That didnt go very well....

yes it is tough.
Argus withdrawn (no 3yo runner)
Lightly raced runners Litigant, Storm Force Ten, Giantstepsahead, plus long break runners Barwick and Villa Royal
Fifteen pattern race runners.........
Might be another statbuster race.

Shame that, Buonarroti 2nd and Esteaming 3rd to a trend busting winner

good luck Kipper... hope your right about Present View...

Perfect Candidate 20/1 5th but 4 places a killer but Annacotty saved the day

On a separate note, I rarely listen to information much preferring old fashioned study but had a good word for Unowhatimeanharry 315 Cheltenham. Does look to have a strong chance too and been backed. Dont shoot the messenger....

Greatwood wasnt too great with 4th, 5th and 13th....Been taking the 16/1 Tea For Two in the fixed brush which is now 14/1 in a place and under pressure looking at the Betfair market. Was a big race winner for me in the Lanzarote earlier in the year so hoping to repeat the feat here

Lovely that, so well handicapped imo

Nice one Kipper

Caspian Caviar - put my thoughts on the other thread but not particularly confident and kept bets small.  Jockey bookings have also weakened confidence with RJ choosing Village Vic and Brendan Powell not exactly an eye catching booking for the King Yard. I was on Annacotty last time and will have a saver but main bets are Champagne West to win and Turn Over Sivola each way at 25/1 with 4 places....I think the PP form is too close to call who wins this time out, thought Little John had to work hard to win off lower mark, wasnt sure Village Vic was good enough, I like Venetia and was on Aachen today but just dont see Tenor Nivernais here, Johns Spirit is on a winnable mark but not seemingly running well, Doctor Phoenix didnt seem good enough but then I started to warm to him more and was close to a bet for me, Mozoltov not the most obvious taking into account age and layoff, Texas Jack I thought was too old and Shantou Magic not running well enough.
Overall I think any of the PP runners could win it so swerving that angle and chanced the two bets mentioned above with a saver on the PP winner.

Good luck

Last weekend didnt go well with jockey bookings leading to fear my bets and research was wrong as Turn Over Sivola had a jockey booked who had 2 rides for the yard in the last 2 years on relatively fancied horses which ran stinkers and R Johnson swerving the debutant Champagne West to ride Village Vic.  Champagne ran well but the jockey was on the right one leading them all a merry dance. Really competitive at Ascot tomorrow and the Ladbroke looks tough but I landed the winner last year and like a couple this year too.  My main bet was ante post on Zarib at 20/1 and 16/1 each way. I really like this horse and think the form is strong for the horses rating as mentioned on the other thread

"Zarib who has excellent form and from another yard that does well in this....Ive backed Zarib at 20/1 and 16/1 due to eyecatching form. Bearing in mind Zarib is off 133 here....First hurdle run he beat Jalingo who has won and placed every start since and is rated 134, followed up by running 3rd beaten 12l in receipt of 3lb to Peace and Co (159) and Karezak (150), then destroyed a poor field, then beaten 6l in the Fred WInter off this mark, then raced at Ascot trying to give 8lb to the good 6l winner Lil Rockerfeller and 13lb to the runner up Sternrubin only a 3 1/2 lengths ahead. Seasonal reappearance was a good third to Irving getting lumps weight admittedly"

My only doubt is that he was as big as 20/1 when I backed him as thought 10/1 was a true price so am I overrating ?

The market is loving Jollys Cracked It but even though he could be much better than shown I just cant seem him as value on what we know. The other I like is Sternrubin who has a likeable profile but in theory shouldnt beat Zarib on these terms.  I'm having much smaller bets on Presenting ARms who seems massive in price from the same stable as Jolly. Finally I'm having a saver on the one who may be exposed but has very solid form and always runs a race in Sort it Out.

My only reservations on this race are that based on trends 4 year olds are only 1 win in 53 runs.....with 5 year olds being the dominant force

Its not that often I back a Venetia horse but my last two bets were Cold March when winning recently (see above for the post) and Aachen when winning last week to help the day recover from a disaster in the Caspian and the Donny race so in the Sodexo I'm on Katenko at decent ante post prices and Houblon Des Obeaux

Shame the weather has postponed the Welsh National, spent ages on that race too.... Small bet tomorrow for me in the big staying hcap chase at Leopardstown (PP Chase)....taken the 18/1 on Rossvoss and may have a nibble at the 33/1 Perfect Promise

Evening all and happy new year !  I thought the last at Sandown tomorrow would be a puzzle that could be solved but even though trends seem clear cut and in line with the odds, Im less confident the more I look. Trends say a horse aged 6 or younger with 2 or 3 seasonal runs who ran in the last 16-90 days. That leaves the two 13/2 shots See The Rock and Romain De Senam.  Only issue is that these yards arent exactly on fire and Ebony Express is a horse I expect to pop in soon is the 14/1 outsider, then we have Venetia who has won this before with a horse that ran poorly in 2 prep runs similar to Leviathan, horses running well in Cardinal Place and Sirop De Menthe and the top weight with tremendous heavy ground form plus others that cant easily be discounted....tough race....

For me Im thinking 40 win See The Rock and Romain and 20 win Ebony Express but may halve those bets by the morning....

Its a funny old game....stinker from Keel Haul there

Welsh National - not enjoying this heavy ground the last few weeks but had researched this race so still playing with small win bets on Return Spring, Firebird Flyer, Tour des Champs and Woodford County. Good luck all