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Batley and Spen by election

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Replies: 395
By:
politicspunter
When: 20 Jun 21 09:44
About 20s I think. 400s has been matched.
By:
1st time poster
When: 20 Jun 21 09:47
cheers
By:
politicspunter
When: 20 Jun 21 09:57
George is getting many more votes from the Batley part rather than the Spen part of the constiuency. He won't win but is likely to influence the result.
By:
1st time poster
When: 20 Jun 21 10:38
he,s pro brexit so now allegedly targeting the white brexit vote and the i wont vote lab but dont want to vote tory vote
By:
politicspunter
When: 20 Jun 21 10:53
I would be surprised if he got say 20%+ of the share of the vote but of course, he has surprised before.
By:
1st time poster
When: 20 Jun 21 11:08
would you eat his hat
By:
politicspunter
When: 20 Jun 21 11:15
As there is a good chance it smells and tastes of strong curry, possibly.
By:
politicspunter
When: 21 Jun 21 07:57
I am hearing about some downright nasty campaigning from this by election and I strongly suspect Galloway is directly behind it.
By:
Manoleeds
When: 21 Jun 21 08:49
PP -go on then give us a sample .
By:
politicspunter
When: 21 Jun 21 09:06
I am sure anyone can google away if they wish but issues relating to the situation of the Palestinian people and the religion of Starmers wife are amongst them Sad
By:
1st time poster
When: 21 Jun 21 10:27
the hard left london corbynista,s are behind it,george doesnt give a foook about people in batley but wants corbyn reinstating in labour party/whip back
By:
politicspunter
When: 24 Jun 21 16:04
Labour price drifting badly today. Could be a new poll on the way or the tories little helper Galloway is getting traction.
By:
frog1000
When: 25 Jun 21 14:14
Could be worth opposing the Tories at short odds given Boris appears to be leaving Hancock in place. Or maybe people dont care?
By:
politicspunter
When: 25 Jun 21 14:41
It certainly could have a bearing on the result, depending on what goes on over the next week. You can bet your bottom dollar the Sunday papers will be giving it a mention.
By:
Cider
When: 25 Jun 21 16:54
Labour are struggling to come second at this point I believe!

Oh for the days when Starmer people were bigging up Starmer @ 2/1 for next pm Laugh

Being replaced this year might be worth a punt.
By:
mafeking
When: 25 Jun 21 17:47
can't ever remember labour booting out a leader mid term and they have had some really hapless ones. don't think it's very easy either even if they wanted to
By:
Cider
When: 25 Jun 21 18:41
Didn't Corbyn have to get re-elected? If Starmer does as badly as I'm hearing, he will be under an awful lot of pressure.

These are crazy times obviously so the Hancock shenanigans may have changed things.
By:
alun2005
When: 25 Jun 21 18:47
I still don't see the Tories as a cert for this constituency, particularly having been hammered at Amersham, and this latest hapless 'Hancock Half Hour" brouhaha on top of it. 


Batley and Spen has been Labour since '97 and stranger things have happened than their wholly unfit candidate getting elected.
By:
Cider
When: 25 Jun 21 18:58
Apparently Galloway is getting traction on the ground. It doesn't really appeal to me as a betting event, certainly not at the current market.
By:
mafeking
When: 25 Jun 21 19:36
something like 80% of the MPs voted to get rid out of corbyn but they still couldn't get him out
By:
darkmatter
When: 26 Jun 21 16:25
In an interview with the journalist Rod Liddle, who is campaigning in Batley, he stated that the people he had  contacted gave a clear impression that Galloway could come second. Every muslim he had spoken to was voting for George. This is a 19% demographic, though that figure includes minors. After deducting non voters that could be a good 8%+ block. There's also the possibility that normal Labour voters could see a way of undermining Starmer by switching to Galloway. That has been his widely publicised position for running in the election and there could be a lot of former Corbyn types who will go along with that. Hopefully we will gwt an updated poll this week. Things have changed a lot since the last Survation and that was a phone poll of only 324 with a considerable margin of error.
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Jun 21 16:35
Thank you for that, very interesting.
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Jun 21 16:37
If that was correct, no reason it isn't, would not that suggest that the tories must be certainties to win.
By:
Cider
When: 26 Jun 21 16:37
no sh1t sherlock Grin
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Jun 21 16:41
Smarkets have a market up, Labour v Galloway.
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Jun 21 16:42
Also markets on the vote shares of Labour, tories and Galloway.
By:
Cider
When: 26 Jun 21 16:43
Hancock's shenanigans will surely bite there. Galloway could even be worth a poke, not a market I could take short prices in. Low turnout a distinct possibility.
By:
macarony
When: 26 Jun 21 19:32
Looks like a major conflict  for  labour the jackies hate the gays so who will labour throw under the bus? My money is on labour continuing to tonge the Rs of Muslims because they are going to increase in numbers and like all politicians its not what you believe in its the winning that counts
By:
saddo
When: 26 Jun 21 20:11
Not just a Labour problem, it's a problem for all 'progressive' types. They want to support gays and Muslims, one of these groups want the others dead. This will not change in any of our lifetimes and the progressives will be forced to choose a side eventually.
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Jun 21 20:21
With Handcock chucked and the Saj in, it's very difficult to see a path for Labour to win here.
By:
Foinavon
When: 26 Jun 21 20:26
No chance of a labour win, George has seen to that.
By:
macarony
When: 26 Jun 21 21:05
Would you like me to be the cat
By:
1st time poster
When: 27 Jun 21 16:56
i thought the brown vote only voted for labour because labour put on taxis treated them to a 3 course meal etc according to nigel farage et al,is gorgeous george  doing the same or is this an admission thats always been a load of right wing media shoite, Laugh
By:
1st time poster
When: 27 Jun 21 17:00
so they dont want labour, vote for far left galloway instead and get the far right tory party to represent them
they dont seem to  bright in batley so get what they deserve i suppose
By:
politicspunter
When: 27 Jun 21 17:03
There is a 20% muslim base in this constituency. I guess most of them would normally vote Labour. Lets suppose that George is able to get three quarters of that vote, so 15% of the constituency electorate. I am not clear who else would vote for him? So that puts him on 15%, Labour on probably around 30%, tories on around 47% and 8% others.  Any thoughts on this please?
By:
saddo
When: 27 Jun 21 17:17
The Muslims will number more than the 2011 figures, that's for certain. They seem to not like having a Lesbian knocking around their manors, I think that's the crux of it. I still cant believe Labour didn't see the risk.
By:
politicspunter
When: 27 Jun 21 17:22
From the Daily Mail...

A senior Tory source involved in the campaign said: 'We are worried about Galloway. The question mark is all about turnout.

'We have got to get our vote out, and we should win it. I think Galloway will hoover up the Muslim vote - almost all of it.

'He should get around 12,000 votes - although it depends on turnout. If we get 14,000 we should be alright. Labour look like getting 6,000.

'Galloway is the threat. Labour is f*****.'

They added: 'No doubt about it, I think Galloway has destroyed the Labour Party in this seat.'
By:
1st time poster
When: 27 Jun 21 17:23
your sister gets gunned down by a far right nut job and people wont vote for someone in uk 2021 because of their sexual preference, people would scream if it was pointed out we,re not that far ahead of a 3rd world bASKET CASE COUNTRY
By:
1st time poster
When: 27 Jun 21 17:24
dont think batley and spen will be going on the bucket list for a visit
By:
politicspunter
When: 27 Jun 21 17:27
If I told you that the Conservative candidate is gay, would it stop you voting for him?
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