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The 'How much can I lose' thread

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Replies: 641
By:
OilyWragg
When: 31 May 13 10:58
Running totals;

Based on LTO Performance,

11/29 and a profit of +5.21 points
19/29 and a profit of +5.03 points

The figures are gloriously better if just take the UK selections into account. I'll keep monitoring and split them if it continues.
By:
OilyWragg
When: 31 May 13 13:07
Friday;

Based on LTO Performance,

5.10 Catterick Rangi
5.20 Epsom You da One if 6/1 or less
8.30 Bath Party Palace


fto for trainer;

5.30 MR Lady of Provenance/Pectora
1.45 Catterick Race Hunter
By:
OilyWragg
When: 31 May 13 13:47
Race Hunter backed from 4.9 this morning to 2.9. Another pattern emerging.
By:
OilyWragg
When: 01 Jun 13 11:45
Yesterday;

Friday;

Based on LTO Performance,

5.10 Catterick Rangi..............................Placed at 1.36
5.20 Epsom You da One if 6/1 or less..............Placed at 2.3
8.30 Bath Party Palace............................Placed at 2.24


fto for trainer;

5.30 MR Lady of Provenance/Pectora...............Placed at 1.75
1.45 Catterick Race Hunter.......................Won at 2.9 and Placed at 1.71
By:
OilyWragg
When: 01 Jun 13 11:55
Saturday;

Based on LTO Performance;

3.30 Muss Van Percy
5.40 Worcester Saint Roque

New Trainer;

3.35 Worcester Most Eligible

Mdns 1st run at a price
2.35 Doncaster Rasheeda
6.10 Newcastle Greenbury
By:
OilyWragg
When: 01 Jun 13 14:41
Rasheeda backed in from 10.5 to 4.7 and wins nicely.
By:
OilyWragg
When: 01 Jun 13 15:39
Most Eligible backed from 7.6 to 4.4 and wins.
By:
OilyWragg
When: 02 Jun 13 11:49
Yesterday;

Saturday;

Based on LTO Performance;

3.30 Muss Van Percy..............................Placed at 1.55
5.40 Worcester Saint Roque.......................Won at 2.43 and placed at 1.43

New Trainer;

3.35 Worcester Most Eligible.....................Won at 4.4 and placed at 1.54
Mdns 1st run at a price
2.35 Doncaster Rasheeda..........................Won at 4.7 and Placed at 1.8
6.10 Newcastle Greenbury.........................Unplaced..went off at 80 so N/Q
By:
OilyWragg
When: 02 Jun 13 12:28
Sunday;

Based on LTO Performance; showing the current prices to compare with the BFSP

2.00 Fakenham Shu Shu Ga..........4.9
3.00 Fakenham Clouds Of Mist......3.55
4.45 Southwell Engai..............4.9


Ireland shown seperately for now as the rsults are not anywhere near as good - so far at least.
3.10 Listowel Maundy Money..........................7.6
4.20 Kilbeggan Akatara .............................no liquidity at all yet and 0/34 so far so a drift expected I would think

New Trainer;

5.00 Fakenham Call Him Something..................5.o
By:
Platinum
When: 02 Jun 13 13:40
Pleasing thread Oily, and profitable. Well done.
By:
OilyWragg
When: 02 Jun 13 16:30
Akatara a nice winner at 10 and placed at 2.35 - traded to around 490 in running !!
By:
OilyWragg
When: 02 Jun 13 17:20
Sunday;

Based on LTO Performance; showing the current prices to compare with the BFSP

2.00 Fakenham Shu Shu Ga..........4.9.............NON RUNNER
3.00 Fakenham Clouds Of Mist......3.55............Placed at 1.42
4.45 Southwell Engai..............4.9.............Placed at 1.39


Ireland shown seperately for now as the results are not anywhere near as good - so far at least.

3.10 Listowel Maundy Money..........................7.6.........Placed at 2.47
4.20 Kilbeggan Akatara .............................no liquidity at all yet and 0/34 so far so a drift expected I would think...........................................................WON at 10 and placed at 2.35

New Trainer;

5.00 Fakenham Call Him Something..................5.o........unplaced
By:
OilyWragg
When: 03 Jun 13 09:33
Monday;

Based on LTO Performance,

2.30 Chepstow Mr Dandy Man 7/1 or less
5.35 Chepstow Pandorica


3 year olds

4.30 Ch Kashgar
6.30 W Aussie Reigns
2.45 Leicester Above The Stars


New Trainer,

2.35 Naas Belmont Belle

Ireland.

3.20L Paudi The Punter



And a new bit I'm trying, just a reminder to myself really: All 6/1 or less

Mr Dandy Man (IRE)    2.30    Chepstow   
Thrtypointstothree (IRE)    2.30    Chepstow   
Kashgar    4.30    Chepstow   
Pandorica    5.35    Chepstow   
Above The Stars    2.45    Leicester   
Paudi The Punter (IRE)    3.20    Listowel   
King Oliver    5.05    Naas
By:
OilyWragg
When: 03 Jun 13 16:47
Mr Dandy Man a nice winner at 8.14 and placed at 1.53.
Kashgar a winner at 3.28 and placed at 1.59, Backed in from 4.9 !!
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 03 Jun 13 16:58
keep going oily and good luck  Happy
By:
OilyWragg
When: 03 Jun 13 17:08
Cheers sweetchildofmine Happy
By:
OilyWragg
When: 03 Jun 13 18:53
Monday;

Based on LTO Performance,

2.30 Chepstow Mr Dandy Man 7/1 or less.............WON at 8.14 and placed at 1.53
5.35 Chepstow Pandorica............................Non Runner
3 year olds
4.30 Ch Kashgar....................................WON at 3.28 and placed at 1.59
6.30 W Aussie Reigns...............................unplaced
2.45 Leicester Above The Stars.....................WON at 1.27 and placed at 1.12


New Trainer,

2.35 Naas Belmont Belle..........................unplaced

Ireland.

3.20L Paudi The Punter...........................unplaced
By:
OilyWragg
When: 04 Jun 13 07:33
Up to date running totals;

Based on LTO Performance;

17/44 won and a profit of +19.73 points
32/44 Placed and a profit of +12.42 points

New Trainer;

7/21 and a profit of 11.51 points
13/21 placed and a profit of +5.37 points
By:
OilyWragg
When: 04 Jun 13 14:31
Tuesday:

Based on LTO Performance;

6.25 Yarmouth Saafa
8.55 Yarmouth Knox Overstreet
7.10 Hexham Sendiym
8.40 Hexham Brother Scott

New Trainer:

8.10 Hexham Oscar Tanner 10/1 or less
4.30 Ripon Sublimation

and the one I'm just keeping an eye on for now'
4.00 Ripon Bapak Banksawan
8.55 Yarmouth Knox Overstreet
By:
Deltâ
When: 04 Jun 13 15:17
i like that sublimation too oily - hannon to carrol for two runs - [lastest good] now to Barron

you should have been here earlier for some of the 6.0+ ....

gl
By:
OilyWragg
When: 04 Jun 13 17:33
Cheers Deltâ, I managed to get 5.6 for decent money early on but did miss the 6+ In the opening post I said that I would stick to BFSP otherwise the figures would be even better. Hope you got a good wad of money on at over 6.
By:
OilyWragg
When: 04 Jun 13 20:16
Oscar Tanner a nice winner at 15 and placed at 3.79.
By:
OilyWragg
When: 05 Jun 13 08:51
Yesterday;

Tuesday:

Based on LTO Performance;

6.25 Yarmouth Saafa...................................Placed at 1.62
8.55 Yarmouth Knox Overstreet.........................Placed at 1.97..traded 1.03 beaten in photo..how many times?
7.10 Hexham Sendiym...................................unplaced
8.40 Hexham Brother Scott.............................Placed at 1.48..traded to 1.28 in running !

New Trainer:

8.10 Hexham Oscar Tanner 10/1 or less.................WON at 15.0 Placed at 3.79
4.30 Ripon Sublimation................................WON at 3.83 and placed at 1.31
By:
OilyWragg
When: 05 Jun 13 08:53
Up to date running totals;

Based on LTO Performance;

17/48 won and a profit of +15.73 points
35/48 Placed and a profit of +13.49 points

New Trainer;

7/21 and a profit of +28.34 points
13/21 placed and a profit of +8.47 points
By:
Platinum
When: 05 Jun 13 10:24
Excellent thread Oily, most profitable thread across the betfair forums I would think. Maybe you should use 10 points per bet and make it look even more profitable to the uneducated out there - lol
By:
Deltâ
When: 05 Jun 13 11:26
does the Oscar Tanner winner have an odds provisio?
By:
OilyWragg
When: 05 Jun 13 12:01
It did. Had to be 10/1 or less at Bookies SP.
By:
OilyWragg
When: 05 Jun 13 14:38
Wednesday;

Based on LTO Performance;

3.40 Ayr Lilargh

Ire
6.55 Fairyhouse Enigma Code

New Trainer;

5.30 Southwell John Coffey
4.50 Newton Abbott Noble Chic 10/1 or less

Mdn fto
6.45 Ripon Ahoy There
By:
OilyWragg
When: 05 Jun 13 19:54
Wednesday;

Based on LTO Performance;

3.40 Ayr Lilargh....................................unplaced

Ire
6.55 Fairyhouse Enigma Code.........................Placed at 2.14....traded to 1.1 in win market !!

New Trainer;

5.30 Southwell John Coffey..........................non runner
4.50 Newton Abbott Noble Chic 10/1 or less..........unplaced

I'll persevere with the mdn fto as Ahoy There was just out of the places having been backed in from 48 to 18 and was unlucky not to have been placed at a nice price.
By:
OilyWragg
When: 06 Jun 13 13:26
Thursday;

Based on LTO Performance

5.50 Brighton Macaabra
3.50 Thirsk True Prince 6/1 or less

New Trainer;

3.25 Ffos Las Man Of Leisure
6.25 Worcester Priceless Art
7.00 Worcester Grouse Mountain
2.10 Thirsk

Mdn fto for Trainer
2.10 Thirsk Laraaj currently at 55 on betfair.

And one I'm keeping an eye on for now; to 6/1

5.30 Thirsk Coastal Passage
By:
OilyWragg
When: 06 Jun 13 15:30
Man Of Leisure and nice winner at 7.6 and placed at 2.95.
By:
OilyWragg
When: 06 Jun 13 19:46
Thursday;

Based on LTO Performance

5.50 Brighton Macaabra...........................Won at 2.49 Placed at 1.33 - backed in from 3.7
3.50 Thirsk True Prince 6/1 or less..............unplaced

New Trainer;

3.25 Ffos Las Man Of Leisure.....................Won at 7.6 and placed at 2.95
6.25 Worcester Priceless Art.....................unplaced
7.00 Worcester Grouse Mountain...................unplaced
2.10 Thirsk
By:
OilyWragg
When: 07 Jun 13 11:56
Up to date running totals;

Based on LTO Performance;

18/51 won and a profit of +15.22 points
36/51 Placed and a profit of +10.82 points

New Trainer;

8/25 and a profit of +31.94 points
13/25 placed and a profit of +7.42 points
By:
OilyWragg
When: 07 Jun 13 13:11
Friday;

Based on LTO Performance:

2.00 Bath Hatha Hooh

New Trainer;

Ire.

5.40 Downpatrick Tullydonnell Flyer/Vinnies Pride 10/1 or less
7.40 Downpatrick Emperor Concerto
8.45 Downpatrick Georges Conn

fto maiden
7.15 Haydock Tickling Katie



A list of some that may be on interest not making their debut for a new yard -

7.15 Haydock Mawfoor
8.15 Haydock Jiroft
2.20 Newmarket Ihtamal/Sefaat (mdn) 10/1 or less
By:
OilyWragg
When: 08 Jun 13 12:23
Yesterday;

Friday;

Based on LTO Performance:

2.00 Bath Hatha Hooh...................................Won at 2.03 and placed at 1.14

New Trainer;

Ire.

5.40 Downpatrick Tullydonnell Flyer/Vinnies Pride 10/1 or less.....Placed at 6.6 and unplaced
7.40 Downpatrick Emperor Concerto..................................Placed at 2.02 - another traded low and got beat (1.27)
8.45 Downpatrick Georges Conn......................................unplaced
By:
OilyWragg
When: 08 Jun 13 12:37
Saturday;

Based on LTO Performance;

6.15 Stratford Man Of Leisure
6.45 Stratford Borolee
4.55 Beverley Polish Crown 6/1 or less
2.25 Catterick Activate

Ire.
2.50 Navan Municipal
3.25 Navan Judies Child 6/1 or less

New Trainer;

9.15 Stratford Church Bray 10/1 or less
4.45 Catterick Cowslip

fto mdn
2.00B Centre Haafd
1.45N L'importante


Not having 1st run for new trainer:10/1 or less
4.25H Pearl Acclaim
2.15N Elegant Prince
6.30N Srinigar Girl
By:
OilyWragg
When: 08 Jun 13 13:04
Up to date running totals;

Based on LTO Performance;

19/52 won and a profit of +16.25 points
37/52 Placed and a profit of +11.06 points

New Trainer;

8/29 and a profit of +27.94 points
15/29 placed and a profit of +12.04 points
By:
OilyWragg
When: 09 Jun 13 16:49
Sunday;

Based on LTO Performance;

5.15 Nttingham Honoured
By:
OilyWragg
When: 10 Jun 13 11:35
Sunday;

Based on LTO Performance;

5.15 Nttingham Honoured..............................Won at 3.44 and placed at 1.61

Saturday;

Based on LTO Performance;

6.15 Stratford Man Of Leisure.........................Won at 1.91 and placed at 1.3
6.45 Stratford Borolee................................unplaced
4.55 Beverley Polish Crown 6/1 or less................Placed at 1.9 (another one low in running- traded to 1.11)
2.25 Catterick Activate...............................Won at 2.7 and placed at 1.28

Ire.
2.50 Navan Municipal..................................Placed at 2.78
3.25 Navan Judies Child 6/1 or less...................unplaced

New Trainer;

9.15 Stratford Church Bray 10/1 or less..............N/Q
4.45 Catterick Cowslip...............................N/Q
By:
OilyWragg
When: 10 Jun 13 12:57
Up to date running totals;

Based on LTO Performance;

229/59 won and a profit of +17.3 points
42/59 Placed and a profit of +12.93 points

New Trainer;

8/29 and a profit of +27.94 points
15/29 placed and a profit of +12.04 points
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