well, I backed the Jets last week at 100-1 after what I thought was a good showing against the Patriots. What the hell happened to them yesterday!! 

As a unit they look miles away but the defence is superb...offence..what offence???

im amazed denver are 10.5 and baltimore and pittsburgh 23. seem a bit off to me. looks a big overreaction to denver winning a game. theyre ok, but they wouldnt be one of my favourites.

Some staggering prices around for me still. Atlanta move the ball very easily on Philly and still get no credit. Meanwhile, the market continues to have an all out love affair with New England despite having possibly the worst secondary in the NFL. Baltimore also look especially good value for mine, although Flacco does need to improve his consistency.

The 49ers are back in the room.

6-2 and looking menacing.

I think the Ravens price is a reflection of the fact that their defence has been badly hit by injuries as opposed to their current record. I would fancy the Steelers to win the AFC North.

I do agree that the Broncos are probably underpriced at < 10/1 but again, they will more than likely win the AFC West and have at least 1 home play-off game so the price reflects that.

The AFC is a mess at the moment. Assuming that the North send the usual 2 suspects to the playoffs, the 2 teams tied for the 6th playoff spot (Dolphins & Colts at 4-3 each) have both been matched at 1000 for the Superbowl and TBH, it's hard to pick another team in the conference who you could say with any confidence that they will get that 6th spot ahead of those 2

Dolphins the only AFC team undefeated in Oct, long time since that happened I would say

I just can't have Baltimore (as I'm a steeler fan - for me it would be like backing Sheffield Wednesday but I don't blame you as a back to lay) but for some I can't have Atlanta either, so the the price on all the runners looks good when you take out Atlanta's percentage.

Hmmph, that said last year I couldn't have the giants, oh what joy those final results brought me

I saw the move on NYG and was really surprised. I thought they have played okay but just okay. Eli has got them out of some tight spaces and they seem to go to sleep for quarters on end. I would take Green Bay to turn the tables on them this year if they play. At the prices and having looked very carefully at the schedules both played and to play, I fancy GB to win nearly all their remaining games. Minnesota may have run their race, away to NYG will be tough but the rest they could win.

San Fransisco spanked an Arizona team that are in freefall and don't have an offence. To me they are too short considering how tight it is in the race for the NFC 1/2 spots. They do however have a soft schedule excluding an away trip to the Patriots.

thing with giants, patriots, steelers and packers is theyve all done it before. theyve got qb's whove done it before. that is always going to make them dangerous even if they dont get top seed. if houston or atlanta had tom brady, theyd be about 5.2 right now.

were in a situation where the teams that look the best right now, have qb's that have never proved they can do it when it really counts. especially true with alex smith. its hard to have much confidence he can nail down the big one, until he actually does it. even after the 9ers pretty much demolished the packers, and look the better team all round, if it came down to it...id still have my money on the packers.

another easy flag

Excellent write up db

agree regarding the Seahawks.  It is likely they will go to the playoffs imo making the price too big.  The NFC is going to be a very interesting/tough playoff picture though.

I think one of Green Bay or the 49ers will end up with the number 2 seed.  The Bears have a torrid run in from here starting with the Texans next week.

It is starting to take shape now and I am pretty happy with my positions on the 49ers, Pats, Packers, Steelers and Ravens

I have kept the Texans neutral for trading

I dont think the Bears and the Falcons will be a factor personally and the Broncos look too short to me but could threaten.

We are definitely getting to the business end.

d13 - agree. Packers favourites for me (I'm discounting the Oilers, ooops I mean Texans, and the Falcons - totally overhyped imho). SB will be one of Pats / Steelers v one of Packers / Giants imo. Still hoping for the hawks though ;-)

I am all over the Packers, I really believe they have gone through their rocky patch they have loads of players to come back and Rogers looks red-hot. That win against Houston really stands out against some volatile results in the NFC. I would make them an outside chance for the number 2 spot. I had San Fransisco as slight favs but really feel it will be down to 1 from 3 (San Fransisco, Chicago and Green Bay) I have Atlanta pencilled in for number 1 their schedule is not so tough and they have enough wins in the book to lose 2 games minimum and still recieve a bye.

I think in the play-offs no one will want to play GB and they would fancy their chances against either Chicago or Atlanta. I am on Atlanta also but with spreads so less worried about them facing each other.

In the AFC the market love-in with the pats continues. On offence they look great but their D is bloody awful especially against the pass. When you get shredded by Mark Sanchez you have major issues. The only reason they are 7/1 on here is the been there done it but that applies to more than quarter back in that league.

Afc north not getting any respect...the ravens are always knocking on the door and the  steelers are rolling right now..last nights game didnt tell us anything we didnt all know.  Agree on the seahawks also, this lot claim they have the best defence, quite possibly.

I remember Harry22 tipped up the Packers Denver to me at massive prices several weeks back but I had work the next day and forgot to back them - they haven't lost since but great shout Harry you must have a lovely free trade and fair play. d13phe also tipped up the packers who and thankfully I did back the Packers though at a good price so it might not all be lost.

I have only watched American Football for a short while but I don't understand why the New England Patiots are always so short to win the superbowl. Fair enough they will win their division as it's week but they will have to step up properly to progress through the play-offs, i thought they were fortunate to even make the final last season.

From what I have seen the Packers look the most likely winners. They seem to be hitting form at the right time and I was so impressed when they stepped up to properly school the Houston Texans which was the only time it's been done this season.

I have also been impressed by the Steelers in recent weeks, I agree with others that they are well overpriced at 14/1. I have backed the Steelers as think they have a good shot this season.

Personally I think the Giants will fall short this season, last season they were able to dig themselves out of holes on a regular basis but it just seems to my limited knowledge that they can't continually leave themselves relying on Eli to pull them out the fire in the last quarter in most games as a result I think it will eventually see them dumped out before the superbowl.

My wild card pick is the Dallas Cowboys and had a bit on at 50/1. After everyone has picked themselves off the floor with laughter as i know I will get cained for this, but I honestly think they have a pretty easy run in and can see them finishing 6-1 which I think would leave them 10-6. The Giants have a tougher run in so the Cowboys could even raj the division but I concede that is doubtful and even if they finish 10-6 they still might fall short for the play offs given how tight it is. My prediction is if the Cowboys can somehow make the play-offs they will reach the Superbowl and then who knows. I have been very impressed with their defence in recent weeks and now people have basically written them off maybe Romo will loosen his arm with less pressure on him.

I have backed the Packers, Steelers, Cowboys and will back Denver as I think they will drift out at some point. They aren't big stakes as i have very little knowledge to warrant proper bets and I stupidly believe in the Cowboys

Swagger

Welcome to the best game there is

I liked your write up until you mentioned the Cowboys . Unfortunately I have been a long suffering Cowboys fan for a while.

I like the Cowboys D but Romo has never been able to get it done in December and they are so far behind that I cant see him handling the pressure at all well.  The one ray of light is that Jones is playing well and Murray is back soon but the Giants will still win that division imo.  Eli knows how to get it done.

That was indeed a great tip by Harry on the Broncos and they are currently a big red on my SB book which is making me slightly nervous.

Agree about the Pats but they will only get shorter from here imo.  I have kept them onside for this entire reason.

quite a few on here tipped the Steelers and I was sceptical at first but having watched their previous games I am not sure people appreciate how explosive that offense is and they have Mendenhall to come back.

Their D will always be good.  Like the Ravens the D will look after itself despite injuries.

I am at a loss why the Ravens are nearly treble the price of the Texans tbh.

I think the Texans are almost identical to the Ravens

that would be a pick em game for me home or away in the playoffs.

would fancy the Steelers over both of them though tbh

Dlarssonf...Hard to touch the broncos at the current price..