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EU Referendum
EU Referendum
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Replies: 234
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I'm already there Des. Good night.
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What is quite amazing is that the polls are still neck and neck after all this doom and gloom being pedalled by the remain side, and the out side having their own internal differences. 5/6 weeks to go I reckon though the remain side will frighten enough into voting to stay. Could be all down to who gets out to vote, on the day. To counter that, all the passion seems to be with the out side, so a low turnout may help them. In the 1970s, 65% turned out for the EU referendum. That's general election level.
Both sides need something in the final few days like Gordon Brown when he came out and made the case for the Scots to stay in the UK. |
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OUT backers can get 3.35 now. Incredible price, what are you waiting for?
OK, it was a stupid question  Of course, they were waiting for an even bigger price - 3.6 now  . Surely this is to good to pass up for something that is "too close to call" ? |
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'too close to call' depends on whether you believe phone polls or online polls
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I certainly wouldn't trust on-line polls, as the internet is prone to the preferred medium of a minority of people who are determined to foist their views on everyone else, thus skewing the figures. Although phone polls are far from infallible. I think personally, that the bookies odds give the best indication.
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*the internet is the preferred medium of...
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online polls also overestimated UKIP support in the local elections
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and yes, phone polls have a sample bias too, as demonstrated in the last general election
smaller than online polls though for obvious reasons, which tend to disproportionately attract 'politically motivated' types |
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which tend to disproportionately attract 'politically motivated' types
Or swivel-eyed loons, as they are sometimes referred to  |
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heh, if you like euphemisms for sample bias, i like the one they identified in the general election for phone polls
Labour voters were more likely to be in to answer the phone. Tory voters were more likely to be out. polls that gave up on a house if nobody answered saw a large sample bias towards Labour. make of that what you will  |
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dessie
33/1 now for brexit to be 60% or over get urself a good saver on that if not u gunna do a lot of doe |
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 Thanks for you concern Burt, but I could cash out right now at over 950 quid, but I am perfectly happy to let it ride. Are you not tempted by the 3.75 on offer? |
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Dramatic price plunge on Remain.
1.28 here. |
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shouldn't worry Injera Leicester were 5000/1 but it was never as if they were going to win it was it
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BB - the polls got it badly wrong last May. Can they be wrong again?
Must admit, the price is shocking. Most I speak to want out and will defo vote. The remain lot are a timid bunch and I reckon their turnout could be low. |
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the price drop is due to that london poll showing 57% remain
a poll of 1002 londoners  these remainians are in for a shock on independence day |
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Laid some off at 1.27. Wish I'd taken more at 1.46 when I had the chance. Still got another 4 Grand to put on but not at these odds. My final profit might be less than 3K, when i was hoping for 4.5 at least. I was initially pleased when Boris stuck a pin in his own bubble, but now I wish he'd kept his trap shut for a while longer. No chance of getting decent odds now. The leave campaign have been nobbled in the stalls. It is over before it has begun.
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u wont have any profit
doe done |
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Evening Burt. I could lay off my whole stake and still have 2 Grand left, but there is no need. Have some of you brexit supporters been laying off by mistake? 4.4 now, and still nobody's backing Leave. |
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i just had some more at 40-1 with betfred on remain 40% or under
are u watching paxman in brussels on bbc1 now that 40-1 prob be gone in the morning |
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You can get 65 if you want it
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where?
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Well, 60 now on here. i'm sure I saw some 65 earlier, though
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Remain now 1.26
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TIMBERRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR
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It's strange. I find myself being disappointed with the Leave campaign. they could at least have made a contest of it.
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I am voting out. My wife is voting in.
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the debates haven't even begun yet that is when the biggest price moves will occur
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i only see 18/1 on ere for under 40%
where are u looking? |
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and according to oddschecker that is the best price
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/eu-referendum/remain-vote-percentage |
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@ burt, I thought you meant 40% or under which is 55 on here (although only a few quid available) and 40 on BFreds
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ah ye i got it now
chhers |
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Hang on in there Leavers.
There will be desperate behaviour by Remain in the last week before the vote, including an IMF report afaik, but until the 16th June this market is going to move in one direction only, now that we are in purdah. |
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Yes I think the same. Leave could even be fav by then.
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I hope you are right. (The Out campaign have collapsed far too quickly for my liking, I would have wanted much more of a contest so I could get more on at better prices.) I am not holding my breath though.
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Coral spokesman David Stevens said: "At the end of last week, stay was at 7-1 on and leave at 4-1, which in betting terms is more or less done and dusted.
"Over the weekend, the money just came rushing in for leave. It is now at 2-7 stay and 5-2 leave. "Over the last 72 hours, 80 per cent of the money we have taken has been for leave. "From being a race that looked virtually over, it is now in the balance. . http://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/675902/eu-referendum-brexit-bookies-slash-odds-brexit-leave-vote-bets |
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that 65/1 long gone now dessie
 its down to the remain campaign collapsing and leave going further and further ahead in the polls gunna be an expensive night for u on independence day |
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I am OK, Burt, but thanks for your concern. I laid off a large slice of my original stake at 1.19/1.2 a week ago and I was able to get another couple of grand on overnight at 1.4 and 1.42. And, of course when you mentioned the 40% and under market, I thought to myself, "By jove! Burt is right! I must get down to the bookies without delay and put some money on remain vote 40% or less. what a fool I have been to pass up this great opportunity." So, thanks to your dogged, selfless efforts to save me money, I now have a small bet of £100 on 40% or less at 110/1. So I am well covered now, whatever happens.
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'Hold on to that feeling, oooh, street lights, people, oooh yeah'
There will be some dirty stuff in the playbook of both sides in the last week, but until then hold on, then level up on 15th June if you can't keep your nerve any more. |
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ako2yD8-j5k
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