I will follow your extremely adventurous tip this year then Benjy, what was it? Oh yes the 2nd favourite which you can't see past if it's  good/good to soft.

the weight trend is probably better looked at in relation to bottom weight, rather than 11st 1lb and less. There have been a few winners carrying over 11st 1lb lately, but if you look at it as horses within 14lbs of bottom weight then Neptune Collonges is the only horse to break this trend in a very long time. This year it looks like between 10st and 10st 2lbs will be bottom weight, that doesn't rule out many runners but certainly one or two at the top of the market

Was he ever NOT going to ride it ?

Must have been tempted by Cause of Causes after Chelts facts.

Wyck Hill at 130 on here seems a ridiculous price on here as Bridgewater confirmed he was on target for the race yesterday. It stays all day, will run off bottom weight and the going looks like being soft enough to make it a slog. Im on.

The other I have backed at 70 plus on here is Across the Bay, running well when taken out of the race by a loose horse last year, this is its sole target.

Yeah Barstool ... I backed Across the Bay last year... was well gutted when he was taken out was going really really well...

I might back him again only based on last seasons run... at 66s Korals worth a tiny bet...

backed 2 so far Across The Bay
and The Rainbow Hunter.
If Pete The Bloke is looking
in,Quick Question-can you now
offset lays in this race.
cheers.

Nina Carberry will take another shot at becoming the first female jockey to win the Grand National a week on Saturday when she climbs aboard First Lieutenant. The horse’s trainer, Mouse Morris, confirmed on Tuesday that he had booked the Irish amateur jockey to replace Bryan Cooper, suspended for breaches of the whip rules during the Cheltenham Festival.

Morris acknowledged that Carberry has not ridden First Lieutenant in a race. “But she’s ridden him at home,” he said and added that the pair had schooled well together over a National-style fence in recent days.

First Lieutenant is a general 33-1 shot for the Aintree race on 11 April, having seemed to lose his form this winter. “He’s had some tough races and he’s getting on a bit,” Morris agreed, but the Grand National has had a reviving effect on some horses with that profile over the years.

“He’s got as good a chance as any,” the trainer continued. “I was fourth in it one year [with Lastofthebrownies in 1989] and he’d have a better chance than that one. He’s got a bit of class but you also need a bit of luck.”

First Lieutenant was a Cheltenham Festival winner over hurdles in 2011 and won the Betfred Bowl at Aintree a couple of years ago. The National will be his first chance in a handicap since he was third in a high-class version of the Hennessy behind Bobs Worth and Tidal Bay in 2012.

The 30-year-old Carberry has had four rides in the National, completing the course three times and finishing seventh on Character Building in 2010. Her sister-in-law Katie Walsh achieved the best placing by a woman in the race when third on Seabass in 2012.

Jonjo O’Neill’s only runner in this year’s race will be the favourite, Shutthefrontdoor, following the news that his Merry King has developed a breathing problem which will put him out of action until the autumn. Meanwhile, Nicky Henderson said Hadrian’s Approach was a doubtful runner after banging a joint.

Home Farm is another National entrant who now seems unlikely to line up. “I’ve got to talk to the owners but I’m 95% sure he won’t run,” said his Waterford-based trainer, Henry De Bromhead. “He’s only eight. We might be over for next year but I think we’ll keep him for Punchestown this time.”

But there will be some depth to the Irish challenge for this year’s race, as Portrait King and Owega Star were both confirmed as intended runners by their trainers.

The news about Merry King and Home Farm means that Court By Surprise should now make the cut for the Grand National and become a first runner in the race for his trainer, Emma Lavelle. Meanwhile all the horses set to carry 10st 2lb are currently just outside the safety limit of 40 runners and connections must hope for further withdrawals at the next entry stage on Monday.

Among those fretting over such matters is the Cumbrian-based Dianne Sayer, whose Baileys Concerto is among those on 10st 2lb. “Brian Hughes schooled him over the National-style fences at Malton this morning,” Sayer said.

“I think we caught the worst weather of the winter – we had wind, hail and rain – but the schooling itself went well. It’s another step on the road towards the Grand National and we are very happy with him.

“He had a bit of heat and swelling in his leg when he came back from the Sky Bet Chase at Doncaster, which I was initially very concerned about but it was just him over-reacting as usual.

“We lost a bit of time because of that and there was a suspicion when we ran him at Kelso that he wasn’t quite right but it would have meant a long break between Doncaster and Aintree. I wasn’t overly disappointed with that run and it will have hopefully helped us.

“If he doesn’t get in, then we will give the Topham Chase a go instead.”

http://www.theguardian.com/sport/2015/mar/31/grand-national-2015-nina-carberry-first-lieutenant-first-female-mouse-morris

Clueless trainer,maybe just keep weight down for Spring Heeled imo.

very interested to see who will now ride Al Co   , has a good a chance as any - high class stayer

Sam Waley- Cohen would be good choice if he was available

Raz de Maree swerves the Irish National, an interesting runner if it gets in

Praying that Raz De Maree will scrape in. Will love the distance and soft ground and on at 50's.  Hopefully the trainer feels that there will be enough withdrawals and hence the Irish National withdrawal?

...Or just clutching at straws

I backed RDM last year; he was way behind very early as they go too fast for him on good ground, but he stayed the trip really well and ended up 8th. He needs genuinely soft ground to stand any chance in this, if he sneaked in I'd be interested if he got his conditions. A couple of pounds lower and he was visored last year, so I'd expect to see them on again.

just had a look at the weather forecast, not a drop of rain between now and next weekend, and warm too. It'll be the soft side of good (probably watered), just the way they want it. Not great for Raz de Maree though

How does Jim Culloty make it pay when he hasn't had a winner for a year?

Don`t like backing horses that have run at Cheltenham festival or horses aged less than 9 years old. Leaves me with and in no particular order,Rocky Creek,Balthazar King,Night in Milan,Oscar Time,Chance Du Roy,Alvarado and Across the Bay.

Oscar Time is a bit ancient so will probably leave out. Leaves six to pick from or six to back.

Perhaps so but of all those returning he gets the most weight from Pineau.

Trained by .......

my scatter gun has already fired
oscar time 50,s
alvarado 40,s
night in milan 50,s
chance de roy 40,s,

rocky and bal king a bit short for me so might add across the bay and hope your trends and my scatter gun approach alighn,