Horse Antepost
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National Hunt 2015/16 Big Races Thread
National Hunt 2015/16 Big Races Thread
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Replies: 1,665
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CV, I think you have missed Globalisation off from you P&L..
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Betfair Hurdle - Zarib 1.5pt ew 20/1, various.
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was pointed out as void before the race due to being a class 4 race.
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cool
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I prob should have mentioned it though in the tot up as void. Also should've mentioned San Benedeto was n/r due to Ffos Las being abandoned.
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Sint do you keep your betting records in a spreadsheet? I cannot tell you how useful record keeping is for self improvement. It'd be good to see some stats from others on here around shorter priced horses vs longer. I found from my betting records for season to Feb from last season and this season that sub 5/1 betting is not profit making for me and was loss making when Hurricane Flys 3 wins last season were excluded. Greater than 5/1 bets are nicely profitable. The tough part is the discipline and also to remove the emotion from betting. As everyone knows I have the extremes of emotion when it comes to this game.
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I do keep records in a spreadsheet yes. I think anyone who takes their betting seriously should. It also comes in handy to keep my fiances nerves at bay as she worries whenever I place a bet!
I don't really have any rules with regards price unless they're ridiculously shortly like 1/3 or something. Sometimes a 4/5 shot should be 1/2. Just recently I backed Thistlecrack for World Hurlde at 13/8 believing he should be Evens/ 10/11, he is now 5/4, so I have no problem backing shorties. They just don't give the same feeling of excitement I suppose. |
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Evening All
Liam.....   Agree with Trev/Sint,guilty as charged, when first came across this thread 3 yrs ago,treating it initially as somewhere to put up selections,not truly understanding the ethos. As time has passed,that has changed significantly,discipline mentioned above by CVB, for me, is the key area that I need to control,the ability to pass probably more important than when to play. Having somewhere to access staking,amount of selections,time of year etc....in one place,is a great tool for anyone trying to hone their betting. ROO.....fully understand that last comment,I have absolutely no doubt you were actually trying to help,we all make mistakes on here or forget posts/prices etc......text does not always read out the same as the spoken word. You are indeed a true gent,with a wealth of knowledge that is evident for all to see,it would be a sad day were that not to continue. IBRAHIM.....same comments apply,great to see you post this season,I hope you can reconsider. GL ALL |
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Sint not saying anything wrong with backing shorties as even a 4/5 shot can be value. 4/5 about Faugheen is value. There are the successful crop of people who play big on short priced favs and make good returns. To improve I'd love to know why I'm currently failing at it and others can succeed. What am I doing that is possible to change for the better.
I want to improve by learning some from others. |
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Keeping a record of every bet placed is an absolute must.
I personally only bet in Handicaps - Class 1 and 2 only. Level stake , single win only bets. Essential you have a Racing Bank sufficient to cover potential long losing runs. Last five years records show average winning SP of 6/1. I rarely bet on anything less than 3/1. |
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Kempton 15:50
Ned Stark 0.5pt 5/1 Hills |
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Betfair Hurdle
Flying Angel 1pt ew @ 50/1 (Victor) |
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I hope we see the return of everyone who has contributed to this thread. It's been great seeing
it so busy this season. I know it gets watched from the sidelines by a lot of people and one of the best things about it is the general good humour of all involved. Good luck to all. |
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Newbury 13:50 Millanisi. 0.75pt 6/1 sj
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Newbury 15.35
Dicosimo - 1pt win 20/1 PP |
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Posting after a while
Dicosimo 2 point win 1 place @ 16/1 366 Outclass opposition on his ground |
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Denman Chase - 2.5pts win Rocky Creek 15/8, sly bet, 3.65.
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adding 1pt ew Zarib 18/1, sly bet 5places.
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3.50 Warwick 2.5pt win Cogry 4/1, various.
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1.20 Newbury Emerging Talent 2.5pt win 10/11, various.
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Red Mills - Smashing 2.5pt win 11/8, various.
3 short one today. Could look a Mug later. |
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Betfair Hurdle
Waxies Dargle 0.5pt e/w 40/1 5places B365 |
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Think that's a shrewd bet CVB
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Betfair
Flying Angel 0.5pt ew 50/1 365 Matorico 0.5pt ew 33/1 365 (both 1st 5) |
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He'll love the conditions and the strong pace will bring his stamina into play Roo and is over priced. I've had a bit more at 65.0 on here along with Business Sivola at 100.0
Also Warwick 15:50 Niceonefrankie 0.5pt 10/1 B365 |
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Newbury 3.35
Modus 2.5pt w 10/1 888 Agrapart 1.5pt w 22/1 b365 |
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1-50 newb Count guido deiro 1pt 12/1 365/sb
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Grand National
Midnight Prayer 33's Cause of Cause 40's Both 1pt ew (Various) Our Father 0.5 pts ew (Various) |
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Wd Noc
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nice one noc
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Grand National
Midnight Prayer 33's Cause of Causes 40's Both 1pt ew (Various) Our Father 0.5 pts ew 100's (Various) |
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Excellent pick Noc, well done.
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Good winner hoc and well done those with 50/1 ew on Flying Angel and CVB with Waxies Dargle
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Thanks All.....Pride of place to Chelsea with Agrapart
 ....lovely hitWP GI/Sint all winners +25.6 c g deiro +12 flying angel +5.75 matorico -1 +42.35 / 0 IP |
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Missed CVB with waxies,good shout
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Aye, well done todays winners, some nice prices.
-44 / 14 IP Flying Angel +11.5 -32.5 / 16 IP |
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Sorry CH, missed that. Great, great shout
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Well done Chelsea & CVB
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Grand National Trial
Mountainous - 2pt win 12/1 gen |
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Ryanair
Valseur Lido- 1pt win 8/1 Sly |