And when faced with the facts, just grins and keeps repeating the same incorrect figures.

Markets follow events. The bookmakers and layers on here react to polls, speeches, threats of armageddon etc. They have no more idea of the outcome than any punter. My only comment would be that the reason why the general election result was called wrongly by many pundits was that they didn't allow for higher turnouts among older people and rural voters who mostly vote A) Conservative and B) Brexit.