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Heffernan
Heffernan
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Replies: 139
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Not anymore
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Thought Crowley impeded a few there...they d chuck that in Oz
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stack 20 runners in Uk last 5 years
ayr 8, ascot 7, donny 3, 1 at chester and haydock. winners - nil. when you've sent 19 over, and they've all lost. are you naturally inclined to send your Chesham runner up to Ayr for a 4k race ? |
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Illustrates another point made earlier , when horses are this unexposed we've no idea what quirkiness they possess if any because we haven't seen anywhere near enough of them , which in itself makes the race a guess whatever the odds.
Those types of races are a graveyard long term in my view but firm believer if you have to guess in those then guess big odds , at least then you won't need any sort of decent strike rate. |
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Small treble hardly counts as bet Kenbore ...
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No bet. An hour later it let you down for a treble! Feck me!
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A final point here,this horse went off at 12/1 at Ascot for the Chesham after leading Italy until close home on its debut and ran a race of promise earning a RP Rating of 99.
Do you really believe that today's winner is a 100 horse? That's me finished for the day. Good luck in all you do |
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No Irons i don't believe that but can you be certain the runner up has run up to that mark or even regressed as they can do after one run at that age.
The only way you're going to get anywhere near solving this puzzle is to give it time , even then it'll still be debatable  Same here mate in final point made before we bore ourselves to death  |
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By far the best points made by Cider on this thread. Some years early season 2-y-o listed races are good and horse/s progress and sometimes not. It's a moving picture. The bottom line is people look at a horse ooh 2nd at Royal Ascot must be a certainty in a maiden. Often they are. But sometimes a hard puller that they are trying to teach something by not letting it have it's way will still win the race despite a bad trip. You want to teach the horse something before harder races. Often you get away with it but they met a good one today. If I was offered one of them free I honestly would not be sure which to pick. If pushed today's winner.
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De_man 21 Jul 25 17:51
Thought Crowley impeded a few there...they d chuck that in Oz very slightly hmp the 4th...'specsavers'. |
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Cardiff By The Sea, same owner trainer, another high performing 2yo at RA, another wash out. The market predicted it, but she's tiny.
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The Ayr horse is not tiny by any stretch of the imagination,Cider
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Cardiff By The Sea is tiny
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Ergo, more predicable she would recoil as the season goes on.
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Shows how tough the game is though as the same combo took the opener with a very promising one at a big price, first time up! Wash out, great run, wash out.
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I didn't get involved today but the Market seemed light years in front of BFLV there
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SH body language was that he knew he was going to fall in a hole before she did, I thought.
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ttt
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Wasn't stopped at Ayr
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Market seemed to think they were happy to let St Marks Basillica break his stakes duck.
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