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Delashay
28 May 26 10:20
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Date Joined: 14 Apr 25
| Topic/replies: 10,111 | Blogger: Delashay's blog
The draw has been made

Let’s start with the trends:

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By:
Delashay
When: 28 May 26 10:21
Trends

Age – Race is for 3yo’s only

Price – 3 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting

Stall – 11 of the last 12 winners were drawn in stall 8 or below

Last Run – 10/12 winners won on their last run before the Prix du Jockey Club, 12/12 winners at least placed on their last run before the Prix du Jockey Club, 12/12 winners had their last run within the last 31 days

4/12 winners ran in the French 2000 Guineas (Longchamp) on their last run, 2 of the 4 won, 2 placed

Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Chantilly, 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Chantilly

Previous Distance Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 10 furlongs, 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 10 furlongs

Previous Flat Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous flat runs, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous flat win, 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous flat wins

Group Wins – 7/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
By:
Delashay
When: 28 May 26 10:30
Final field for Qatar Prix du Jockey Club in draw order


1 Hankelow Clifford Lee
2 Pearled Majesty Cristian Demuro
3 Oxagon Oisin Murphy
4 Canadian Theo Bachelot
5 Gostam Billy Loughnane
6 Dolmalan Clement Lecoeuvre
7 Komorebi William Buick
8 Montreal Wayne Lordan
9 Campacite Marvin Grandin
10 Daryzan Mickael Barzalona
11 Hawk Mountain Christophe Soumillon
12 Segall Alexis Pouchin
13 A Boy Named Susie Maxime Guyon
14 Gusto Aurelien Lemaitre
15 Constitution River Ryan Moore
16 Alam Antoine Hamelin
By:
Delashay
When: 28 May 26 10:35
uptheirons • May 26, 2026 4:38 PM BST
He almost certainly doesn't even subscribe to the RP

And NO I don’t you had to wait until today to here this :

“Billy Loughnane has been booked to ride German hopeful Gostam for Andreas Wohler, and has been drawn is stall five.”

https://www.racingpost.com/news/international/france/constitution-river-handed-nightmare-draw-as-field-of-16-declared-for-qatar-prix-du-jockey-club-aFHs15t9NFvB/
By:
Delashay
When: 28 May 26 10:36
Delashay • May 27, 2026 7:00 PM BST
It’s at Chantilly and the draw is important.

There’s an unbeaten German horse called Gostom 1111 20/1

Guess who’s been booked?

BILLY LOUGHNANE!

Delashay • May 27, 2026 7:09 PM BST
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xe1I_vBaXQM

Was his first start of the year.
By:
Delashay
When: 28 May 26 10:38
The article by Scott Burton fails to mention that he’s unbeaten and was German Horse of the Year as a 2 year old. Holds Arc Entry and GPDP.

It’s not much to add IF you do you job right!

Keep subscribing Laugh
By:
differentdrum
When: 28 May 26 11:13
And the winner is.............

I could understand all this research if you are either paid to do it, or it actually leads somewhere. All it usually produces is yet more forum squabbling. Let's see.
By:
Delashay
When: 28 May 26 11:19
If you don’t appreciate what I share for all then there’s no need to be as you are. As for the squabbling if more of you didn’t just sit by and told others with no interest in the race being discussed then maybe they’d get the hint?

I’m not a wanna be tipster, I’m happy to let others take that credit and I’ll be cattle trucked if I give those that name call a winner!

Is that clear?
By:
Andrew-In-Sweden
When: 28 May 26 11:47
I was at Riem racecourse (München) when Gostam won last month, i went specifically to back it based on his previous win at Cologne (impressive).

It won well enough, maybe a little more cosily than it looked, but he was 7/10f and it wasn't a particulary strong field, even by Germany standards. A group 2 and 3 (twice) winner. RPR was 108. Right handed track shouldn't be an issue (Cologne is). Connections said post-race they were going to be more 'adventerous`with him and we have seen German runners do well at Longchamp before. I can't see him winning, but it wouldn't be a complete shock.

Constitution River is one i really like, but 15 is not a good draw at all. Having said that, French races are rarely a strong pace and Ryan may be able to get a prominent position before the sweeping bend. A flat track, more of a galloping type. He can still win, but i would have preferred him in the lower half of the draw.
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 28 May 26 11:54
nice big field and the draw hasnt been kind to cons river  and he is making the market , it looks  a good betting race, hopefully no late defectors.
By:
Delashay
When: 28 May 26 12:13
Thanks guys for sharing your early thoughts.

Andrew as someone who knows French racing you’ll know that they tend to go that bit faster in the Jockey Club to grab a position early.
All the talk about whether River would stay the Derby trip, I’d say he’ll have to from that draw.

You have Hank drawn low and he’ll no doubt go forward as in the Guineas, then there’s Pearled Majesty who has a massive stride, the trainer has said that he’ll not mind going forwards to use it, so potentially the pace will be good.

Last year Azimpour made up lots of ground along the rail, when drawn 16, that’s one option for Moore or he has to slot in.

You’re right Foyles he does do that. Are you thinking that they might scratch him?

Impossible mentioned that yesterday should he be drawn badly.

Could that be why AOB has entered all three to play the draw?

Both Ricer and Mountain are joint top rated by the French handicapper so it seemed very odd to enter both.
By:
Delashay
When: 28 May 26 12:16
£400 hs gone on River fir Epsom this morning!
By:
impossible123
When: 28 May 26 13:18
A very bad draw for Con River. I think if breaking off poorly Con River could be saved for Epsom eg cantering at the back, and making no effort to be competitive. The uncertainty continues (sadly).
By:
DixieDean60
When: 28 May 26 13:45
Komorebi for me. Won over a mile as a 2 year old, second in the french guineas finishing well, hopefully step up in trip is going to suit.

Draw is fine, trained by the master, Buick on board, lots to like about this one.
By:
Delashay
When: 28 May 26 14:06
You’ll like this the Dixie:

André Fabre is very positive about Komorebi ahead of the "Jockey Club"

André Fabre gave news of Komorebi (3 years old) which will be reviewed on Sunday, May 31, 2026 at the highest level. “The colt had a good race in the Poule d'Essai des Poulains (2nd), he will now move on to the Prix du Jockey Club,” declared the French trainer. He showed that he could go longer than 1,600 meters and that he would also probably prefer good ground. The distance extension (2,100 m) should suit him well. Even if he is by Pinatubo (editor’s note, a stallion who was a flyer and who rather produces horses with a lot of speed), his way of running encourages in this sense.”
By:
Delashay
When: 28 May 26 16:14
I’d said that it was odd that AOB is running Hawk against River as both are top rated by the French handicapper.

Hawk wore first time cheek pieces last time in his trial and is blinkered first time here.

Note the RP your useless card only denotes B there IS NO one by it! Crazy

Lord Clover did little for the form of that race in the German guineas on Monday but he’d missed the break.

Burkes Horse Shaanyan franked River’s Chester form by placing but it was a big drop back in trip.
By:
Delashay
When: 28 May 26 16:31
Andrew Lommi who Gostam beat last time

Was placed in a Maiden at Deauville behind Northern Champion, 1 L + behind him that day was JABRACADABRA

Who was G3 placed behind Varindir last weekend.

Title Role was behind Northern Champ in Dubai so gives the German 2000 Guineas form some credibility.

Gostam might not win but the step up in trip could see him improve his current rating which he never bettered on his comeback run but that’s understandable as they walked early.

Here’s the link again

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xe1I_vBaXQM

Was his first start of the year.
By:
Delashay
When: 28 May 26 16:33
German 2000 Guineas

Orange and green Lord Clover for Graaf who Hawk beat last time.

Shayem in red near the front.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MH216i2gBrg
By:
Delashay
When: 28 May 26 16:35
Prix Quiche hawk mountain

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1t-qkNO4FjM
By:
Andrew-In-Sweden
When: 28 May 26 16:43
Delashay,

I don't feel that runners tend to go faster early in the Prix Jockey Club any more than other 10.5f races on thee course, there will be the odd exception of course, but the French way is generally slow pace and sprint finish. It's essentially a flat course, a small rise in the home straight, but certainly not with the ups and downs of Epsom. There's a long straight after the start to get a decent position and the run-in is 600 metres, so ideal for a finisher.

I'm not concerned with the trip, or going that is currently 3.3 (G/S) but we all know that France Galop descriptions are chalk and cheese compared to ours. The draw is a worry for backers, but it will depend on what tactics AOB/Ryan have discussed. Will they do a 'Golden Horn' who won the Arc (Longchamp) out of 14, or will they do a 'Ace Impact' who was drawn 8 in this race and stayed in one but last position until flying down the home straight on the outside.

A low stall is obviously favoured, but being close to the rail is also a benefit, although it would depend on the horse per se. Constitution River has always raced up with the pace and with exception of his debut at Newmarket (12) in small fields. An intriguing race, one i'm looking forward to and if i wasn't home in Sweden this weekend would have gone.
By:
Andrew-In-Sweden
When: 28 May 26 16:46
Foyleswar,

!6 declared and the fav with a poor draw, your sort of race WinkLaugh
By:
Delashay
When: 28 May 26 17:09
It’s looks a cracker! Looking forwards to it and hope that it’s as good as it looks Cool
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 28 May 26 17:26
yes andrew fav could be good enough to overcome the draw but its deffo a negative ,luck in running  or lack of it as we know  often plays a part in biggish fields over there .
By:
Delashay
When: 29 May 26 09:19
Sunday 5 June 2016

1st
(7)
Almanzor
20/1
T: J C RougetJ: J B Eyquem


2nd
1.5

(16)
Zarak
7/1
T: A De Royer DupreJ: C Soumillon


3rd
1.75
(13)
Dicton
10/1
T: Gianluca BietoliniJ: O Peslier


4th
1.25
(11)
Talismanic
20/1
T: A FabreJ: M Barzalona


5th
s.h
(17)
Apilobar
39-2
33/1
T: F Ver

A lot has been made about the draw and Lope De Vega has often been mentioned as the last winner from double digits.

Back in 2016 Zarak came from 16 of 16 runners. (There was a non runner) You can see that draws 13, 11, 17 produced the next places.
Foundation was 4/1 fav for Gosden came last.

The key to this was the going Soft to Heavy

On soft as in the Arc those drawn wide can make up the ground because they go slower on fast that’s much more difficult to do at Longchamp and Chantilly in big fields because they go that much faster early.
By:
brandyontherocks
When: 31 May 26 08:32
Looks a good race today.
Happy to leave the favourite from that gate. If he wins I will applaud him in.

I thought Komorebi ran well in the Poulains from a difficult position. He will do for me.
By:
Frogger
When: 31 May 26 09:36
Agree looks a nice race, Ballydoyle didn't employ the 'didn't eat up' for the fav overnight. Wouldn't have blamed them for it this time - coffin box draw
By:
penzance
When: 31 May 26 10:42
Sharmadal won this from 13 when it was run over 10F from 12F for the 1ST time.
Famous Name just beat (HD) from 17.
Wonder if Moore will try to get away from the stalls sharpish to  him over more
to the inside early.
Should be a good race.
By:
uptheirons
When: 31 May 26 11:20
As I cannot be bothered to read all your posts,have you actually had a bet in the race,Delbert?
I have not.
By:
Delashay
When: 31 May 26 11:25
There’s a common theme when horses have won from wide. That is that they’ve been milers/10f types stepping up in trip beating stayers.

3/1 New Bay drawn (13) on good beat 10/1 Highland Reel (9)

No race comments available.


4/1 Shamardal (13) on good beat 6/5f Hurricane Run (5)

1st “Made all, ridden and quickened clear 1 1/2f out, held on well”

2nd “Held up in touch, disputing 7th on outside straight, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and ran on 1 1/2f out, finished strongly final 150yds”

- - - - - -

(20) Lope DeVega 20/1 on soft beat 9/2 Planteur (10)

1st “Broke well, tracked leader until went on going well 3f out, soon clear, comfortably”

2nd “Disputed 3rd, went 2nd 3f out, soon ridden and unable to go with leader, stayed on but no impression final 300yds”

Planteur had a pace maker who Lope followed, that fell away.

So looking back Moore will have likley to be handy and use up gas to sit in behind a stable mate near the front and not be held up and ride for luck.
By:
Delashay
When: 31 May 26 11:28
Yes I had a bet and I’m not trusting AOB as he has Soumi booked on a horse prepped at the course who’s rated the same as the fav who is much shorter than the examples shown who’ve won from wide.
By:
Delashay
When: 31 May 26 11:31
Was against PSG last night, but with the French today Irons.

It looks a cracker with unbeaten types and others who were immature slow burners at two.
By:
uptheirons
When: 31 May 26 11:33
Is the bet a secret?
By:
Delashay
When: 31 May 26 11:34
Of all the trends this one really fascinates me

Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season

And this

11/12 winners had at least 2 previous flat wins


You can list those who it doesn’t suit and it potentially knocks a lot at the top of the market out.
By:
Delashay
When: 31 May 26 11:36
I’m waiting for a couple to be pushed out more who have had French preps with two runs who might place at big odds.
By:
Delashay
When: 31 May 26 11:51
Campacite is exposed but comes from Mr Jockey club.

He won the same race as Vedini at Deauville and like him he took in the French Guineas and Prix Quiche.
As a 2 year old he was 1L behind Rayif in the Lagadere. When he was dropping back to 7f previously running over 1m.
He’s 66/1

Korombi 13/2 was 1L behind Rayif in the Guineas.

The draws against him but Rouget will have him prepped for this day and he has two runs in his legs.
By:
formoftheace
When: 31 May 26 12:07
Tell him F all Dele…..
By:
Life-Lucky
When: 31 May 26 12:07
Con Hill didn't beat much at Chester and was well-ridden coming round the bend, his draw leaves something to be desired and despite drifting this morning is still firm favourite. Faith required to put money on him imho.
Gosden has supplemented Oxagon, presumably at huge cost, it's hard to see why he bothered but I'll chance a little there and my other 50p is on the unbeaten German Gostam. GL all
By:
uptheirons
When: 31 May 26 12:17
I only wanted to know to A)Stop aftertiming & B)to wish him luck.
Unlike Aceform who is a mean spirited Sweaty who said,"I hope OPS loses" when he found I had backed it for the SupremeLaugh
By:
differentdrum
When: 31 May 26 12:20
You have said you have had bet, then you say you are waiting? What is it that's stopping you just putting the bet up? All the information which no doubt people can find themselves if they are actually bothered enough, but nothing remotely like a bet. If anyone doesn't need any advice regarding telling people nothing.
By:
Delashay
When: 31 May 26 12:21
Cheers Irons! I need luck and I’m highly superstitious! CrazyLaugh
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