£604.70 (£395.30 loss) 

A cruel day, where two narrow defeats in photo finishes made what could have been a £400 profit, a £101.50 loss, such fine margins!

Mabs Cross beat a pixel, and Spiced beaten a short head.

Poor runs by Elasia and Space Traveller and the sole winner was Sangarius.

They say life's a game of inches, and effectively inches was the difference between a big profit and what has actually turned out a loss today.

On to tomorrow.

domino14
domino14 16 Aug 18 14:45 Joined: 28 Jan 18 | Topic/replies: 2,837 | Blogger: domino14's blog
Stone cold last and off the bridle after 2f, hope you didn't lose too much Hardestgame.

Thanks though for bringing my attention to a decent little lay.

John Holmes

The Fenman

WD domino had a look at the sangarius race, spotted it was a kingman horse, knowing there aint been many
winners so far this season for kingman, looked a good bet. some other posters have noticed your staking
is allover the place. got to agree the amounts and bets you are doing and style of betting is not good.
think your betting strategy needs a rethink. goodluck

Cork Langer
Date Joined:    16 Aug 05
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25 Aug 18 00:08 Joined: 16 Aug 05 | Topic/replies: 37,592 | Blogger: Cork Langer's blog
Second outing for Blenheim Palace (8/1) today domino, any thoughts on how it might fair...?

is this the horse with a timeform rating of 148?

The question is how far.

I have it @ 369. But tbf I'm still new at ratings/fingers.

Little tip Snipe, the won that was t.o. 45l prob didn't run to form.

Won't be seen again if it finishes 11th again

Dom as others have said your staking is not sensible but as you are so arrogant you will not listen to advice but thanks for your thoughts.

You should not respond by swearing at other posters.

domino14 24 Aug 18 16:15

Notice how you don't pick up on Andrew NEVER deducting commission on his thread which on 62 winning bets at £50 , actually accounts for over £150 of his suggested profit ....

Hi Guys,

Just to clarify the above that i actually agree is a very valid point and i should therefore respond; however the latter part of the post is woefully and carelessly inaccurate.

I did give deduction of commission a thought on day one of the previous thread, but for those that are not aware, the Betfair base rate in Sweden is 6.5% as opposed to 5% in UK where most readers are domiciled.

If i used 6.5% then i'm at a slight disadvantage straight away, losing 1.5% on every thread winning bet, although i have to accept it on my personal bets of course.

If i don't use 5%, then what is a fair figure to use as a basis ? I suspect the UK range of punters is between 3%-5% so i could have chosen an average 4% i guess, or even simply taken the top end 5% anyway.

When i post matched bets, the liability is always designated, we all know this, so if i use this fugure in the p/l everything can be compared and is very transparent, one thing i've always wanted and maintained.

Yes, i could have calculated the deduction of commission each day, but this could entail a slight risk of error although as an engineer you would expect my maths to be good.

In my opinion, the majority of the lay thread readers were (and are) fully aware i have never deducted commission, it's actually quite obvious anyway, Domino picked up on it.

The above is my reasoning for not deducting commission, but if i ever use the profit figure in any future thread, i will ensure it's mentioned. Apologies.

OK, let's assume i had deducted commission and used the top end UK 5% bese rate .......

5% of £1657 (the overall profit) is actually £82.85 ....... almost half of what was stated !

It appears my Swedish wooden Abacus with little multi-coloured balls is significantly more accurate than using ones toes and fingers

I have never read your threads Andrew so excuse me if I'm talking rubbish. But commission is not based on overall profit (unfortunately) and if Dom's statement of 62 bets at £50 is correct then his calculation seems right.

my Swedish wooden Abacus

Shirley they spell it ABBACUS?

Mouse

Anyway, i'm Andrew in London at the moment

@Mrcombustible

I swear at Chalton2005 as he doesn't try to offer advice, or be constructive he is simply looking at every opportunity to have a go, and troll, and trying to be clever.

Anyone who asks an opinion or offers fair advice, I am always courteous and polite to.

If you wanna write abuse and such, I wont afford them the same civility.

You say my staking is poor and it may not be for everyone's liking, but how I staked yesterday actually kept my losses down, had I backed all to win, I would have lost more, I was narrowly denied a great day yesterday frustratingly.

£604.70 (£395.30 loss) 

Saturday 25th August

Okay this will be a brief message today with 4 bets and 1 lay.


1.40 - Newmarket - Royal Marine - £20 Win @ BSP

Highly regarded newcomer of SBS who has been working with Jfoul (ran well in sales race) lately and has impressed in work under Chris Catlin. This doesn't look strong Newmarket maiden wise, so happy to chance small on debut as trainer has good record with newcomers.


1.45 - Curragh - Blenheim Palace - £5 Win / £20 4 Place @ 20.0 & 3.45

Nice horse who was far too green on debut, has only had one gallop recorded since which was a pleasing piece of work with Broome who didn't run badly the other day at York, staying on. Much better run expected today and I don't like Mount Everest as a horse as he is very one paced. Actually think Yonkers may be the one to beat, but Blenheim Palace should leave a poor debut behind and I would expect him in the 4 over a mile today.


3.40 York - Blakeney Point - £10 Win / £25 6 Place @ 12.5 & 2.12


Running on well in strong handicaps and stakes races over 12f and looks to have had his mark protected with this race in mind. Yard in good form, and blinkers on , Jockey in fine form at present and step up in trip will suit. Looks a solid chance in race.


4.00 Curragh - Gossamer Wings - £10 Lay @ 3.3

Not convinced she is progressing and whilst return to 5f may help, to me she wants slower ground and not progressing, opposable at price.


4.25 Goodwood - Stylehunter - £40 Win @ 1.75

Price gone due to non runners but this horse is being aimed at the Cambridgeshire and he has been working with Roaring Lion lately at home. Could be very well treated off 92 and stayed on strongly over inadequate 8f last time. Extra furlong will suit and looks an exciting prospect and my best bet today.

Regards

He may but he just looks very one paced to me, and is short enough for a horse who prob wants 12f already.

Yup thought he looked beat until final 100 yards, then just went away. But unlike in previous races he was well positioned today.

dom, have you got any contacts in the Crisford yard?

Cuz someone has, that was smashed in the betting!