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Matt
Like your pick (Chilean) It was next best on system prefer the group form at Longchamp to a novice race at Windsor Good to see your off the jumpers GL |
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Tx Bud, Yeah nap ratio going downhill doing jumpers at Punchestwon so back to basics and flat Racing.
ITV reporting Coltish behavior in the paddock for your nap put me off so bullit dodged there. Will follow you in With Franny and agree he is good at Chester on a horse he can ping out and try and make all, But on the whole he's not the most luckiest Jockey for me. Chester not to far away and im sure Mr.T Dascombe will feature in your specials. ![]() |
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Another Nap goes west.
![]() The Jolly n winner clearly improving and time will tell how good the form is. But Chilean already Group winner and beaten by three other horses its a race to keep an eye on. Though Ground conditions have to be kept in mind too. |
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WD with Sevenna and Addeyeb Pinza.
Fanny Norton and Diamond Dougal mugged on the line. ![]() |
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Thanks Mat
The Special bets amaze me sometimes. (Chilian v Sevenna Star) You were right about Franny - only went for the whip three times, thought he could have gone earlier. Still a profitable day. No cash ins needed 2 winners and rest in frame. |
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Yesterday celebrated the end of first month of the Special bets
Total of 67 races 22 winners (13 favs) 12 seconds 6 thirds 26 unplaced On the original back race study the percentage of horses in the first three was 48% |
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Todays Specials
DONC Fortunate Vision 8 (D H Brown) 2+ HAYDOCK Isstoora 8 (Archie Watson) 4- HAYDOCK Gulf Of Poets 1 (M W Easterby) 1- SANDOWN Geordie Des Champs 0 (Miss Rebecca Curtis) 8+ SANDOWN Soul Emotion 0 (N J Henderson) 0 RIPON Set In Stone 1 (R J Osborne) 2+ RIPON Brandon Castle 5 (Archie Watson) 7- RIPON Key Player 7 (Eve Johnson Houghton) 0 The jumps two are added because I downloaded without realising it was National Hunt racing Will be interesting to see if it works as good as flat. |
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2.45 Leicester: Emmaus 2/1 Bog Nap.
Stable going well and have some interesting runners on the card. 5.00 Punchestown: Daklondike 7/1 E/W Bog NB. Always an interest when they send one from this stable to the Emerald Isle. |
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pinza, I believe your+ 30 profit?
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well done Mat
With a top score of 7 I put Emmaus in multiples, but pity it didn't qualify in specials. |
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Thanks Deadbrain for doing the maths.
I don't record the price as too much other stuff to do. It was simple when using Raceform but expensive The last straw was when they stopped sending the disc. All I know is I have 600 in my account some of that will be from the multiples though. |
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Tx Pinza!
Back with a winner after a few naps going west recently. Looks a good horse and done it comfortably. |
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wd matt wd pinza 5/1
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Well done Mat
Did you notice the jumpers - a 3rd and a win. Will have to do some more tests. Had the winner in ew Goliath with another 3 winners and 2 placed Just one more to go with Fortunate Vision in 8.15 The offer is £139 but if it wins its £210 I'll dwell on it for a while. |
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wd Mat
wd Pinza seems a fair offer ....gl |
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Thanks Virgin
Offer Taken I've left a few to roll lately and were in my favour but luck can't last forever. |
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TX bud,
personally would let it roll but understand if u take the cash out. Yes saw your 5/1 Jumper. Henderson reliable all year round. WD. |
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It was a case of balancing the book for the day Mat.
Todays Specials 4.45 Salis Richenza 5 (R M Beckett) 4.25 Weth Qeyaadah 2 (Michael Appleby) |
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I see Qeyaadah is a Non Runner
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Not the biggest fan of cash outs.
Imo another way the bookies save a few quid by ripping you off with a poorer offer. Rather let it roll and stick a few very short lays on Betfair. However does work for others. So wise decision Yesterday W.D. 2.50 Longchamp Nap: Bebe Da'mour 2/1 with Sky bet Bog looks the way to go as he won with plenty in hand with Super Soumi 3 weeks ago. Thought Cracksman is very short in the big race of the day. no way a 1/2 shot for me. first time up v some decent animals. Cloth of stars is the value but he pulls like stink and his win ratio is not that great. He's a bit of a freak but if he settle's he would give the jolly something serious to think about with the fitness edge. Plus Aiden's Filly is not be underestimated. G.L. With Richenza |
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Going to Add N/B 3.30 Long: Cloth Of Stars 4/1 Bog.
**** going 4's is to big. Purely on Value he is overpriced. Happy to take the Very Hot Fav on at that price. |
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Good luck Mat
Easy day for me in garden |
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Nap cruised along and touched 1.2 in running but turned into a bit of a sprint, complete contrast to its last race.
Cloth of stars given no chance and at the back the whole way and couldn't even beat his pace maker. But Jolly was mighty impressive and it wouldn't have had made a difference anyway. Only half fit according To Johnny G he looks to have inherited plenty from his farther. With Enable in the Yard And John Saying on French T.V. Cracksman will be aimed at The Arc What a nice problem For Frankie. |
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cracksman class
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Agree DeadBrain,
But the race was a bit of a farce, Barzalona gave that a shocker imo on Cloth. His pacemaker did it for cracksman instead for Cloth. If i was the owner or Mr. Fabre i would be pretty pi$$ed off with that effort. A race Fit Cloth who stays 1m4f v a half fit Super star in a 1m2f race and give him 12l anchored at the back. i Rest my case. like i said already probably wouldn't have matter anyway but that group 1 was a bit of a gift. And those who went in got their 50% but i'll stick to what i see as value and my method as it pays for me in the long term. |
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Boom! 5/1 Richenza
Ya Da Man Pinza Nice pick. |
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Thanks Mat
Makes a change from when we were together last time (ha) You were always the man. |
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WD PINZA
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wd Pinza
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Cheers guys.
I hope you are backing them! |
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Todays Specials
Ocean Gale 0 (R J Price) Dark Defender 14 (K Dalgleish) Dyna Might 6 (Ollie Pears) Rasima 1 (Roger Varian) Pepys 3 (B Smart) Zahraa 5 (M Dods) Four of the six are females Looking back at the stats win.2nd,3rd,races for Mares it reads 0-2-0-5 so beware of Ocean Gale Zahraa was withdrawn yesterday for not going in stalls. So we start with 6 but likely reduced to 4, but this system never fails to amaze me. |
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Im backing them.
Must be getting Rusty, Keep the winners coming. Good Luck Today Bud. 2.10 Wolv Nap : Rasima Look a Strong Jolly. The Market looks about right. |
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Yes Roger Varian had a nightmare with his maiden races last year but seems a lot better this time.
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Varian has another in a maiden at Windsor
Imaginative Another that passes first test and comes out next best |
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Nap Chinned by Mr. Dascombe.
Not a good start to the week. |
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Just 2 placed!
The first poor day Hope it's the last? |
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doing well keep going
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15.45 Yar: Ripp Orf Nap
Yard in good form and SDS a Good booking and this horse is fit from the AW. Lots to like. |
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Todays Specials
3.25 Brighton; SUPER JULIUS 3.35 Notts; RED TEA 4.25 Bright; WITH APPROVAL 4.45 yarm; GAINSAY 4.55 Bright; GOOD LUCK CHARM 5.15 Yarm; CHORAL MUSIC Brighton and Yarmouth have only a 10% record of winners Kempa 14% Notts 7% Yarm 10% Newc best track for Hcps 6.25 Newcastle: WALK ON WATER 7.55 Newcastle: CHAMPAGNE RULES (hcp) Nothing from Kempa Good Luck with Yours Mat - have it joint top score with Mountain Rescue GL deadbrain. I see you have been doing well in comp. |
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Another 2nd, Frustrating but will persevere.
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