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FOOTBALL BETS TESTING A THEORY WHICH

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By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 18:21
HT now in FIOR game 2-1

HT 0-0 in MODENA match.


Think will wait til 2-0 is down to about 2.3/2.4.....and then will lay a bit off on that score....

May well finish 3-1......hopefully!
=====================================================


MODENA game now a "tricky" one......
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 18:26
DAY 2- GAME 1......Currently 2-0 HT.....

Fixtures 21 February / Bologna v Fiorentina / Correct Score    
    2 - 2     Back         21-Feb-12
18:23           11.5     2.00         11.5     21-Feb-12 18:23    

As have a good profit if stays 2-0 .....or goes to 3-1......just covering 2-2 for when it might go to 2-1......
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 18:28
DAY 2- GAME 2 ...currently 0-0 HT


Prepared to take a HIT if MODENA win......only saver if they take lead is if it finishes 3-1. So just letting bets stand.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 18:49
DAY 2- GAME 1...Currently 2-0 2nd half...but a RED CARD for away team means I'd better lay 2-0 now a bit.....still hoping it goes to 3-1....

   
Fixtures 21 February / Bologna v Fiorentina / Correct Score    
    2 - 0     Lay         21-Feb-12
18:48           3.2     12.00         3.2     21-Feb-12 18:48
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 19:10
GAME 1 still 2-0 so laying profit off on 2-0 ....takinga chance a goal comes....

   
Fixtures 21 February / Bologna v Fiorentina / Correct Score    
    2 - 0     Lay         21-Feb-12
19:09           1.73     12.00         1.7     21-Feb-12 19:09
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 19:29
GAME 1 - finished 2-0 ......BOLOGNA .......About £1 made on a game where one of 2 bets failed re lay on BOLGNA.


GAME 2 was a 0-0  FT in MODENA match. About £12 profit off game....
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 20:08
GAME 3 ....0-0 at HT ..so laying 0-0 profit off ...and hoping home team wins

Fixtures 21 February / Tours v Le Havre / Correct Score    
    0 - 0     Lay     21-Feb-12
20:05           3.55     18.00         3.4     21-Feb-12 20:05
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 20:28
Further small lay


Fixtures 21 February / Tours v Le Havre / Correct Score    
    0 - 0     Lay          21-Feb-12
20:27           1.8     12.00         1.8     21-Feb-12 20:27
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 20:36
Last lay on 0-0


Fixtures 21 February / Tours v Le Havre / Correct Score    
    0 - 0     Lay         21-Feb-12
20:35           1.53     12.00         1.52     21-Feb-12 20:35
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 20:42
Eliminated HIT on 0-1 .....


Just need a goal ....from home team
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 20:51
FT 0-0.......No surprise there then!!!

OK ...now binning FRENCH FOOTBALL bets.....An UNDER 2.5 goals was likely .....but not keen on that type of bet.


Loss £64 on that FRENCH game.......2 HITS in FRENCH bets in 2 days...wipes out any profit.

AS games generally not going way the MAIN BETS want them to go....thenno surprise over all a small loss made SO FAR!
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 20:54
DAY 2 - GAME 4 IP at 2-1


   
Fixtures 21 February / Napoli v Chelsea / Correct Score    
    2 - 2     Lay         21-Feb-12
20:53           6.8     24.00         6.8     21-Feb-12 20:53
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 21:18
G NEVILLE is blethering re NAPOLI......He just don't recognise just how quick they move ball when they up pace...unlike the machine type players in CHELSEA team....
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 21:25
GAME 5

    Fixtures 21 February / Penarol v Atletico Nacional / Correct Score     0 - 1     Lay         21-Feb-12
21:23           13.5     14.22         13.5     21-Feb-12 21:23

Fair chance 2 goals in game.

Gl with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 21:30
Does G NEVILLE realise NAPOLI beat MAN CITY 2-1 and also drew 1-1 away........eeeeeejjjjiiiittttttt
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 21:42
GAMES 4 + 5 bets were really nothing to do with what I'm experimenting with...
.but ran out of games......but will include for tally on thread.
By:
I.quit.my.country
When: 21 Feb 12 21:43
Gary neville multi millionaire, countless trophies and England caps.

Dfc clueless gambler. Who's the idiot?

AGive it up man.

how Many years are you going to continue going round and round getting nowhere?

This is not an attack. No one Can predict the future, not even mystic meg.

Its only about the prices.

I'm so surprised you haven't grasped it yet, cos you are not so thick.

I wanna
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 21:48
He said NAPOLI were a worse club than MAN CITY or MILAN .....and such  statements from someone who is biased in opinion re ENGLISH football shows his comments are poor!

He was a very good CLUB full-back ...and that is all.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 21:49
Wed    14/09/11    UCL    Manchester City     1 - 1    Napoli    View events    More info
Tue    27/09/11    UCL    Napoli     2 - 0    Villarreal    View events    More info
Tue    18/10/11    UCL    Napoli     1 - 1    Bayern München    View events    More info
Wed    02/11/11    UCL    Bayern München     3 - 2    Napoli    View events    More info
Tue    22/11/11    UCL    Napoli     2 - 1    Manchester City    View events    More info
Wed    07/12/11    UCL    Villarreal     0 - 2    Napoli
By:
I.quit.my.country
When: 21 Feb 12 21:49
Help ya but you Gotta wanna help yourself 1st and give up trying to predict future events. Humans are incredibly bad at it
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 21:49
The above are the facts re NAPOLI and how good they are.....
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 21:51
Wed    06/04/11    UCL    Chelsea     0 - 1    Manchester United    View events    More info
Tue    12/04/11    UCL    Manchester United     2 - 1    Chelsea    View events    More info
Tue    13/09/11    UCL    Chelsea     2 - 0    Bayer Leverkusen    View events    More info
Wed    28/09/11    UCL    Valencia     1 - 1    Chelsea    View events    More info
Wed    19/10/11    UCL    Chelsea     5 - 0    Genk    View events    More info
Tue    01/11/11    UCL    Genk     1 - 1    Chelsea    View events    More info
Wed    23/11/11    UCL    Bayer Leverkusen     2 - 1    Chelsea    View events    More info
Tue    06/12/11    UCL    Chelsea     3 - 0    Valencia
By:
I.quit.my.country
When: 21 Feb 12 21:52
Full backs are not great footballers or they wouldnt play full back. But what has hé Got that makes him successful and for you to be talking about him now?
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 21:54
NAPOLI recent record v MILAN is far better than GN made out!

Sun     05/02/12     SEA     Milan     0 - 0     Napoli         More info
Sun     18/09/11     SEA     Napoli     3 - 1     Milan     View events     More info
Mon     28/02/11     SEA     Milan     3 - 0     Napoli     View events
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 21:54
He is a COMMENTATOR who is biased....
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 21:55
Full backs can be WORLD CLASS players .......but he did not fall into that category....a top CLUB player ..but not WORLD CLASS.
By:
I.quit.my.country
When: 21 Feb 12 22:14
Forget Napoli dfc you May be right this time, neville still thinks Chelsea are on the same level As 3 seasons ago. But that does not make him an idiot, hé has All the top experience of playing the game bu hé is after All a human being, so like us All , incredibly bad At predicting the future. It Cannot be done m8 . Become a contrarian. One of my Best systems is backing away teams to win (correct scores) when it started out As a home team win system. But after 1000s of games you only get the value when the general public are on something else. Had countless 100-1 + Winners this season, horses too i never back anything under 9 bsp. I remeber you having some good Winners horses  but you didn't realise where the money lay. Mate this is the Best advice you Will get and im only posting cos im in a good mood and feeling Christian. No edge in odds on shots, you have no leeway or margin for error. You Can have long losing runs my way but when they hit...bang, bang, bang. Then when you find the way, the only problem is getting enuf on, cos forget All this less is more bs. You need to turnover
By:
I.quit.my.country
When: 21 Feb 12 22:17
A thousand bets a Year to make it worth logging on for. Its okay having a bank of 100000 but where Can you get more than 50 on alloa to be winning at ht for example?
By:
I.quit.my.country
When: 21 Feb 12 22:19
I forgot to say All the best!
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 22:21
IQMC- where on this thread can you see me "predicting" outcomes....other than bets being placed?
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Feb 12 22:25
FOOTBALL is difficult to have an "edge" on.......compared to HORSE RACING......

CS LAYS are odds on bets.......and it is possible to do well with certain types of games.....and it is not "all about" odds with such bets, though you don't bet when odds are DAFT ones.....

I layed 2-2 in CHELSEA game tonight......as believed NAPOLI would score again...I probably layed above the odds though ...I admit....but the call this time was "right" re outcome...though I never said what I believed the outcome would be....DevilLaugh

GL with bets ...Away to watch game......cheers the noooooooooooo
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 22 Feb 12 00:18
GAME 6

    Fixtures 21 February / Bolivar v Union Espanola / Correct Score     2 - 2     Back         22-Feb-12
00:11           18.5     3.00         18.5     22-Feb-12 00:11    
    Fixtures 21 February / Bolivar v Union Espanola / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay         22-Feb-12
00:11           3.9     22.00         3.9     22-Feb-12 00:11    
    Fixtures 21 February / Bolivar v Union Espanola / Correct Score     0 - 0     Back         22-Feb-12
00:11           13.5     4.00         13.5     22-Feb-12 00:11    
    Fixtures 21 February / Bolivar v Union Espanola / Half Time/Full Time     Bolivar/Union Espanola     Back         22-Feb-12
00:10           55     2.00         55     22-Feb-12 00:10    
    Fixtures 21 February / Bolivar v Union Espanola / Half Time/Full Time     Draw/Union Espanola     Back     22-Feb-12
00:10           12.5     5.00         13     22-Feb-12 00:10    
    Fixtures 21 February / Bolivar v Union Espanola / Half Time/Full Time     Union Espanola/Union Espanola     Back         22-Feb-12
00:10           10     5.00         10     22-Feb-12 00:10    
    Fixtures 21 February / Bolivar v Union Espanola / Half Time/Full Time     Union Espanola/Draw     Back          22-Feb-12
00:09           21     5.00         21.42     22-Feb-12 00:09    
    Fixtures 21 February / Bolivar v Union Espanola / Half Time/Full Time     Bolivar/Draw     Back          22-Feb-12
00:09           16.5     5.00         16.5     22-Feb-12 00:09
===================================================================

The market appears to expect lots of goals......but suspect TIGHT game.

Hoping one of em ahead HT .....preferably the away team.....then goes to DRAW position at some point 2nd half.....

GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 22 Feb 12 00:37
Quick goal by BOLIVAR ...so backing DRAW atnd hoping it stays 1-0 til HT...

   
Fixtures 21 February / Bolivar v Union Espanola / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back         22-Feb-12
00:35           6.4     12.00         6.6     22-Feb-12 00:35
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 22 Feb 12 01:11
Stuck £2 on HT DRAW at 15s...to cover HT/FT bets if it is a draw HT...
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 22 Feb 12 01:22
1-0 HT



Two bad misses by each team where open goal and forwards just nevr struck ball accurately enough......

Home team started at top pace...but ran out of steam a bit as 1s half progressed....

Still a fair chance it goes to a DRAW 2nd half...then good profit can be made.

If stays 1-0 a small loss will be made......

Will place a bet on 2-1 ....as might finish that ...or 2-2 ......but already have 2-2 backed....
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 22 Feb 12 01:24
Market still expecting goals........and if both teams play the way they did 1st half.....fair chance a goal comes.

have backed 2-1 with £4 at 8s.......will probably lay 1-0 when odds are far lower.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 22 Feb 12 01:31
Oh to hell....will be a lemming and lay 1-0....as market indicates a goal will come.....they may be wrong though.

I suspect the goal will come last 15 mins...though....

   
Fixtures 21 February / Bolivar v Union Espanola / Correct Score    
    1 - 0     Lay         22-Feb-12
01:29           4.9     12.00         4.9     22-Feb-12 01:29
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 22 Feb 12 01:54
Now 1-1 ...so backing home team a bit...hopefuly away team wins though...or goes to 2-2

   
Fixtures 21 February / Bolivar v Union Espanola / Match Odds    
    Bolivar     Back         22-Feb-12
01:53           2.74     16.00         2.76     22-Feb-12 01:54
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 22 Feb 12 01:56
Stuck another £8 on home team to give reasonable profit .....as also have 2-1 covered.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 22 Feb 12 01:58
Now 1-2.......so backed DRAW with £6 and home team £2


Good profit now whatever happens.....2-2 would be best
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