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Goodwood spectators - OFF - Blocked by Government

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Replies: 195
By:
screaming from beneaththewaves
When: 31 Jul 20 19:59
We currently have a government taking responsibility for every single positive test, cough and hospital case. Hence they're cancelling everything and imposing masks in new places every day. They are just trying to stretch this out as long as possible, and hoping that something turns up.

What we need is a government like the ones in Sweden and the Netherlands, who aren't afraid to admit they can't prevent every death, so they won't try to.
By:
TheAnorak
When: 31 Jul 20 20:12
To be fair to them Screaming, they're not trying to prevent deaths from cancer, heart disease, strokes etc, etc.
By:
dave1357
When: 31 Jul 20 21:52
screaming from beneaththewaves • July 31, 2020 7:35 PM BST
Antibodies are really not what you're looking for. They're the very last line of defence, and can cause more problems than the original disease if too many have to swing into action


Think you are mixing up T cells and antibodies
By:
screaming from beneaththewaves
When: 31 Jul 20 22:44
Yes. There's that as well. The cytokine storm.

I was thinking of the syndrome where so many antibodies were released into the blood in severely ill Covid patients, in the body's final attempt to see off the virus, that the blood was found to thicken and cause clots.

Happy to be corrected if I've misunderstood this.
By:
screaming from beneaththewaves
When: 31 Jul 20 22:54
The ONS estimated that 35,700 people in England were infected with Covid-19 between July 20 and July 26, or one in 1,500 people. The week before, statisticians had calculated around 27,700 were infected, or about one in 2,000.

However, the ONS data has been jumping around wildly since surveillance testing began, ironically because cases in the community are so low. On June 25, cases were worse than they are now – at one in 1,100 – and a fortnight later had swung to one in 3,900.

The new calculation is based on just 59 people testing positive out of 116,026 swab tests (0.05 per cent). The previous week, just 45 people tested positive out of 114,674 (0.39 per cent). It means the tipping point for a northern lockdown may have rested on just 14 extra positive tests.

_______________________________________________

So, Goodwood is barred to spectators, the whole of the NW is locked down and 70 million people are walking around in surgical masks because 59 people have tested positive in the whole country this week. Fify-nine!
By:
leif
When: 31 Jul 20 22:55
off topic but isn't  this just a further blow to those who rely on this employment.
By:
dave1357
When: 31 Jul 20 22:58
^^^But you go on to mention antibodies later on while using another name for them.

I'm certainly no expert but I thought the general process was antibodies attacked the virus and that might be enough, but when the virus gets established T cells start killing the cells infected by the virus.
By:
ronnie rails
When: 31 Jul 20 23:16
thought I might have got a day at the ebor got a email from York this evening
behind closed doors.
regards
Ronnie.
By:
screaming from beneaththewaves
When: 31 Jul 20 23:23
No expert either, and it's thirty years since I used to wade through hundreds of pages of blood pictures translating them for Swiss pharma firms, but ... I thought we relied first on the immunoglobulin we all carry in the mucous membranes of the throat and nose to see off respiratory infections.

If we're old, or we're under the weather, or it's end of winter, etc., and our mucous membranes are in poor shape, then we have to hope that our white blood cells (leucocytes) release the appropriate T cells to clear the virus before it gets into our lungs and organs. If it does reach those vital parts of the body then we begin to develop other types of immunoglobulin antibodies, and it's the latter which vaccines are usually looking to prime within us.
By:
screaming from beneaththewaves
When: 31 Jul 20 23:29
This is technical, to say the least, but it does explain the process as I understood it. Doesn't mean to say either of us have necessarily got it right though.

https://blog.argonautcapital.co.uk/articles/2020/07/27/the-biggest-fraud-part-2-the-vaccine-swindle/

It's written by the chap who brought down Wirecard. This time I assume he's looking to short the pharma firms whose stocks have risen every time they're on the verge of a vaccine breakthrough. So he might be just talking his book here. But, as I said, it chimes with the work I used to do for these same pharma firms.
By:
isleham
When: 31 Jul 20 23:47
workrider..
i had a pulminary embolism four years ago and am still on blood thinners but average 15000 steps(about 7 miles)
a day and have never felt healthier since this all began so sure you will be fine soon.
By:
Cantthinkofaclevername
When: 01 Aug 20 00:40
I think the problem in this country (and I am guilty of it too) is that when you get a major problem, the government always interferes too much until it hasn't interfered enough. The wonder of hindsight says we should have locked down at the beginning of March. I get the feeling that if Boris had gone for a lockdown at the beginning of March, we (no doubt goaded by the red top press) would have gone "NO"! The forums etc would not have been full of sanguine argument saying "you know, the government has got it just about right to nip this in the bud". It would have been "it's an effing liberty - there's hardly been a case over here."
I am tired of people having the most brilliant hindsight and slagging of the government. It must have been impossible at the start with every opinion under the sun being raised. I know Boris is a bit of a pr@t and showed have dropped that adviser who went off to the family estate in the north-east but it looks a really tough job. How do you try and free up the economy without stopping people from breaking the rules. You have to rely on people to do the right thing and we seem to be not very good at that.
By:
hello :-)
When: 01 Aug 20 01:32
not me mate

ive been slagging them since liverpool v madrid , chelt , gers v bayer time

around herd immunity time to be exact
By:
screaming from beneaththewaves
When: 01 Aug 20 08:54
I thought this thread was the opposite of hindsight. It was prompted by the banning of spectators from racing at Goodwood today, and whether this sort of authoritarian clampdown has any mileage going forward.
By:
dave1357
When: 01 Aug 20 09:26
screaming from beneaththewaves • July 31, 2020 11:29 PM BST
This is technical, to say the least, but it does explain the process as I understood it. Doesn't mean to say either of us have necessarily got it right though.

https://blog.argonautcapital.co.uk/articles/2020/07/27/the-biggest-fraud-part-2-the-vaccine-swindle/



likely to have been acquired through previous exposure to coronaviruses such as influenza

I stopped reading there
By:
EVILROYSLADE
When: 01 Aug 20 09:42
Coronabolx. Fkn Government has lost the plot. Get out, behave normally and stop wearing the bstd useless masks. Flu is far more dangerous and figures show that without any doubt. Doctored death tolls are a disgrace.
By:
screaming from beneaththewaves
When: 01 Aug 20 09:57
Yeah. That's bad.

A pity, because the reference the author provides is very clear.

https://reaction.life/we-may-already-have-herd-immunity-an-interview-with-professor-sunetra-gupta/

The comparison in the reference is with influenza epidemics. Why do we no longer get them (see the way swine flu simply disappeared)? Because of far greater exposure to other strains of influenza, and hence a degree of immunity gained from other influenza viruses. Gupta then went on to explain why she believed the same effect would be seen with covid-19  - people who had been exposed to other coronaviruses would have a similar degree of immunity to the new one, in the same way people were found to have immunity to swine flu through exposure to other flus. And so covid-19 would disappear sooner rather than later for similar reasons.

A look at the minuscule numbers of positive tests we're now seeing in this country suggests she may be right.

But yes. Norris put it very badly in that article.
By:
truehoncho
When: 01 Aug 20 11:02
I am tired of people having the most brilliant hindsight and slagging of the government. It must have been impossible at the start with every opinion under the sun being raised. -- I had some sympathy with them originally (save the NHS etc) but it was soon apparent that this virus was no where near as dangerous as we were being led to believe. I think far to much policy now is based on media pressure and trying to justify the unnecessary damage to the economy. 4 million unemployed through the winter (bank of england forecast) will need to be justified.
By:
Nightfly
When: 01 Aug 20 11:13
Charles Darwin is in the house everybody
By:
the dealer
When: 01 Aug 20 11:23
Jeez this thread turned into a hard read, maybe someone bump it in a years time, to see who was right and who was wrong.
The biggest problem I have with it all, not being an expert in any of it, is that many, many times common sense went out the window, in preference to scientific advice.
By:
parispike
When: 01 Aug 20 11:37
The unspoken matter is that sooner or later we all die. CV19 efforts have reached the point where so much resource has been put into fighting it that deaths from other causes are being "forgotten".

To the deceased it matters not one jot nor tittle whether CV19, a road accident, an accident at home, another disease etc does for them.

Somehow we've got to the point where a CV19 death matters more than than any other cause.

That can't be sustainable.
By:
duncan idaho
When: 01 Aug 20 11:46
I am tired of people having the most brilliant hindsight and slagging of the government. It must have been impossible at the start with every opinion under the sun being raised


tripe
By:
hello :-)
When: 01 Aug 20 11:48
i agree paris , problem with covid tho is theres no cure and its already taken not far of 700,000 people and thats with severe restrictions in place world wide

the above average deaths stats just dont lie
By:
layingisthewayforward
When: 01 Aug 20 11:52
It's a load of bollux. If you can go into a pub or a gym or get on a bus then why the feck cant a limited number of people go to watch the racing. Makes absolutely no sense.
By:
The Knight
When: 01 Aug 20 11:55
I think we all know that having the public at Goodwood today would have had the most tiny tiny risk Covid wise. But the issue the government faces is the attitude of the general public in the UK - and it is an age-old attitude where too many worry about what everyone else is doing.

So, whether you think a lockdown in parts of the North is needed or net (and I do) the government knew that if they let Goodwood and other events go ahead with spectators, many in the locked down areas would have started screaming 'one rule for us etc etc'. Add to that, it would have been a green light to some to simply ignore the new lockdowns.

Hence, it was a political move rather than one borne out of medical need.

Sadly, though, the finger pointing from the lockdown areas would have been in keeping with the attitude in the UK.

That attitude is one of 'if I can't have it, why you someone else have it'. In other words, jealously.

Now, if someone is getting something that by rights was mine, or are depriving me unfairly, I would be the first to complain. But if someone has something I don't through hard word, cleverness, or even pure chance, good luck to them!

You can imagine the deprived areas in the North now in partial lockdown screaming blue murder at the more well-shod Goodwood members from prosperous west Sussex. And who would have been stirring it up and leading such protests - the media!

Now, DO NOT start me off about the media...
By:
Dotchinite
When: 01 Aug 20 11:59
700,000 deaths sound a lot but in the context of the world over several months its a miniscule amount especially when you think its mostly people who were due to die anyway.
Weigh against that the failure to vaccinate kids across the developing world, the damage done to economies in these countries which will lead to more starvation, the estimated 1.3 million extra TB deaths and in England alone thousands of extra cancer deaths then you realise just how stupid it all is. Or you should do anyway.
By:
parispike
When: 01 Aug 20 12:05
I don't dispute the danger of CV19 hello but we have to get to a point where it's accepted as a hazard of life and we take proportionate steps to mitigate it. Currently we are elevating CV19 to an enhanced status where its prevention is, in an unintended consequence, increasing deaths from other morbidities. In addition we are wrecking the economy.

Neither can continue for long.
By:
The Knight
When: 01 Aug 20 12:15
And here is my final post on this carry on. At the start of lockdown I thought it was overkill and typical modern 'snowflake' society. But I have looked and studied almost of the statistics on the virus and have now changed my mind.

Those who are so adamant this awful disruption was so unnecessary need to read up about the 'law of large numbers'. Yes, the infection rate is now tiny, and it was never that big even at the height of the issue. But the POTENTIAL for it to do untold damage was almost beyond comprehension.

Why? Because of the law of large numbers. With 62 million in the UK, a 0.78 per 100,000 people infection rate (the current rate) comes to 483 infections per day. But, at its height we had 15 infections per 100,000 people. That's over 7,000 people per day infected.

Now, I will not bore anyone else with the stats but if you really think the lockdown was overkill, go to the government websites and see the % of daily infections that ended up in ventilator beds. It was tiny. BUT, then see how fast those beds would have been used up at the 15 per 100,000 rate of infection. Inside two weeks and then what would we have done?

Watched the sick and dying queue in the streets for beds?

However, we now have a fresh issue. IF we do not find a vaccine, even a partial one, no economy on earth would stand another long, nationwide lockdown. It would cause havoc for decades and mean health services collapsing for lack of funding.

Hence, it may still be that the virus will have to be allowed to run wild so we achieve some form of herd immunity. Doing it like that, and I sincerely hope we don't have to, might still be the lesser of two evils.

But to do that straight away would have been inhumane, and hence the first lockdown. 

So, to end, will all you virologists on here, plus all the hindsight merchants, PLEASE go and check all the figures available before opining your views.

Oh, wait, you don't believe all the figures because this is some giant, Bill Gates led conspiracy to deprive you of your Spanish summer holidays - holidays that, no doubt, were going to be taken with children by parents who, 3 weeks ago, were bricking it about their kinds returning to school!

We have become one selfish, stupid society, that's for sure.
By:
Dotchinite
When: 01 Aug 20 12:34
The knight. There were options between a full lockdown and no lockdown. We could just have locked down the most vulnerable to limit demands on ventilators.
By:
onlooker
When: 01 Aug 20 12:42
Agree - Ther Knight.

As I posted earlier - Both, the equally frightening,  SARS and deadly EBOLA did not end up running amok throughout the globe ...

How did they 'die out'?

The World did not Lockdown for them - just parts of Asia, but in proportion, along with the predictably ill-equipped African countries.

Surely we can now put something into practice from those two experiences, in order to get an applicable advantage over this current problem.
By:
screaming from beneaththewaves
When: 01 Aug 20 12:51
It doesn't matter what should or shouldn't have been done in March. Water under the bridge

It's what we do now, with the situation we have on 1 August, that matters.

Sweden, Netherlands, Norway say masks are completely pointless, and let's get on with things, but be sensible. People are in peak health right now, so we can get this over with before winter, with minimal casualties.

Our government is saying masks everywhere, ban everything, there is no way out and we're all going to die (of other things).
By:
truehoncho
When: 01 Aug 20 12:58
IF we do not find a vaccine, even a partial one, no economy on earth would stand another long, nationwide lockdown. It would cause havoc for decades and mean health services collapsing for lack of funding.  ___ It was a good post Knight and although we come at it from different sides I see some sense in the large numbers potential. However the point I have highlighted is a misconception. Even if it is as contagious as the worst predictions and everybody got it for the vast majority (even accounting for large numbers) would be fine. It is only the vulnerable and old that this has any significant effect on and they don't contribute much to the economy. Eventually whether it's pleasant to think of or not in your scenario they would all be dead (and pretty quickly) and its locking down the healthy and those that do contribute to the economy that will do the damage. Actually I don't think its that bad and some sensible precautions to protect the vulnerable while we all go about our business (with some sensible precautions) would mean that in a few months this will be sorted.
By:
duffy
When: 01 Aug 20 13:04
Sweden, Netherlands, Norway say masks are completely pointless, and let's get on with things, but be sensible.

Major coronavirus pub outbreak infects 16 people with 350 awaiting test results

Eyewitnesses described the pub being "packed in like sardines" with as many as 200 punters at the venue.


CrazyCrazy
By:
impossible123
When: 01 Aug 20 13:13
So we just willingly and readily "sacrifice" a few of the weaklings eg the weak/sick and elderly for the majority ie the weak and elderly taking one for the majority (the stronger in society). It's a scary thought another "human being" can play GOD at the expense of a few who'd have worked and contributed aplenty to the world and country but might not be able to enjoy the fruits of their labour because they could be sick/weak or elderly (bearing in mind we all grow old with time) some clever "wally" decide to play GOD.

If so, I'd be ashamed and not want to be part of that "elitist" and selfish society.
By:
duffy
When: 01 Aug 20 13:19
The irony isn't lost on me how we have championed Sir Tom, hero of the nation and in the same breath we ask him and many of his heroic kind if they don't mind taking one for the team so our dynamic youth can get back down the pub againLaugh
By:
screaming from beneaththewaves
When: 01 Aug 20 13:20
It's still 16 infections in July, duffy. It's not 16 hospital cases, which it might be if we keep trying to put this off until next year.
By:
wondersobright
When: 01 Aug 20 13:25
truehoncho • August 1, 2020 12:58 PM BST
It is only the vulnerable and old that this has any significant effect on and they don't contribute much to the economy. Eventually whether it's pleasant to think of or not in your scenario they would all be dead (and pretty quickly) and its locking down the healthy and those that do contribute to the economy that will do the damage. Actually I don't think its that bad and some sensible precautions to protect the vulnerable while we all go about our business (with some sensible precautions) would mean that in a few months this will be sorted.


another good post

voluntary shielding and/or other measures
no topdown government interference & business as usual for those who are healthy
anybody pushing another agenda is part of the problem imo
By:
impossible123
When: 01 Aug 20 13:26
Some people despite a period of more than 4 months have yet to cotton on the probable destruction of Covid-19 on the human race. Absolutely shocking!

Me! Me! Me! More ME! The rest can take a hike, come what may!
By:
Dotchinite
When: 01 Aug 20 13:28
impossible Thats a great distortion of the facts. Firstly there are no good options just bad and worse ones but anyone is free to sit this out at home for the next decade if they so wish. Its rather selfish of the old generation to expect younger people to lose their livelyhoods and careers though just to help them have another couple of years though. I dont want anyone to make any sacrifices for me thank you very much.

Nobody is playing God. Thats just a bizarre post.
By:
wondersobright
When: 01 Aug 20 13:28

Aug 1, 2020 -- 12:34PM, Dotchinite wrote:


The knight. There were options between a full lockdown and no lockdown. We could just have locked down the most vulnerable to limit demands on ventilators.


correct

and use the time to build up ICU capacity in the NHS...which was done v quickly

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