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Liddellwise
Liddellwise
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The year ends with a great battling performance from SHADOW CATCHER and sends me back in the winners enclosure.
STAGE ONE 102pts profit (1pt level stakes) STAGE TWO 104pts profit (1-4pts stakes) STAGE THREE 30pts profit (4pt stakes) 236pts profit (11 months) HAPPY NEW YEAR EVERYONE |
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End on a high note BL
 All the best for the next year |
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An excellent profit for your year Billy, your selections have definately been worth following, GL for this year if you decide to continue with Liddlewise.
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Well done with Shadow Catcher
Good luck for this year if you decide to continue Long may fortune smile on you  |
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Any selections today Billy?
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ALL THE BEST EVERYONE
REVE DE NUIT 9/2 Southwell 2-30 4pts Hasn't ran the best part of a year but has won this corresponding event for the last two years in succession. 4 lb higher now and decent draw, sure to be primed for the hat-trick bid.. |
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Jockey thought he had it, turning around looking for dangers when going well. William Haigh who is also suited to further got a second wind and spoiled the party..
1 William Haigh 5/2F 2 Reve De Nuit 7/2 3 Call To Reason 14/1 |
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Billy, I haven't been on this forum for a year or two and this thread is definitely one of the more interesting contributions. However I fail to see the logic here in these rigid rules,
Handicaps Must be at least 4/1 Non H/cps Must be between 6/4- 11/4 Surely the price acceptable about any prospective bet is related to how many of the oppostion if running to their best are capable of beating the selection. In a 20 runner handicap, this could run into double figures and 4-1 would not be value. In a small field handicap where there are only say one two deemed capable of beating the selection then 7-2 could be value. Also I can't get my head around the unwillingness a bet in a non handicap because a horse is a bigger price than 11-4 (I think that is what you are saying). Don't get me wrong, this is not a criticism because you appear to have done far better over the past year than 99% of other punters, I am simply interested to know the logic behind these two stipulations. |
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Thanks paul for your interest, you are right in what you are saying but... A few weeks ago I sat down and looked at all my results and in STAGE ONE my best results came when the prices were between 4/1 and 10/1, if you knocked off all those selections under and over I would of made even more. I had to draw the line somewhere and I set a rule that is working for me since I started it.
In STAGE TWO I started to back more non handicaps and again those selections above 11/4 always seem to find one too good. This is just something that seems to work for me, there are many different methods and again thanks for the input. |
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AGENTINE 12-15 Southwell 4pts 5/1
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well done billy!
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I studied this race to death and couldn't see another winner, but with my new rule I wouldn't back it at 3/1. You are spot on with what you say Paul, I got away with it this time and won even more but on reflection I will be using 3/1 as my starting point on my venture of looking for winners..
Southwell 12.15 Full Result 1st 7 Argentine (IRE) 5-1 2nd 6 Fear Nothing 11-4 F 3rd 8 Gorgeous Goblin (IRE) 5-1 |
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Billy, going back many years, a friend of mine who only ever bet in all aged handicaps (with some success)had a rule whereby he used to divide the number of runners by 3 and if his prospective bet(s) in any race were this price or above then he was on. So in the case of Argentine above, 12/3, he would have wanted 4-1 or more. It was a lazy man's way I suppose and is not for me but it saved him a lot of time preparing a 'tissue' for each race.
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 Thanks Paul, I will look into that. FLUCTUATION 7/2 Southwell 3-30 4pts |
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billy. great results last year. best of luck with this years.
generally, do u normally put the selections up the night before, morning of the race or just before the off please? thanks |
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Well done Billy lad.
Form is temporary but class is permanent. |
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FLUCTUATION is still a maiden after 13 attempts but if he is ever going to lose his maiden it will surely be here at Southwell.
Drawn high again today just like four days ago when just pipped into 2nd when worse off at the weights with most of his rivals in a 6f classified event. The return to 7f could do the trick and give him more time to stick his handsome bay head in front on the stands rail make it fourteen times lucky.. |
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Very well done Billy
Long may fortune shine on you |
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 Allsiralex I only post weekends and night racing due to work, usually a few hours before. Robsters the one to follow. He's different class and a credit to this forum. STAGE ONE 102pts profit (1pt level stakes) STAGE TWO 104pts profit (1-4pts stakes) STAGE THREE 42pts profit (4pt stakes) 248pts profit (11 months) |
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IBIZA SUNSET 5/1 Kempton 6-30 4pts
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IBIZA SUNSET is well drawn but is usually held up and wasn't too far away over CD in August, now 2lbs better off and King Kieren to boot.
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where does robster post?
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LET YOUR LOVE FLOW 5/1 Kempton 7-00
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Tai, only here I think.
Hopeless tonight.. STAGE ONE 102pts profit (1pt level stakes) STAGE TWO 104pts profit (1-4pts stakes) STAGE THREE 34pts profit (4pt stakes) 240pts profit (11 months) |
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Hit the corner flags tonight BL
They working you too hard after the xmas pud  Bit like the 'Pool last night GL with your next ones Typ - Robster usually around in top 2 pages - apart from a Sat maybe |
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MASLAK 2-50 LING 3/1 4PTS
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Nice one BL
Had the pleasure of joining you on that one |
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cheers Billy!
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Not the easiest day to be finding winner's (Imo), glad you found one Billy...Nice price 3's
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VANILLA RUM 6-45 Wolv 5/2 4pts |
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Well done with your last win Billy, I have layed Love In The Park and do agree with your selection, yet I am just a mere mortal
Good luck Long May Fortune Smile On You |
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SUPERB AGAIN BILLY
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Great stuff Billy - Forecast there
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Well done Billy, and thanks.
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Thought you was done for the day so popped out for some scoff
 Then see you been knocking out the tots Wd on your cracking day |
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AllIt could of been even better MH, I had my eye on one in Ireland while listening to Liverpool on the wireless, then my cable went off. MASLAK 2-50 LING 3/1 4PTS Won VANILLA RUM 6-45 Wolv 5/2 4pts Won STAGE ONE 102pts profit (1pt level stakes) STAGE TWO 104pts profit (1-4pts stakes) STAGE THREE 56pts profit (4pt stakes) 262pts profit (11 months) |
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FIERY OSCAR 3-15 Thurles 7/1 4pts
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Not many winners in this field and my fancy FIERY OSCAR only betters most of them by one with a win over this distance at clonmel in 2009 in a handicap hurdle off 84, now down to a winable mark of 87 and has been quietly fancied of late.
Decent jockey on today and good run could be on the cards after finding 2m6f too far last time.. |
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ALways follow u billy but Masterofthebree is locally owned to me so having e/w punt on him.
Best of luck. |
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Awesome tipping.
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