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The Arc

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By:
tinkler
When: 02 Oct 11 16:33
If she ran in the race next year after a cold Autumn on G/s with 9-2 on her back drawn 12 she'd probably
come a one pace 7th.
You guys backed her today though and at 43/1 BF sp,it's an excellent pick by anyones standards.
By:
G1_Jockey_4
When: 02 Oct 11 16:38
the only "strange circumstances" were that german horses are generally overlooked for such races because they so rarely do well in them.

the danger was there in black and white but for some reason it seems to have been dismissed


snow fairy....midday....sna.....dandino.


the owners were waiting to see who pulled out last week....she probably would have run anyways when she got bought but they were clearly worried by one horse.

the one who came close to frankel on soft ground on its debut.
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 02 Oct 11 16:43
I agree with that magic carpet. She looks a really good filly. She'll stay in training
so I hope we see her running in the UK next year.
By:
OnTheSnaff
When: 02 Oct 11 17:08
SNA ran a cracker,just as i thought,and he made his odds look silly,traded at 4s 2 out,so all in all a very profitable day Cool
By:
bazzar
When: 02 Oct 11 17:45
Danedream "beat" Klammer as a 2yo but was disqualified.
By:
zilzal1
When: 02 Oct 11 17:46
Klammers gone downhill since thenPlain
By:
Stake & Chips
When: 02 Oct 11 17:48
Laugh
By:
bazzar
When: 02 Oct 11 17:51
Yes he has Zilzal.Laugh
By:
bazzar
When: 02 Oct 11 17:57
Ive already posted somewhere on this forum that she beat Scalo rated at 120 in international classification by 5 lengths and next time out
Night Magic and Joshua Tree by 6 and 7 lengths, Joshua Tree won  the race that REDWOOD won in Canada the year before Redwood, good trial tackle, she is EXCELLENT.
By:
apieceofcake
When: 02 Oct 11 18:06
Can't believe what Coolmore did to Treasure Beach!!

An Irish Derby winner and they don't allow him to race on his merits. Imo that is the kind of thing that can ruin a good horse.Shocked
By:
sintonian
When: 02 Oct 11 19:42
magic carpet
Date Joined: 24 Mar 08
Add contact | Send message When: 02 Oct 11 16:32 Joined: Date Joined: 24 Mar 08 | Topic/replies: 228 | Blogger: magic carpet's blog
The thing that gets me is that if any of the percieved leading contenders for the race judged by their position in the pre race market had put up a performance as devastating as Danedream did today there would be people in some quarters shouting from the rooftops,but because she was a relatively unconsidered outsider those same people want to pour cold water on the performance.This was a quality field and she destroyed them simple as that

I dont believe that at all tbh. She was excellent today and was underestimated by most pre-race (including me), but the draw combined with the quick ground has played a big part in deciding the outcome of this race imvho.
By:
jair1970
When: 02 Oct 11 19:55
but the draw combined with the quick ground has played a big part in deciding the outcome of this race imvho.

The draw appears important every year, so that conversely, isn't really relevant and there have been enough Arcs run on soft ground.

So: every year the draw and ground are important.

The idea that because the win was unexpected, people will downgrade the form is sadly all too likely and I suspect directly linked to the amount of money journalists and commentators may have placed on alternative horses, the subsequent dashing of their financial dreams and their perceived lack of judgement amongst peers.

As such, Zarkava, who held the combined assets of being
1. Unbeaten
2. A likely and popular selection
3. Owned by a racing legend
4. A good earner throughout the year for any pundits and players who like an obvious pick

gets reams of column inches and debate over her class and success.

I suspect Danedream, who unfortunately for her reputation;

1.  Is from Germany (where?)
2.  Was unfancied in the market
3.  Was unconsidered by many pundits
4.  Has been beaten often
5.  Has probably contributed precisely nil to most punters wallets before today

...will not be exulted in such rarified terms as Zarkava.

So Zarkava or Danedream?

Who wins?  [;)]

All depends if you backed either of them doesn't it?
By:
sintonian
When: 02 Oct 11 20:24
christ Jair. Laugh

I take your points.

Im referring to the winning margin and performance as a whole. The ground and draw would have exaggeratted it a bit imo.

She is a deserved winner alright and her last two performances before today suggested she had improved out of all recognition. It must have been that damn hard ride from Starke in Italy  [;)]
By:
sintonian
When: 02 Oct 11 20:32
And I would actually back Danedream in a head to head with Zarkava. [:D]
By:
jair1970
When: 02 Oct 11 20:35
Me too Laugh
By:
RozelKid
When: 02 Oct 11 20:35





So would i !!!!!!! booooooooooooom Laugh[:D][:D][:D][:D]
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 04 Oct 11 13:04
Officially giving up the game then Cry

Well done backers. That'll teach me for writing off a German horse that costs £7.5k in a race of this quality, mainly for the fact it was German, and cheap!

Scintillating performance.

As a So you Think backer, I was disappointed he never really got a chnace to show what he could do, but struggle to see how anything would have beaten the winner.
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 04 Oct 11 14:39
Can't Catch Me 29 Sep 11 20:32
Dont mean to be rude, but I will give up the game if Danedream wins this.


That'll teach me for writing off a German horse

And don't forget where your horse is from.....

"Catch Me (GER)" [:x]
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 04 Oct 11 18:49
Yes, that did enter my head. But making a Grade 1 winning hurdler, and an Arc winner is a big difference.
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 05 Oct 11 16:46
BofL in this years Hatton´s Grace [;)]
By:
pedrobob
When: 06 Oct 11 09:58
tinkler Joined: 02 Sep 10
Replies: 904 02 Oct 11 16:33   

If she ran in the race next year after a cold Autumn on G/s with 9-2 on her back drawn 12 she'd probably
come a one pace 7th.


tinkler, did you not see Danedream win her previous start in deeper than soft ground where she sprinted 6 lengths clear from a solid yardstick in Night Magic? Joshua Tree was beaten 13 lengths and an admittedly below par heavy ground German derby winner in Waldpark beaten 18 lengths?

Danedream looks pretty ground independent to me, hopefully she will stay in training at 4 and do it all over again.
By:
tinkler
When: 06 Oct 11 14:00
Joshua tree best form was on a decent surface, Waldpark was unwell and Night Magic would struggle to win a
listed race over here. I saw the race on You tube prior to the Arc and Danedream did nothing wrong and was an
easy winner but the oppostion looked to offer very little resistence. The race showed she was well in herself,
if you could see from it that she had improved enough to win an ARC since her one paced 5th to Testosterone
9 weeks previous then your a better judge than me.
By:
bazzar
When: 06 Oct 11 14:30
Im a better judge than you!!!!!LaughLaughLaughLaugh
By:
MWDS
When: 07 Oct 11 09:45
Every year the Arc is run on ground that will suit some horses, but not others.

Every year some horses are drawn more favourably than others.

How often does the course record get broken AND the winner triumph by 5 lengths (only 3 horses have won further and one of those was in the mud, which really is extreme form)?

I'm astounded that anyone can crab this.  Danedream may not be pegasus, but she just slaughtered a field that beforehand was considered one of the strongest assembled for some years, notwithstanding any specific ground/draw doubts for other horses.  In that field, on that day, the best horse won.
By:
solvingthepuzzle
When: 07 Oct 11 10:22
Nail on the head MWDS.
By:
coolhand
When: 07 Oct 11 16:59
I had a great weekend, the crowd for a brief moment after the Arc were struck dumb it seemed, completely taken aback by the demolition job Danedream did, with everyone flicking through the paper or race card to see who had won, i dont think there were many winners, but she was welcomed back with applause and cheers.

It was my first Arc and cant wait to go back next year, 4 euros on Saturday, 8euros on Sunday for 7(?) Group races, incredible. 

Congrats to any Danedream backers.
By:
RozelKid
When: 07 Oct 11 23:00
[;)]
By:
zilzal1
When: 07 Oct 11 23:34
The Headmaster must still be drunkLaugh
By:
kincsem
When: 08 Oct 11 01:02
One of the French trainers said pre-race that Longchamp has clay soil.  Clay soils get very hard when dry (cracks appear) , and very sticky when wet.  I know as my garden is clay and I have broken a fork prong on it when dry.  It can be solid for up to a foot deep.  When wet it sticks to the wellies in big clumps and could even pull a boot off.

When the previous record holder Peintre Celebre (by the miler Nureyev) won, also by 5 lengths, my guess is the ground was super fast.  He was also drawn in stall 2.  The only wide draw winners in the last twenty years (four from 10+ stall) were slow time Arcs.
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