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^^^^
CAn't have he hasn't trained on. He's won a G2 last time out. Crab his quirks but we have seen nothing this year that says he hasn't trained on. Every indication he is being brought along to match or surpass his G1 performance as a 2yo |
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Bullwinkle, if a horse is very precocious/fast as a 2yo it is possible to win a 3yo group 2 race without making any improvement whatsoever.
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recital carried 6lb penalty in his 1st run this year when he got beaten
carried 3lb penalty last time out when he won this horse has a touch of class,travels well,group1 form in the book and is improving at the right time i think we'll all see the real recital this saturday. |
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Can't see him finishing in the first 3. Much too quirky - Epsom on Derby Day? I don't think so.
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Fallon on Recital and also Wonder of Wonders!
I bet Ed Dunlop is delighted. |
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'My opinion, on the evidence so far, is Recital hasn't trained on. He ran a great time in heavy ground last year at Saint-Cloud, yet in both races this year he hasn't run any faster. Possibly excuses could be made for his first run this year but he had every opportunity last time. The race was set up for him to power away in a fast time, or at least win hard held. I'm sure some will argue that he's just a bit quirky and had loads in hand, maybe they're right, but it didn't appear that way to me.'
Or maybe your timefigure for Saint-Cloud is bollox ![]() |
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Well, that's always possible. Unlikely in this case though, unless every other horse on the card ran slower than expected. Bubble Chic and Prairie Star have already franked their figures. One thing is for certain, though, lack of stamina is not even a possibilty.
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yeah don't see how anybody can doubt the stamina if you are going on breeding
he ran a group 1 time last time out, in a headwind, and running into a rail he's trained on, there's bags more to come from him, fallon was always desperate to ride him at epsom, the clues are mounting up, 7/1 can't last surely |
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does he need more cut in the ground? no rain forecast tuesday to friday although been raining at epsom for the last few hours
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Well KF struggled to keep Fido from smashing into the rail last time, and the time before he definitely didn't seem very keen on going past the others.
A great jockey though and since he chose him over an obvious danger, he must be respected. A bad Derby though if such a complete hound were to win it. |
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4 runs, 3 wins including a G1 and G2.
Hound? |
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Surely Memphis Tenessee could do well in this. Likely to be given a positive run as pacemaker of sorts and as Golden Sword and At First Sight showed it can be hard to peg them back. Put up a very respectable performance first time out this season and if was pushed on, in what would seem a non-vintage derby, the others may struggle to close the gap.
If you like Recital and his form then surely he has to be put under consideration? |
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'yeah don't see how anybody can doubt the stamina if you are going on breeding'
really? his full brother was a keen goer (rather like Recital) and wasnt even tried at 12f as a result, while his half-brother Racinger (by Spectrum) excelled when dropped back to 1m having been tried over further. |
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The likely winner
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okay Tavaris I exaggerate to make a point.
However he is not straightforward. Straight after his defeat first time out this season I thought he was ridden as if and behaved as if he was dodgy; hanging when asked to go past. Next time out he won okay but not from great opposition and he really seemed to object being in the lead. Memphis Tennessee had run 81 the race before he was second to Recital, and Regent Street (another dodgepot) was beaten 3 lengths and is only rated 81 or something. That form is very dicey indeed. The Derby trial that Fido won was a real penalty kick and he couldn't really help but quicken up when asked. When he had done so he did hang into the rails and that's twice he has hung. He has had a few races so inexperience is wearing a bit thin as an excuse. He is very talented (in my assessment almost certainly a group 1 talent) but he has very serious opponents and is going to have to battle to win the Derby. he has done a pretty fair impersonation of a horse that is not dead keen on battling. I amy be wrong but a horse that isn't dead keen and one prone to hanging hard to the left is not likely to be well suited to the last 2 furlongs at Epsom. Of course he could stuff these words down my throat with a battling effort on Saturday. I have saved on him as he cannot be discounted. As I say though I would be sad for the Derby is a brute like this did the trick. There have been many group 1 winners who barked though. |
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^ no need for the word likely there
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ffs cry
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I like this horse and I backed him at the end of last season.
I'm worried however that he is not the most straightforward and both he and Seville have a high action and head carriage which may not suit coming down the hill and around Tattenham Corner. That said, this fella has clearly got an engine and gears - Ryan Moore tried to come from a ridiculously far back in the Ballysax but the horse still made up a lot of ground. For me it is a major positive that Fallon is in the plate. If he puts his mind to it and puts it all in without going through the rail he must be on the premises. |
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Tucho: "fallon was always desperate to ride him at epsom"
Fallon is a lousy judge imo but I suspect in this case the one he is desperate to ride is Wonder of Wonders in the Oaks, and that Recital is just a means to that end. |
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There is the future to think about. If Fellon turns down Coolmore now in their hour of need when they need an experienced Jockey who rides Epsom well then he might just burn his bridges for good.
Personally, I find myself in the curious situation of having backed both Recital at 14/1 and Wonder of Wonders at 20/1 (posted on the Ante-Post thread), and I dont actually believe either of them will win. I'd just be happy picking up the place money. I've added Seville to my bets and had a few quid Win only on Vadamar, more as a saver. |
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From ATR -
Kieren Fallon has been urged to play it cool in the Investec Derby - by the man who knows Recital as well as anyone.Leading French bloodstock agent Gilles Forien bred the highly-strung colt, on behalf of the Renee Geffroy and Caragh umbrella, before he was knocked down to Coolmore for 750,000 euros. Many observers feel Recital will be ill at ease competing at Epsom, which is renowned for its unpredictable cambers, after he hung discernibly left when winning the Derrinstown Stud Trial in May. Forien does not prescribe to that theory, but feels Fallon needs to be more considered than at Leopardstown, when he made a winning move two furlongs from home - a fact the rider has since acknowledged after what was his first outing on the colt. "We bred Recital and sold him in Deauville for top price, so I know a lot about him," said Forien. "He is a very strong horse, but I am not worried about his attitude, or his ability - I am worried about how the horse will be ridden. He should be held up until the last furlong at the very earliest, otherwise I do not think he can win. "If you come too strong with him halfway down the straight he will not be able to show his best form. He is a good horse and can win the Derby, but a lot will depend on Kieren Fallon. My instructions to him would be to leave it late." Fallon, three times a winner of the Derby and an undisputed master of Epsom, has snubbed the Ed Dunlop-trained Native Khan in preference for Aidan O'Brien's colt. Forien also has a vested interest in Dunlop's candidate as he, too, was reared by the Frenchman and his wife, Aliette. "Native Khan is favourite horse of mine and I think he will be in the money if he stays a mile and a half," added Forien. "He is a horse that will not disappoint." |
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Choosing Fido over a non stayer was not exactly being spoilt for choice though was it?
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I suspect that Monsieur Forien was laughing all the way to the bank having sold those two!
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Recital could go off favorite at this stage...5.8 now. May have to lay off now....if he gets down to 4.5 or so
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I could see Fallon do a Hurricane Run. Having him out the back and then stick to the inner and you his speed to go by the rags coming back and then just get their in the last furlong
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Will go off Fav
Will win |
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I backed him at a big price thinking I would lay it off, but I'm starting to convince myself he could really win!
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I have 500 @ 16/1 early season. I am convinced he is the best horse in terms of talent but whether this Montjeu is ready to really click on Derby Day on his 5th run is open very much to debate for me. I think i be fairly stupid not to lay off at around 4 and maybe 700/800 quid risk free profit instead of 7k odd win. In the words of one of the greats. This is Squeaky Bum Time
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rubyisgodinthesaddle
In the words of another of the greats 'Greed is good' |
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![]() Touche. But does Greed lead to the a massive boom to bust![]() |
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Will continue to do as he has done - bark all the way.
Oh yes and lose |
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Its getting really irritating now COT.
How about leaving all the crowing about how much of a dog he is until after the race. |
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What and get accused of after timing.
Okay I'll give it a rest for a while if its annoying. To be honest he wins me a few hundred so its actually more of a p1ss take. I still would prefer one of the frenchmen. |
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I apologise for snapping, I shouldn't have.
Really respect Recitals chances and don't have a cent on him, only one in the race I've backed and that's Pour Moi before the Dante. If I could swap their names now I probably would. |
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cryoftruth
Date Joined: 22 Mar 04 Add contact | Send message When: 01 Jun 11 20:46 Joined: Date Joined: 22 Mar 04 | Topic/replies: 1,286 | Blogger: cryoftruth's blog What and get accused of after timing. Okay I'll give it a rest for a while if its annoying. To be honest he wins me a few hundred so its actually more of a p1ss take. I still would prefer one of the frenchmen. Classic. ![]() |
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Cryoflies slates Recital as a dog but has still backed the dog...very strange, talk about covering your a'rs and not having the strength of your own convictions. I wonder whether to believe him or O'Brien who says he has brilliance...him decisions decisions lol
http://www.racingpost.com/news/horse-racing/a-p-obrien-epsom-derby-recital-brilliant-but-derby-trip-is-an-unknown/865309/top/ |
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It's hard to have strength in your own convictions when nobody tells you anything.
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If we were told everything we'd have day of race prices for 2 months before any race.
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I never said 'everything'. I said 'anything'.
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haha bunch of w@nkers!![smiley:crazy]
A High Court judge is deciding whether Kieren Fallon can ride in Saturday's Investec Derby at Epsom. Mr Justice MacDuff, sitting in London, has been urged to grant an injunction by the owners of 2000 Guineas third Native Khan, which would prevent Fallon taking part in the premier Classic. They claim that three-time Derby winner Fallon has broken a "promise" to ride their horse and should be prevented from riding another in the race. Fallon, who attended the court for Friday afternoon's hearing, denied breach of contract and said there has been an "innocent misunderstanding". Lawyers for owner Ibrahim Araci argued that he had been "badly let down" by Fallon, who is set to partner Aidan O'Brien's Recital, whom he rode to win the Derrinstown Stud Derby Trial at Leopardstown. Fallon guided the Ed Dunlop-trained Native Khan to victory in the Craven Stakes at Newmarket on his first start of the year. Olivier Peslier rode the grey when he finished third in the Guineas behind Frankel as Fallon was suspended. The judge will give his ruling in the morning. |