One of the fundamental rules of gambling is that you should bet at the best available odds. The time at which those become available on football matches will differ from team to team and market to market. This means that the timing of a bet can have a significant impact on profit or loss over a season.

When betting opened on a 2006 World Cup tie, the following prices were available on Betfair: 1.72 Germany, 3.8 the draw and 6.4 Poland. As the referee blew his whistle to kick off, they were rather different: 1.46 Germany, 4.9 the draw and 8.6 Poland. The example illustrates how in general the prices available for favourites are likely to shorten as kick-off nears while those for outsiders are likely to lengthen.

It follows that if a strong team are being offered at a good price, bettors should get on as quickly as they can. If a weak team are being offered at a good price, wait. They are likely to be available at a better price later on. A large number of bets are placed shortly before kick-off and most of them, naturally enough, are on the most fancied competitors.

In non-result markets - bookings, corners etc - the best policy is nearly always to bet early. These are the markets in which bookmakers are most likely to have radically different opinions and someone will be wrong.

The first bookmaker to release prices in a market will not know if they are very different from those of every other bookmaker. As other bookmakers release their prices, the initial bookmaker gradually becomes aware their odds are out of line and they have made a mistake. As time goes on, out-of-line prices tend to disappear.

Professional gamblers say betting at the best available odds can be the difference for them between profit and loss over a campaign. Every punter can profit from this knowledge by betting at the right time.

didnt realise he was that big tbh, he looks an each way bet to nothing...he cant be out of the first three

Oh i thought I read injured, my mistake with Feillani. But you see the regular punter (myself included) doesn't get this info until now when the previews are published. So Sir Fresh you know a bit about Everton, get in there quick and reap the rewards.

We all know getting the best price is the difference between winning and losing. Afterall, we can only hope for 105-110%  ROI when straight betting. The markets the bookies spend least time are often the most profitable, but then they are also the least liquid.

ssshhh shane im carrying out an experiment (its a long story lol) 

having a v close look at the weather tomorrow - looks a bit like the day after tomorrow coming in from the west from lunchtime

what effect will this have - maybe not too much, but even at prem clubs saturated pitches subject to further downfalls plus galeforce winds throughout the game, well my preference is for villa 5.1 v arsenal plus 0-0 - 18.5 and 1-0 - 21 - arsenal games away from the emirates are below average goals so these prices look too high anyway

maybe even a little back of qpr at these prices with the wind and rain a factor & a backs to the wall job & harry maybe attending ?

and starting to lay my roma at pescara 0-0 at 28/29 backed at 34/36 so maybe roma are gonna play a keeper

bangla draw now trading at 10.5

its about time arsenal gave some team a tonking
away from home, just hope jack wilshire has
recovered from the midweek game.

Morning all
Can anyone see a scenario where the Test match is a draw?
I laid the draw early doors and can easily get out with good profit but I'm sooooo tempted to hang on

Managed to back Leeds last night at 3.1 and 3.05
Now about 2.9 and I'm expecting maybe 2.8 or 2.75
Always seem to shorten and with new owners and a couple of new loanees I think there will be money for them

well guys common sense has previaled a day early in swansea vs liverpool . liverpool 2.14 out to 2.24 brilliant

guys i can't believe my blackburn team are odds against to beat millwall. the market is seriously underestimating us here millwall are available to at 4 which is awesome value they should be 9/2 and some nutter backed at 3.7. GET ON!

blackburn incoming now people are watching the thread

^^^^^ yeh i just prefer to green up as i switch the tv on then change channel to football

Fixtures 24 November / Sunderland v West Brom / To Score  Steven Fletcher Back 23602873896  24-Nov-12
12:19    2.68 48.00  2.68 24-Nov-12 12:19   

Fixtures 24 November / Sunderland v West Brom / To Score  Steven Fletcher Back 23602428549  24-Nov-12
12:06    2.64 100.00  2.64 24-Nov-12 12:13 

Fixtures 24 November / Sunderland v West Brom / To Score  Steven Fletcher Lay 23602206792  24-Nov-12
11:59    2.58 50.00  2.58 24-Nov-12 12:03 

Fixtures 24 November / Sunderland v West Brom / To Score  Peter Odemwingie Lay 23599865268  24-Nov-12
10:12    3.7 100.00  3.7 24-Nov-12 12:06

possibly tongue in cheek kenilworth i think.
if not then the idea that prices shift following the "cutting edge" analysis on this thread is deluded at best!

sorry - laying the draw

for me today well walsall v hpools nothing has happened
villa in from 5.1 to 4.8 & more to come - look out the window
norwich 25 traded at 24
and will be backing the draw in india again tonite
otherwise keeping a close eye on the weather for tomorrow's games - could be a bit of a leveller

green army Joined: 15 Oct 05
Replies: 622 24 Nov 12 14:33   


sorry - laying the draw 


Anyonemake sense of that post ? nor me.

Whats not to understand Ken? He said back the draw then corrected himself by saying lay the draw. . .I dont understand why you keep posting on this thread you never have anything to contribute just constantly slate it, why do you waste your time?

i know bridge - never offers anything - kenny you're blocked - others have already done this