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As for the colts, I was reasonably impressed with Shifting Power's time over 7f. He looked a little awkward but it was probably just greenness. It wasn't good enough to suggest he's Gp1 material yet but he should be capable of a Gp2 if he goes on from that.
I would've rated Shifting Power higher at the time but decided to err on the side of caution, but after further results I just have to go back to my intended rating. I think this colt is already Gp1 material. He's the most exciting 2yo I've seen so far this year, you can keep your War Command and Kingman ![]() |
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what does the panel make of War Commands lastest SF. 95 from Raceform!!!
![]() Nearly a second slower than Terrfic's race. Did the ground deteriorate that much. The going allowance is the same from Raceform for both races. |
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shifting power, dont like the pedigree of that horse. your selection for 2000 guineas?
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Can't have Shifting Power I'm afraid.
Great White Eagle was very impressive on debut - if he wins well today I'd make him favourite. |
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Yes, at this stage I do think he could be that good. Still a bit early to be going in boldly, though, so I've not had a bet yet. They seem to be playing him fairly low key and I've not seen the Guineas even mentioned by them. He's entered for the Royal Lodge and RPT, which tempers my enthusiasm a bit as I'd like to see him kept to 7f this year.
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Edit: looks like GWE had already won when I posted, though I have no idea if he was impressive or not? I am rather drunk while wathing the footie so apologies if it seeemed like aftertiming.
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GWE did it well enough but don't think he did any more than his previous form said he should.
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You certainly wouldn't call him impressive. On a line through the second he has made little or no progress from his debut but typically that hasn't stopped bookmakers trimming him for the 2,000 Guineas. Despite what that market may suggest (and no doubt those who may have plunged on Great White Eagle) War Command looked quite a bit better than this against better opposition.
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compton place only group 1 winner was boderlescott, that won 2 group 1's over 5f. probably a very good horse. pedigree doesnt
look good for a guineas win. ive only just started on pedigrees, im not expert by any means. last few races of the year, will be important, after dewhurst and national stakes, everyone will be more sure of their choices then. |
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Roadrunner, I'm sure I'm even less of an expert on pedigrees than you. Once a horse has started doing it on the racecourse, rightly or wrongly, I take very little notice of pedigrees, apart from rough estimates of ability to step up in trip, etc,. I know obviously there is some value in pedigree analysis, although I do think some of the trends may be self perpetuating and there are always exceptions to the trends.
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For the record I'm very keen on Ed Dunlops God Willing for next year - maybe more of a Derby prospect (pedigree says 10f so hard to know) but I think he might be very useful.
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shifting power will be a good example now, will see how the horse progresses, will understand more about the pedigree and
if its an important part of working out a horses future potential, especially regarding winning a classic. dont doubt this horse is very good, considering you work on speed ratings, do know their is value in the times of races. everyone has to specialize. just have an interest in pedigrees. very rewarding work. |
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Cant disagree that SHIFTING POWER is the 2yo colt from England I have been most impressed by this year to date. Appreciate the sire is a sprinter, with a very indifferent record at stud for getting anything other than sprinting Group winners, but on this occasion the dam gives plenty of stamina pointers for getting another furlong for the mile - maybe its a match made in heaven?
On pure visuals he looks very good, and if wearing Prince KA's colours he would be shorter in the 2000 Guineas market. |
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not entirely sure, but thought I heard Aidan O'Brien say on ATR that War Command was his no.1 for the Dewhurst. Anyone else hear that interview from the Curragh Sunday?
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Didn't see it, ped, but I read it. Should be a good race if Be Ready shows as planned.
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5 of last 21 Guineas winners won Dewhurst, still the best "trial", just in front of the National Stakes (4)
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Ped, yes it is the best trial. I used to think the race could break a good horse, ask them a bit much too soon. It probably does in some cases, but I've changed my view in recent years. My original opinion was based on so many highly rated winners, such as Xaar, appearing not to train on the following season. However, when I looked back on a lot of those races I found that quite a few of them had been overrated by handicappers, they weren't quite as good had been made out.
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thats the group 1 box ticked
how will the guineas market react to that win?. |
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A Group 1 in name only imo.
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War Command did well I thought today. Not a brilliant race but not his conditions at all. I do look forward to seeing this horse next year on a firmer surface. BC Juvenile Turf would be ideal for him but predict today will be his last run?
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I made it 5lb below his coventry win ans 7lb below what Dawn Approach did last year. I think he could progress next year and a mile and firmer ground could see him improve.
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Goodness me AOB had 20 entries in the Dewhurst. I do hope WC doesn't represent anywhere near the best we have around. It will be a long poor year if he is.
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Not impressed be disappointing if that is good enough to win the Guineas
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twice in a row the horse has won easy races at value prices considering the oppostion, been a good horse to follow this season.
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At level stakes, backing him today would've meant nearly breaking even from the loss in the Phoenix Stakes. He won inbetween at the price of 8/11. A profit is a profit but I've seen better horses to follow
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wasnt a good bet in the phoenix stakes, price was so wrong, gotta understand they were both group 2 winners at that stage,
on price alone you would of been backing the winner. two wins in a row now, successful notebook horse for me. horse has delivered when the money was down, shows RP ratings not to far off will need to improve next year and no doubt. |
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Godolphin will have an excellent handle on all the best 2yo form. Outstrip has faced Toormore and War Command and I would think Be Ready is a smarter horse than Outstrip. Interesting.
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Anyone else feel absolutely deflated by the lack of quality in this seasons 2 year olds?
And AOB blamed himself for WC's defeat. How many more times is the trainer going to run horses when they are not right? The list is now well off the page. Unless he is talking rubbish of course. |
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Yep have heard Godolphin rate Be Ready their best 2yo Sint. Tbh I'm not sure what to make of 2yo's as a bunch Brigust I just hope the likes of WC, Kingman etc improve for next season. The fillies are also starting to disappoint me I thought they looked a decent bunch but they are all beating each other. Suggests they are nothing special either.
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I know I live in the past but I do long for a season like the 1970 season.
Free handicap weights. 11111111 My Swallow 9st 7lb 112111 Mill Reef 9st 6lb 1111 Brigadier Gerard 9st 5lb 11111111 Cawston Pride 9st 4lbs Happy days but long ago. |
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two of those did nothing notable as 3yos
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brigust
Anyone else feel absolutely deflated by the lack of quality in this seasons 2 year olds? Toormore looks up to scratch, brig. And AOB blamed himself for WC's defeat. How many more times is the trainer going to run horses when they are not right? The list is now well off the page. Unless he is talking rubbish of course. My view is he's talking rubbish, the horse has been extremely consistent in its performances as far as I'm concerned. |
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Of course you are right AT.
My Swallow bolted up in his trial, was 3rd in the 2000 Gns beaten by 2 of the best horses of the 20th Century, was then 2nd in heavy ground to Faraway Son who was only beaten once in 4 runs after that and that was by BG in the Sussex Stakes and finally he was touched off in the July Cup. Not great form. Cawstons Pride never trained on. First time out she won the Ascot Guineas trial beating the Irish 1000 Gns and Falmouth Stakes winner Favolletta. She started 6/4f for the 1000 Gns but her temperament clearly failed her, she ran once more after that and was then retired. The other two ran 22 times winning 20 and finishing 2nd twice. But my point was that it was a winter too cherish about what was to come. That was my point AT. Not sure about Toormore Fig. His form suffered today in many ways. |
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I can't see how Sudirman's run today, finishing behind a 100/1 shot, can have any real relevance to Toormore's form. Whether you rate Sudirman or not, he obviously was below his best today.
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I can agree with that Fig but WC didn't really enhance Sudirman's winning form either. The Godolphin horse was not great so I hope there is something a good deal better than what we have seen so far. Toormore has beaten a Gr1 winner albeit a questionable race so that is something I suppose.
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On reflection, and assuming they now put him away for the winter, I'd make War Command the most likely winner of the Guineas at this stage and double figure odds aren't too bad given the paucity of credible rivals.
I don't understand why Toormore didn't run in the premier British juvenile group 1 -unless he's going for the Breeders Cup or Racing Post Trophy. I'm assuming they were worried about losing his unbeaten record. Maybe something (Australia?) will win the Racing Post Trophy impressivley and leap to the head of the market (like St Nic and Camelot did) and Kingman could still be anything of course, but I do fear that me may have another disappointing crop of juvenile colts. |
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Is War Command related to Declaration of War? If so can only see him being a better horse as he gets older. As usual with AOB, will he have him primed for HQ or use it as a prep for Ireland then Ascot. The market over the Winter is usually a good guide.
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I couldn't see war command getting beat yesterday and had a nice few quid on at 11/8 but it didn't strike me as an outstanding performance against average opposition I would certainly not be rushing to bet him for the guineas
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interesting the comments of Steve Mellish yesterday, think he said, pre-race, War Command was the most likely to make a 3yo as he was the strongest looking colt in the field..... but was not particularly impressed by the win, post race, saying it was just workmanlike.
Can't disagree with that, though with trainer and jockey saying the horse is getting lazy, maybe it should not be dismissed too easily even though not overly impressive. Presumably the horse is lazy at home and that's why he went off 20/1 in the Coventry? And also why the trainer didn't know he was unfit before the Phoenix? But at no stage during the Dewhurst did I think he was ever going to lose. Fast getting the impression that he could be a Rock Of Gibraltar type, just gets the job done, not flashy, a tough horse and with more to come. War Command every right to be marginal favourite for the Guineas on what he's achieved imo, though Gary O'Brien's opinion that Toormore the one to be on at this stage much respected |
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Ped, considering much has been made of War Command's physique and scope, personally I've found he's made no improvement since the Coventry, that's not to say he can't progress over the winter of course. Has he progressed on your figures? He's run to a very consistent mark on each of his starts, for me, and consistency is a good quality for a horse to possess. Nevertheless, I still don't see him finishing any better than placed in a Guineas unless it's a substandard affair. I know what you mean about Rock of Gibraltar, but he'd run some fast times as a 2yo and his ability was never in doubt, despite him only doing enough. So you think he should be favourite, I thought you were more a fan of Kingman?
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