed a unique cover Can’t My Eyes Off Of You, while Rylan called Gary fat as the Essex performer split the judges! Nicole branded Christopher Maloney creepy as Tulisa “admitted defeat” while Jahmene Douglas closed the show with another fantastic vocal. But that’s just what the judges had to say. Who were you rating and slating this evening? Vote for your X Factor 2012 favourite in our latest popularity poll below… X Factor 2012: Who's your favourite? Ella Henderson (35%, 242 Votes) James Arthur (22%, 154 Votes) Jahmene Douglas (18%, 126 Votes) Rylan Clark (10%, 69 Votes) Union J (9%, 60 Votes) Christopher Maloney (6%, 41 Votes) Total Voters: 692 |
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THE X FACTOR 2012 SURVEY RESULTS (AFTER WEEK 7 GUILTY PLEASURES SONGS PERFORMANCES)
Votes Cast: Sat 10.20pm 17/11/2012 - 5.30pm Sun 18/11/2012 NB. Poll results are now weighted by age and gender and filtered to try and match the X Factor Voters demographic as closely as possible. Total Survey Responders: 255 Who will you vote for to SAVE and Stay in the X Factor? Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 28% ████████████████████████████ James Arthur (Boys) 14% █████████████ Ella Henderson (Girls) 25% █████████████████████████ Union J (Groups) 8% ████████ Rylan Clark (Boys) 10% ██████████ Christopher Maloney (Overs) 15% ██████████████ 100% NB. Previous "Want to win " polls have been better at giving clues to who might be in bottom 2 But I'll keep doing "Want to SAVE" polls for reference. Who do you want to win The X Factor 2012? Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 33% █████████████████████████████████ James Arthur (Boys) 15% ███████████████ Ella Henderson (Girls) 31% ██████████████████████████████ Union J (Groups) 6% █████ Rylan Clark (Boys) 7% ██████ Christopher Maloney (Overs) 8% ████████ 100% NB. Combining results of above poll with "Think in Bottom 2" poll might give a better indication of who might be in Bottom 2. Fans of an Act might be more likely to vote if they think that Act is in Danger Who's your 2nd Favourite? Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 17% █████████████████ James Arthur (Boys) 25% ████████████████████████ Ella Henderson (Girls) 25% ████████████████████████ Union J (Groups) 4% ████ Rylan Clark (Boys) 11% ███████████ Christopher Maloney (Overs) 18% █████████████████ 100% Who's your LEAST favourite? Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 7% ███████ James Arthur (Boys) 14% █████████████ Ella Henderson (Girls) 2% █ Union J (Groups) 2% █ Rylan Clark (Boys) 41% █████████████████████████████████████████ Christopher Maloney (Overs) 34% ██████████████████████████████████ 100% Who's your 2nd LEAST favourite? Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 11% ███████████ James Arthur (Boys) 8% ████████ Ella Henderson (Girls) 12% ███████████ Union J (Groups) 19% ██████████████████ Rylan Clark (Boys) 29% █████████████████████████████ Christopher Maloney (Overs) 21% ████████████████████ 100% Who do you like the most (personality wise)? Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 23% ███████████████████████ James Arthur (Boys) 8% ███████ Ella Henderson (Girls) 14% ██████████████ Union J (Groups) 5% █████ Rylan Clark (Boys) 32% ████████████████████████████████ Christopher Maloney (Overs) 17% ████████████████ 100% Who do you THINK will win X Factor 2012? Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 34% █████████████████████████████████ James Arthur (Boys) 17% █████████████████ Ella Henderson (Girls) 32% ████████████████████████████████ Union J (Groups) 2% █ Rylan Clark (Boys) 1% Christopher Maloney (Overs) 2% ██ DON'T KNOW 12% ████████████ 100% Who do you think is in the most Danger of being in the Bottom 2? Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 0% James Arthur (Boys) 4% ███ Ella Henderson (Girls) 3% ███ Union J (Groups) 9% ████████ Rylan Clark (Boys) 38% ██████████████████████████████████████ Christopher Maloney (Overs) 27% ███████████████████████████ DON'T KNOW 19% ██████████████████ 100% I've included above poll because Fans of an Act might be more likely to vote if they think their Fav Act is in Danger |
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Ella & Jahmene slightly up on last week in vote to save and who you want to win
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James the same on vote to save and down on who you want to win.
Not great for a 3.9 shot. Rather like 1D he's providing the value to the market. |
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looking grim for union j. their numbers look bleak, district3meetandgreet is trending higher on twitter and there appears to be some chatter that there are some problems with their phone lines. amazed at the value at evens for them to be b2
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Baloney has lopped off 9% from Least Favourite in the week. Be interesting to see where Rylan's vote goes on that question if he is eliminated.
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Any sign of TVP?
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Total Survey Responders: 249
Who will you vote for to SAVE and Stay in the X Factor? 100% Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 36% ████████████████████████████████████ James Arthur (Boys) 24% ███████████████████████ Union J (Groups) 7% ██████ Rylan Clark (Boys) 7% ██████ Christopher Maloney (Overs) 26% █████████████████████████ NB. Previous "Want to win " polls have been better at giving clues to who might be in bottom 2 But I'll keep doing "Want to SAVE" polls for reference. Who do you want to win The X Factor 2012? 100% Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 38% █████████████████████████████████████ James Arthur (Boys) 31% ███████████████████████████████ Union J (Groups) 6% █████ Rylan Clark (Boys) 6% █████ Christopher Maloney (Overs) 19% ███████████████████ NB. Combining results of above poll with "Think in Bottom 2" poll might give a better indication of who might be in Bottom 2. Fans of an Act might be more likely to vote if they think that Act is in Danger Who's your 2nd Favourite? 100% Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 22% ██████████████████████ James Arthur (Boys) 28% ████████████████████████████ Union J (Groups) 16% ███████████████ Rylan Clark (Boys) 17% █████████████████ Christopher Maloney (Overs) 17% ████████████████ Who's your LEAST favourite? 100% Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 5% ████ James Arthur (Boys) 6% █████ Union J (Groups) 7% ███████ Rylan Clark (Boys) 51% ███████████████████████████████████████████████████ Christopher Maloney (Overs) 31% ██████████████████████████████ Who's your 2nd LEAST favourite? 100% Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 13% █████████████ James Arthur (Boys) 14% ██████████████ Union J (Groups) 18% █████████████████ Rylan Clark (Boys) 30% █████████████████████████████ Christopher Maloney (Overs) 25% █████████████████████████ Who do you like the most (personality wise)? 100% Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 33% █████████████████████████████████ James Arthur (Boys) 15% ██████████████ Union J (Groups) 7% ███████ Rylan Clark (Boys) 27% ██████████████████████████ Christopher Maloney (Overs) 18% ██████████████████ Who do you THINK will win X Factor 2012? 100% Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 44% ███████████████████████████████████████████ James Arthur (Boys) 30% █████████████████████████████ Union J (Groups) 6% █████ Rylan Clark (Boys) 1% █ Christopher Maloney (Overs) 2% ██ DON'T KNOW 17% ████████████████ Who do you think is in the most Danger of being in the Bottom 2? 100% Jahmene Douglas (Boys) 0% James Arthur (Boys) 1% █ Union J (Groups) 6% ██████ Rylan Clark (Boys) 52% ████████████████████████████████████████████████████ Christopher Maloney (Overs) 25% ████████████████████████ DON'T KNOW 15% ███████████████ I've included above poll because Fans of an Act might be more likely to vote if they think their Fav Act is in Danger |
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James close enough now with 1st and 2nd preferences for TPTB to get him over the line now.
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Cheers.
Maloney making ground in positive and losing ground in negative. Which is a positive. |
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UJ could easily be bottom
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2% think baloney could win
 are you that afraid of syco  |
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Yes. Chris clearly not going away ....and we know from the star that even though tvpolls has been the one poll that has shown reasonable support for him, it's still vastly underestimating his vote.
Top again I reckon and close between Jahmene & James in the actual vote. |
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Vote transference between baloney and Jahmene is key, don't see how James can win
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don't see how the B2 isn't rylan & union j.
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Reckon that's a cert GTL
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baloney will get all jahmene's votes and cruise to victory!
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true alfie, james stands alone
(hope you are right anyway) |
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Vote transference between baloney and Jahmene is key, don't see how James can win
It may not come into play in a Jahmene v Chris final  James backers are forgetting some golden xfactor rules, dirty busker types that rap sometimes with tattoos won't win. and you can take that to the bank! |
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He wasn't last night tho.
His 2nd song was extremely MEM friendly. Plus I give you the Little Muffins and girlbands can't win. Golden rules are there to be broken |
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T1tbrids can't win BB - Sophie
Marmite can't win BB - Aaron |
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Sadly ..it doesn't happen that often though
So laying at 6/4 is not too high price to pay for many |
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If James had been MEM friendly from the start I would give him a big shout in this, but he wasn't so he was B2 last week, people have their favs now, and James isn't popular enough
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I'd want to see him doing it again before I even thought of covering.
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BB Aaron was more a Chris situation, were the powers that be tried to stop him, and it was counter productive for them
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