LeeDixon

I suspect both these teams will have wished this fixture was away from home. That's how disappointing they've been in front of their own fans. But it's Bolton who will be playing hosts on Saturday. Let's try and predict how things will pan out.

Match Odds

Right, some stats for you courtesy of Opta. Liverpool have won the last 10 Premier League games in a row against Bolton. Who have won just one of their last 12 Premier League matches at the Reebok Stadium (W1 D1 L10). In truth I didn't really need those stats to convince me Liverpool are going to win this match.

Not only are Bolton on a horrendous run but the inevitable happened this week and they lost their best defender, Gary Cahill, who moved to Chelsea after refusing to sign a new contract.

Liverpool are under-achieving at the moment but at least there's one really obvious problem to solve, they're not scoring enough goals. Luis Suarez is suspended, Andy Carroll is struggling, Steven Gerrard has only just come back from injury. These factors plus a bit of bad luck and some carelessness (they've missed three out of their four penalties in the Premier League) is why the goals aren't coming but at least they're creating the chances.

Putting one of them away may well be enough to win this match and Liverpool are well-fancied at 1.66.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

If there's a fair bit wrong with their finishing, there's not much wrong with Liverpool's defending at the moment. They've conceded just once in their last four matches and may have found yet another solid defender in Sebastian Coates, who also seems to have something about him going forward.

A low-scoring affair should be on the cards here and both under 2.5 goals (2.0) and a Liverpool clean sheet (2.4) are worth a dabble.

First Goalscorer

We can rule out Andy Carroll because he's unlikely to start and Dirk Kuyt because the last goal he scored was for the Netherlands as far back as October. Steven Gerrard loves scoring goals and is always dangerous from set-pieces but last Saturday he played a lot deeper than I would have expected so there's a danger he may not get into too many forward areas again this Saturday. Craig Bellamy started on the bench last week, which in his case probably means he was being rested rather than dropped, given his knee problems, and that he's likely to start this one. He gets the nod to open the scoring at around 7.0.

3 pts Back Liverpool to win @ 1.68
2 pts Back Under 2.5 goals @ 2.0
2 pts Back a Liverpool clean sheet @ 2.4
1 pt Back Craig Bellamy to be first goalscorer @ 7.0

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