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A one off -Part 2.

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Replies: 791
By:
Chosen®
When: 18 Jul 10 08:14
Morning Eddie. I'm guessing Baklava tastes pretty good about now. Amazing book!

Oosty a loser for me but hope to trade out of the position if it gets a bit tighter.
By:
Eddie the eagle
When: 18 Jul 10 08:34
Thanks , it's of course all due to believing in Oosty , especially when I saw he would have the better conditions on both Thursday and Friday.  The Casey back was more of an impuls close before the off when I saw he had drifted to 70.
  I still haven't seen a single shot being played , but will have to try to find a place were I can watch it on telli tonight , maybe a English or Irish pub , haven't seen any of those here yet though.
   If anyone know of such a place in the Istanbul area I would appreciate it if you came up with a name and/or an address.
By:
DaVinci I
When: 18 Jul 10 09:00
Well done to most on this thread it seems there are some lovely positions going in to the final day and it's been great to read about how they were constructed.

Someone asked where the reds on Oosty are, well I've got one of them although nowhere near the scale of the greens on here.

I've made a horlicks of this Open by falling in love with the wrong positions but will live to fight another day.

I am actually a bit torn as I would obviously like Oosty to implode here, but there again that would be a lucky escape and not really fair on those that have built their book properly.

Anyway my positions are listed at ...

http://thesportspunter.blogspot.com/

... for anyone interested.

Before anyone starts this is not SPAM just a persoanl record of my punting. I will never post a link again, just can't be bothered to transpose all of the figures.

Good Luck all for the final day.
By:
new bluey
When: 18 Jul 10 09:59
Eddie, premium charge??
By:
frames
When: 18 Jul 10 10:34
Fantastic position Eddie ,any plans to adjust during play today ?
Well played Ronsk.All the + Stenson figures come from peoples field money I imagine.He`s not been sighted for two days so people don`t quote everyone.That`s my case and I`m just guessing it`s the same for others.

Day 3 summary.

A bit late with this.After such a good/lucky Day 2 it was just a case of managing the book and hoping a few rags got into it.Stenson was the big plus yesterday.Had him as a huge (for me) winner around the turn ,got caught for a few quid when he eagled 13 but made up for that laying him all the way down to 9.2.He became my only loser at that time.
Canizares`s finish was a downer as he is still a big winner but fairplay to the two leaders ,they played very well but again had the best of the weather.
Looks like being a boring day today regards my book ,can`t see much changing.Has anyone ever tried a 5 year aftertime ? Well around 5 years ago there was a thread of players for the future ,mine was Louis.Effortless swing and it goes miles.Hope he wins in a canter.

Field  41.6k

Louis +7.1
Casey +4.8
Kaymer +5.1
Westwood +4.9
Stenson +1.7
Canizares +31.6 (not laying him was poor by me but you can`t get everything right)
Johnson +56.4.

I hope to level everything during play today.Good luck all.
By:
Alfie Green
When: 18 Jul 10 10:43
Well done those of you that have good books.

Could see that Oosty was a threat midway through the second day and even backed him for 500 at 30 but just did not believe in him and sold that position for £1500 profit. I was sure that he would implode over the next two days and to be honest, I still think he will.

I had taken a big position backing Tiger but on Saturday morning before leaving for St Andrews, I decided that Kaymer at 48 and Casey at 11 had to be heavily backed to reinforce my stable. I fancied Kaymer to play well because he coped so well with terrible conditions on Friday before the hooter sounded and indeed were it not for two tiny missed putts yesterday, he would be even closer today. Casey has looked imperious all tournament stymied only by the 7 at 17 on Thursday.

Going into Saturday pm, I had about 12 contenders in my stable that could win +15K inc Tiger, Casey, Karlsson and several other class players. I stood to win 56k if Kaymer won and 76K if Lehman won.

Potential loss was 7k.

I think Oosty was very fortunate with weather conditions on Friday and holed about 6 medium length putts to save par yesterday as well as a tramliner on 16 for birdie. It would not surprise me to see him shoot over par today, I certainly would not back him at evens. Casey and Kaymer may yet have a big say in this year's championship...obviously I will balance out my book a little before the off...I can still balance out to a healthy profit even now but I am planning to watch the front 9 and trade in running mainly because I think that we will see much bigger prices on Oosty this afternoon.
By:
ronsk
When: 18 Jul 10 10:49
Just a piece of mischief making on my part Frames... Mischief
By:
Swardean
When: 18 Jul 10 10:53
More good scoring from the early starters, and no-one having a horror round (remember yesterdays worst was +5).  Even if Louis is a bit off today (as at least some of the early player must be) I cannt see him shooting higher than +3 on this course/this weather.  And in that worse case scenario (my opinion) that still may be enough.
By:
Total Bosman
When: 18 Jul 10 10:54
Great position frames.  You say you`ll take it easy but no doubt you`ll magic another 5k without even trying.  I`ve lost my touch entirely this year and keep getting the big ones wrong.  All started to go wrong when i switched positions during the weather delay but even so i entered yesterday +5 on pretty much everyone bar Casey, and the rest is history.  Last year I coasted to 7k, this year i`ll be scrapping to get even half that.  Not quite job centre time, but worrying.  Current position will likely change, although it vaguely reflects how I feel the value shapes up:

Oosty +2.5
Casey +0.2
Kaymer +2.8
Westy +1
Field +3.6

Would love to see some carnage to keep things interesting, but have more confidence in Oosty than I did in Dustin so unless he gets much shorter won`t be looking to oppose.
By:
Mighty Whites 2008
When: 18 Jul 10 12:33
had a great day yesterday

oosty +2759
Casey +1502

The rest plus +1500 with some big greens on some pf the 3 and 4 unders.
By:
Eddie the eagle
When: 18 Jul 10 12:39
new bluey , no Premium Charge for me now even if Oosty seals the deal.
     I paid lots of PC last year , but this year has been awful so far , so I will still be down for the year even with Oosty winning.

frames , I don't think I will do anything before the leaders start playing.  No pictures on telli here as far as I can see , so will either follow play on the forum or try to find  a streaming , but internet connection isn't great here so doubt if it will work properly.
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 18 Jul 10 12:45
decided to lay some louis now

going into final round my book looks:

louis 2k
casey 5.6k
westwood 3.1k
stenson 3.1k
dustbin 2.1k
field 1.3k
By:
Flashbadger.
When: 18 Jul 10 12:49
Eddie

Dunno if your internet connection is up to it but I bought a good IP changer so you can view BBC when abroad -  email me at flashbadger@googlemnail.com if u want me to email you the link and programme.


Only if you promise not to go laying like you did earlier this year!!!
By:
Flashbadger.
When: 18 Jul 10 12:50
PS my position was

4k oost
10k casey
2k westwood
20k kaymer
10k Stenson
-5k woods mcilroy mickelsonb etc

going into yesterdayu

Now
6k 8k 14k 10k 20k, 25k
By:
Eddie the eagle
When: 18 Jul 10 13:00
Thanks for the offer flasbadger and I may take you up on that , but I'm currently on an UK ip address. Does that mean I can watch BBC online ?
By:
Flashbadger.
When: 18 Jul 10 13:01
yeah

just go to the bbc website and you can get all of the coverage on video...
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 18 Jul 10 13:03
incredible book eddie, would 370k be your biggest win ever?
By:
Eddie the eagle
When: 18 Jul 10 13:04
Yes it does !!HappyHappy
By:
Eddie the eagle
When: 18 Jul 10 13:06
Thanks again for the offer flash , but no need for it now.  Perfect quality pictures as well....
By:
Eddie the eagle
When: 18 Jul 10 13:09
Do you know roughly how much behind live that streaming is and is it behind the tv pictures ?
By:
mengmeng
When: 18 Jul 10 13:10
the streaming bbc pics are infront of my virgin tv pics by a few seconds .....
By:
ronsk
When: 18 Jul 10 13:13
Streaming is approximately 15 seconds behind 'live' TV pictures...
By:
Total Bosman
When: 18 Jul 10 13:19
Eddie, your win on Oosty this weekend would be almost exactly equal to my lifetime profit.  I`d be both pleased for you and a little bit sick.
By:
Flashbadger.
When: 18 Jul 10 13:20
when you 1st load up teh live streaming its bang on teh pics -  but then it starts to lose a second here and there and you end up running 5-25 secs behind...

Enjoy -
By:
dlarssonf
When: 18 Jul 10 13:24
Total Bosman Joined: 15 Dec 04
Replies: 617 18 Jul 10 13:19 
Eddie, your win on Oosty this weekend would be almost exactly equal to my lifetime profit.  I`d be both pleased for you and a little bit sick.


you have a lifetime profit of 370k but would be sick if some1 else won that amount.  You are either a billy bull**** or a greedy cnut.
By:
Eddie the eagle
When: 18 Jul 10 13:24
Thanks guys - TB , if you feel to sick just think of the fact that I will still be down for the year on golf - not much though..
By:
Knight Rider
When: 18 Jul 10 13:30
Great work Eddie, you really deserve a big win after your bad luck on the golf earlier this year.  Fingers crossed for you.
By:
Total Bosman
When: 18 Jul 10 13:35
Jesus dlarssonf, lighten up, I did say I`d be pleased for him, Eddie seems a good guy and i wouldn`t seriously be sick.  It just puts into perspective the difference between a grinder and a true big hitter.
By:
dlarssonf
When: 18 Jul 10 13:37
not a question of lighting up.  I think your a spoofer thats all.  Enjoy your day
By:
marychain1
When: 18 Jul 10 13:54
I am very impressed by the books on here. A guy comes from nowhere, with rubbish Open form, rubbish course form, terrible recent form and only one Tour win to his name, storms to the front of the leaderboard, stays there, and everyone has him as a green for several thousand pounds.

I dont mind saying he is my biggest red, although it is peanuts compared to some on here.
By:
Eddie the eagle
When: 18 Jul 10 13:54
Thank you KR , this may actually be the first time this year we are cheering for the same guy on a final day !
By:
Aussie Driver
When: 18 Jul 10 13:56
Who would have thought we would all (at least the vast majority) be cheering for Oosty for in many cases tidy profits come Sunday of The Open?

Funny game
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 18 Jul 10 13:57
mary i was working from thurs till sat hadnt had a chance to post on here but i backed about 12 players and oosty at 310-400 was one of them for small stakes, just looked a nice price for someone who usually competes up there, casey also at 65.0 to me looked pretty huge, laid out 1.2k on the tourney backing them all.

had big bets on mickelson and stricker too though so not all glory but thnka to the two leaders, can get good green.
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 18 Jul 10 13:57
i mean on the euro tour, oosty usually does ok, major form ok i see lol
By:
chris_rogers30
When: 18 Jul 10 14:01
Interesting reads here boys. Seems like the forum is having a pretty good week!!

I am...

+220 Oosthuizen

-670 The Field

(Also made 300 this week doing the 2 Balls) Silly
By:
Eddie the eagle
When: 18 Jul 10 14:03
swindonboy , I assume this means we wont be seing your usual "another unknown rag wins at high odds" post after Oosty wins even if his starting price was close to 500 on here ?
By:
Mighty Whites 2008
When: 18 Jul 10 14:03
you back in the game chris?
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 18 Jul 10 14:04
major event eddie, very different
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 18 Jul 10 14:04
plus i  only post them for frames to bite
By:
chris_rogers30
When: 18 Jul 10 14:07
Hey MW...yeah, got a job and some money coming in again so i'm fighting my way, slowly, back.

Looking good for you mate, really fancy Oosty to get this done. Looks calm and don't think you get DJ like collapses at St Andrews in these conditions...
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