Not much doing yesterday. Laid Mary Mcphee on basis of the Hills record in 2yo mdn fills at Warwick, and watched Roger Charltons Saxon Princess lose as favourite in 3yo hcp at Bath.
As mentioned previously he doesn't do well in the lower grade hcps this month, but alarm bells over the stable form continues.
Today sees Frangipanni try to follow up her win at Lingfield (AW) 22 days ago. She was given a lot to do that day, but at 4/5 fav it might have been an easy race for her - as his first hcp after three unplaced runs as 2yo.
The form has been franked by the 3rd horse that day winning at Brighton, however the 2nd was well beaten at Southwell.
Checking Charlton d/base it seems he has never had a horse that did back to back wins on AW in 3yo hcp's - although Acrobatic (2006) won 3yo hcp and followed up with 3yo+ hcp.
This year shows an improvement in hcp wins at Lingfield AW (4) which matches his number of previous wins since he took over from Jeremy Tree.
It's not one I would want to take on today as a lay, but nor would I back it.
RESULT UPDATE
Frangipanni unplaced (5th) 5/2 fav