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Batley and Spen by election

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Replies: 395
By:
moisok
When: 11 May 21 23:45
Nice shadow  cabinet  box ticking appointment  by  Starmer  - will go down well with one group.
By:
politicspunter
When: 12 May 21 08:48
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/may/12/jo-cox-sister-labour-batley-spen-byelection-kim-leadbeater
.

A very interesting possible candidate for Labour.
By:
Eric.Cartman
When: 12 May 21 08:58
Good move....sympathy vote worth at least 10%, and if you can get somebody to run over her dog on the eve of the election, reckon u might squeeze another 3%
By:
1st time poster
When: 12 May 21 11:08
is their a large southern asian for want of a better term population in batley,there isnt in h,pool for example
By:
politicspunter
When: 12 May 21 11:58
https://labourlist.org/2021/05/batley-and-spen-runners-and-riders/
.

Batley and Spen – runners and riders
By:
saddo
When: 12 May 21 13:28
1st time poster 12 May 21 10:08 
is their a large southern asian for want of a better term population in batley,there isnt in h,pool for example


..................................


They still use the historic 2011 figure of 30% when it is mentioned. We'll know the true number quite soon when the census result is out.
By:
politicspunter
When: 12 May 21 13:37
Labour price contracting noticeably since last night. A lot of money being piled on both bookies and exchanges for this early in a by election.
By:
politicspunter
When: 12 May 21 13:40
Tory price on the drift, not sure if there is a clear reason but a very volatile market.
By:
1st time poster
When: 12 May 21 13:55
thats whats strange about h,pool ,that people who dont no it, cant understand
massive brexit vote
ukip on ground yrs before reff
immigrstion num,ber one topic
but if someone from down south,.big cities,northern mill towns etc were to come in to h,pool for the day they,d say immigration what foooking immigrsation
By:
politicspunter
When: 12 May 21 14:00
60% leave for this constituency. A fairly high number but not insurmountable.
By:
Cider
When: 12 May 21 14:19
It's not just brexit, people will wise up to that at some point. There's no shame in voting Tory any more, no tribal commitment to Labour. Arguably in some communities the shame would be voting Labour and the kneeler.

It's a slightly trickier b/e to call then Hartlepool I feel. Labour and their msm chums will be chucking everything they have at it. 21st June will have an impact as well, which at this point is an unknown variable.
By:
moisok
When: 12 May 21 14:39
starmer made the promotion  to make labour look more favourable to one part of the electorate.  It is so cynical and they think locals won't notice it.  This is where within  Labour we get so many things wrong in this particular topic.  Many have said how we concentrate on minorities instead of the majority
and take so much notice of the noisy twitterfacesnap self entitled attention seekers.
By:
politicspunter
When: 12 May 21 15:56
In the last 24 hours Hills have cut the Labour price from 4.0 to 3.5 to 3.25 to 3.0 and now to 2.75. They must be taking a lot of money in.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 12 May 21 16:36
Rose trying to get his money back?
By:
politicspunter
When: 12 May 21 16:41
Could be. If so Labour will be 1.1 at the finish up Grin
By:
1st time poster
When: 12 May 21 18:28
if jo coxes sister stands for labour as been suggested bound to have a dramatic effect on betting
if nothing else would stop the usual tory dirty tactics ,playing the man not the ball
By:
Cider
When: 12 May 21 18:30
Labour have tried to gain political capital out of the Cox murder for a number of years. So it would be of no great surprise.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 12 May 21 18:33
Binface refuses to COUNT himself
out
By:
politicspunter
When: 12 May 21 18:53

May 12, 2021 -- 6:33PM, ----you-have-to-laugh--- wrote:


Binface refuses to COUNT himselfout


Brilliant news! Either him or his brother Osama Bin Laden

By:
politicspunter
When: 12 May 21 20:27
2.62 Labour now with Hills. They are going to end up favourite at this rate.
By:
politicspunter
When: 13 May 21 08:43
A lot of money for Labour this morning again, Ladbrokes have cut them to 2.37.
By:
PorcupineorPineapple
When: 13 May 21 09:13
Can't have it personally. Jo Cox's sister is merely going to remind people of Brexit and attach Labour to Remain. Nice and easy attack line. Given the tories look like having no right wing opposition I think they're a shoe in here.
By:
politicspunter
When: 13 May 21 09:34
Well, Hartlepool was erm unique and that's being fairly kind to it in a political sense. This seat looks much tougher for the tories to win. Just to be clear, I am not saying they will not win it, only that the task they are facing is completely different from Hartlepool.
By:
1st time poster
When: 13 May 21 10:39
remind people of brexit absolutely spot on
remind them that brexit party,arron banks ordered his troop out on the streets saw joe coxes death in his words as an opportunity to win votes as main parties stood aside for a few day,s, after she was shot buy a far right union jack waving nut job
i think the tory,s might put this in the to difficult tray, not as if their desperate for numbers in commons
By:
politicspunter
When: 13 May 21 10:42
Many will say that it is in the tories best interests for them to be a narrow Labour hold in order to keep Kier Starmer in post.
By:
Cider
When: 13 May 21 12:12
As if the blue wave needs reminding of brexit lol. Some of you really do live in cloud cuckoo land.

You're going to get the 1st timer types shouting 'far right far right' like demented idiots, thinking somehow this will put people off voting Tory Crazy
By:
Cider
When: 13 May 21 12:15
If the Tories want to win Batley, the jeopardy lays around covid.
By:
1st time poster
When: 13 May 21 12:49
people might not be bothered ,but the trial showed the bloke in question was a far right nut job, END OF
By:
Cider
When: 13 May 21 12:57
What on earth has that got to do with anyone else. Plenty of people do plenty of bad things. It's just a transparent attempt by you and others to confect his actions with anyone who votes the way you don't approve of.
By:
1st time poster
When: 13 May 21 13:17
to quote the recent leader of the party you all seem happy to vote for
where have all the far right,loonies and fruit cakes  gone,what party are they in ,who are they voting for
there not voting for ukip,reform ,bnp,they havnt gone away still out there voting for joining some party,wonder which one
By:
PorcupineorPineapple
When: 13 May 21 13:42
What on earth has that got to do with anyone else. Plenty of people do plenty of bad things. It's just a transparent attempt by you and others to confect his actions with anyone who votes the way you don't approve of.


Sorry but my irony meter just blew up!
By:
moisok
When: 13 May 21 13:50
I have always said 20,000  will swing it - do that in 300  constituencies and you are there
By:
moisok
When: 13 May 21 13:51
no 1st time  he was ill  - like so many of the explosive type?
By:
Cider
When: 13 May 21 14:48
I don't object to anyone voting for any party they want to. I can definitely challenge their justification for doing so, that's debate.

1st timer at the top of the thread posted:

theyve got some ukippers with some strange cultish name with far right ideas who got 1000,s of votes last time

I asked him to tell us what these far right ideas were, and we're still waiting, several days later.
By:
politicspunter
When: 16 May 21 07:43
Some big swings on the Betfair exchange market.

Labour lowest/highest price matched 2.32/4.7
Tory lowest/highest price matched 1.05/1.73
By:
politicspunter
When: 16 May 21 12:09
The prices for the last few days seem to be very static. Not sure when Labour are announcing their candidate but if it is one of the persons mentioned up thread, their price is very likely to shorten.
By:
saddo
When: 16 May 21 12:20
Those expecting a sympathy vote for Cox's sister might be in for a disappointment. She leads a campaign called Moreincommon, no one in Batley, or similar towns, believes that, the division has been there for decades and is getting worse.
By:
politicspunter
When: 16 May 21 12:22
Dearie me, thanks for that.
By:
saddo
When: 16 May 21 12:26
I know the area well, people are beginning to say 'enough'.
By:
politicspunter
When: 16 May 21 12:28
She leads a campaign called Moreincommon, no one in Batley, or similar towns, believes that, the division has been there for decades and is getting worse.

Laugh
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