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Clive Smith on his big decision With Kauto Star

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Replies: 179
By:
The Headmaster
When: 12 Dec 11 16:11
Clive Smith: "Master Minded has been aimed for the race, but it was a great performance from Kauto three weeks ago.  If he showed any sign that he wasn't right, we wouldn't be running him. I don't mind who wins, but perhaps I've a slight preference for Kauto."

Now obviously Master Mindeed is a very good horse and not one that Mr Smith wants to see beat...but still, I would have expected Clive to get behind the old boy a little more readily!
By:
sintonian
When: 12 Dec 11 16:15
Great news. A better price on Long Run should now be attainable.
By:
strontium
When: 12 Dec 11 16:33
That's the spirit Sint Wink Good job SWC dodged the ban eh?
By:
sintonian
When: 12 Dec 11 17:26
Indeed.
By:
buddeliea
When: 12 Dec 11 17:29
Well,im a tad surprised but its great for us re the King George.
Not so good for Kautos chances in the Gold Cup imo,but maybe im wrong on that as well!!

So,given this news,imo Master Minded should not be backed to win the race,he was a doutful stayer,but with his jockey,now hes a doutful stayer without his jockey,would not touch him with stolen.
By:
judorick
When: 13 Dec 11 00:12
great news, correct decision, can't wait

win then retire?
By:
buddeliea
When: 13 Dec 11 07:52
if he wins the Gold Cup will be next,then retire.
By:
strontium
When: 13 Dec 11 09:47
If he stays healthy, I'm sure he'll run in the Gold Cup. If he has a bad day at Kempton they'll just say the Betfair took more out of him than they'd thought but he'll be fresh for Cheltenham, and that Chelt suits him better than Kempton nowadays. The Nicholls excuse playbook is really quite formulaic.
By:
buddeliea
When: 13 Dec 11 12:10
According to his jockey hes always been more suited to Cheltenham,so that excuse would be viable.Angd given that hes a real stayer now it would make sense anyway.
By:
judorick
When: 13 Dec 11 12:23
so we get to see him run twice more? well what a pleasure that will be

put up a good show old son!
By:
buddeliea
When: 13 Dec 11 12:26
yep,think i will book my ticket now,any jumps fan who can get there,should be there.
By:
layingisthewayforward
When: 13 Dec 11 18:10
lay of long run for me at the prices.
By:
buddeliea
When: 13 Dec 11 19:15
guess what.......no bloody trains on Boxing Day.
TV for meSad
By:
judorick
When: 13 Dec 11 21:04
that's unlucky!
By:
EVILROYSLADE
When: 13 Dec 11 22:43
Kauto winning the King George would be a wonderful sight. Not that I expect it to happen of course. Unless I am going mad and  jockeys have already been assigned, I reckon Ruby will be aboard MM and he will win it.
By:
judorick
When: 13 Dec 11 22:45
nope Ruby is riding Kauto!
By:
alansure1
When: 13 Dec 11 23:05
Hiya chaps ive been backing weird Al e/w for the king george and it keeps coming into 30s then out to 100s then back in,its still entered in the race but do you think its a runner or any news would be greatly appreciated.
By:
sintonian
When: 14 Dec 11 09:31
alan, think they said they are giving him a long break and then back to the festival.
By:
alansure1
When: 14 Dec 11 10:16
ahhh ok i have backed him for the gold cup so it looks like ive done my money on the king george thanks sintonian
By:
The Headmaster
When: 14 Dec 11 11:02
McCain did say that.

So why did he leave him in at the recent scratching stage?

And why, yet again, has not a single member of the press room spotted this and rung the trainer?
By:
The Headmaster
When: 14 Dec 11 11:55
Weird Al no go.
By:
alansure1
When: 14 Dec 11 21:27
thanks headmaster did you speak to the stable ???
By:
Martin pipe returns
When: 14 Dec 11 23:11
Any update on Riverside Theatre? NJH has previous with running this sort of ("won't be ready in time")thing ! e.g. Binocular and more recently Dave's Dream in the Paddy P.
By:
SEATHESTARS....NO1
When: 15 Dec 11 10:42
Yeah i wouldn't mind an update too mpr, as i was thinking about backing it on the day but fear his odds would be much depleted than current on the day if he goes so want to add him to my portfolio for the KG but am fearful i am just throwing money away if i back him!
By:
Viva Pataca
When: 16 Dec 11 17:09
Is Noble Prince a runner at Kempton?
By:
strontium
When: 16 Dec 11 17:42
RT is a non-runner http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/news/story_get.cgi?STORY_NAME=racing/11/12/16/RACING_Theatre.html&BID=465

Does anyone think Kauto may not run if the ground comes up like it has at Newbury and Ascot in recent days? In the past they've tried to avoid soft ground with him (nd it should suit Masterminded)
By:
Storm Alert
When: 17 Dec 11 12:25
It's a good point.  However the 10 day forecast is mostly Sunny with a couple of days of cloud with low precipitation.  The chances are the ground will be good-soft at worst.
By:
johnnyrant
When: 17 Dec 11 16:49
I do not like the way the racing media start eulogising about NH horses, and treating them like they are machines. All the hyping of Kauto Star running in the KG... I don't like it, the same way I didn't like the way they did it with Denman. These chasers are putting their necks on the line every time they go out to race and it is tempting fate. I don't think he will win, would rather see KS retired after all his lion-hearted efforts, and just hope to see him return safely.
By:
sintonian
When: 17 Dec 11 21:19
I kinda see what your saying Johnny. I thought all the talk and coverage dedicated to KS lto before Haydock was a bit unfair and disingenuous on Long Run as he is the current Champ. But then KS went and won!!Laugh So it was justified.

I also thhink there has been scant mention of Imperial Commader amondst all this, particularly when Denman retired.

But tbf to the press, horses like KS and Denman dont come around too often so ..
By:
duffy
When: 18 Dec 11 22:14
if kauto wins the king george i will never again have it, when, after a below par run from a horse , the trainer comes on and says....he wasn't supposed to be at his peak today, his target is months away.

at haydock kauto was hard fit to give nicholls every chance to prove the doubters wrong, i worry that we will see a far poorer performance from a horse who has already had his big day.....i also take it as a negative of their opinion on MM getting the trip.
By:
buddeliea
When: 19 Dec 11 12:12
i worry as well Duffy for same reasons as you have just said.Personally,i wanted to see him skip the KG for a real good crack at the Gold Cup.
Still who are we to question Mr Nicholls??
By:
judorick
When: 19 Dec 11 12:31
still banging on about the Gold Cup? Confused
By:
buddeliea
When: 19 Dec 11 12:36
not really,just agreeing with duffys post.
By:
SEATHESTARS....NO1
When: 19 Dec 11 15:28
It is my opinion that LR will not be winning this season. I just can't have it. He looked laboured at haydock. My opnion comes in equal measure from the law of averages and form shown lto.

Ok you can argue that we will see a different horse in the KG same as last year, but will we? Will he really be able to repeat the same as last term in that he showed improvement for the first run to the next? Bearing in mind that last terms first run of the season was a handicap and this terms was a grade 1 i cannot have it. A beating from KS by 8 lengths at the line (the margin was no more than 3 at the last) gives me an opinion that KS and MM will have it their own way on Monday. Mad you might think but i am entitled to an opinion. CC is a major threat too and i have taken some 8/1 the other day.
I am wary of master minded not getting the trip, but at 10/1 the other month i backed him as at that price was willing to find out lol.

Law of averages tells everyone he wont be winning, look at the gold cup winners over the last 20 or so years, i compared just the last 10, we been very very lucky in that we have had horses this last 10 years that have been slightly better than the opposition on offer that particular year. Best Mate won it 3 times, KS twice. But what else do we have, Kicking King, Looks like trouble, See more Business, War of Attrition i can go on, how many of them great horses came out the season after and showed the same level or better form?
By:
sintonian
When: 19 Dec 11 15:34
Weird logic. LR's seasonal debut this season was infinitley better than his debut last season.
By:
SEATHESTARS....NO1
When: 19 Dec 11 15:52
Quite possibly it is a little weird. And yes, he may well have showed improved level of form as last terms fto, which only tells me there will be limited improvement on his 2nd outing compared to last term. Like i said, we have been very lucky last few years, i.e BM KS etc, but the same was said of all them other gold cup winners, they were all pretty short prices for the debuts the next term, and win on debut or not, they never quite showed the same level again in their next seasons after winning. But all carried the expectations that they would be better!

Don't get me wrong, i will be very happy for him to come on out boxing day and prove me wrong, a new superstar to emerge would be good for the sport. And i will be taking some of the 6/1 i was offered on him completing the double (KG & GC) but i wont be backing him for the single. The double bet is merely an insurance bet as if i am proved to be wrong and he does win the KG my 6/1 will be no bigger than an evs - 4/5 chance and a nice win lay of him in the GC will lock in a nice profit and ensure i level up with my stakes on what i have already backed in the KG e/w.
By:
duffy
When: 20 Dec 11 08:33
i don't understand with regards to long run the downbeat attitude toward him...last year he was a baby who ended up winning the KG and GC, now after one run where he wasn't fit and perhaps that's why his jumping suffered because as we know he has his issues in that department and it may be that these issues are compounded when he isn't fit...anyway, after one run all of a sudden he's pretty much had it...kauto has had his big day...long run has been trained for his big day on monday.
By:
SEATHESTARS....NO1
When: 20 Dec 11 09:27
Never once said Long Run has had it tbf, just said that his proper top season maybe was last term and now he will find it a little tougher as the years progress as does many a top class horse over the sticks and flat!
By:
sintonian
When: 20 Dec 11 09:41
He is 6 years old ffs! LaughCool
By:
SEATHESTARS....NO1
When: 20 Dec 11 10:11
Ok sint, yes he is 6, that is made quite obvious! I stand by what i saying. Lets see who is laughing come Monday afternoon then shall we. It is a horse race, therefore anything can and possibly will happen. Everything fell into place last term, just a hunch that i have that his top season was last season and he wont top it. Maybe because his opposition were relatively out of form or had excuses, Nichols has since said KS wasn't properly finishing off his races, this looked more and more apparent as the season went on being pulled up in his last outing but very well backed. We don't yet know how good MM might be at the trip/kempton he is preferred to go right handed after all and then we have CC, also relatively unknown, a horse that would have pished up in the Haldon gold cup but for that horrendous blunder!

It certainly wont be no cake walk! If it is though, i wont be hiding, i will be getting pi$$ed with family and friends and so don't be surprised im not on please. I am not knocking the horse, i just prefer to go against the seamingly obvious in a race and plump for the e/way alternative in top races, something that as it turns out i am right at times i.e betfair chase. I went the same way with KS too when he was upped to 3 miles for the first time, i remember saying he wont get it in a horse box, how wrong i was, and have since become a big Kauto fan! Just the way i tick with young horses pretending to be the next superstars!
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