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best value team to win the superbowl!
best value team to win the superbowl!
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Replies: 292
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Yep, big loss. I can't discount Saints in an game of football because of the Brees factor, his performance in last years superbowl was as good as I've seen from QB, and one thing the Saints have is decent receivers.
I'm just a believer that you need variation to your offence to win games and if you're predictable you'll come unstuck, Colts were awful on pass rush and secondary last year, not convinced the Falcs will be so generous. Falcs around 1.7 will be a steal |
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how would you see the bears chances in atlanta if they met? if it was at soldier field id take the bears with some confidence.
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I have spent hours debating this with myself to the point where I have actually taken most of my money off the table. Like Harry I backed saints at 18/1 but bailed this week when their RBs were both put on IR.
I am thinking of watching this weekend as it will tell you a lot about which teams are serious contenders. i have a small interest on the colts and ravens at this point but that is all. |
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Harry, I've been anti Beers all season, they have an average QB who has over performed this year, a high quality RB and solid defence, not convinced they have anything that will scare anyone and are one of only 3 teams I don't believe can will superbowl (with Chiefs and Seahawks).
Soldier Field is a massive advantage for them but even the Skins and Seaawks have been there and won this year, I also think they got very lucky against Packers, caught Eagles on a very off day, and enjoyed a fairly soft schedule, I know I could eat these words but they are the weakest team with a bye IMO and will go one and done come divisional weekend |
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Anti Bears even - haven't been anti beers since Jan 88 !
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I have been in the same anti beers club since week 3 lol......but they worry me,yes i know they have had a few bad results at home,but they have improved a lot since then....they have this habit of getting big turnovers...the jets looked like they had them and then a collapse...special teams seem to get them out of trouble.
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Do we know the colts injury status? They are a very big price
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just looked at the cbssportline.com playoff schedule..it has saints packers or eagles at chicago..same for the other fixtures...whos playing who lol... i think the jets are going to win in indy,i dont like the jets but think they may do it.
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Yep, Chargers fans will tell you there's no point having the best ranked offence and defence if your special teams are going to undo all the hard work.
Bears have 2 things in their favour, home field advantage (for div weekend) and a healthy roster, but as a punter how would you price Bears/Eagles or Bears/Saints ? I'd be pick em v Eagles and probably Bears 1.80 v Saints, but if Bears were to host Packers for NFC Championship game I think Packers would be favs |
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its a headache [smiley:crazy] its hard to price it as someone may put in a fantastic performance this week...id say chicago would be shorter v saints than the eagles,especially if the weather is bad
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I can't see jets winning against the colts. The colts have got a running game going now and this apparently great jets secondary has been torched all season. In a shootout can't see Sanchez matching manning.
The colts are one to watch IMO. |
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d13 - absolutely, if it becomes an aerial shoot out there's only one winner and it ain't Sanchez.
True they got Rhodes and Addai fit but they're not elite backs IMO, they put up good numbers against an inconsistent Oakland line and did OK against the #26 ranked Tennessee run defence last week. I agree the Jet secondary hasn't been as good as it was last year but they're still ranked #6 and were missing Cromartie and Revis for a few weeks and Revis played hurt as well. I just got a hunch that against the Colts run defence they can move the ball and take time off the clock limiting Mannings time. They're the sort of team who can completely blow up so I won't be playing spreads but 2.26 seems a nice price where the matchup is IMO favourable |
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Colts don't need elite backs though - they just need half a running threat so Manning can use some play-action to buy some extra time in the pocket. Their problem so far has been that they have had zero rushing game this season so opponents have known that Manning is going to throw because he has had no other option. Without Addai/Rhodes I would fancy a Jets upset but this game is one to stay away from IMO
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I wouldn't be judging how good / bad the bears are by how the Jets came unstuck against them. The Jets are an awful team imo and are very lucky to be in the playoffs. I know every1 seems to be writing of the Colts against them this week, I think the Colts will win and don't see the bears doing fcuk all either. Have to think the steelers are the team, the match against Baltimore was brilliant, they hung around all day and when it came to crunch time they got the job done. Was very impressed with big ben that night, he took a hiding but got straight up for more every time.
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big ben seen it done it been there 1 tough hombre who will stick in there all day 2 make a play.
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I just got a hunch that against the Colts run defence they can move the ball and take time off the clock limiting Mannings time.
Are you not concerned with the colts run D stepping up in recent weeks. They have shut down CJ, MJD, and McFadden. LT isnt running the way he was at the start of the year either. Still, my gut is saying Jets too for some reason. Hopefully Rex will finally figure him out! But for those of you who like the colts ouright, Pinnacle are going 15/1 on them winning the AFC. Seems a much better bet than superbowl @ 22/1. |
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can't remember who they were playing but a recent pass-interference call not given to the Steelers finally made me think the conspiracy theorists were onto something - it was absurd... and costly.
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Im not surprised the colts run D stopped CJ.he likes to get to the outside which suits the colts as they have so much speed,you have to run it up the middle against them....been thinking the jets all week,im going to wait for the lineups to be named,see who the colts have available
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it was vs the jets anton it wasnt that costly in the end as they had 2 win 2 of there last 3 to finish 2nd seeds which they did hpoe people are wrong about these conspiracys will have 2 wait & see.
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hope* ffs
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anton_chigurh
can't remember who they were playing but a recent pass-interference call not given to the Steelers finally made me think the conspiracy theorists were onto something - it was absurd... and costly. No-one ever mentions the 1st down that the Steelers got in that game despite only gaining 9 yards! People are obsessed with conspiracy theories |
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new england @ 2/1 i think may be value....
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Ed Reed situation sounds bad...MVP of that D imho too
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i think the colts at 25s is actually huge, have a sneaky feeling they just might do it this year
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Austin collie being done is a big blow...hard to call this game,dont think the colts would win it even if they come thru this game.
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any thoughts on what price they will go to if they come through this game ,
25s at the min? |
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wouldnt like to say..14s? all depends how good they look etc..cant see them going to pitts and them most likely new england and winning
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big ask for them, hoping for a decent trade if they go through,
was think more 18s but 14 will do lovly |
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16s most likely..14s a bit short with who they have to face
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what price saints if they win big !!!
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saints price wont budge much after tonight i cant imagine, not against a weak hawks team
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fancy the eagles 2 go 2 the superbowl do u think its best 2 back them now or wait till after the saints/ seahawks game ?
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Atlanta fans and backers loving this
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Anyone in NFC is loving this.
I can't have Colts, nowhere near the team that won the thing 4 years ago or got to superbowl last year |
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im taking the jets later....
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I know I'm hedging somewhat, but for me its
Patriots or Steelers vs winners of Packers/Eagles |
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Need to calm down the seahawks
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steelers for me
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Glad I laid the saints now - phew
Would have lost a ton tonight! |