General Betting
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FOOTBALL BETS TESTING A THEORY WHICH
FOOTBALL BETS TESTING A THEORY WHICH
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Will post my bets again, as may be of "interest" to some....not many!!!
Decided to give DIV 2 games in Germany another go re CS LAYS. =========================================================================== Fixtures 17 March / 1860 Munich v G Furth / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 17-Mar-12 09:43 11 48.00 11 17-Mar-12 09:46 Just believe the home tea have conserved energy for this match...and will score. MGOFS is 2-1. ============================================================================== Fixtures 17 March / Ingolstadt v Paderborn / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 17-Mar-12 09:46 12 36.00 12 17-Mar-12 09:46 Hard game to figure, but likely home team score. MGOFS 1-3. GL with bets. |
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DAY 27 - GAME 3
Fixtures 17 March / Everton v Sunderland / Over/Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 Goals Back 17-Mar-12 11:26 2.46 9.00 2.46 17-Mar-12 11:26 Fixtures 17 March / Everton v Sunderland / Correct Score 2 - 0 Back 17-Mar-12 11:26 9.6 4.00 9.6 17-Mar-12 11:26 Fixtures 17 March / Everton v Sunderland / Correct Score 0 - 2 Back 17-Mar-12 11:26 29 3.00 29 17-Mar-12 11:26 Fixtures 17 March / Everton v Sunderland / Correct Score 1 - 1 Back 17-Mar-12 11:25 7.4 9.00 7.4 17-Mar-12 11:25 Fixtures 17 March / Everton v Sunderland / Over/Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 Goals Back 17-Mar-12 11:25 2.46 24.00 2.46 17-Mar-12 11:25 ================================================================================ FA CUP tie ...and at Everton, so I expect E to go for the early goal....and get one. Thereafter the game could go on to an OVER 2.5 game. MGOFS 2-1. Gl with bets. |
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DAY 27 GAME 4
Fixtures 17 March / Dundee Utd v Rangers / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 17-Mar-12 11:36 11 24.00 11 17-Mar-12 11:36 =================================================================== Just expect DU to score  ......as RANGERS defence appears to leak goals. RANGERS likely to win though ...MGOFS 2-3.Gl with bets. |
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Enough games covered now.....so will wait til games after 4.59 pm before do any more FOOTBALL bets.....other than placing bets on the 4 games above, as and when I feel it is appropriate to do so.
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gud luck mate have you seen crystal palace vs hull correct score less than 8 before kickoff could be worth a play that game under 2.5 is 1.5 too
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that 0-0 mate
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Tend not to bet on lower English Division football.......don't know enough about "style" of play re teams etc.
Enough STAKED on above 4 games. Will wait to see how I fare on them, then MIGHT venture into checking some other matches. Prefer, generally, the PREMIER leagues for countries, as standard of football "better".........Many of my HITS are in DIV 2 Germany or in South American games(DIV 2 ).... GL today smithy91  |
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k mate nice one mate and good luck to you 2.
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17' Ingolstadt 1-0 (-) Paderborn
GER D2 19' TSV 1860 München 1-1 (-) Greuther Fürth Good start to day ...for once.... |
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Will chance a couple games in ITALY DIV 2....
DAY 27 GAMES 5 and 6 ixtures 17 March / Grosseto v Cittadella / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 17-Mar-12 12:47 9 15.10 9 17-Mar-12 12:47 Fixtures 17 March / Grosseto v Cittadella / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 17-Mar-12 12:47 9 4.45 9 17-Mar-12 12:47 Fixtures 17 March / Grosseto v Cittadella / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 17-Mar-12 12:46 8.8 4.45 8.8 17-Mar-12 12:46 Fixtures 17 March / Grosseto v Cittadella / Correct Score 0 - 2 Back 17-Mar-12 12:46 22 3.00 22 17-Mar-12 12:46 Fixtures 17 March / Grosseto v Cittadella / Correct Score 2 - 0 Back 17-Mar-12 12:46 12.5 3.00 12.5 17-Mar-12 12:46 Fixtures 17 March / Grosseto v Cittadella / Correct Score 1 - 1 Back 17-Mar-12 12:46 6.4 9.00 6.4 17-Mar-12 12:46 Fixtures 17 March / Grosseto v Cittadella / Over/Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 Goals Back 17-Mar-12 12:46 2.48 24.00 2.48 17-Mar-12 12:46 Middle of table game ...so both teams can go for a goal.MGOFS 2-1. ================================================================= Fixtures 17 March / Gubbio v Crotone / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 17-Mar-12 GUBBIO should be trying to win this game ...and are likely to score. MGOFS is 2-1. GL with bets. 12:43 10 24.00 10 17-Mar-12 12:43 |
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GAME 3 IP
Early goal for SUNDERLAND .....0-1 ...so backed 0-1 a bit to cover OVERS bet..... Fixtures 17 March / Everton v Sunderland / Correct Score 0 - 1 Back 17-Mar-12 12:59 9 6.00 9 17-Mar-12 12:59 |
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Hi DFC!
Long time no talk ... but I followed you almost every day ;-) I see that you are doing good now but you had some ups and downs quite significant ... don't you overstaking "a bit"? Good luck ... PS: I just finished my BOT that puts bets based on goal expectancy "theory" ... for the moment there are few rules that could trigger a bet but I hope to add more soon ... today is the first day! |
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GAME 3 IP ....1-1 in EVERTON match....so letting OVERS bet stand...as 1-1 already covered at start.
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GL A......
YUP .....I do "OVER STAKE".......usually when "CHASING" or well ahead. I feel that being aggressive on what are perceived as "STRANG" bets......is the way for me to bet on FOOTBALL. If you want to post on here A...no probbs....or if you start another thread...I'll keep eye on Gl with BOTS! |
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GAME 4 ...now 1-0 DUNDEE UTD
....but bet won |
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GAMES 6 AND 7
Fixtures 17 March / Fulham v Swansea / Half Time/Full Time Draw/Swansea Lay 17-Mar-12 14:48 13.5 24.00 13.5 17-Mar-12 14:48 FULHAM likely to win 1-0 or 2-0. ========================================================== Fixtures 17 March / Wigan v West Brom / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 17-Mar-12 14:48 10.5 48.00 10.5 17-Mar-12 14:48 Just fancy WIGAN to score. MGOFS 2-1. ============================================================ GL with bets. |
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GMEAS 5 + 6 are winning bets
56' Gubbio 1-0 (1-0) FC Crotone 54' US Grosseto 2-1 (2-0) AS Cittadella |
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0-1 SWANSEA.....JUST BEFORE HT....so backed DRAW at HT as a hedge against the lay on DRAW/SWANSEA with £4 on
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56' Wigan Athletic 1-0 (0-0) West Bromwich
The lay on 0-1 a "winner" now..... |
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GAMES 8, 9, 10 AND 11
Fixtures 17 March / Zaragoza v Osasuna / Over/Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 Goals Back 17-Mar-12 16:35 2.24 33.00 2.24 17-Mar-12 16:35 Fixtures 17 March / Zaragoza v Osasuna / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 17-Mar-12 16:35 9.6 24.00 9.6 17-Mar-12 16:35 Fixtures 17 March / Zaragoza v Osasuna / Correct Score 0 - 2 Back 17-Mar-12 16:35 16 3.00 16 17-Mar-12 16:35 Fixtures 17 March / Zaragoza v Osasuna / Correct Score 2 - 0 Back 17-Mar-12 16:34 16.5 3.00 16.5 17-Mar-12 16:34 Fixtures 17 March / Zaragoza v Osasuna / Correct Score 1 - 1 Back 17-Mar-12 16:34 7.2 9.00 7.2 17-Mar-12 16:34 ================================================================== Fixtures 17 March / Getafe v Sociedad / Correct Score 0 - 2 Back 17-Mar-12 16:34 26 2.00 26.01 17-Mar-12 16:34 Fixtures 17 March / Getafe v Sociedad / Correct Score 1 - 1 Back 17-Mar-12 16:33 7.2 9.00 7.2 17-Mar-12 16:33 Fixtures 17 March / Getafe v Sociedad / Over/Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 Goals Back 17-Mar-12 16:33 2.24 33.00 2.24 17-Mar-12 16:33 =================================================================== Fixtures 17 March / Parma v AC Milan / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 17-Mar-12 16:30 13 24.00 13 17-Mar-12 16:30 =================================================================== Fixtures 17 March / Tottenham v Bolton / Half Time/Full Time Draw/Draw Lay 17-Mar-12 16:27 11.5 24.00 11.5 17-Mar-12 16:27 ====================================================================== GL with bets. |
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18' Parma FC 0-1 (-) AC Milan
Relatively "quick" winner... |
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this must be a good day so far mate
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ADJUSTING POSITION IN GAMES 9 AND 10 AT HT 0-0 IN EACH
Fixtures 17 March / Zaragoza v Osasuna / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 17-Mar-12 17:54 3.85 36.00 3.85 17-Mar-12 17:54 Fixtures 17 March / Zaragoza v Osasuna / Over/Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 Goals Back 17-Mar-12 17:54 6.4 3.00 6.4 17-Mar-12 17:54 ======================================================= Fixtures 17 March / Getafe v Sociedad / Correct Score 0 - 1 Back 17-Mar-12 17:53 7.4 3.00 7.6 17-Mar-12 17:53 Fixtures 17 March / Getafe v Sociedad / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 17-Mar-12 17:53 3.95 36.00 3.95 17-Mar-12 17:53 Fixtures 17 March / Getafe v Sociedad / Over/Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 Goals Back 17-Mar-12 17:52 5.7 3.00 5.7 17-Mar-12 17:52 ================================================================== |
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SO FAR smithy91 |
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buzzin mate i wana see it work for you. i think this system takes a lot of discipline though because of the hits you have to take that's why i don't bother but can be done
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Stopping now ......seems the "right" thing to do in circmstances....
Cheers just now smithy. |
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DAY 27 RESULTS
Soccer: £314.91 PROFIT Soccer Showing 1 - 16 of 16 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) ============================================================ Soccer / Parma v AC Milan : Correct Score 17-Mar-12 17:00 17-Mar-12 18:56 22.99 ============================================================= Soccer / Getafe v Sociedad : Over/Under 2.5 goals 17-Mar-12 17:00 17-Mar-12 18:50 -36.00 Soccer / Getafe v Sociedad : Correct Score 17-Mar-12 17:00 17-Mar-12 18:49 18.20 ============================================================= Soccer / Zaragoza v Osasuna : Over/Under 2.5 goals 17-Mar-12 17:00 17-Mar-12 18:49 -36.00 Soccer / Zaragoza v Osasuna : Correct Score 17-Mar-12 17:00 17-Mar-12 18:48 105.20 ============================================================== Soccer / Fulham v Swansea : Half Time/Full Time 17-Mar-12 15:00 17-Mar-12 16:55 22.99 Soccer / Fulham v Swansea : Half Time 17-Mar-12 15:00 17-Mar-12 15:47 -4.00 ============================================================== Soccer / Wigan v West Brom : Correct Score 17-Mar-12 15:00 17-Mar-12 16:54 45.98 ============================================================= Soccer / Grosseto v Cittadella : Correct Score 17-Mar-12 14:00 17-Mar-12 15:51 8.62 Soccer / Grosseto v Cittadella : Over/Under 2.5 goals 17-Mar-12 14:00 17-Mar-12 15:06 30.75 ============================================================== Soccer / Gubbio v Crotone : Correct Score 17-Mar-12 14:00 17-Mar-12 15:50 22.99 ============================================================== Soccer / Everton v Sunderland : Correct Score 17-Mar-12 12:45 17-Mar-12 14:39 42.73 Soccer / Everton v Sunderland : Over/Under 2.5 goals 17-Mar-12 12:45 17-Mar-12 14:38 -33.00 ================================================================ Soccer / Dundee Utd v Rangers : Correct Score 17-Mar-12 12:45 17-Mar-12 14:37 22.99 =============================================================== Soccer / Ingolstadt v Paderborn : Correct Score 17-Mar-12 12:00 17-Mar-12 13:48 34.49 =============================================================== Soccer / 1860 Munich v G Furth : Correct Score 17-Mar-12 12:00 17-Mar-12 13:11 45.98 ============================================================= No big HITS....so a "good" profit made today. Cheers the nooooooooooo |
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SUMMARY ON THREAD -
DAY 1........profit £ 39.70 DAY 2........profit...41.32 DAY 3........profit...50.63 DAY 4........profit...54.10 DAY 5........profit..146.94 DAY 6........LOSS.(1,077.06) DAY 7........profit..230.56 DAY 8........profit..108.09 DAY 9........profit...71.27 DAY 10.......profit..147.50 DAY 11.......profit..115.58 DAY 12.......LOSS.(. 584.60) DAY 13.......profit..339.83 DAY 14.......LOSS.(.226.17) DAY 15.......profit...13.86 DAY 16.......profit...59.60 DAY 17.......profit..197.58 DAY 18.......profit..429.33 DAY 19.......LOSS..(..86.94) DAY 20.......LOSS..(..43.43) DAY 21.......LOSS..(.369.89) DAY 22.......LOSS..(..11.23) DAY 23.......profit..216.27 DAY 24.......profit...52.68 DAY 25.......profit..243.47 DAY 26.......profit...14.58 DAY 27.......profit..314.91 --------- CUMULATIVE PROFIT £..487.58 |
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great stuff mate don't blow it tomoz and lose discipline a few more good days and you could be well in profit
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DAY 28- GAME 1
Fixtures 18 March / Levante v Villarreal / Correct Score 2 - 0 Back 18-Mar-12 10:58 13 3.00 13 18-Mar-12 10:58 Fixtures 18 March / Levante v Villarreal / Correct Score 1 - 1 Back 18-Mar-12 10:58 7.2 9.00 7.2 18-Mar-12 10:58 Fixtures 18 March / Levante v Villarreal / Correct Score 0 - 2 Back 18-Mar-12 10:58 18 3.00 18 18-Mar-12 10:58 Fixtures 18 March / Levante v Villarreal / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 18-Mar-12 10:58 11 24.00 11 18-Mar-12 10:58 Fixtures 18 March / Levante v Villarreal / Over/Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 Goals Back 18-Mar-12 10:58 2.24 36.00 2.24 18-Mar-12 10:58 ========================================================================== Just likely at least 2 goals in game. MGOFS is 2-1. GL with bets. |
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GAME 2
Fixtures 18 March / Valladolid v Almeria / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 18-Mar-12 11:07 14 8.00 14 18-Mar-12 11:07 Fixtures 18 March / Valladolid v Almeria / Correct Score 1 - 1 Back 18-Mar-12 11:07 8.8 3.00 8.8 18-Mar-12 11:07 Fixtures 18 March / Valladolid v Almeria / Correct Score 2 - 0 Back 18-Mar-12 11:07 9.4 3.00 9.4 18-Mar-12 11:07 Fixtures 18 March / Valladolid v Almeria / Correct Score 0 - 2 Back 18-Mar-12 11:07 36 2.00 36 18-Mar-12 11:07 Fixtures 18 March / Valladolid v Almeria / Over/Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 Goals Back 18-Mar-12 11:06 1.92 19.65 1.92 18-Mar-12 11:06 ======================================================================== Just believe a goal will be scored.....MGOFS is 0-2 or 1-1. GL with bets. |
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GAME 3
Fixtures 18 March / Karlsruhe v H Rostock / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 18-Mar-12 11:14 10.5 24.00 10.48 18-Mar-12 11:14 Fixtures 18 March / Karlsruhe v H Rostock / Correct Score 0 - 0 Back 18-Mar-12 11:14 14 3.00 14 18-Mar-12 11:14 ============================================================= TIGHT game likely....and likely home tem scores. MGOFS is 1-1. GL with bets. |
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GAMES 4 AND 5
Fixtures 18 March / Erzgebirge v St Pauli / Over/Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 Goals Back 18-Mar-12 11:20 2.02 18.00 2.02 18-Mar-12 11:20 Fixtures 18 March / Erzgebirge v St Pauli / Correct Score 0 - 0 Back 18-Mar-12 11:20 12 3.00 12 18-Mar-12 11:20 ======================================================================= Fixtures 18 March / Duisburg v Bochum / Over/Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 Goals Back 18-Mar-12 11:20 1.96 18.00 1.96 18-Mar-12 11:20 Fixtures 18 March / Duisburg v Bochum / Correct Score 0 - 0 Back 18-Mar-12 11:20 13.5 3.00 13.5 18-Mar-12 11:20 ====================================================================== 2 games that can be TIGHT or goals in.....MGOFS in each is 0-0 and 2-1. GL with bets. |
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GAME 6
Fixtures 18 March / Hearts v Hibernian / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 18-Mar-12 11:26 10.5 36.00 10.5 18-Mar-12 11:26 ============================================== Might be a dodgy lay.....but HIBS likely to score. HEARTS might be "happy" with a draw as Scottish cup tie looming up.... MGOFS 1-1. GL with bets. |
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ADJUST POSITION IN GAME 1
Fixtures 18 March / Levante v Villarreal / Correct Score 1 - 0 Back 18-Mar-12 11:57 4.9 4.00 4.9 18-Mar-12 11:57 Fixtures 18 March / Levante v Villarreal / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 18-Mar-12 11:57 3.55 24.00 3.55 18-Mar-12 11:57 Fixtures 18 March / Levante v Villarreal / Over/Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 Goals Back 18-Mar-12 11:57 6.6 3.00 6.6 18-Mar-12 11:57 |
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1-1 in GAME 2 in 2nd half...so just letting bets stand..OVERS required or small profit made on 1-1.
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GAME 7
Fixtures 18 March / Wolves v Man Utd / Half Time/Full Time Draw/Wolves Lay 18-Mar-12 12:19 29 21.00 29 18-Mar-12 12:19 ======================================================================= MU likely to win. MGOFS 1-2. GL with bets. |
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GAME 8
Fixtures 18 March / Chelsea v Leicester / Half Time/Full Time Draw/Leicester Lay 18-Mar-12 12:43 32 24.00 32 18-Mar-12 12:43 ========================================================================== CHELSEA should win this match, as should be pumped up after mid-week win. MGOFS 1-0. GL with bets. |
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GAME 9
Fixtures 18 March / Inter v Atalanta / Half Time/Full Time Draw/Draw Lay 18-Mar-12 12:56 6.4 36.00 6.4 18-Mar-12 12:56 ========================================================================= INTER have to bounce back ...so a goal likely in game. MGOFS 2-1. GL with bets. |
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GAME 10
Fixtures 18 March / Mallorca v Atl Madrid / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 18-Mar-12 14:52 10.5 24.00 10.5 18-Mar-12 14:52 ==================================================================== Torn between laying 0-0 or 1-0....opted for 1-0 lay. Just feel away team are in form and likely to score. MGOFS is 1-2. GL with bets. |