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St Nicholas Abbey

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Replies: 109
By:
Charlton2005
When: 29 Mar 10 21:19
The criticism around Epsom has nothing to do with Montjeu, it is to do with his stride.
By:
Charlton2005
When: 29 Mar 10 21:28
Shark12 29 Mar 20:51
Montjeu - Search period 01/01/2004 to 29/03/2010

3yo stats only

5f - 0/2 0%
6f - 0/11 0%
7f - 3/37 8%
8f - 9/131 7%
9f - 12/83 14%
10f - 55/403 14%
11f - 14/104 13%
12f - 66/387 17%

Ive mentioned this before but for this reason alone I cant have SNA at 5/2 or 2/1...no value whatsoever.


Sweet Baby Jesus. Very glad I saw this too!
By:
Stormbird
When: 29 Mar 10 21:28
Great, i am on Jan Vermeer .
By:
Charlton2005
When: 29 Mar 10 21:34
GL Storm!

:)
By:
Stormbird
When: 29 Mar 10 21:38
Thanks, they will probably send him for the French version knowing my luck :p
By:
Shark12
When: 29 Mar 10 21:42
Montjeu's Group 1 winners over 12 furlongs:

Scorpion
Hurricane Run x 2
Frozen Fire
Fame & Glory
Authorized
Motivator
Montmatre

Not much dross there!!!
By:
Stormbird
When: 29 Mar 10 21:44
What about Grp 1 winners over 1m2f ? ( Are there any ) ?
By:
Shark12
When: 29 Mar 10 21:48
Authorized (Juddmonte International) but thats it im afraid according to the software im using.
By:
Stormbird
When: 29 Mar 10 21:50
Got plenty of Grp 1 winners over 1 mile, but they are all 2yos.
By:
Shark12
When: 29 Mar 10 21:55
Authorized
Motivator
SNA
Jan Vermeer

His only Group 1 winners at 2.

Galileo also has 4 Group 1 wins to his name courtesy of Teofilo and New Approach.
By:
D Route V E Bleu
When: 29 Mar 10 21:59
Authorized should have won 2 group 1's over 1m 2f if Frankie would have walked the course at Sandown for The Eclipse like Ryan Moore didbefore winning on Notnowcato
By:
Sacred Kingdom
When: 29 Mar 10 22:27
Juddmonte is 10 1/2f.
By:
jamesp
When: 29 Mar 10 22:39
I have a lot of respect for Nick Mordin's reports, but on the question of St Nicholas Abbey (written in his October 2009 report, quoted above) I believe he was fundamentally mistaken. For a start, he was adamant that SNA would not run in the Guineas. We now know that the horse is being aimed at the Guineas and that at this stage there is a good likelihood that he will turn up at Newmarket on 1 May with a favourite's chance. Secondly, it's no secret that after his Beresford Stakes win SNA was being touted by his connections as a Derby prospect - the Derrinstown Stud Derby Trial was mentioned as a likely early target this season. There was certainly no talk of the Guineas at that stage. But his performance in the Racing Post Trophy changed everything. He showed such impressive speed and acceleration at Doncaster that Aidan knew he had a potential Guineas/Derby winner on his hands.

It doesn't surprise me, looking at his pedigree, that SNA has the speed to win a Guineas: after all, his dam (who never raced) was bred to be a smart miler, and although Montjeu does have an exceptional record with top-class middle distance performers he does also get winners over all sorts of distances. In fact, there must be a slight doubt whether SNA will get the full Derby trip (especially at the Curragh). His full sister stayed 10f but not 12f. I don't rule out the possibility that SNA may get beaten in the Guineas by a horse with greater speed and an even better turn of foot, but at this stage he appears to be much the likeliest winner. As far as the Derby is concerned, I saw nothing at Doncaster to suggest that he would have problems at Epsom. Really firm ground could be a problem, and he may not last out the final two furlongs, but I don't see why he shouldn't handle the track.
By:
Michrich
When: 31 Mar 10 20:34
SNA is entered in the Dante. Is this a precaution in case AOB comes to his senses and realises he won't win the 2000 Guineas?
By:
geoff m
When: 31 Mar 10 21:00
oh mich you seem to know little about aiden & his entry approach.
By:
Prima Donna
When: 31 Mar 10 21:20
Michrich 31 Mar 20:34
SNA is entered in the Dante. Is this a precaution in case AOB comes to his senses and realises he won't win the 2000 Guineas?

You dont know how Coolmore/Ballydoyle work do you ,I cant see what will beat him at HQ.
By:
Michrich
When: 31 Mar 10 21:25
I know money is no object and they just cover all bases, I was being flippant.
By:
Prima Donna
When: 31 Mar 10 21:28
OK I understand,Regardless of what people say,if he runs at NMKT he will win,then Coolmore/Ballydoyle will do the TC.
By:
Charlton2005
When: 31 Mar 10 21:29
Regardless of what people say, if he runs at Newmarket he will not win.
By:
Prima Donna
When: 31 Mar 10 21:34
Oh wont he!dont ell me Canford Cliffs then
By:
Prima Donna
When: 31 Mar 10 21:36
*tell*
By:
Charlton2005
When: 31 Mar 10 21:41
I have no idea who will win but I am betting SNA won't.
By:
Prima Donna
When: 31 Mar 10 21:47
Then if I were you id change my bet,open your eyes and ears,this year will be a great one.
By:
westo97.
When: 31 Mar 10 21:50
Any Ballydoyle news on Midas Touch? Have backed him for Derby at 25s as caught my eye last season
By:
Prima Donna
When: 31 Mar 10 21:57
Sorry no,not one of the early sorts.
By:
westo97.
When: 31 Mar 10 21:59
ok cheers
By:
whodareswins
When: 31 Mar 10 22:20
Corre Caminos won 2006 Prix Ganay Longchamp 1m 2f 110yds. Hurricane Run won 2006 Tattersalls Gold Cup Curragh 1m 2f 110yds. Both sons of Montjeu.
By:
Charlton2005
When: 31 Mar 10 22:31
Whats that all about WDW?
By:
elisjohn
When: 31 Mar 10 22:31
im with you charlton, wont win guineas
By:
Prima Donna
When: 31 Mar 10 22:31
what point are you making?
By:
Charlton2005
When: 31 Mar 10 22:32
Good stuff EJ.

;)
By:
Prima Donna
When: 31 Mar 10 22:33
my arse.
By:
Charlton2005
When: 31 Mar 10 22:34
You make a good case Mich but I think I'll stick with my plan.
By:
Charlton2005
When: 31 Mar 10 22:35
Sorry, you make a good case Prima...
By:
Shark12
When: 31 Mar 10 22:39
Im a SNA doubter too.

Simply cant have him at the current prices. Montjeu simply does not have a good enough record with milers at 3yo to be backing a 9/4-2/1 shot in the first Classic of the season.

Incidentally he also has a terrible strike rate with his runners at Newmarket...dunno why but i'll throw that into the pot too :)

5/1 + maybe, 8/1 (ala Sea the Stars) definitely, 9/4-2/1 no thank you.
By:
elisjohn
When: 31 Mar 10 22:45
just wondering after someone mention sna with entry for dante, has a coolmore ever sent a top class performer for this trial,
By:
whodareswins
When: 31 Mar 10 22:49
Charlton earlier in thread it was said Montjeu had several Group 1 winners over 8f and 12 f, but only had Authroised as a Group 1 winner at 10f, but the other two both won over 10f, or to be precise 22 yards further than Authroized.
By:
Charlton2005
When: 31 Mar 10 22:52
I think the point that Shark was making when he posted those figures was that over a mile at 3 Montjeu could not produce a G1 winner. In fact he could only produce one at 10f. And what you have said doesn't change that

:)
By:
geoff m
When: 31 Mar 10 22:53
Elis they tend to send Derby 2nd /3rd strings for the Dante certainly not their main hope as far as I can recall.
With regards to the earlier poster re Midas Touch he worked after racing @ the Curragh in the
St Nicholas Abbey group & travelled really well on the outside(orange cap) finishing upsides Fame & Glory & Age Of Aquarius
By:
alileo
When: 31 Mar 10 22:54
Septimus and Frozen Fire both went for it EJ although it's arguable either were top class.
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