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Masters Value bets!
Masters Value bets!
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Replies: 120
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Why change the habit of a lifetime Pod at 160's.
 , Not value but my only real bet is Luke at 18's, nice guys do win majors too hopefuly, c'mon Lukkeeee. |
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For me there are 3 stats that are important this week;
1) Driving distance. They have already had rain at Augusta and more is forecast this week. That plays right into the hands of the big hitters. Reports are already coming out that the fairways are being described as slightly "softish" 2) Proximity to hole. Everybody knows how tough the Augusta greens can be. A player high in these stats makes a tough problem slightly easier and the players will need all the help they can get this week 3) One putt %. The winner this week will hole one-putts. Fact. You do not win the masters any other way. He is going to have to have to one putt many times across the 72 holes to stand any chance of beating a quality field. Taking these three facts into consideration there is a player who features highly on all 3 of these stats and is a 3 figure price. Bo Van Pelt. currently 120/130 on betfair. Proximity to hole 16/185 Driving distance 23/185 One putt %. 15/185 Van pelt icome to Augusta in good form. Last month he carded a 9th in the transitions championship and an 8th in the accenture match play. For me, at the prices on offer, he represents good value. |
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Yes I like Bo Van Pelt got some @ 190s but no where near what i wanted, waiting to see how his price goes.
Also just completed Freddie Jacobson 530s av is a huge price for somebody who putts so well. |
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Eric...is Fisher a guaranteed starter? How does he earn his place when ranked so low at moment? Backed him e.w myself last yr for 1st round leader. Led for quite a bit of the early action, a par on a late par 5, and couple o bogeys put paid to any payout. An early tee time again would obviously help.
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Just mopped up the last of the 400 on Kevin Na.
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yes Fisher is thanks to a top 20 finish last year
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totespo*t and bfred are going 150s for first round leader, only 95 on here.
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ERICTHECAT, good to see someone else that likes my selection of Stenson.
He is playing very consistent golf at present with all 4 starts in USA bring in the Top 25. Hadn't had a bad round either. Likes it here with two T17 in 2007 and 2008. Has also had a few practice rounds of late at Augusta. He's my main bet this week. I also like 2 of his countrymen in Robert Karlsson and Peter Hanson. Both great players with a lot to offer. Have also taken Haas and Snedeker as they are both having great years on the tour and have Augusta experience. |
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Peter Hanson and John Senden for me
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SydneyMick
As regulars on here know, I am a huge P.Hanson fan, Tee to green a thing of beauty and will back him in the US and Open championships, but I think Augusta is not for him. His weakness is putting and this place will find him out. Good luck though especially with Karlsson and Stenson |
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For me i think Adam Scott has got to go close looks to be in decent form,good 2nd last year and looks ready to win this week.
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i remember the big hitter argument the year zach won---layed up every par 5
150 is good value |
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Just to put things into perspective: Henrik Stenson has less chance of winning The Masters than Fanny Sunesson has becoming the next Miss World.
In 18 competitive rounds around Augusta, Henrik managed to post a score under par just twice. His lowest ever score being a not exactly stellar 70. Pretty dire stats compared to about anyone in this year's field. |
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Well can somebody enlighten me why David Toms is available @ 300s?
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Stanley @ 150
Byrd @ 490/500 Simpson @ 80 So far.... |
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Also both Mollies @ 350 each
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With regards to Stenson I'm also on him and have backed him steadily at 300 +. Agree his augusta record is not exactly fantastic but I'm happy to ignore the last couple of yrs missed cuts when he's been bang out of form and look at the fact that all his stats are solid this yr including putting and that he had a couple of top 20s in succession a few yrs back when his game was in shape.
My bets are all now on and I'm happy to say that the winner should be coming from one of below! Bubba KJ Watney BV Pelt Ogilvy Badds Sneds Stenson E Molinari On all of the E/W top 6 and some on here as well. If I had to nail my colours to the mast I would say it's the year for an Aussie at last. [& no I'm not an aussie!] With badds I'm happy to ignore 24hrs of bad golf last week and look at all the good golf he's been playing over the past yr. As for Ogilvy very much coming in 'under the radar' and is due a big win. Stand by my comment earlier in this thread that E Molinari may prove to be the massive value, although the market has woken up to this a bit today. Good luck everyone whoever your'e on! |
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tim clarke and cink injured..? problems ? 540 and 700? also toms 320? biig imho
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Eric, I think that its just Toms' form coming in that explains his price. He was playing much more consistently last year, and he also withdrew from one recently so there could be injury problems (although thats just a guess).
I agree that its a big price for a class act though. One of the finest displays of golf I've seen when he shot back to back 62s in the Crowne Plaza last year, especially after missing that tiddler on the island green the week before. In terms of value, I can't believe that Bo Van Pelt isn't getting more of a mention. FIRST in strokes gained putting this season, 6th in total driving, up there in scoring average and par 5 scoring, something like 7 top tens in his last 11 starts including the back end of last year, T8 on his first go at Augusta last year. VC are going 15-2 top ten, stonking value. He also said on his twitter feed that he's 'PUMPED' to be back in Augusta. I'm unfamiliar with the word when applied to a human instead of a tyre, but I'm going to take it as a positive  |
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mark wilson @340 is a big price
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i think Immelman is going to have a good week
9/2 for top saffer with lads is huge imo |
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agree mark wilson big price also think toms 300 and ryan palmer 270 very big backed crane few times this season so couldnt leave him out at 380.my main fancy is bo van pelt 100s and also cabrera 100s backed them on here waiting for bookies wednesday to see any offers ie ew terms hoping someone goes 1/4 7place sure did last year
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peter hanson 290/1 seems mighty on betfair, im not sure where ericthecat got 530/1 av on fredie jacobson ;;any chance telling us where you got that price m8.
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Stonecold, **** went e.w first 7 last year but prices were not great.
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Sorry that should be boilers
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cheers scotirish. i just looked on oddschecker and players want too back ew are already shorter odds with them.i will keep a look out for various offers bookies usually do
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Frank all my bets are on betfair.
Happy with Toms, he knows his way round augusta and his form looked fine when i saw him. |
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Frank all my bets are on betfair.
Happy with Toms, he knows his way round augusta and his form looked fine when i saw him. |
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Frank...I'm on Freddie at average price of 785. Work that one out.
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Got some at 1.77 on Rory top ten finish very good.
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Here spotted another great value bet Rory to finish top Irish player at 1.33 you WILL NOT get a better bet than that!
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M.Kaymer is the value. I know he missed the cut 4 out of 4 here, but a player of his quality at 85.0 is a no-brainer. I read his
preparation went very well. Gl all. |
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I've just had a bet on Jim Furyk at 140. He is in good for (lost a playoff two weeks ago.) He has four US Masters top ten finishes, and has made the cut 14 of 15. He is 4th in career money winnings with $49 million, so has a bit of experience.
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I don't think I've seen Jason Days name mentioned either positively or negatively anywhere on any thread. Slipping in under the radar again ?
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A mature head (no young Tigers). Good ball stricker with lenghth & big odds only.
Robert Karlsson John Senden |
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because he isn't any value, this time last year he was 150s! I don't think he is playing aswell as last year so 38s not for me.
It looks like some of the layers got caught with the extra players and were giving bigger odds on some of the real players. The value seems to be vanishing fast. The 150s on Ogilvy, 140s on Snedeker and 230s on Immelman are long gone. Whats left at the moment I think Toms 300s, 200s Karlsson and 190s Yang are the best |
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Woods will win it easy. He has never been driving the ball better. His only weakness throughout his career was accuracy with driver. When he last won in 2005 he was 188th in driving accuracy on the PGA tour at the minute he is 18th. The other week he was number 1 driving accuracy and distance at Bay Hill. In the 15 years watching Tiger I never remember him leading the driving accuracy stats ever! Tigers strength has always been his superior iron play, scrambling and putting. Although his putting had been poor this season he looked to have got it together at Bay Hill where again he was number 1 in the putting stats. The expression on his face on the 18th green at Bayhill last Sunday was enough for me. He knows his game is back. Augusta brings out the best in Tiger and I cant see beyond him this year and come Sunday evening 5-1 will look quite a nice price.
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Its a strong arguement Peter. The only thing I can say against this, is driving is not that important round augusta, putting is! Tigers putting is no where near his best?
Also this is the strongest Masters field ever? So much quality along way down the field. |
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Another for Bo Van Pelt, i like the fact he has taken a couple of weeks off before the Masters as well. I also expect K J, Watney and Ryan Palmer to play well.
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chez reavie at 1000...same as walrus woosie etc..yes pls
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