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By-election in Oldham West and Royton

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Replies: 323
By:
wildmanfromborneo
When: 04 Dec 15 11:59
Block voting is a feature of the religion of peace.

Rotherham will forever be a stain on the British electorate.

However that only accounts for part of it,Corbyn is proving himself electable.
Whatever way you look at it its a stunning day for Labour and a major setback for Ukip.
By:
Captain Wurzel
When: 04 Dec 15 12:05
BB thinks UKIP has done ok wildman - they haven't as you have realised. After Farage was banging on about

how UKIP were going to wipe Labour out in the north this has come as a massive blow. I take no joy in this

because I want Corbyn out as Labour leader and this result sure isn't bringing that day closer.
By:
CJ70
When: 04 Dec 15 12:17

Dec 4, 2015 -- 12:05PM, Captain Wurzel wrote:


BB thinks UKIP has done ok wildman - they haven't as you have realised. After Farage was banging on about how UKIP were going to wipe Labour out in the north this has come as a massive blow. I take no joy in thisbecause I want Corbyn out as Labour leader and this result sure isn't bringing that day closer.


You have to take into account turnout. It was a particularly unpleasant day and still turnout was at 40% much higher than expected.

I suspect we won't be able to find out as Oldham's website isn't very good, but I hazard a guess that % in UKIP friendly areas were low, while high in Lab areas.

By:
Captain Wurzel
When: 04 Dec 15 12:18
If thats true its still bad news for UKIP because they've been unable to get their vote out.
By:
CJ70
When: 04 Dec 15 12:22

Dec 4, 2015 -- 12:18PM, Captain Wurzel wrote:


If thats true its still bad news for UKIP because they've been unable to get their vote out.


Not unexpected considering the weather in the evening was terrible and UKIP voters are more likely to be voting after work.

By:
Captain Wurzel
When: 04 Dec 15 12:25
UKIP draws disproportionate support from the retired - they wouldnt have been working.

However you spin it this is a bad result for UKIP.
By:
CJ70
When: 04 Dec 15 12:31

Dec 4, 2015 -- 12:25PM, Captain Wurzel wrote:


UKIP draws disproportionate support from the retired - they wouldnt have been working.However you spin it this is a bad result for UKIP.


I disagree. In this constituency UKIP would have been looking at B, C1 & C2 all coming out for them.

By:
Captain Wurzel
When: 04 Dec 15 12:33
Maybe thats what they were looking for but they didn't get it did they ?
By:
CJ70
When: 04 Dec 15 12:34

Dec 4, 2015 -- 12:33PM, Captain Wurzel wrote:


Maybe thats what they were looking for but they didn't get it did they ?


Revert to my post 12:22.

By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 04 Dec 15 12:35
nobody from UKIP, including Nigel Farage, said we would win Oldham West. It has been a Labour seat since the 50's, the only people that were saying labour would lose were the media. Oldham West is in Labour's top 10 safest seats, with their council leader standing for them, do you seriously think we would say he would be over turned? The momentum from May has been carried forward with spending no money, this is what we hoped for. They may not have the luxury of defending such a safe seat the next time around and I will be there to help them again.

By:
Captain Wurzel
When: 04 Dec 15 12:39
Denial's a good place to hang out BB.

CJ - the UKIP vote must be very soft if a bit of bad weather stops em coming out.
By:
CJ70
When: 04 Dec 15 12:45

Dec 4, 2015 -- 12:39PM, Captain Wurzel wrote:


Denial's a good place to hang out BB.CJ - the UKIP vote must be very soft if a bit of bad weather stops em coming out.


Err? Google weather conditions and turnout ratios.

By:
Captain Wurzel
When: 04 Dec 15 12:55
Durr - weather affects everyones votes. Labour turned out but UKIP didnt because of the weather - is that what you are saying ?
By:
Captain Wurzel
When: 04 Dec 15 12:55
Also the turnout was high for a by election - how does your weather argument tally with that ?
By:
CJ70
When: 04 Dec 15 13:00

Dec 4, 2015 -- 12:55PM, Captain Wurzel wrote:


Durr - weather affects everyones votes. Labour turned out but UKIP didnt because of the weather - is that what you are saying ?


No.

By:
CJ70
When: 04 Dec 15 13:01

Dec 4, 2015 -- 12:55PM, Captain Wurzel wrote:


Also the turnout was high for a by election - how does your weather argument tally with that ?


No-one can tally why the turnout was unexpectedly high. Tellers on all sides were expecting around 20%

By:
Captain Wurzel
When: 04 Dec 15 13:01
Thanks for clearing that up
By:
Captain Wurzel
When: 04 Dec 15 13:04
On your second point you dont have an answer but you are happy to blame weather for a low UKIP vote despite the fact that there was a high turnout.

You're tying yourself in knots on this thread.
By:
CJ70
When: 04 Dec 15 13:06

Dec 4, 2015 -- 1:04PM, Captain Wurzel wrote:


On your second point you dont have an answer but you are happy to blame weather for a low UKIP vote despite the fact that there was a high turnout.You're tying yourself in knots on this thread.


I could be tying myself in knots, or you not be reading or understanding what I'm saying.

As you were though.

By:
CJ70
When: 04 Dec 15 13:07
*could
By:
Captain Wurzel
When: 04 Dec 15 13:07
I'm not sure anyone reading this thread would understand what you are saying - why dont you have another go and try and put your points in

a clearer fashion ?
By:
CJ70
When: 04 Dec 15 13:08

Dec 4, 2015 -- 1:07PM, Captain Wurzel wrote:


I'm not sure anyone reading this thread would understand what you are saying - why dont you have another go and try and put your points ina clearer fashion ?


I think you do a lot of posters on this site a disservice by judging them at your levels.

By:
Dotchinite
When: 04 Dec 15 13:13
Im just amazed that people seriously thought labour could lose or come close to losing a seat where a quarter of the population are foreigners of the type that Corbyn and Labour have gone out of their way to court.

The media and pollsters seem to get more clueles by the day and Farage seems to have been conned into believing he had a chance.
By:
Captain Wurzel
When: 04 Dec 15 13:16
Unfortunately its the same old story from you isn't it ? You construct an incoherent argument and when it falls to bits

you start calling people thick.
By:
Captain Wurzel
When: 04 Dec 15 13:17
To CJ ^
By:
CJ70
When: 04 Dec 15 13:19

Dec 4, 2015 -- 1:13PM, Dotchinite wrote:


Im just amazed that people seriously thought labour could lose or come close to losing a seat where a quarter of the population are foreigners of the type that Corbyn and Labour have gone out of their way to court.The media and pollsters seem to get more clueles by the day and Farage seems to have been conned into believing he had a chance.


This was the only by-election I can remember which didn't have public polling. Apparently UKIP did private polling, but I guess that will only tell you so much with the difference in demographic here.

By:
Dotchinite
When: 04 Dec 15 13:21
CJ Are you saying all the stories in papers like the telegraph were just based on journalists opinions and nothing else?
By:
CJ70
When: 04 Dec 15 13:22

Dec 4, 2015 -- 1:16PM, Captain Wurzel wrote:


Unfortunately its the same old story from you isn't it ? You construct an incoherent argument and when it falls to bitsyou start calling people thick.


Only to those who are a bit thick.

It's the same with your dopey mate, errytay in the other thread. He didn't even know where the by-election last night was held despite it being the title of the thread he was posting in.

Sometimes I'm generally amazed at how stupid some people on here can be.

By:
CJ70
When: 04 Dec 15 13:26

Dec 4, 2015 -- 1:21PM, Dotchinite wrote:


CJ Are you saying all the stories in papers like the telegraph were just based on journalists opinions and nothing else?


Well yes & no. The media narrative was from canvassing Labour voters by Lab personalities/MP's and the media. They all universally said the same that Corbyn was a loser and they couldn't vote for Labour.

At the end it seems they seemingly just didn't bother to vote. Although that being said the turnout was much higher than expected, so how do you tally the two?

By:
wildmanfromborneo
When: 04 Dec 15 13:39
The people are against immigration yet they won't vote UKIP

The people of South Thanet voted in a dodgy dealing pro immigrant Tory in preference to Nigel Farage,hard to credit.

Diane James one of the most impressive women in politics can't get elected to Westminster.

I think the smear campaign has worked,people not interested in politics won't vote UKIP as they are afraid,afraid of being labelled racist,that's how deep the constant propaganda has gone.

Everything Nigel Farage said about the refugee crisis was correct,he alone saw the danger yet he gets no credit for it.
By:
gus
When: 04 Dec 15 13:47
people not interested in politics won't vote UKIP as they are afraid,afraid of being labelled racist,that's how deep the constant propaganda has gone.

i was under the impression that there is a secret ballot in England.
By:
lfc1971
When: 04 Dec 15 13:54
Its not a secret ballot.
By:
mobo
When: 04 Dec 15 15:09
houses with 12 all voting the same way ha ha ha ha

it should be stopped, but it wont be, as it upsets them
By:
cheese
When: 04 Dec 15 15:53
Im just amazed that people seriously thought labour could lose or come close to losing a seat where a quarter of the population are foreigners of the type that Corbyn and Labour have gone out of their way to court.

The UKIP result was pathetic. If they can't do better than that with an immigration crisis across europe and immigration in the UK at an all-time high, a recent terror attack, and a media that loathes Corbyn then it is over. Winning the seat was a longshot, finishing over 10,000 votes behind is a massive failure.

Calling it now: UKIP is dead. The party will implode.
By:
mobo
When: 04 Dec 15 15:59
what I would be more concerned about is the muslim take over of oldham and other towns and cities
By:
Injera
When: 04 Dec 15 16:01
Bad news for UKIP but the momentum to pull out of Europe is gaining pace.

With or without a successful UKIP, this country is slowly waking up to the problems of mass immigration and open borders during times of international terrorism.

According to Tom Watson the talk on the doorsteps was not immigration or the divisions within Labour but tax credits. That just about sums up how small minded people can be.

One could argue last night was bad news for Labour. Corbyn remains unelectable as a PM and now they're stuck with him for a while longer.
By:
Captain Wurzel
When: 04 Dec 15 16:53
One could argue last night was bad news for Labour. Corbyn remains unelectable as a PM and now they're stuck with him for a while longer.



Thats how I read it Injera. - Labour have got no chance of winning a GE with Corbyn and his crew at the helm. This result was good for the Tories,

keep Corbyn in and UKIP down. I know BB thinks UKIP have done ok here - they haven't it was a shockingly bad result for them.
By:
Mighty Whites 2008
When: 04 Dec 15 18:34
According to Tom Watson the talk on the doorsteps was not immigration or the divisions within Labour but tax credits. That just about sums up how small minded people can be.

Shocking that people chose to talk about the issue that concerns them most rather than what you think they should.
By:
CJ70
When: 04 Dec 15 18:47
Good luck in finding any report from a canvasser that tax credits were the main issue on the doorstep.
By:
TheBaron
When: 04 Dec 15 18:56
People vote out of self interest shockSurprised
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