Forums
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
These 122 comments are related to the topic:
Why has leave been backed overnight?

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
Page 2 of 4  •  Previous | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 122
By:
CJ70
When: 31 May 16 16:45

May 31, 2016 -- 11:06AM, Des Pond wrote:


Well I have asked many many hundreds of people maybe thousands over the past month in my city as many of you will know.I am seeing 90% LEAVE 10% REMAIN.  The new polls out today that say leave are the majority is accurate.I put the bettingat 5/6 remain 5/6 leave.Laying remain at 1.36 is lay of the century.Should go odds against before the vote.Well, put some money down then! (You could have laid at 1.19/1.2 less than a week ago; that's when I laid a pile of mine off). I keep hear from brexiters that it is 90% leave etc for a 5/6 shot , evens shot whatever, but nobody is betting on it.  if so many people were so confident of a Leave Vote, I wouldn't have to wait months for some more of my 1.5 plus to be taken. Stop banging on about the "near certainty" of a leave vote and take advantage of the incredible prices that are available.


Any bookie will tell you that the majority of bets and money is on Brexit. Same pattern is on the exchange.

By:
Des Pond
When: 31 May 16 16:47
You having a laff? Laugh
By:
CJ70
When: 31 May 16 16:51

May 31, 2016 -- 11:47AM, Des Pond wrote:


You having a laff?


Are you trying to say it isn't? Should be interesting to see why you disagree with what the bookmakers are saying. Laddies who are probably the best for political bets have been reporting all the money coming for Brexit all week.

Why are they wrong?

By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 31 May 16 16:53
the US State Department has warned its citizens against travelling to Europe this summer, bomb fears at the Euro's?
By:
Des Pond
When: 31 May 16 17:08
Laddies, Brexit 2/9
By:
Des Pond
When: 31 May 16 17:08
2/9 for stay,that is.
By:
Des Pond
When: 31 May 16 17:15
There was bound to be a bounce-back after remain fell to 1.9 on here last week. I had a few hundred at 1.35, which was taken at 3.47 and 4.45 p.m today, but it has fallen back now.
By:
CJ70
When: 31 May 16 17:19

May 31, 2016 -- 12:15PM, Des Pond wrote:


There was bound to be a bounce-back after remain fell to 1.9 on here last week. I had a few hundred at 1.35, which was taken at 3.47 and 4.45 p.m today, but it has fallen back now.


Eh? 1.9?

By:
Des Pond
When: 31 May 16 17:21
1.19 sorry.
By:
CJ70
When: 31 May 16 17:24

May 31, 2016 -- 12:21PM, Des Pond wrote:


1.19 sorry.


Ahh.. Was wondering.

If you look at the graph there's been a spike of money for Brexit to cause the movement mentioned by the OP.

By:
Des Pond
When: 31 May 16 17:27
Yes, the price has risen a few clicks since last night, but it has peaked at 1.35
By:
CJ70
When: 31 May 16 17:30

May 31, 2016 -- 12:27PM, Des Pond wrote:


Yes, the price has risen a few clicks since last night, but it has peaked at 1.35


Wouldn't say it's peaked, the ceiling looks to be 1.4 currently to me.

By:
Dr Crippen
When: 31 May 16 17:32
What would anyone having a bet on the result of the referendum use as a yardstick?

The betting or just have a wild guess at the result?
By:
Des Pond
When: 31 May 16 17:33
I had money sitting at various points at 1.36, 1.37, 1.38 and 1.4 (as well as 1.5 plus) and I can assure you that none of it was taken.
By:
CJ70
When: 31 May 16 17:40

May 31, 2016 -- 12:32PM, Dr Crippen wrote:


What would anyone having a bet on the result of the referendum use as a yardstick?The betting or just have a wild guess at the result?


Underlying polling figures is probably the only way you are going to get meaningful data. Sample sizes tend to be tiny though.

By:
CJ70
When: 31 May 16 17:41

May 31, 2016 -- 12:33PM, Des Pond wrote:


I had money sitting at various points at 1.36, 1.37, 1.38 and 1.4 (as well as 1.5 plus) and I can assure you that none of it was taken.


Clearly, but you can't say it's peaked from that. It could quite easily hit those numbers this week.

By:
1st time poster
When: 31 May 16 17:49
as in the scottish reff and lab/scots nats scare storys ,i,d be amazed if these rouge polls showing support for brexit havnt got camerons and gideons fingerprints all over them,just the final push to spread brexit fear and get the remain vote out,no wonder the rest of the world pish themselves laughing at so called democracy western style
By:
Des Pond
When: 31 May 16 18:01
Take your point, it hasn't peaked definitively. What I meant is that it seems to have gone as high as it is going to, for now. Of course it could go back up, I hope it does.
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 31 May 16 19:01
Still no sign of the Biscuit man. Still no answer on the real cost of hard working EU migrants.

I am fed up with hearing they pay more taxes than they take in benefits. THat may be the case but what about the costs of health care, schools, pressure on housing, doctors etc. Any cost benefit analysis must take into account the true of EU migrarants.

Come on Remainers. Argue your corner on this.
By:
Shab
When: 31 May 16 19:15
Actually IT, the costings you will see from the Remain side usually only measure the cost up to 2050. And given that the average age of a working immigrant is about 30, it's not hrd to work out why that might be.
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 31 May 16 19:35
The unfunded pension for new workers is clearly an issue. But I would argue the impact right here right now is negative due to the health care, housing and schooling costs that have been ignored by every study I have seen.

The remains might argue we have to accept freemovement for the free market. If that is the policy then justify it. But please Erraty, Biscuits, Wurzel etc do not try and say EU migrants are better for our economy than a non-discrimatry points based system where anyone of any race, colour, creed or country can move here if they have the skills we need.
By:
Injera
When: 31 May 16 19:55
Some of us got 10-1 on a Tory majority a year ago. The bookies were miles out then and could well be again.

Let's face it, jollies get turned over every day. The EU Ref is no different to any other market.
By:
DIE LINKE
When: 31 May 16 19:59
Does anyone post bets before the event on here?
By:
Des Pond
When: 31 May 16 20:13

May 31, 2016 -- 2:55PM, Injera wrote:


Some of us got 10-1 on a Tory majority a year ago. The bookies were miles out then and could well be again.Let's face it, jollies get turned over every day. The EU Ref is no different to any other market.


Like i said, you could have had 25/1 plus on Tory majority, I was on the most seats at 11/10. My friend made a 6-figure sum betting on the tory majority at a hell of a lot higher than 10/1.

By:
InsiderTrader
When: 31 May 16 20:15
Fair point. We can only hope and prey for the sake of our country, children and grandchildren that the odds are also 'wrong' on the referendum.
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 31 May 16 20:15
* pray
By:
Des Pond
When: 31 May 16 20:17
Some of you brexiters don't seem to know much about the market on this. a couple of weeks back Burt06 was banging on about getting 40/1 on remain vote 40% or less, when he could have had 70/1. I had to point out where he could find a price almost twice as high as he said he was getting. at one point he could get 10/1, He did not seem to be aware of this.
By:
Des Pond
When: 31 May 16 20:18
110/1, sorry
By:
Des Pond
When: 31 May 16 20:20

May 31, 2016 -- 2:59PM, DIE LINKE wrote:


Does anyone post bets before the event on here?


the Brexit fans don't appear to bet at all. hence the odds.

By:
Burt06
When: 31 May 16 20:24
and thanks for pointing that out dessieWink

i bet mainly in the offices, not much on here

after u letting me know i am also on at 100/1, 90/1 and 60/1Grin

didnt get that 110/1 thoughSad

had a little saver at 50/1 for 40-45% for remain

u have done ur doe though m8Sad

really hope u had the saver i advised as we are leaving the buildingCool
By:
Des Pond
When: 31 May 16 20:30
Thanks Burt Laugh
By:
Des Pond
When: 31 May 16 20:33
Hey Burt, I got some 1.36 today! Did some-one put some gaffer tape over Boris's mouth? Laugh
By:
Burt06
When: 31 May 16 20:42
dude, u are wrong in ur take of all this imo

boris will appeal to the many tory euro sceptics, as will gove and fox

he will kind of half appeal to some lab voters where gove and fox could not

but most of the 10 million lab voters are gunna vote out anyway as they know how much they have been fooked by mass uncontrolled immigration - aint no amount of campaigning gunna change that

just do the numbers

bout 15 million needed for brexit

70% of lab voters nailed on, so thats 7 million

4 million ukippers nailed on, so 11 million in total

u then need another 4 million from the 12 million tories

do u think they will get that?Grin

and not all the 3 million snp and lib dems will vote in

adios EUSSRCool
By:
Loddy
When: 31 May 16 20:46
http://www.moneysavingexpert.com/vote/31-05-2016/how-will-you-be-voting-in-the-eu-referendum-or-are-you-a-39dont-know39

MSE poll have a bash :) Looking good so far.
By:
Des Pond
When: 31 May 16 20:52
Burt, I just think that the Out campaign's chances will increase significantly if Boris can keep his gob shut for a couple of weeks Grin
By:
johnizere
When: 31 May 16 21:29
MSE poll... thanks Loddy

I’ve 100% made my mind up (5308 votes)
I’ll be voting 'remain'        2064 votes (39%)
I’ll be voting 'leave'        3243 votes (61%)

I’m pretty sure but not completely decided (1097 votes)
I’ll be voting 'remain'        539 votes (49%)
I’ll be voting 'leave'        558 votes (51%)

I’m blowing in the wind (892 votes)
I’m swaying to vote 'remain'        208 votes (23%)
I’m swaying to vote 'leave'        240 votes (27%)
I’m genuinely undecided        444 votes (50%)

I’m not planning to vote (63 votes)
If I were, I’d vote 'remain'        6 votes (10%)
If I were, I’d vote 'leave'        19 votes (30%)
I really don’t know how I’d vote        28 votes (44%)
I really don’t care        10 votes (16%)
By:
Shab
When: 31 May 16 21:33
Leave winning in every category. Should we expect this given the demographic of the MSE site? Middle-aged / older people are much more likely to use MSE and vote out.

Will be interesting to see how this develops as more people participate.
By:
Loddy
When: 31 May 16 21:41
Labour leave movement now saying 40% of Labour voters back brexit.
By:
Real Deal
When: 31 May 16 22:15
I am totally worried about the Postal Vote.Having watched the BBC Doc about the 1st Vote with Heath etc.I think that they will use any trick to Remain.

I live in Lincolnshire in the sticks & I do not know a single working class Rural that are voting to Remain,they are all 100% leave.

But all the Farmers are obviously worried about there EU handouts & voting to stay (Surprise).
My wealthy Farmer m8 calls his EU handouts his Dole Cheque.
By:
johnizere
When: 31 May 16 22:24
Real Deal... I think there's a lot of people looking at the possibility of some skulduggery with the postal vote, and I'm one of them.
Page 2 of 4  •  Previous | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
‹ back to topics
www.betfair.com