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OilyWragg
16 Oct 18 12:12
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Date Joined: 17 Feb 11
| Topic/replies: 2,334 | Blogger: OilyWragg's blog
Hit the bar a bit lately with some of these, as usual its the well backed ones that give you the best run but when to take the price is always the hardest decision. Two for today backed them both each way.

Denmead in the 2.10 at 6/1 each way, first time up for Skelton, won off 78 on the flat over two miles and placed off 82. Favourite could be anything, unbeaten in four career races but getting 6lb in weight from him and 12lb from the second fav,  Denmead could have a fair chance.

Some Kind of Larma in the 3.55, if the change of scenery and return to hurdles has worked the oracle then this one would have a decent chance at these weights as he's been placed off higher marks in the not too distant pass. Got 11/4 which is pretty much still available and covered that with evens to be in the first two.

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Replies: 422
By:
Deltâ
When: 16 Oct 18 13:25
gl oily '
By:
TheFear
When: 16 Oct 18 13:29
are yard switchers just going from a normal carrot trainer to a super carrot trainer? Asking for a friend.
By:
Tiger Tiger
When: 16 Oct 18 13:39
Oily, good luck with these. Denmead is now a big drifter, at least it is at the moment.
By:
Tallywagger.
When: 16 Oct 18 13:45
Denmead and the fav will need to be very nimble at the hurdles to keeps tabs on Totterdown.
By:
stridingedge
When: 16 Oct 18 14:00
I thought any money for Ben pauling's pair would be interesting he nabs these contests with similar sorts and has done well with few runners sent here in such events.

I've layed the king fav, can see it winning but it's nearer around a 2.8 shot for me than 2.4

gl Oily

Everyone knows about the Skeltons carrots with their barn hoppers, Olly has done very well with his too for your other choice later.
By:
Tiger Tiger
When: 16 Oct 18 14:05
Denmead out to 11 suggests he's not quite ready,today at least?
By:
Tallywagger.
When: 16 Oct 18 14:07
I think the fav is a lay at the price. May struggle to jump as well trying to keep tabs on Totterdown.
By:
Tallywagger.
When: 16 Oct 18 14:08
Blimey fav went from 2.4 to 3.1 in less than a minute.
By:
stridingedge
When: 16 Oct 18 14:08
alan kings on the drift

denmead well backed now
By:
Tiger Tiger
When: 16 Oct 18 14:09
Massive amounts for Denmead it seems close to the orfShocked
By:
Tallywagger.
When: 16 Oct 18 14:12
Getting with Nylon in running
By:
Deltâ
When: 16 Oct 18 14:14
WD Oily'   



oi oi
By:
stridingedge
When: 16 Oct 18 14:15
OI OI wd Olily

and kings drifter beat too Happy
By:
Tallywagger.
When: 16 Oct 18 14:15
Very impressive. Totterdown beat after one jump.
By:
Tiger Tiger
When: 16 Oct 18 14:15
Cheers Oily Love
By:
ashleigh
When: 16 Oct 18 14:16
well done.Cool
By:
TheFear
When: 16 Oct 18 14:16
wd.

mcmanus usual Cry
By:
Early Morning Riser
When: 16 Oct 18 14:25
well done oily
By:
stridingedge
When: 16 Oct 18 15:55
Market has really cut up on this other one now Sad

gl though Oily
By:
OilyWragg
When: 16 Oct 18 16:15
Cheers lads.

Denmead was a nice winner at a decent price, I realise that had I waited I could have had a better price after the drift but the end price was nearer what I'd got anyways so have to be happy with that.

The non runner and the deduction that comes with it didt help the second bet, although it finished second I still ended up losing a little on that one, no point in whinging about it.

Another interesting one out tomorrow, an ex Ger Lyons inmate running over hurdles for the first time, no prices as yet.
By:
Deltâ
When: 16 Oct 18 16:20
did you do the double Oily'


?
By:
OilyWragg
When: 16 Oct 18 16:25
Hi Deltâ, no didn't bother with the double, I've got around a 29% strike rate with these yard switchers so more than happy when just one of them comes in!

Are you still researching these yard switchers?
By:
Deltâ
When: 16 Oct 18 16:29
ones that catch the eye, [left of centre] yep


not necessary the carrot barn switchers tho Grin
By:
OilyWragg
When: 16 Oct 18 16:40
Grin carrot barn switchers.

Had a long losing run of 16 in April and just 2/24 during the whole month followed by an 11/10 winnerCrazy has to be expected but been steady away since.
By:
OilyWragg
When: 16 Oct 18 21:39
Its a bit short but I've taken 9/4 about the ex Ger Lyons horse in the 2.10 at Wetherby tomorrow, King Dargent. Ran a fair race on his final start before moving stable finishing 3rd to a 94 rated flat horse over 14 furlongs, could go well for Harry Skelton on NH debut tomorrow.
By:
stridingedge
When: 17 Oct 18 14:09
GL OIly

Alan King very adept with his flat runners around this rating coming into the juvenile contests but watching race for me.
By:
stridingedge
When: 17 Oct 18 14:12
Yours is awash with sweat
By:
stridingedge
When: 17 Oct 18 14:15
wd didn't stop it Happy
By:
Deltâ
When: 17 Oct 18 14:16
Oily Cool
By:
Tiger Tiger
When: 17 Oct 18 14:47
Nice one Oily Cool
By:
OilyWragg
When: 19 Oct 18 13:50
Qudurrat makes his debut for the Appleby yard in the 2.15 trading around the 11 mark and could run into a place, two runs in maidens and she did show us some hope for us, green and short of room on her debut and then held up out the back on her second run, change of scenery and trainer might well have done her good.

There were two in the 4.20 Carlisle yesterday, both drifted alarmingly so didn't think they warranted a mention, Aspen Colorado!! They do make fools of us, fingers crossed for today.
By:
OilyWragg
When: 20 Oct 18 13:09
Drifted like a barge just before the off and then ran like one.

In the 4.55 Casual Cavalier is interesting switching from Bewley to Henry Oliver and is now 4lb below his last winning mark so have taken 12/1 and will back in the place market on b/f also. Skelton has the a fancied one in this as he does for the next

The 3.35 see's Atlantic Storm making its debut for the Rees stable and is down in grade here pitched straight into a seller. Having arrived from the Skelton yard and Skelton also having the 3nd favourite in the race made me wonder for a while but Skelton is just 1/17 in sellers, so Atlantic Storm backed at 2.36.

Skelton could scupper both!!

Keel Over is another switcher at Stratford in the 2.30 to the Bridgewater yard, quite prolific of late in Hunters and this distance is much more suitable, taken 13/2 win and place again.
By:
cardenden
When: 20 Oct 18 13:18
Atlantic Storm  ,,lay for me.


horse has a kink in its head,,,,  look at its race comments couple of races ago,,  IDLED
By:
OilyWragg
When: 21 Oct 18 12:14
A poor maiden on the flat Chica Buena has moved from Brendan Duke to Kieth Dalgleish after winning a hurdle race at Ballinrobe, won well with probably more to come. On the drift a little bit but have taken 2.6.

Yesterday:

At 13/2 each way there was a profit from Keel Over who finished second.
Atlantic Storm won easily at 2.42
Casual Cavalier was so close to being placed at a nice price but finished fourth.
By:
ashleigh
When: 21 Oct 18 14:40
been very well backed.
By:
Platinum
When: 21 Oct 18 14:52
Very well backed. Well done Oily.
By:
ashleigh
When: 21 Oct 18 14:53
well done oilyCool
By:
stridingedge
When: 21 Oct 18 14:54
Yeah that's what you want at the prices, golden egg stuff.

Well played Oily Happy
By:
OilyWragg
When: 24 Oct 18 17:54
Chica Buena won as you would like a heavily backed horse to win.

In the last at Chelmsford tonight I couldn't find a single reason why anyone would want to back Sheldon Cooper, awful hurdle form and just as bad on the flat - however the horse has gone to the Appleby yard and was available at 12/1 last night and early doors this morning, then dropped to 9/1 thereby becoming a reason to get interested, settled for 8s each way and now as low as 5.8 on betfair. Its a fingers crossed job as there isn't any worthwhile form to go on so I'm hoping the change of scenery and trainer has worked the oracle.
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