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Newport West by election
Newport West by election
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Replies: 367
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1.25 without labour ukip..
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reckon thats punter going "all in" on the tories
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Anything to watch for at Aintree today gigg
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Don't bet on jump racing,stopped over 12 years ago its impossible to do the aw and flat and sticks its impossible keeping track of the turf on its own so much racing now,have been doing it for over 20years uoto 20 hours aday in the summer,might be my last season.
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yajyaj, got a pretty balanced book now so no, that's not my £759. I will have a really bad day if UKIP win/ finish 2nd. Any other result is good.
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Just a bit of fun for me, I have had periods where I have enjoyed us racing and done ok though, do you get involved with us ?
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Punter, rather you than me, I cant even work out who the fav is at the moment ffs, I do expect and hope for a motivated "leaver" event, last night could be the "kick up the arze" to remind them to get out and vote ukip # the country is watching
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A tory collapse is expected that's for sure and reading articles lots of labour voters aren't voting labour either could be an extremely strange result with the desperate weather as well,can't see this turnout being much...
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Only uk racing,at the moment am not betting much the aw cards have been dire for a couple of months if i see any guaranteed shorteners i will chuck them on here,won £800 on port soif trading yesterday but ended up winning nothing on the race as i backed that luath ew and backed siomethng else in the race in forecasts,they looked like being 1,2,3 coming into the straight ended up coming 3,4,5 books were paying 4 places as well desperate luck again.
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the reports about now are influenced by the spin masters of the partys
unless you have a recent local poll from a reputable company its tough to sort the wheat from the chaff |
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No local polls at all so can only go on past election results in this seat plus current UK and Wales polls.
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..good luck pp
you are braver than me |
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I would prefer just to be luckier!
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1.06 now tories to be 2nd..
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1.06 now tories to be 2nd..
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Was looking at labour win,1.2 tories...
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Been trying to find up to date turnout figures for the vote today. If anyone finds anything official/unofficial/rumour could they post it here please.
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The Commons has now adjourned for the rest of the day because the leak of water into the chamber.
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Apparently it is lashing down in Newport. This could be a very low turnout.
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Suits the tories, they are rich so have cars and can drive to the polling station.
That was told to me years ago and in days gone by might have been a lot of truth in it. |
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elections on a thursday because the poor folk are out shopping ...
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Anyone else think this could be close?
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1.11 been matched recently. would imagine the turn out will be low with the dire weather today. rarely get 50% at by elections in any case and that exactly much enthusiasm for the 2 main parties at the moment
10000 might be enough to win |
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not much enthusiasm
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I agree that 10000 could win it and that's why it could be close. Apathy, anger, weather, multiple protest candidates to me suggest that Labour are still favourites but would you want to take 1.05 or worse?
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BTW the tories got 17065 here at the last election.
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There's going to be an unusual looking result definitely,just don't know which partys are going to suffer the most,labour look a ridiculous price with poor turnout they might only win this by a 1000 votes,i can see a fair few partys with quite close votes..
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was surprised at that when i looked at the result from 2017. lazily assumed it was safe labour seat being in south wales and apparently a very popular long standing MP
you wouldn't imagine the winning margin will be more than a couple of thousand |
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Tories are currently 40 and more on here which is a ludicrous price.
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70s the tories,it looks like lots of partys are going to gain votes the winner might win this with a small % of vote..
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Labour were only 5% ahead of tories on a poll on april 3rd....
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i went to a wedding in newport when i was living in cardiff
missed the last bus, train back  had to get a taxi and persuade driver to take a cheque..did i really have a cheque book at a wedding? lol times change. great fun  no news seemingly about the result, no insiders spilling the beans on twitter yet, although andrew neil advertising his programme tonite. smells like no shocks...famous last words |
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The most interesting thing is how much ukip vote has picked up,this should be ripe for them in present times if they don't poll well in this sort of seat leave area with tories in disarray then would be ominous for any sort of revival even short term..
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Totally agree.
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tories 2 s on to beat ukip on here
surely they have seen some ballot papers by now? |
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Just started counting after the initial verification exercise
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1) Turnout looking to be poor, as expected.
2) Labour confident of a hold, but anticipating a much reduced majority. 3) Tories certain they've come second. 4) Declaration due between 1am and 3am |
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So close now on about a recount wtf...
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could be recounts over somebody losing a deposit!
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Siôn Jenkins
@Sion_J 12m12 minutes ago More A couple of sources here tell me it’s looking very close between Labour and Conservative. So close, in fact, that they were predicting a recount! (Far too early to be making such predictions, if you ask me!) |