The world’s failure to act seriously on cutting greenhouse gas emissions means meeting its 1.5°C climate change goal is implausible, according to two scientists calling for more honesty about the path Earth is headed for.

In a review of global action on climate change, including pledges at last year’s COP26 summit, Damon Matthews and Seth Wynes at Concordia University, Canada, said social, political and technological inertia meant the Paris Agreement’s temperature target was likely to be missed.

“It’s a call for honesty and action. Given the direction we are going right now, there is no prospect of coming close to 1.5°C,” says Matthews. Global emissions need to fall 43 per cent by 2030 to have a good chance of meeting the target, but have been steadily marching upwards for decades.


The study follows recent research showing there is now an almost 50-50 chance of temporarily exceeding the goal within five years. Other analysis has shown there is a high chance of breaching it long-term, even in the unrealistic event of global emissions stopping overnight.

However, Matthews says while political and corporate efforts to cut emissions are falling short of what is needed, there have been signs of progress. The world is now on course to warm by between 2.5°C and 3°C by the end of the century, he says, not the 4°C to 5°C that was feared around a decade ago. “We have made progress, there are options, but we haven’t really embraced those options at the level [needed],” he says.

Car-free days in cities, revised motorway speed limits and cutting business air travel offer ways to reduce emissions immediately, Matthews and Wynes suggest. Such quick wins will need to be accompanied by major changes such as decarbonising energy grids and widespread adoption of electric cars and heat pumps, alongside behaviour changes including dietary shifts, they add.

I wonder if any of these shills ever go to Beijing and opine to the Chinese?

What is it with the climate change deniers ?  Is it :-

a) Nothing is happening - there is zero 'man made' global warming ?

b) There is some man made global warming but not on the scale calculated by the scientists and not enough to worry about ?

c) I just don't care , I'll be long gone and I'm not prepared to make lifestyle changes or incur costs doing anything about it ?

Imagine the arrogance of thinking humans can have an effect on a 5,500,000,000 year old rock

It's generally called physics, not arrogance.

Who is it meant to be arrogant towards anyway? The Flying Spaghetti Monster?

Why do they keep getting it wrong then...if its science??

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https://cei.org/blog/wrong-again-50-years-of-failed-eco-pocalyptic-predictions/

Why is Al Gore so rich?

Why do scientists only get funded if they agree with the people who are funding them?

Same with covid, only the arse licking sycophants are allowed to opine in public
Everybody else is banished

oh damn it's something not on your site and you will have to think for yourself now to evaluate the information.

I apologise in advance for causing you so much headache.

Is edy retired or on the pan crack?

Show me your greatest critical thinking!

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https://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/columnists/christopherbooker/5067351/Rise-of-sea-levels-is-the-greatest-lie-ever-told.html