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The S.A.D.O. thread (Sad, Aftertiming, Delusionals Only)

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Replies: 8,948
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 05 Dec 12 22:42
england into 2.92 from 3.35 as they sleep
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 05 Dec 12 22:53
2.86 going to be almost favourites at this rate
By:
green army
When: 06 Dec 12 09:19
cookies da man

videoton look a big price at 4.9 at sporting lisbon - sporting have failed, are bottom and out and poor in the portuguese league scoring only 5 goals in 5 games at home , videoton need to win to qualify if results go well in belgium and look an ok side
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 06 Dec 12 11:06
england now in the box seat trading at 1.75
By:
Bridgeboy
When: 06 Dec 12 16:30
Spurs 0-0 look a little big to anyone at 16.0 i make it closer to 14.0 . . .
By:
green army
When: 06 Dec 12 16:36
bridge , I'll be accused of ATing but thats the name of the thread (good idea that), took 0-0 at 18.5 yesterday & 1-0 panny at 32, they are a good defensive side and prices now are similar to the spurs v wigan game so maybe about right

the lpool price at odds on looks ridiculously low, trying to work out Udinese exact incentive here but I'm going 1-0 udinese at 15.5 anyway
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 06 Dec 12 16:57
im not involved in these games tonite but pardew has told travelling fans before they bought tickets not to expect a win tonite..theyve already qualified and are seriously understrengthed with a front pairing of campbell(who?) and ranger (da wannabe gangsta)
By:
green army
When: 06 Dec 12 17:18
ranger playing up front on his own - gonna be a lone ranger (geddit?)
By:
Bridgeboy
When: 06 Dec 12 18:10
Spurs 0-0 still looks a back(to lay) at 15.5, no ?
By:
green army
When: 06 Dec 12 18:20
well spurs 1-0 at 7.0 is v low , the 15.5 0-0 may start 15 or even 14.5 and will surely bomb if there's no goal in the first 5 & its a back to the wall job , i'm leaving some 1-0 panny on with a bit of insurance
By:
Bridgeboy
When: 06 Dec 12 18:31
Market seems to be about right now at 14.5, nice bit of green on 0-0 . . .
By:
Bridgeboy
When: 06 Dec 12 18:33
Back out to 15.5, plenty of time to go back in again. . .
By:
Bridgeboy
When: 06 Dec 12 18:51
Drifting like a barge now 16.5 . . .
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 06 Dec 12 18:56
are you letting it go in play?
By:
Bridgeboy
When: 06 Dec 12 19:00
No scom even if it goes 17.5 i can scratch but it will come way back in, good for at least a tick more like two. . .
By:
green army
When: 06 Dec 12 19:10
interesting i'll have a bit of that
By:
Bridgeboy
When: 06 Dec 12 19:13
If youre going in on 0-0 keep your eye on the 2.5 market. . .
By:
Andriy
When: 06 Dec 12 19:22
It's because both Adebayor and Defoe are playing
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 06 Dec 12 19:23
back into 15.5
By:
green army
When: 06 Dec 12 19:23
thats what makes this so fascinating to a geek like me - the 0-0 can be affected by the overs market , a bot working on the various draw prices should the MO shift, or pure and simple back and lays on 0-0 - today the CS markets have been all over the place on this one , first because there was a back of panny cos they were overpriced and 2nd when the market decided that the greeks could be set up v defensively , now someone thinks it has gone too far - i've now got greens on  0-0 , 0-1 , 3-2 and 3-3 which lets me have a bit of fun inplay
By:
Bridgeboy
When: 06 Dec 12 19:28
I reckon the "correct" price is 14.0-14.5 so am confident the price will come in but the 2.5 market is very important to the cs market if it moves the wrong way scratch. . .
By:
smithy91
When: 06 Dec 12 21:27
Fixtures 06 December / Tottenham v Panathinaikos / First Goalscorer  Jermain Defoe Lay 23853351594 06-Dec-12
20:17    C 4.1  50.00   4.1 50.00

Fixtures 06 December / Tottenham v Panathinaikos / First Goalscorer  Jermain Defoe Lay 23853096852 06-Dec-12
20:08    C 4.3  100.00   4.3 100.

evening gents the mug punters are out in full force tonight. defoe 4/1 with bet 365 or you can have just over 3/1 with meLaugh.

i cleared up nicely on the shaktar vs juve correct score market. backed 0-1 and 1-0 heavily either side and layed the living daylights out of 1-1 2-2 and 3-3. one thing which was bad is that when juve scored i had to toss value away and start backing 1-1 at 3.45 when it should of been much higher or would of risked a four figure loss if they eqaulised and it stayed 1-1.

Football / Shakhtar v Juventus : Correct Score 05-Dec-12 19:45  05-Dec-12 21:39  644.33 
Football / Shakhtar v Juventus : Half Time Score 05-Dec-12 19:45  05-Dec-12 20:33  -50.00

Fixtures 05 December / Shakhtar v Juventus / Correct Score  0 - 1 Back 23832639453 05-Dec-12
17:01    C 12.5  75.00   12.5 862.50

i lost £180 on the cricket unfortunatley and considering i upped my stakes for the third test from 1k to 2k i'm not to disspointed by this. if i'd of held out for another seshion i could of got green but due to my lack of knowledge on the sport i want a trade their when i wake up after the first few hours playHappy.

i have a great trading tip for this weekend in my opinion. liverpool at 2.54 away at west ham. we all know what happens to liverpool don't need to go into that. but one thing i was thinking about is they played swansea away last week and went off at 2.12 (backed in again).  now if you gave me a choice of swansea or west ham at the same odds to beat liverpool at home i'd choose swansea. so then bear in mind that west ham are in good form but newcastle were last season and liverpool went 2.46 into 2.24 at st.james park. so we know form dosen't come into consideration so finally throw in they have just played in the europa league and i still reckon 2.3 on liverpool we'll seeHappy.
By:
green army
When: 06 Dec 12 21:29
smithy - danger - the liverpool price is this because suarez isnt playing
By:
smithy91
When: 06 Dec 12 21:32
nice so it is green army cheers for that mate. now will the asian money get over this obstacle? that is a question i cannot answerSilly if they play shelvey as a lone striker then 3.5 liverpool would be more appropriateLaugh
By:
green army
When: 06 Dec 12 21:37
i'm amazed by west brom's price at 7.6 , you would expect a v similar game to arse v swansea - swans & wba away records are v similar & they play a similar game - i've taken wba 3-0 at 250 & 3-3 85 to trade too

& what about sunderland 5.0 v a v fragile chelsea - i thought sunderland were good 2nd half at norwich & chelsea at w ham (again sunderland will play a similar game) well.....
By:
smithy91
When: 06 Dec 12 21:40
i agree green army on west brom. and chelsea are a lay at 1.83 although i said that last weekend against west ham only to wake up on saturday morning with a red screenLaugh
By:
Carlos4441
When: 06 Dec 12 22:13
What do you think of your chances against Cardiff on fri smith?

Noone will be back for us. watch this guy, reminds me of Bestie  Tongue Out

Mutch suspended though which is a loss.
By:
smithy91
When: 06 Dec 12 22:13
finally everton at home to tottenham looks like the europa league match tottenham have just played in has had a big factor in these odds. everton have drawn there last 3 whereas tottenham have won the last four they can't go off odds on so 2.06 is a definite lay. 2.2 on everton would be more appropriateGrin
By:
Carlos4441
When: 06 Dec 12 22:16
reading around, looks like Fletcher for Sunderland may be a doubt.
By:
smithy91
When: 06 Dec 12 22:17
carlos i really wouldn't like to pre off trade the match odds for our game. realistically i think cardiff should be marginal faves but i'm not confident enough to bet yet. if tommorow there looks a clear sign they are being backed in i may jump on board but at the minute no bet for me. as for the game itself i've the option of freezing my nuts of in the stand or the warmth of my trading room and i'm opting for the latterLaugh. best of luck carlosWink
By:
Carlos4441
When: 06 Dec 12 22:25
yeh few of the boys are going i had to pass. watch it in pub i shall

blackburn on a chilly friday night is up there with a barnsley on a wet tuesday for me.

keep up the winnnin!
By:
green army
When: 06 Dec 12 23:07
we took noony out of non-league and had to sell him for nothing in administration, along with mackie , and others, he definitely has something about him, like to see him in the prem

agreed on spurs 4.2 , should be 3.8
By:
green army
When: 07 Dec 12 10:51
well done chaps on spurs , trading back at 4 sets us up nicely for the weekend

on the cricket i couldn't resist laying again at 2.5 - back to 2.6 plus by tonite
By:
green army
When: 07 Dec 12 12:59
back of the net - draw in india back out to 2.6 in no time , seems to happen a lot punters micro betting ball by ball and incrementing on the prices - then at the end of the day they look at the bigger picture and think "Hang on india batting out 4 - 5 sessions here , maybe not
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 07 Dec 12 13:33
im going to concentrate predominately on all forms of cricket next year..the swings and over reactions are incredible
By:
green army
When: 07 Dec 12 13:34
on the cardiff game tonite goal expectancy looks high , i've taken 0-0 at 15 - only been 20 goals in 10 games at ewood and take away that 5-4 blip cardiff away shows goals no higher than average
By:
Bridgeboy
When: 07 Dec 12 14:01
Think 15.0 on 0-0 is a little low not a back at the moment for me. . . If unders comes in though 15.0 would look like a canny play. . .
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 07 Dec 12 14:19
2.66 the draw now
By:
Bridgeboy
When: 07 Dec 12 16:51
Frankfurt 5.00pm ko, 0-0 overpriced at 14.0 if anybody wants to go inplay for a min or two. . .
By:
green army
When: 07 Dec 12 17:04
been a bit of an epic day with spurs , the draw at eden gardens and now laying the 0-0 at 14 at ewood tonite

west brom coming in nicely too for tomorrow - are wigan almost worth a back now at 2.52, qpr haven't won in 16 tries
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