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Yes, it looks like some firms refunded stakes, but for the purposes of this thread will be classed as a loser.
2026 Running P/L: +4.7 pts |
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Miss Ayala, 1pt EW @ 11-1, 8.00 Wolverhampton
Miss Ayala had a couple of subsequent winners in behind when winning at Chelmsford (7f) in September, and then probably had excuses in two further runs last year, having done too much too soon from difficult draws at Wolverhampton (7f) and Chelmsford (6f), but wasn't disgraced on either occasion to finish 5th, and the first two have won since from the latter contest. The concern is that Miss Ayala hasn't looked in the same form in a couple of starts back since returning from a 69-day break, including last time over C&D when finishing behind a couple of this evening's rivals, however, the runs might have been needed and she wasn't well drawn last time. She looks on the small side and needs to show that she has trained on, and is eligible for 0-50 classified stakes company, but a chance is taken each-way at a double-figure price from a potentially better draw this time and off the same mark she won off at Chelmsford. |
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* 10-1
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2026 Running P/L: +2.7 pts
Sherlock, 1pt EW @ 7-1, 8.30 Newcastle Sherlock is still a maiden after seventeen starts and didn't run well last time over C&D having taken a keen hold in a race in which current favourite Pallas Lord finished second, however, he has made the frame in four of his other five starts at this course and it looked a notably good effort here in December on what was just his third try at a mile, when prominent into what was described as a "moderate" headwind and pulling clear with two others, being headed only deep inside the final furlong by a bang-in-form rival, in what was a 0-72 contest. The cheekpieces he's worn on his two starts since are left off tonight and hopefully can give another good account at this course if settling better than last time. |
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Sherlock again raced with the choke out whilst failing to get cover and consequently didn't see his race out.
2026 Running P/L: +0.7 pts |
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Abu Royal, 1pt EW @ 20-1, 6.00 Southwell (4 PLACES)
I'm going to have a tentative pick on Abu Royal, a gelding who was on my thread's radar in 2024 following what looked a better effort than the distance beaten suggested over 12f on soft ground at Doncaster, where he had tried to go with one who relished the conditions and was 10lb well in. He was generally regressive on better surfaces in a few starts after for Heather Main in 2024, and three starts for Laura Morgan in 2025 following a ten month break were poor, however, he returned from another break last month over the 11f trip here and didn't shape too badly, in what admittedly was a steadily-run affair, finishing a 3L 6th of 12, having tried to challenge up the centre and been a bit short of room, as the first two came away against the stands' rail. The form leaves him with work to do with the second (Night Bear) and fourth (Broadstone, who also came stands' side) but he does have a 4lb and 2lb pull respectively with those rivals. The selection has to conclusively prove his stamina for 12f and that some ability remains, but he's plummeted down the weights and is now 20lb lower than when twice making the frame over 10f at Lingfield (AW) in 2024. Busby, 1pt EW @ 16-1, 6.30 Southwell (4 PLACES) Busby is an eleven-year-old now but a couple of his five runs in slightly higher grades since returning from seven months off have suggested that he should still be capable of being competitive at this 0-55 level. He's only had the five starts at this venue but he seemed to take well to it last all-weather season, winning over tonight's trip of 12f (when a visor was first applied) and then finishing second when next returned here over the 11f trip. He finished down the field over 11f here towards the end of last year but in a 0-65 contest which has worked out well, and hopefully with no fitness worries at this stage, he can make more of an impact at this lower level. Reenie's Dream, 1pt EW @ 28-1, 7.30 Southwell (4 PLACES) Reenie's Dream is a free-goer who wasn't at her best the last twice at Newcastle in the autumn, but displayed winning potential over 7f on three occasions last summer, including when a keeping on 4th in a novice at Newcastle in a contest won by the useful Excellent Believe, and when headed only in the final strides at Carlisle in August in a well-run handicap. She's by an influence for stamina in Nathaniel, and perhaps she's racing over this trip due to her keen way of going, but is a half-sister to a four-time 5f winner and to Beale Street, a three-time winner at Newcastle over 6f. It could be the run will be needed back from four months off, and with Paul Mulrennan taking over in the saddle, the priority from a low draw may be to get her switched off and relaxed, but a chance is taken at decent odds with her yard having been amongst the winners so far this year. |
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I thought Busby should have at least placed George
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Virgin, I was anticipating Busby would go forward from his low draw but wasn't well enough away from the stalls, however, as you say, he still probably would have placed had he been able to secure a clear run inside the final furlong.
The other division of that handicap made for frustrating viewing too from my point of view, as on a night when it didn't look easy to come from too far back, Abu Royal made up plenty of ground from the rear to finish fifth and beaten just over 2L. I was hoping the free-going Reenie's Dream would just be allowed to bowl along from her low draw given how the track seemed to be riding, but predictably under Mulrennan, he tried to get her switched off, but she was still keen under restraint and could make no impression from off the pace. 2026 Running P/L: -5.3 pts |
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Shoptilyoudrop, 1pt EW @ 28-1, 3.17 Wolverhampton
Shoptilyoudrop has seemed pretty limited since racing in this country with a peak RPR of just 42 from seven starts, and previously had only managed to place once from thirteen starts when trained in France, however, she seemed to run okay in a higher grade last time under an inexperienced amateur rider at Southwell (7f), when from a high draw she gradually went clear before being reeled in inside the final furlong and then fading to finish 7th, beaten nearly 7L. The selection is officially rated only 40 so is out of the handicap even though this is an ease in grade, but interesting to see if she can build on that latest effort under a hopefully more measured ride with a fully-fledged jockey taking over in the saddle. Carrickfinn, 1pt EW @ 100-1, 6.45 Dundalk (4 PLACES) Carrickfinn was a selection last time on the thread when I wrote: It's not hard to spot the negatives here regarding Carrickfinn's chance as he's an 18-race maiden who's drawn wide, and he finished last of ten over the 7f trip here when last seen in October, however, a couple of his efforts in the summer suggested he should be up to winning a low-grade handicap at some point, notably when pulling clear at Gowran (one mile, good) with one who was completing the first leg of a hat-trick, and he showed he can run well here too when finishing a close 4th of 14 over tonight's trip of a mile in July. He may need this following a break but he didn't run too badly off an even longer break when finishing 4th of 11 over C&D back in the spring, and promising 7lb claimer Julian Pietropaolo takes the ride. ===================================== Carrickfinn finished behind four of this evening's rivals on that occasion but the run might have been needed and he had a tough trip from a wide draw. Hopefully that effort has advanced his fitness, and he has a slightly better draw this time. |
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2026 Running P/L: -9.3 pts
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Genealogy, 1pt EW @ 20-1, 1.05 Naas
Genealogy has been a selection on the thread for both his juvenile hurdling starts to date, and it's not easy to select him today despite having shaped with plenty of promise last time at Kempton, with the market here seemingly screaming that this will be very much a third run for a mark, possibly with the Fred Winter in mind, but I'm not going to worship at the altar of the market and will pick him again Elouise's Prince, 1pt EW @ 28-1, 1.45 Lingfield Elouise's Prince seemingly hasn't gone on at all since a couple of wins as a juvenile for Robert Cowell, then didn't last long in Ireland with Ado McGuiness, and he's yet to get competitive for his current yard off a reduced mark, however, there have minor hints the last twice here over 7f that he may be finding some form, more so last time when he was caught down on the inside and didn't get the clearest of runs. He's being tried over a mile today for which he has his stamina to prove, and needs to conclusively show that he can still be competitive, but I'm going to have a speculative pick on him at a big price, off a mark 20lb lower than for his initial rating. |
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LoL superb George…..
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Well done George.
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A great selection
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Wd George
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Fantastic
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Thanks very much.
I don't know much about the jockey, but it looks like the horse might be owned by a family member, and he looked tidy enough there. As for Genealogy, the market was bang on, though tbf he might want better ground, and it will be interesting to see where he turns up next. 2026 Running P/L: +23.7 pts |
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Amazing selection this. No way could I have found it.
I've just watched his last few races and today's; for a 4yo (only just I suppose) he races like a big baby. If you saw what he was doing after about 2f today, you couldn't have named him the winner. He seemed to settle down after that and then found a sharp turn of foot in the straight. Maybe racing on the outside (inner prev 2 races) and the drop in class (esp compared to 21st Jan) made the difference. WD GB ![]() |
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WD GB
A Princely pick |
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Cheers PHS and Mad'.
Good luck today. Annexation, 1pt EW @ 18-1, 3.37 Chelmsford Annexation was one of my rare winners on last year's thread but an important one as he was one of three on the same post, which proved to be the turning point for the thread. He's not a particularly solid selection on this occasion as he hasn't been in much form on the all-weather in three starts since returning from a 50-day, however, the runs might have been needed and he did catch the eye a little on the latest of them at Lingfield, where he wasn't well positioned in a steadily-run contest but did make a little late-headway. He's only 2lb higher here than for his win in the Grassroots Series Middle Distance Final Handicap at Nottingham in October, and he has won off a higher all-weather mark at Dundalk in the past, so while this has the potential to be another tactical affair, a chance is taken at the odds. |
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2026 Running P/L: +21.7 pts
Peregrine Falcon, 1pt EW @ 9-1, 5.00 Wolverhampton Peregrine Falcon is still a maiden after eleven starts and wasn't at her best last time but was running consistently well prior to that, and although she's only rated 64 and is competing in novice company here, one of those better efforts came in a C&D novice in November, when she showed up well for a long way behind a couple of promising Newmarket-trained rivals. Hopefully she can give a good account here if in that sort of form back from two months off. Another Beautiful, 1pt EW @ 66-1, 6.00 Wolverhampton Another Beautiful was a selection last time when I wrote: Another Beautiful hasn't been seen for a nearly a year and wasn't in much form then, however, she's of a little interest running fresh here as it was off a break (albeit a two-month one) in September 2024 when she gave it a good shot from the front at Beverley (10f, good) under Emma-May Croot to finish a close third in a contest won by a course specialist and which produced subsequent winners. As that was her turf debut she would have been of more interest back on grass but she has recorded higher RPRs on the all-weather, so while she has to prove some ability remains at the age of six, she is down in the weights and hopefully it's a case of the pause that refreshes. ============================================ She's given another chance here with that pipe-opener behind her, now dropped into 0-50 classified company and tried again at 12f. |
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2026 Running P/L: +22.95 pts
Masham Moor, 1pt EW @ 16-1, 7.45 Newcastle Masham Moor returned from six months off in October with a fair effort to finish 4th of 10 in a handicap at Southwell over a mile, but he hasn't built on that in three starts since over that C/D, where three of his four career wins have come. The drop into 0-50 classified company didn't help last time so it takes a leap of faith to support him tonight, however, he has won and run well over tonight's C&D so a change of venue may perk him up, and he has a change of hands here too for this apprentice classified stakes, with Jude Fernandez (who rode his second winner on Saturday when Elouise's Prince did the thread a favour) taking over in the plate. |
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Wd yesterday and nice price today George gl ...
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Cheers Virgin.
Unfortunately, the return to Newcastle combined with a change of hands in the saddle failed to prompt a return to form from Masham Moor. 2026 Running P/L: +20.95 pts |
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Going well
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Well, hopefully, 11kv, but after last year's nadir it's just guarded optimism at the current time.
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Rattletheonionbag, 1pt EW @ 22-1, 2.08 Dundalk (4 PLACES)
Rattletheonionbag has some uninspiring form figures next to her name, is returning from two months off and isn't obviously fancied here, being a 6YO mare who's still a maiden after 27 starts and with an official rating of just 40, however, some of her better efforts have come at this venue, and she probably ran better than her finishing position would suggest when last seen over C&D having raced wide from her outside stall, on what was her second run back from a over five months off. A further absence isn't ideal but she had been declared to run here last month, however, she failed to get in as a reserve. Chris Hayes has ridden her on three occasions including when going down by a short-head over C&D last March. Fleur de Mer, 1pt EW @ 8-1, 2.14 Southwell Fleur de Mer is by Dark Angel and her two two career wins have come over shorter trips, but she appears to stay 14f having twice finished third over C&D, and although her latest try came in a slowly-run affair, she went down by only two short-heads behind subsequent winners here in October, and on penultimate start over 14f at Wolverhampton in December, she did well to stick on for third place having endured a tough trip from a wide draw. She had Himself in behind at Wolverhampton, which was the only time he hasn't won in his last five outings, so while that thriving rival probably didn't give his running that night and will likely be more of a threat this time, and is currently odds-on for this, the selection meets him again on 11lb better terms and so gets the vote at the prices. Sherlock, 1pt EW @ 10-1, 2.44 (4 PLACES) Sherlock was a selection last time at Newcastle when I wrote: Sherlock is still a maiden after seventeen starts and didn't run well last time over C&D having taken a keen hold in a race in which current favourite Pallas Lord finished second, however, he has made the frame in four of his other five starts at this course and it looked a notably good effort here in December on what was just his third try at a mile, when prominent into what was described as a "moderate" headwind and pulling clear with two others, being headed only deep inside the final furlong by a bang-in-form rival, in what was a 0-72 contest. The cheekpieces he's worn on his two starts since are left off tonight and hopefully can give another good account at this course if settling better than last time. ================================= Sherlock again raced with the choke out and didn't see his race out so it's an obvious concern that he will compromise his chance again, but in the hope that he can get some cover this time or race more economically, he's given another chance at a double-figure price. |
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Wd George all placed
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Nice picks George.
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Thanks Virgin & Brian.
Rattletheonionbag was 33s when I started typing my post, so not sure who decided it would be a good idea to start backing a 40-rated 6YO mare with dire form figures, at around midday ![]() The winner made all in a slow overall time in Fleur De Mer's race, and doubt how that panned out would have suited some, including the fav. A couple of the main firms were offering four places for Sherlock's race, and 4th place was where he finished. He got into a much better rhythm this time so it was disappointing that he didn't see his race out better having looked the winner when hitting the front, unless challenging up the centre wasn't ideal as the winner came stands' side. 2026 Running P/L: +26.35 pts |
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Chemistry, 1pt EW @ 25-1, 3.57 Newcastle (4 PLACES)
Chemistry was a Listed winner (awarded race following stewards' enquiry, Leop, 14f) ) when trained by Aidan O'Brien, and following an absence of over a year, he seems to retain a chunk of ability judging from his third run for Ivan Furtado, which came at Southwell over the stretch two-mile trip in December, when he closed from the off to pace to not be beaten far into 4th, finishing behind Alrazeen and Sax Appeal, both of whom he faces again here but on better terms. The selection failed to build on that effort back at Southwell seven weeks ago, when the drop in trip to 12f was put forward by the trainer as an excuse, but whatever, that did look a poor effort so he needs to bounce back from that and fitness has to be taken on trust given the break since, but a chance is taken at the odds now back up in trip as he hasn't had many chances over this sort of test, though it has to be hoped this isn't run at a crawl if he's again held-up. Bullington Bry, 1pt EW @ 12-1, 6.00 Newcastle It's an obvious concern that Bullington Bry has been so weak in the betting so far today, ahead of his debut for Joey Ramsden, particularly as fitness shouldn't be an issue having ended his time with Jane Chappel-Hyam with a good second at Kempton just fifteen days ago, following which he was sold for 13,000 gns. He's up 3lb for that effort and doesn't have a 7lb claimer aboard this time, but he's surely up to winning one of these, having gone close at Southwell previously in November despite a tough trip, and then made the frame at Chelmsford. The only time he has failed to place in four starts on synthetics was when another wide trip round Southwell in December proved too much to overcome. Bernie The Bear, 1pt EW @ 18-1, 6.30 Newcastle Bernie The Bear had been hinting at this course that a better effort may be in the offing as his fitness was advanced following a break, having perhaps shaped better than his finishing position might have suggested on occasions, however, he was very disappointing when switched to Wolverhampton last time, which shouldn't have been issue given he's a dual winner at Dunstall Park. He doesn't look the easiest and probably is the sort who needs things to fall into his lap, but he's given another chance back here with a change of hands doing the steering. |
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Wd George
nice price nice BOG and almost a drifting winner (1.75 ir) nice prices all of them gl |
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Cracking selections again George.
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Great places GB - consistent picking
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Thanks Virgin, Brian and PHS.
A couple of the main firms were offering four places for the opener, and 4th place was where Chemistry finished. He did reverse the form with the pair who had finished ahead of him at Southwell in December, but he seemed to lack a change of gear on this occasion in a well-run contest and could only stay on gradually from off the pace. Bullington Bry's market weakness continued right up to the off, but he ran his race, unable to go with the thriving winner and eventually fading to finish a well-held third. SP 18-1. All three of Bernie The Bear's career wins have come when ridden prominently, and a return to such tactics produced a better effort to finish second, albeit having had the run of the things in a contest that produced a bunch finish. SP 28-1. 2026 Running P/L: +37.55 pts |
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Pearly Squirrel, 1pt EW @ 25-1, 4.58 Southwell (4 PLACES)
Pearly Squirrel is returning from ten weeks off and is eligible for weaker races than this one, but she still makes some each-way appeal at the prices based on a couple of runs over 7f at Wolverhampton towards the end of last season after joining David Loughnane, particularly on the first occasion when she did well to finish a close-up 4th having not had the easiest of trips from her outside stall and then been caught behind a weakener at a crucial stage. She followed this by finishing second to Bella Bisbee (whom she reopposes here on 6lb better terms), a rival who had seemingly benefited from the combination of a reduced handicap mark and a change of yard. The selection then disappointed when last seen at Wolverhampton over 8.5f, perhaps the combination of a step up in trip and a third run within a fortnight proving too much. It's a concern that Pearly Squirrel didn't run well here on her only previous visit (for a different yard), but those first two runs for her new stable suggested there is a race to be won with her on the all-weather, and David Egan is an encouraging booking. Walhaan, 1pt EW @ 12-1, 6.15 Dundalk Walhaan wasn't at his best last time here in a four-runner affair when too keen, but he'd previously been in good nick over the 10.5f trip at this venue, probably doing well to hang on to win in December having been pestered for the lead, and then when 4th behind a well-punted winner last month. He has a little work to do to reverse that form with the second from that contest Trishuli River, but he looks worth another try over 12f granted he settles better, as from just two previous attempts at the distance, he finished third of 14 in a Leopardstown handicap after kicking for home plenty soon enough. Bravo Zulu, 1pt EW @ 25-1, 8.30 Southwell (4 PLACES) Bravo Zulu seemingly hasn't been in much form in four starts since returning from an autumn break, during which time his mark has fallen 5lb, however, he travelled well up to a point two starts back here over the mile trip, and last time at Lingfield when tried again over 10f, he raced keenly in a first-time eyeshield before fading to finish 9th but was only beaten 2.5L in a bunch finish. What makes him of a little interest here at the prices is his 2-2 record over C&D, and his 1-1 record under Jack Mitchell (who won on him over a mile on turf). The selection's record over 7f on the all-weather reads 3-1-6, and is 2-6 in cheekpieces, which are reapplied here in place of the eyeshield. He is due to be 2lb lower in future but did win off a 2lb higher mark than this evening's last spring. |
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Not one of my better days...
Pearly Squirrel raced with the choke out on her return to action and faded out of it. Walhaan was up in trip but looked in trouble long before stamina could have been an issue. Bravo Zulu was allowed to amble across from his wide draw to lead and was well positioned based on how this panned out, but lacked the pace to take advantage and could only plug on for fifth place. 2026 Running P/L: +31.55 pts |
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Thank The Lord, 1pt EW @ 22-1, 2.42 Newcastle
Thank The Lord has been a bit disappointing the last twice but had posted some fair efforts previously since joining his current yard, notably in December when finishing runner-up on what was just his second try over this C&D, having fared best of those that had raced prominently into what was described as a moderate headwind, and splitting a couple of rivals who reoppose here, Latin Five and Shatin Venture. A lot will obviously depend here on how this pans out in terms of pace pressure if he's ridden forward again, but Alistair Rawlinson taking over again in the saddle looks a positive having been on board for that previous C&D effort and when finishing a close third the time before that at Wolverhampton. Maxi Boy, 1pt EW @ 33-1, 3.42 Newcastle (4 PLACES) Maxi Boy didn't run well last time here when prominent in the betting, but prior to that he had posted three solid efforts here in December (6f twice and 7f) to make the frame on each occasion. He looks a big price today based on that evidence but perhaps he's unconsidered by the market on this occasion because his yard also run the current favourite True Promise with Callum Rodriguez booked. It could be there will be other days for Maxi Boy, perhaps when stepped back up to 7f, but he's off a lower mark here than he was for the two C&D runs in December, and he's 2lb below the mark he won off here over the 7f trip in 2024. |
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2026 Running P/L: +27.55 pts
Electric Beauty, 1pt EW @ 33-1, 5.30 Curragh (6 PLACES) A big field for the finale on the opening day of the Irish turf season and who knows how the draw will play out, but I'm going to take a chance on Electric Beauty at the prices. She hasn't shown much in three starts at Dundalk this year but the runs should have at least advanced her fitness ahead of this return to the grass. It has to be said she's 4lb above her last winning mark, but had gone up 10lb for her win at Galway (8.5f, soft) in September when winning by three lengths and defeating fourteen rivals, and she perhaps ran better than her finishing position suggested at Roscommon (7.5f, soft) in October off a 5lb higher mark than today's, when she probably did too much on the sharp-end before dropping out of the frame inside the last half-furlong, in a contest in which subsequent dual scorer Ribee (who runs in the Irish Lincolnshire) finished third. There is a query over her effectiveness on heavy ground having dropped away on her final start last season at Leopardstown on heavy, but that might have been one run too many and she was given a break after. |