General Betting
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The 'How much can I lose' thread
The 'How much can I lose' thread
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Nice work so far and Officer In Command has been one to rely on over the winter, gave his all every race. I can't understand why two bets today are 'if fav', price is everything so the bigger the price, the better?
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Hi mate and thanks. Some of the reasons for picking the last time out winners is that I hope that there is 'more to come' from them. So if they are running as favourite when I put them up I would hope that they would stay as market leaders with a bit of confidence around them, not all the time of course I just do most of my research based around those that start as favourite when winning LTO, those that fall into that bracket I'll mark 'if fav' There will be times of course when they drift and win and I might have to think again if it happens too often. Hope you have a cracking day.
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Saturday.
New Trainer. 2.55 Doncaster Beyond Conceipt LTO winners/positions 4.05 Doncaster Beaumonts Party 3.15 Kempton Lilys Angels Running totals: Horse that were last time winners/positions: 8/20 and a profit of +2.60 points 12/20 Placed and a profit of +0.35 points Trainer switchers: 3/10 and a profit of +7.93 points 6/10 placed and a profit of + 2.78 points |
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a funnyoldstat for todays racing.
Spinatric in the 3.30 Doncaster currently trading at 26 has been placed 17/20 over this distance and 16/19 in Handicaps. Might be worth a trade? |
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Saturday.
New Trainer. 2.55 Doncaster Beyond Conceipt...........placed at 2.83 LTO winners/positions 4.05 Doncaster Beaumonts Party...........Won at 3.87 and placed at 1.66, was much higher 3.15 Kempton Lilys Angels................Won at 3.83 and placed at 1.63, again was available at higher |
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Running totals:
Horse that were last time winners/positions: 10/22 and a profit of +8.30 points 14/22 Placed and a profit of +1.64 points Trainer switchers: 3/11 and a profit of +6.93 points 7/11 placed and a profit of + 4.61 points |
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WD OilyWragg
going well... |
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Cheers Deltâ.
Today: Horse that were winners LTO or based on LTO form. 3.30 Newcastle Carragold 4.40 Redcar Studfarmer Trainer switchers that I'm interested in: 5.30 Newcastle Mississippi - if backed in to 8/1 or less 3.10 Redcar Dairam 3.40 Redcar Ascription |
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Attwaal
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Nice price as well !
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Today:
Horse that were winners LTO or based on LTO form. 3.30 Newcastle Carragold................Won at 4.49 and placed at 1.67 4.40 Redcar Studfarmer..................Placed at 1.26 Trainer switchers that I'm interested in: 5.30 Newcastle Mississippi - if backed in to 8/1 or less N/Q 3.10 Redcar Dairam......................................Placed at 1.27 3.40 Redcar Ascription .................................unplaced |
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Running totals:
Horse that were last time winners/positions: 11/24 and a profit of +10.89 points 16/24 Placed and a profit of +2.57 points Trainer switchers: 3/13 and a profit of +4.93 points 8/13 placed and a profit of + 3.88 points |
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Tuesday:
Based on LTO run. 2.20 Kempton Upton Mead if 8/1 or less 4.00 Kempton Mickie if 6/1 or under at the off 4.10 Exeter Ice N Easy New Trainer. 3.50 Southwell Irish Heartbeat |
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Tuesday:
Based on LTO run. 2.20 Kempton Upton Mead if 8/1 or less....................Won at 9.0 and placed at 2.64 4.00 Kempton Mickie if 6/1 or under at the off............unplaced 4.10 Exeter Ice N Easy....................................Won at 5.35 and placed at 1.45 New Trainer. 3.50 Southwell Irish Heartbeat............................unplaced |
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Running totals:
Selections based on their last race performance. 13/27 and a profit of +22.24 points 18/27 Placed and a profit of +5.66 points Trainer switchers: 3/14 and a profit of +3.93 points 8/14 placed and a profit of + 2.88 points |
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Rezwaan today ?
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Yes Deltâ its def on todays list, maybe Kingswinsford as well.
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Wednesday:
Selections based on LTO performance. 2.00 Beverley Kingwinsford 4.00 Cheltenham Regal Prescence 4.55 Beverley Admiral Of The Sea 5.25 Beverley Naru 9.00 Kempton Rezwaan 2.20 Newmarket Vodka Time, wary of this one thiugh as three of the others won LTO and they all qualified under my 2yo format which I would have started today but no point with there then being 4 selection is the same race!! Trainer switchers - none today but a new category is Unlimited Trainer Switchers, unlimited in that the price doesnt matter, could be 1/2 or could be 100/1, only around a 10% strike rate, so lots of long losing sequences, anyhow here goes: Unlimited Trainer Switchers. 2.35 Beverley Esteaming 3.10 Beverley Inclinging Incident 3.45 Beverley Blades Boy |
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Almost a great start with Inclining Incident beaten a head at 12.77.
Unlimited Trainer Switchers. 2.35 Beverley Esteaming.............unplaced 3.10 Beverley Inclinging Incident...  beaten by a head but Placed at 3.43.45 Beverley Blades Boy............unplaced 0/3 Loss of 3 points 1/3 Placed and a profit of 0.4 points. |
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Selections based on LTO performance.
2.00 Beverley Kingwinsford..........Non Runner 4.00 Cheltenham Regal Prescence.....unplaced 4.55 Beverley Admiral Of The Sea....Placed at 2.56 5.25 Beverley Naru..................Placed at 1.52 9.00 Kempton Rezwaan................Won at 2.84 and placed at 1.53 2.20 Newmarket Vodka Time...........Won at 3.2 Nothing to worry about after all |
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Running totals:
Selections based on their last race performance. 15/32 and a profit of +23.28 points 22/32 Placed and a profit of +8.02 points Trainer switchers: 3/14 and a profit of +3.93 points 8/14 placed and a profit of + 2.88 points |
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18th / 19th ?
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Spending some of the winnings on a hol but will post when I can.
Selections based on LTO performance: 4.35 Bev Nine Iron 5.00 Wolves Delightful Sleep 5.25 Ling Fonterutoli 5.35 Wolves Restless Bat if backed in to 13/2 or less New Trainer 5.15 New Eastern Impact |
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4.30 Wolves Dubawi Island
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Selections based on LTO performance:
4.35 Bev Nine Iron..........................................unplaced 5.00 Wolves Delightful Sleep................................unplaced 5.25 Ling Fonterutoli.......................................placed at 1.98 5.35 Wolves Restless Bat if backed in to 13/2 or less N/Q New Trainer 5.15 New Eastern Impact.....................................Won at 4.4 and placed at 2.18 |
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Friday.
Based on LTO performance: 3.25 Doncaster Aryal 4.00 Perth Charteaux 7.35 Chepstow Dimpsey Time 7.55 Plumpton Supercliary New Trainers. 5.45 Plumpton Peterbrown 7.00 Chepstow Dunraven Prince |
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A pleasing thread...unlike most on here
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Cheers onemanarmy.
Based on LTO performance. 3.25 Perth Kings Choristar. Should have added yesterday that under New Trainers that Dunraven Prince need to be backed in to 8/1 or less. |
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Another winner...wchich I missed...well done
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Excellent price too
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Kings Choristar a nice winner at 13 yesterday.
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Selections based on LTO performances.
2.30 MR Ironically 3.20 L Blue Wave 3.30 R Sherian |
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Another decent effort..keep it up
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Yesterday:
2.30 Ironically.......placed at 1.7 3.20 Blue Wave........unplaced 3.30 Sherian .........Won at 4.3 and placed at .4 |
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Sunday.
Selection based on LTO performance. 5.5 W Arkaim |
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interesting Trainer switch today - D'Gigi [3.30 Tow] - quirky mare but K Reveley to NTD a +.
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Agreed delta, its on the list today.
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Based on LTO performance:
2.50W Dark Lane 3.50W Classic Colori 4.30T Henok Also New Trainer: 5.25L New Rich. 3.30T D'Gigi |
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Not a great day yesterday:
2.50W Dark Lane.............unplaced 3.50W Classic Colori........placed at 1.33 4.30T Henok.................unplaced Also New Trainer: 5.25L New Rich..............non runner 3.30T D'Gigi................placed at 3.25 |
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Running totals so far.
Based on LTO performance: Just 2 winners from last 14 but decent prices. 17/46 with a profit of 25.53 points Placed 29/46 with a profit of 9.55 points Based on New Trainer: 3/18 Profit just .93 of a point Placed 4/18 and a profit of 2.13 points. |