Yesterday, 3 winners emerged from 6 selections.
I did take on one horse that was odds on then drifted to evens at the off. Broxbourne was going for his 4th win which was achieved but was challenged right to the line. I took on the call knowing all the factors but looked at the circuit at Lingfield as a straight-up challenge for the horse.
The other two at Lingfield were a disappointment, Fonterutoli and Mack's Truck both lacking the mustard it takes to win races.
I had three over obstacles. The day started with Be My Deputy drifting before the off and winning. Iron Butterfly's result read's 4th but the 30/1 (BFSP) EW play finished just over a second behind the eventual winner so one for the notebooks over a similar distance.
The Fox's Decree won but cashing in the winning...
Like Storm Survivor on Wednesday, Ballypatrick gave a run for the money at Huntingdon yesterday but was caught at the line. But, like the day before, the following race at the same track produced a good price winner in the form of Art Professor who had been supported all day.
I was one for two on shorter priced horses yesterday. Mr Mole won as expected for Paul Nicholls and AP McCoy while Close Touch didn't like the step up in distance who was well beaten by African Gold.
Like the previous day, not a lot of winners but the value kept the day at more or less break even.
[b]WEAK FAVES & VALUE PLAYS IS PUBLISHED MONDAY TO FRIDAY PRIOR TO THE FIRST RACE OF THE DAY.
WEAK FAVES FOR 8-February[/b]
none
[i]Early Price:[/i]
[b]STAND-OUT RECOMMENDATIONS TO BACK[/b]
Bangor
1:30...
Yesterday was the second day running of around 70% ROI on the day.
Today, selections from both the all weather and jumps.
With Southwell kicking off early, I am posting the early selections then the balance later.
[b]WEAK FAVES FOR 14-November[/b]
Strike rates
Southwell: 7 meetings: 9 for 11 (82%)
Kempton: 11 meetings: 17 for 23 (74%)
Southwell
12:50 Pearl Noir [i](2nd)[/i]
Early prices: Pearl Noir 3.80
[b]SUMMARY[/b] [i]1 for 1 on the day. Pearl Noir remained favourite going off at 2/1, in touch till the final furlong. Lays remain at 100% for the week.[/i]
[b]STAND-OUT RECOMMENDATIONS TO BACK[/b]
Bangor
1:00 Pampelonne (3rd) [b]-1.00[/b]
KEMPTON
4:25 Renegotiate [i](2nd by 3.75L)[/i] [b]-1.00[/b]
5:25 Clear Praise [b]EW[/b] [i](5th)[/i] [b]-1.00[/b]
6:55...
Stats for August:
24 for 29 (83%)
August to date: 82/106 (77%)
[b]WEAK FAVES FOR 27-AUGUST[/b]
Selections based on the quality of the fields in their previous races
Strike rates:
Bangor: 1 meeting: 2 for 2 (100%)
Chepstow: no meetings to date
Epsom: 1 meeting: 2 for 3 (67%)
Huntingdon: no meetings to date
Newcastle: 3 meetings: 3 for 4 (75%)
Ripon: 2 meetings: 3 for 5 (60%)
Warwick: 1 meeting: 1 for 1 (100%)
BANGOR
2:50 Clarion Call [i](Result: 2nd)[/i]
3:25 Mr Tingle [i](1st 3.70 BFSP)[/i]
CHEPSTOW
2:05 Bondi Mist [i](3rd)[/i]
5:00 Beauchamp Zorro [i](8th of 10)[/i]
6:05 Greyemkay [i](2nd)[/i]
EPSOM
2:30 Lunar Deity [i](1st 3.20 BFSP)[/i]
4;15 Arashi [i](6th of 10)[/i]
HUNTINGDON
4:20 Bennys Quest [i](4th of 8)[/i]
NEWCASTLE
3:25 Excellent...
I played Goodwood again after a day away. With any meeting, if selections aren't becoming obvious, it's best not to 'force' selections and move on. Landing 4 for 4 at the other meetings on Wednesday proved that my time was properly used.
I also find the better the fields, the deeper you have to go in the form. And, as I mentioned a few days ago, I find need to focus even harder on the horses performances rather than the names of the trainers and jockey's until later in the process.
Even though my approach is to find faves that have not run against what I consider 'weak fields', I am well aware that top trainers will work hard on preparing and placing a horse in the right race while certain jockeys will get more out of a horse than those that rode previously.
So once I've found...