Horse Antepost
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HKIR 2019
HKIR 2019
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RACE 8 - SPIRIT 25/1 uk books
I think this one is interesting dropping back to 1200m and having just his second run for Millard since joining from the aussie trainer Freedman Its lightly raced and was rated as high as 80 when first arriving in HK on his debut over 1200m in April 2018. The horse ran a decent barrier trial on the 15/12/2018 when a neck behind today's $4 fav TEAM SPIRIT - I just think the horse has tactical speed and its getting a fair bit of weight today with Victor Wong taking off another 5lb - might be able to get crazy prices on the tote - if a no show today then id be all over the horse next time if turning up in a class 4. RACE 9 KING OF HEARTS 18/1 uk books Its the drop in class thats doing in for me this time, but im still hesitant tbh - its in my list of UK/IRE imports that look to have decent 3yo form at Ascot. It might now be better at 1400m but it has won at 1200m - could be another warm the voice after having its 5 and getting used to the climate. |
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No strong opinion on the Chairmans Sprint Roz but I will be backing Lys Gracieux in the QEII Cup... hopefully get a bigger price than the 8-1 on offer at the moment. The drop back to 10f at Sha Tin will suit better and she ran a nice prep at Chukyo last month.
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Morning Chaps - will have a look at the G1 races after tomorrow, KR running at Cheltenham so hopefully he’ll acquit himself better than last time.
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Looks like the going will be pretty quick HK... few light showers around today but warming up a bit tomorrow. It's a worry for me, he looks a better horse on softer ground IMO. Probably still have a little EW bet!
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Im going to speculate on this one tomorrow at the Valley as the horse is in my top ten to follow of the Euro imports
R5- Cheers Vanquisher - Im slightly concerned about the trip as 7f could be its optimum distance , but at the same time i think the horse has enough pace for this 6F if trying to make all. Vanquisher is by Footstepsinthesand who produced many 6f winners as their optimum trip - i would just be sick if it went off and won on debut without an interest Im in danger of following some of these Irish imports off a cliff, lol. |
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Your worries have been realised MrD, off to the paddock for a rest and back out in the autumn.
Looking at the sprint prices, I’m having some of Mr Stunning at 5-1 with B365 - far too big, plus I’ll back Vidorra on the hkjc on the day, hopefully she can get a decent draw and run a place. The mile is foregone conclusion but the QE2 I’m quite interested in Eagle Way, it all depends on draw and how the track is riding on the day but he ran an absolute cracker last run vs BG |
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The right move HK, all his best form is on Softer ground. The way he travelled and jumped to victory through the mud at Haydock hit the nail on the head for me. Flat track with soft/heavy ground... Riko will win a good handicap next autumn/winter.
 Viddora will be interesting now at Sha Tin with a bend to encounter... but maybe she prefers going left handed. Slight doubt for me! Eagle Way ran on well last time but I'm feeling confident about Lys Gracieux, really hope she drifts to a nice double figure price on the day. The Hong Kong mob normally like backing the classic runners in this, if they turn up I think they will be a lot shorter than they should be!!! |
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I’m becoming more and more interested in Rattan for the Sprint, I know he got 5lb off the other 2 last run but it was his first step up in class at the distance and I think will improve, he needs a good pace though which there usually is and he’ll certainly be staying on, Gibson did it before with Gold Fun so why not this time too.
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Rattan was 33/1 a week ago
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Think the value is long gone Roz!
Had a proper look now and I’m sadly going with The unoriginal BTC, can’t really see anything outside HK winning and he’s currently the best we have, you can’t back Rattan at those odds with the 5lb turnaround from the last run. If he is a bigger price come Sunday over $10 then it’s worth a go but not at 6-1. |
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MrD - I’m with you on LG for the QE2 I’ve done a double and 2 singles
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Perfect draw Mr D
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Yep, perfect HK and 9-1 now... she has looked magnificent all week and the draw is a bonus. I will play the patient game with my main bet, hope she drifts to a bigger price on the day.
Struggling to split Beat The Clock and Mr Stunning... probably go with the former! |
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I think you’ll see double figures come Sunday as there’s no Jockey factor that’s going to shorten the price this time. The ground won’t be GF either as there’s a fair amount of rain forecast for Saturday and showers on Sunday.
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I’m having an ew bet on Season’s Bloom in the mile too for interest purposes - to place into BTC as a double
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BTC looking an even better bet now with Mr S lame this morning
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I hope the BBC weather forecast is more accurate than the Hong Kong Observatory!?
 Although Lys Gracieux has run well on a wet track in Japan, her best runs have been on a firm track. Deirdre his very closely matched with LG and any significant rain would enhance her chances... probably be a better bet than LG. The rain will really scupper my bets (done the double like you HK) if it's very wet, especially in the Sprint. Santa Ana Lane will be super hard to beat if it goes Soft. The betting on the day in Hong Kong normally goes a bit mental, our bookies react and there can be huge price differences. Lys Gracieux has been shortened with a few of them today but I will hold out and back her on race day... could be a big mistake!  What's it been like in Hong Kong HK? |
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It’s hot and sunny where I am Mr D - but I’m in Vietnam on a family holiday !! I’m gutted as I would have been able to attend with the Vidorra owners had I been in hk.
Mr Stunning is out so that 5-1 is looking good for BTC now, I don’t think it’ll be any worse than good as the heavy rain is due today and the course drains well. |
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Beat The Clock ran another stormer to win the Sprint Cup, he's so consistent and a wonderful sprinter.
Lys Gracieux's price shortened dramatically on the day which I really didn't think would happen. She once again ran another solid race matching Exultant stride for stride but the winner had first run on them and ran strongly to the line for a deserved win. Win Bright has never shown much in G1 company in Japan but that is three on the trot now (G3, G2 and G1) and appears to be in the form of his life. The Hong Kong classic generation didn't put up much of a show... which didn't surprise me! |
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I wasn’t surprised by the 4yo being poor either as there’s a line of form through Insayshable that indicated they’d be 5 or 6l behind the top older horses.
Wasn’t a bad day all told as BTC made it a profitable day, be interesting to see BG run in japan as he’s getting Winx like now with beating the same horses over and over. |
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Yep, I also made a profit on the day HK with Beat The Clock winning (11-2 was too big/took the hit on the reduction) along with the EW double.
Zac Purton tweeted that it looks like they will be going to Japan with Beauty Gen. The Yasuda Kinen will be an awesome race if they all turn up (Almond Eye, Danon Premium etc). The only question mark for him will be going left handed but he seems very uncomplicated and the big galloping Tokyo track will suit his style of racing IMO. After tonight’s Beauty Generation “team” meeting, the odds have shortened dramatically for a trip to the Yasuda Kinen in Japan. If a few minor details can be arranged it’s going to happen. The fans want it, the owner wants it, racing wants it. |
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Beauty Generation is not going for the Yasuda Kinen... very disappointing!
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backing two runners in race 5 tomorrow - Cruciatus & Exaltation
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Whats the Weather like there Accie ?- the Forecast shows its been thunderstorms there for the last 24hrs but not sure if thats accurate - was wondering if we were going to a heavy track at Sha Tin.
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