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You do not mean Anodor who was 5/6 fav, and finished 3rd behind Royal Marine and Broome in the Lagardere.
Shalaa was very similar to Calyx who won several Gp 1 and Gp2 6f races, then got injured, but never ran in the Guineas after. |
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no i,m thinking of a french runt whom was a outstanding 2yo in france then turned up in the gruefelle - no idea how to spell it sure it was sacred path in my mind . but it doesnt come up
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prix djebel
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i got it sacred life
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i remembered i backed the formline earlier with french fifteen and unravelled my confusion
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What about Sacred Life? He did not seem to have progress.
Appleby seems to suffer setbacks with his juveniles eg Emotionless, Masar and now Quorto, why? |
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what about sacred life ? he was the little runt last year and calyx is it this year ! thats what i was getting at
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If I'd not laid Calyx till eternity I'd lay him again at present prices; he's a similar type to Shalaa in my opinion.
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Shalaa had a much speedier pedigree and always looked like a sprinter. Calyx is bred to be a miler and has a much greater chance of staying a mile than Shalaa ever did in my view.
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Persian King taken out. It is a shame we will be missing both Persian King and Too Darn Hot, who looked to be the two potential superstars from this year's Guineas.
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quorto looks the one gotten away mio
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Cannot understand Fabre or Godolphin here.
Mind boggling decision on Persian. Absurd. |
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^ Maybe they are just very confident on Royal Marine - he's the strongest in the market over the last week. Hamdan alos has Mohaather and Madhmoon in the mix.
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Agreed Sophie, the race had opened up beautifully for Persian King.
It now looks very open and a lot depends on whether the likes of Ten Sovereigns, Calyx, Advertise, Mohaather & Shine So Bright will actually get the trip. If they don't then the race could be anyone's. Perhaps with so many runners having stamina doubts there's a chance that Kick On will be allowed to take part and set a searching gallop. After the Fielden there was talk of him going for the French equivalent instead, but he's still entered here and is the only remaining entrant owned by Qatar Racing - surely the sponsors would want a runner in this? Betting on here suggests he won't show but I've mopped-up some of the 100+ on here just in case he does. |
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I'd have liked to see Persian King (PK) here however, I can understand why PK is staying at home: The French 2000G is a much easier race to win, assuming the likes of Magna Grecia (MG), Skardu (S) and Ten Sovereigns (TS) run here; Royal Marine (same ownership as PK) is a definite here, all being well.
Skardu could still be improving. And PK only just beat MG on favoured ground; TS is also another formidable adversary, if staying 8f. |
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Calyx is bred to be a miler and has a much greater chance of staying a mile than Shalaa ever did in my view.
Jack, what do you make of him physically and the way he goes about his racing? He looks more a sprinter from what I've seen. |
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He was a very pacey type as a 2yo so I can see why some believe he won't stay. Physically he didn't look like a sprinter to my eye last year and interestingly in this short interview before the Coventry posted below, Gosden says he was worried 6 furlongs may catch him out on debut as he is going to want 7 furlongs later in the year.
I think he is very much like his sire who I was a big fan of. Kingman had a fantastic turn of foot and was retired too early. Gosden says Kingman was a sprinter/miler who would have been equally happy in a July Cup and I think Calyx is the same type with a high cruising speed and a good turn of foot so I am hopeful he will switch off well through the race and get the trip. We haven't seen him since last June so can't know how he has developed since then, but my view with these well bred horses is that they should be given the opportunity to prove they stay the trip they are bred for, and as such I think it would be a travesty to avoid the Guineas if the horse is fit and ready to run after his injury given how mediocre the race looks compared to what it could have been. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u3G9O8s5DBk |
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I think without the key players eg TDH and Quorto this year's renewal seems to be a tug-of-war between the perceived milers eg Calyx, Ten Sovereigns and Mohaather against the probable 10f protagonists eg Magna Grecia, Royal Marine and Madhmoon. Apparently, Calyx did a nice piece of work last week, and I hope he shows up to restore some credence to the race. If so, I trust Gosden will get him as fit as possible to do himself justice despite a long lay-off.
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I keep reading that the key players are missing but, while there's no doubt that TDH and Quorto were more sure to stay, for me the race still has the fastest two 2yos of last year in Calyx and Ten Sovereigns. Possibly neither of them will stay but I'd side with Ten Sovereigns as the one most likely to get a mile. Physically, to me at least, he looks less of a sprinter than Calyx and that long stride also suggests he could be more than just a speedster. With some stamina doubts about the pair then it's possible one of the slower runners could pick up the pieces but I just couldn't back any of the others when there are two potentially above average winners in the field. It's pretty rare to get a Guineas with two runners who have already run fast enough to win most recent runnings so I'm very much looking forward to it.
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Personally I couldn't back Ten Sovereigns over a mile until he proves he stays. There is plenty of stamina on the dam's side but he seems to have inherited the speed of his sprinter sire, so it's difficult to be confident about how far he will stay.
I did believe he would be a sprinter last year and backed him for the Commonwealth Cup before the Middle Park but I'm not so sure now. I still think he is more likely to be a sprinter than a miler but I would not be surprised if he did get the trip. |
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Yes, on the pedigree side of things you'd have to say Calyx ought to have more stamina. I just think pedigree is a pointer to how a horse might develop physically and to what its racecourse requirements might be up until further evidence. Looking at both of them as 2yos, however, Calyx looked more of a typical sprinter physically. And while he wasn't exactly a tearaway he did appear fairly keen to get on with it and not necessarily one who would benefit from more being ridden with more restraint. Whereas Ten Sovereigns also showed natural speed but looked like he could be put anywhere his jockey wanted in a race. All subjective but that's how I saw it.
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For those punters into stats Calyx and TS must be seen as having a very slim chance, as you have to go back to 1999 to find a winner that never ran as far as 7f as a 2yo, which was Island Sands and probably the worst winner I've seen. This makes you think that either trainers have become extremely good at knowing which horses are going to remain sprinters very early on and placed them accordingly, or maybe some horses can have their stamina enhanced by being trained for and running over longer trips early in their career.
Calyx's 2yo career was cut short through injury but even after the Coventry Gosden was still intent on keeping him to 6f and aiming him at the Morny, which makes me think he had specific stamina doubts given that the horse was bred to stay further. I guess Coolmore stuck to 6f with TS due to his sire being an obvious influence for speed. It remains to be seen if he will be limited by that. |
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I believe the plan for Calyx was the Morny next with the final aim of the season being the Dewhurst which is why Gosden says he will step up to 7 furlongs later in the season in the video clip I posted.
That was before Too Darn Hot appeared on the scene though so we don't know if they would have changed their plans and run in the Middle Park instead. |
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Calyx: Pleasing workout over 7.5f on the Rowley Mile alongside a stablemate, easing ahead in the latter stages.
Gosden: "I'm happy with his work - he had a nice, normal blow out. He picked up well, and a decision will be made over the weekend. There is no decision now." Grimthorpe: "He's gone nicely and picked up well - Frankie seemed pretty happy with him. We still have a few things to think about, and I want to discuss it with Prince Khalid and we'll see how he's after this. There is no decision if we run or not (yet), because we have a couple of things to discuss. Frankie, in terms of how the horse is, is happy with him. We have to make a decision by sunday anyway, and that's when it will be done." No comment available from Frankie; odds eased and matched at 11.5 (here). But, I think (hope) he'll run if he comes out of this workout well over the weekend. |
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I believe the plan for Calyx was the Morny next with the final aim of the season being the Dewhurst
Yes he did say that. Even so, just over a week ago he was talking about starting him off in the Pavilion Stakes over 6f. I know he came up with reasons about him being off a long time, but I don't see it as something he would normally do after a layoff unless the runner was in fact a sprinter. If there were obvious doubts about Calyx on breeding then I could understand the wariness. There isn't so there is obviously something particular to Calyx as a specimen that gives Gosden doubts. He could be wrong of course. |
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He's going to Ascot instead.
Khalid Abdullah's racing manager Teddy Grimthorpe said: "Calyx worked on the Rowley Mile course this morning under Frankie Dettori. Both John Gosden and Frankie felt that to go straight to the 2,000 Guineas after such a long layoff would be asking too much at this stage. Therefore he will not run at Newmarket on Saturday week." He added: "He is now likely to run in the Pavilion Stakes at Ascot next Wednesday. Thereafter, the top mile races will be considered.” |
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Gosden has just said that he is bred to be a miler and is training like a miler but it would be unfair to the horse to run him in the Guineas post injury after such a long time off the track.
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I think followers of Calyx would have sensed that too ie it would be unfair to run Calyx in the Guineas post injury aftersuch a long time off the track. But, why did connections even suggested or alluded to it up to and including this morning? Anyway, water under the bridge the welfare of the horse comes 1st.
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It seems to me Gosden placed all his eggs in one basket and it's all gone wrong for him. If he didn't already have Too Darn Hot as the short priced fav for the Guineas, I think Calyx would have been trained for the Greenham and would now be the short priced fav for the Guineas.
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Gosden has just said that he is bred to be a miler and is training like a miler but it would be unfair to the horse to run him in the Guineas post injury after such a long time off the track.
That's fair enough, but why the Pavilion? He'll still be none the wiser as to a mile. Mind you, after his handling of Cracksman last year nothing really surprises me with him anymore. |
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Mohaather is the latest one. He's doubtful as he's met with a setback - he was found lame.
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The race is falling apart - if it hadn't already done so. From a personal/financial perspective I hope connections let Kick On run, I can see him running a big race along with Great Scot who finished like a train in the Greenham and already has some top-class form in the bag.
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Readers of my lay threads will know i was a massive fan of Ten Sovereigns last year (I was over for his Middle Park win) in fact i vaguely remember stating he was the fastest 2 year old of the season before he ran in it (i still stand by that). I thought he would be aimed at the usual 3 year old sprint races this season to start with (aka Sandy Lane and Commonwealth Cup) although there is stamina on the dam side and he stayed on well at Newmarket (ran a little green as well). AOB knows the time of day, although i'm a little surprised a stablemate is preferred in the betting. I hope Donnacha keeps the ride, i like him as a jockey although i don't have issues with RM.
Will TS get a mile in the 2000 guineas ? He may not have to with so many of the main protagonsits being pulled out on a regular basis, his class could see him win. I think he's good, and could be very good, let's see. I stated recently i had an ante-post bet on him (Corals UK - 9/1) but i can't trade of course and would let it ride even if i could, it wasn't a significant amount anyway. I also had a similar bet on Persian King (probably a NR) and Fairyland in the 1000 guineas (both at better odds on my previous betfair account). |
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The market on the two big O'Brien runners has been fascinating - every week they seem to flip flop in popularity. It was the same last year with Saxon Warrior and Gustav Klimt, though from the 5 day stage it became clear that SW was the one, depsite the jockey bookings maybe suggetsing otherwise.
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I will be very surprised if that slowboat Magna Greca starts shorter than TS. Coolmore can't know for sure if TS will stay, but they don't lack confidence in his ability, past betting has told us that. I know he's top class, his Middle Park time told me that. There is no way they're going to think Magna Greca is in the same league. If they have zero confidence in TS staying then why bother running him? Expect a big move for TS.
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*Magna Grecia
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Likelly to be very quick ground with zero rain forecast and barely a drop this weekend in the area - Ten Sovereigns might not like that too much.
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He handled it very well in the Middle Park uncle.
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why do you think magna is a slowboat Figgis mate? does he not show up well on your figures?
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LR, no he'd have to improve a bundle just to squeak a place. I know it's not all about times and races can be run in a way that disguise what the horses are truly capable of but that wasn't the case in MC's last two races. I also know that horses can improve almost out of recognition between 2 and 3. For instance I didn't have Cockney Rebel or Galileo Gold as fast enough to win a Guineas. It's not impossible that MC could do the same but so could many of the others and at a much better price. Knowing how Coolmore clock them in training I can't believe they rate those two anything like similar.
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