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Early Early Thoughts For The Masters
Early Early Thoughts For The Masters
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Replies: 228
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*after timer*
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Heinez just a tip, when you are building positions in a bet, its best not to tell everybody, but those 6 golfers I have mentioned I have had my fill of, there are another 14 I am still trying to get on
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Took what I could, Unibet 39/1 Scott, & 7/1 top 5
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This may be hard to believe Eric,but an do without your tips !!
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All right now girls, play nicely
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Backed Bubba last year, not quite sure his touch on those augusta greens can hold up, played great at times and in contention saturday but dribbled away thereafter.
Do believe him to be overpriced when he goes off the radar... like this week |
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its now more a lottery than the open
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absolutely with bubba, he has the game for augusta like DJ, but its all about if they have a good putting week as neither are good putters. But both DJ and Bubba anything over 50s is good value.
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i've been backing rose for the open, gutted if he wins the masters when he was around 100 for augusta.
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Been taking all I could get on Rose at 100s and over for Augusta. Laid some off @ 34s last night.
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Haas and Snedeker, Haas and Snedeker!
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lay westwood to win and back him for top 5
would have made you a very rich man in the past few years mickelson at 11/1 is a decent bet considering his current game and masters history also likely to get him bigger in running |
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good work maggot !!!
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Easy to say at the moment but I backed Schwartzel at 42s this week for it.
Hitting the ball fantastically well and his putting has been superb too. Expect more good things from the defending champ, liking everything I'm seeing from him at the moment and obviously plays well there. |
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Last week Schwartzel led greens in regulation, and finished 5th last week, 4th this week. Luckily I have him at 49s.
Tiger Woods is inconsistent, just a good player now, and should not be favourite on current form. |
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i think schwartzel was the only player with 4 sub 70 rounds this week
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Haas Haas Haas!
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Defending champs in golf seem to play well leading up to the vent but terribly in it. Mickelson last year was a great example. I like Schwartzel but think the pressure and expectation on him to defend will see him having a relatively poor week.
The other small piece of information I gleaned during the commentators chit-chat at the WGC matchplay was that last year at Augusta they were disappointed that fewer golfers were taking the risk to reach the par fives in two which they feel diminished the enjoyment for the spectators. The course is apparently being set up this year to try and remedy this which I have taken to mean the big hitters are favoured. Anyone else hear this or read anything to back it up? |
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The great thing about Augusta and all the other classic layouts, is they don't tend to favour the longer or shorter hitter. You would think with all the reachable par 5s that the Dustins and Bubbas have an edge, but i don't think they do. It's a thinking mans course, Zach and Immelman going back to back proved this. Accuracy and imagination is the key, the greens are treacherous, some pins you can't shoot at. Take the 6th green for example - the front left pin placement, you aim back/centre right and let it feed down. McKenzie was a genius, his courses are for clever golfers, not long or short hitters.
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agree rhino, however they did increase the length and that took the short hitters out of it, i think technology has caught up and they are back in.
the pin positions at 13 and 15 might be due a change on the final day if the want to spice it up, equally, watering 15th green might do the trick by itself |
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Good points, I just found the comments an intersting insight into what the committe may be thinking for the course this year. I put a few quid more on the golfers with good Augusta records but that do have the length advantage when I heard it being mentioned
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Can't change the Sunday pins on 13 and 15 Donny, have provided classic moments over the years. Can't neither change 12, 18 and the ultimate being 16.
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again i'd agree with that, and last year would be about as good as it gets
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Last years master was the best major ever IMHO, more of the same please.
I want an early round leader, (one of my jackpot bets) followed by lots of twists and turns. I do not want a runaway winner, (unless I have heavily backed them) and especially not the boy wonder as it would turn it into a non event betting wise. |
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The only negetive against Rory I can find is the media and pressure will all focus on him. It is good for Schwartzel this is the case, he can fly alittle under the radar. Any other year Schwartzel 4 birdie finish would have been the thing everybody remember, it was literally amazing, but what most people remember is the Rory meltdown!
Rory is a notch above everybody at the moment, but as I said the media and pressure will be intense on him! I still have not decided how to play Rory and most likely won't until inplay, but he is such a fast starter, its dangerous to leave him out. I hope he gets a afternoon thursday tee off. |
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You all probably know this ...
Go to masters.org and click leaderboard and then click the players name you will see all their scores for last year's 72 holes. If the score has a green background you can click that hole and see the video of the shots. Example: Choi, round 1, 18th hole birdie. He was shooting a 5 or 6 all the way.  |
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Charl's 4 birdie finish was amazing, no doubt. He was also amazingly lucky, I don't ever remember 2 hole outs in the first 3 holes before, and the pitch on the 1st was absolutely ridiculous. From that position I think he makes bogey 5 maybe 6 times out of 10, and birdie is prob a 1 in 500 shot, so he had his fair slice of good fortune. Take nothing away from him though, when it was there to be won he stepped up to the plate. Won't be backing him here though, when was the last time a defending champ really contended? (Tiger or Phil aside that is)
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Just the 2 trades completed so far, Wagner and CH3. Been tucking into Webb at 55s and over, and just had some of Ben Crane who is top value at 230s and over IMO, has become a somewhat regular fixture on leaderboards and at the price is the value bet this week with various price crashes on several in the past couple of weeks.
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Angel Cabrera €90.73 at 130.13
Age 42 Appearances 12 Results: Cut,10,9,15,Cut,Cut,8,37,25,1,18,7 Masters 2011: tied for 2nd after 54 holes 2012 to date: Cut,Cut,Cut,24 Latest: Puerto Rico Open 69,75,69,69 |
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Yep cabrera should give you a run but think you will get 200s plus on him near tee off
I would love Immelman, Pettersen and Stallings to have a great week this week as I have them at huge odds and had my fill |
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I would also like to see Pettersen qualify. £5 on him @ 810s, which I laid off @ 255.
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It will be interesting to watch Harrington's short game this week, I have been accumulating him at 130s+, as any show of form and he will be a price crash!
He has showed signs his long game is coming back, and there is no doubting his short game ability. |
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Just had my second bet on this event and imo the bet of the week;
"New major winner at the masters?" No 8-13 at Billys, should be 1-3 imo. One for you big hitters |
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Titch, 10 of the last 11 have been won by debut major champions, how is odds on a good bet? 12 tournaments so far this year and 12 different winners. Donald, Simpson, DJ, Westwood, KJ, Sneds, Scott, Mahan, Rose, Sergio, Stricker and that's before you get to the long shots all looking for their first wim. I have no idea how you came to the conclusion that odds on is a good bet and should be even shorter.
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Only 3 people can win imho.
Wee Rory Tigger Fat Phil I really dont see anyone winning. No money involved,but I would like Kegan to miss the cut.Cant stand him(Annoys me to the point I would abuse him if I ever met him) Sad really  |
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If you don't see anyone other than those 3 winning you're not looking very close... It's the Masters, anyone can win. Charl, Cabrera, Immelman and Zach in the last 5 years alone.
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Maybe not.What price you offer me on one of those 3 to win it then(not what price is it) but if you feel I'm barking up the wrong tree then make me an offer ?
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No such market stewards so what's the point hey? And you might be right one of those 3 may very well win, but to categorically say that 'only' those 3 can win is a little strange and definitely incorrect. That was my point, as stated in my previous post, 4 of the last 5 were longshots.
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I'm wrong more than I'm right.But I'll be amazed if the winner dont come out of these 3(As I say ,as long as Bradley dont win) I will doff the cap to whoever wins.
If your offering 7/2 for those 3 players I'll have some. |
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There is so little between any of the top players it is ridiculous to suggest that it is a 3 horse race.
As has been said earlier the last dozen majors have all been won by different players. This year on the PGA tour a different player has won every week. |