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2024 USA Presidential Election

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Replies: 17,003
By:
A_T
When: 11 Sep 21 17:24
as an ex-President Trump's busy remembering 9/11 by....

commentating on a freakshow veteran boxing match in florida
By:
politicspunter
When: 11 Sep 21 17:29
Maybe he is afraid that if he appears in New York, he will be served with court papers?
By:
Fatslogger
When: 12 Sep 21 09:22

Sep 11, 2021 -- 4:37PM, politicspunter wrote:


The thing no one can guesstimate though is for contenders previously unconsidered to emerge. Trump and Obama weren't short prices pre election, Pete Buttigieg from the last campaign springs to mind also.


Agree. There are reasons why the nominees might be the obvious ones this time, with Biden standing for re-election perhaps the default (I think Dems will try to persuade him to stand if he’s polling okay, as Harris doesn’t poll so well) but also quite strong reasons, including obviously age, why they might not be. I know Biden and Trump are both looking in reasonable shape right now but it’s over 3 years to Election Day and even if both were convinced they wanted to run, there’s a solid chance that a health problem could intervene. I guess prices do reflect that, for Biden especially, given how solid a bet an incumbent usually is.

By:
politicspunter
When: 12 Sep 21 12:04
Trump now supported in to 2.8 on here for Republican nominee and 5.7 to win outright.
By:
lfc1971
When: 13 Sep 21 07:35
Either Biden or Harris to win , if republicans want to win the presidency again they are going to have to succeed from the union
And form their own more stable successful country
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 13 Sep 21 08:43
Suck seed?

Secede?
By:
lfc1971
When: 13 Sep 21 08:51
didn’t look right Happy
By:
lfc1971
When: 13 Sep 21 08:58
The American election is increasingly along racial and religious lines
It’s demographics more than anything else , not good .
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 13 Sep 21 09:02
Maybe they will suck seed, and
bring back slavery.
By:
lfc1971
When: 13 Sep 21 09:06
Lol
spellings gone to pot
By:
politicspunter
When: 13 Sep 21 16:04
PollTracker
@PollTrackerUSA
·
13h
2022 #FLGov General Election Poll:

Charlie Crist (D) 54% (+8)
Ron DeSantis (R-Inc) 46%
.
Ron DeSantis (R-Inc) 52% (+4)
Nikki Fried (D) 48%

The Listener Group/
@PoliticalMatrix
~ 1,144 LV ~ 9/3-9/5
By:
politicspunter
When: 14 Sep 21 12:01
Hmm, De Santis being supported this morning for 2024 Republican nominee.
By:
Fatslogger
When: 14 Sep 21 21:50
Big presence on Fox and pretty charismatic. He feels slightly short at 14s to me, with the nomination process always so difficult to call but there are worse mid range punts you could take on.
By:
politicspunter
When: 14 Sep 21 22:12
The problem I have with him is that he may find it tough to win states like Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania as a good old southern boy.
By:
politicspunter
When: 14 Sep 21 22:13
Throw in Ohio, Iowa etc, places he really must win, it could be tough.
By:
Giuseppe
When: 14 Sep 21 22:35
"a good old southern boy"

lol he's an Italian from Tampa Bay in Florida
By:
politicspunter
When: 14 Sep 21 22:42
He could do ok in places such as Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina, perhaps even New Mexico but he still has to make inroads in the Mid West.
By:
Fatslogger
When: 14 Sep 21 22:51
At this stage though, betting on the President market is really betting on the nominees. Sure, you’d want some solid get out clauses if you’d laid someone who ended up nominated but that would be a tough time in the run up, even so.
By:
Giuseppe
When: 14 Sep 21 22:56
Müller is the most common surname in Germany

it should be as common in America as Smith
By:
Giuseppe
When: 14 Sep 21 22:56
rong fred sry
By:
politicspunter
When: 14 Sep 21 22:59
I am not confident that Trump or DeSantis will run.
By:
Giuseppe
When: 14 Sep 21 23:03
"He could do ok in places such as Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina, perhaps even New Mexico"

none of those states are anything like south florida

south florida is most similar to california
By:
Giuseppe
When: 14 Sep 21 23:04
north florida (tallahassee, jackosnville) is like georgia or south carolina, it is part of teh south

south florida (tampa, orlando, miami) is completely different
By:
politicspunter
When: 15 Sep 21 21:55
2024 National Republican Primary Poll, Without Trump:

DeSantis 22%
Trump Jr. 19%
Pence 15%
Cruz 7%
Owens 5%
Haley 4%
Romney 4%
Rubio 2%
T. Scott 2%
Kasich 2%
Cheney 2%
Pompeo 2%
Cotton 1%
R. Scott 1%
Noem 1%

McLaughlin & Associates ~ 456 LV ~ 9/9-9/14
By:
politicspunter
When: 15 Sep 21 21:55
Trump Junior  Laugh
By:
politicspunter
When: 15 Sep 21 21:56
2024 National Republican Primary Poll:

Trump 59%
Pence 10%
DeSantis 8%
Cruz 3%
Romney 3%
Haley 2%
Rubio 2%
Kasich 2%
Cheney 2%
Owens 1%
T. Scott 1%
Pompeo 1%
Cotton 1%
R. Scott 1%
Noem 0%

McLaughlin & Associates ~ 456 LV ~ 9/9-9/14
By:
politicspunter
When: 15 Sep 21 21:57
2024 National General Election Poll:

Donald Trump 50% (+3)
Joe Biden 47%
.
Donald Trump 49% (+2)
Kamala Harris 47%

McLaughlin & Associates ~ 1000 LV ~ 9/9-9/14
By:
politicspunter
When: 15 Sep 21 21:59
2022 Generic Congressional Ballot Poll:

Democrats 43% (+6)
Republicans 37%

@YouGovAmerica
~ 1,153 RV ~ 9/10-9/13
By:
Giuseppe
When: 15 Sep 21 22:27
America starting to realise the mistake they made last November
By:
politicspunter
When: 15 Sep 21 22:35
Donald Trump Junior 200.0 with Smarkets and he comes 2nd tonight just behind DeSantis. Get on quick !
By:
politicspunter
When: 17 Sep 21 09:58
FLORIDA
2024 Presidential General Election Poll:

Joe Biden 55% (+10)
Ron DeSantis 45%

The Listener Group/
@PoliticalMatrix
~ 911 LV ~ 9/11-9/12
By:
politicspunter
When: 17 Sep 21 10:25
One excellent advantage poll followers will have if it turns out to be Biden v Trump part 2, is that they will have all the 2020 data at hand.
By:
politicspunter
When: 21 Sep 21 23:24
There is a poll out today that will be of particular interest to Mike Pence backers.
By:
politicspunter
When: 21 Sep 21 23:28
And you think we are nuts. Try this letter from a punter in America...

I would not be settling bets on the CA Recall race just yet. If I were you and all I can do is share advice, I would wait until the smoke clears on the AZ audit on as many bets as you can. It is my understanding, this race is under Military custodianship, something of that nature due to 2018 Presidential Executive Order on "Foreign election interference". The AZ Senate audit will make clear whether there is something to that and if so, very likely in California as well as it actually may be being used as a stakeout operation by the Military. You settled San Diego County for Recall NO, I have bet heavily that there is going to be a flip, in Arizona and other States and if so, highly likely in this Recall race. Good luck, hope you don't have to payup twice
By:
Giuseppe
When: 21 Sep 21 23:28
no no no this is all WRONG
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 21 Sep 21 23:37
Staggering the damage been done
to some weak minded folk.

I remember when they simply
bet on elvis being alive.
By:
politicspunter
When: 21 Sep 21 23:43
Not only has that punter wrote that and published it on an American betting site, he has published the reply from the firm...

Hi William,

I have forwarded your request to the Settlement Committee.

Sincerely,

..which is clearly designed to not say that he is a nutter and please keep giving us your money.
By:
politicspunter
When: 21 Sep 21 23:48
..and then follows it up with...

Fair enough. There is a ton of public information, Trump comments and what I consider bonafide chatter to suggest this highly plausible. If AZ audit wasn't coming and no Executive Order, then I would truly be crazy.
By:
politicspunter
When: 21 Sep 21 23:49
That man Trump again Laugh
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 22 Sep 21 00:07
In some ways it's sad.
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