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Onebigbet
07 Feb 12 02:01
Joined:
Date Joined: 24 May 06
| Topic/replies: 106 | Blogger: Onebigbet's blog
Smarkets - came across this and the site must have big players from bet fair providing liquidity - odds always match bf and move few seconds behind - strange site but 2% commission - not as good as bf though. Purple still a morgue until just before the off. They've had years to sort liquidity - never have done properly

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Replies: 45
By:
the silverback
When: 07 Feb 12 03:14
At first glance it looked quite impressive four or five figure liquidity. Until I noticed the decimal point and the extra amount of pennies on every order. Is that for real?
By:
SHAPESHIFTER
When: 07 Feb 12 09:19
Also, how do they 'calculate' matched?  Betduck the worst:

Daq£5 at 31.00 = £150.00 matched
Betfair £5 at 31.00 = £10.00 matched
Smarkets:???
By:
SHAPESHIFTER
When: 07 Feb 12 10:05
If anyone from Smarkets is reading this:

I read your terms and conditions.  There are gaps and holes that you can drive a car through. 

At a glance: there seem to be no rules for each bet.

As one that lived in Canada and traded on Nasdaq and watched the rise and fall of several 'dot.com' businesses:

Those that simply copied a model were always several strides behind.  Unless you are able to completely revolutionize the exchange model (and offering a lower commission is not) or how exchange users place their positions, you'll have your turnover but your growth ceiling will be quickly realized.
By:
jimmy69
When: 07 Feb 12 10:22
Well it's been around for 4 years...
By:
SHAPESHIFTER
When: 07 Feb 12 12:10
This is where the "dot.com" industry is all wrong. 

I honestly looked at the site and figured a year in beta.  If you look at betfair over the first four years, the innovations were there.

The world needs talented upstarts.  But it is about innovation rather than renovation.
By:
Coachbuster
When: 07 Feb 12 12:54
sometimes you have to be careful what you wish for - if you have too many upstarts the muck is spread to thinly to grow any crops
By:
Coachbuster
When: 07 Feb 12 12:54
too
By:
SHAPESHIFTER
When: 07 Feb 12 13:42
100% agree.  In Canada, we had a surge in micro breweries.  They all did the math that 2% of the market was controlled by independents and they wanted a piece of that.

One Montreal brewery, St Ambroise, started with a few cases a week.  in 1987, my festival was dropped by my beer sponsor so I took them on and had a wonderful relationship with them for years after.

But why they grew and grew was because they came up with new recipes and flavors.  Peter McAuslan is passionate about beer. 

As an innovator, the 2% meant nothing to him and he built his own share.
By:
Martinch
When: 07 Feb 12 17:05
I would love to see 2 or 3 exchanges genuinely competing... the competition would be great for punters.
By:
The Magician (101)
When: 07 Feb 12 18:44
these start-ups have massive barriers to entry.... in brand recognition...

I have been here for a decade and could porbably real off 10 exchnages that have been or are still here...

and yet, last week I heard of a totally new one, never heard of them before...

e-horse-x

now if I have never heard of them, and I have been looking to some degree, how does a casual perosn find them?
By:
jimmy69
When: 07 Feb 12 18:57
Sounds like a porno site...they shouldn't have too many problems getting clientsLaugh
By:
SHAPESHIFTER
When: 08 Feb 12 13:31
I just had it on a separate screen for 2:20 Kempton.

Odds and market movement are EXACTLY the same.

P.S.  There is no market information which is enormous (considering the time they have been around).

15:25 place market.  2 or 3 places Wink
By:
Feck N. Eejit
When: 08 Feb 12 14:26
If they have a 2% account with betfair they can pass every bet placed with them through to their betfair account (if they don't get matched nor will you). If they're charging everyone 2% they'll pay less to betfair than their customers will pay them courtesy of the fact their combined profit (if any) on a market will be less than the total of customer profits on the same market. If every bet placed at betfair went through this other site then their betfair account would break even on every market such that betfair would get zilch while they collected 2% from individual who showed a profit. All of this assumes their betfair account would never get into premium charge territory (a big assumption as their site would obviously appeal to betfair pc payers) but it does show the stupidity of betfair's commission system.
By:
Feck N. Eejit
When: 08 Feb 12 14:27
*from any individual
By:
TheInvestor2
When: 08 Feb 12 20:47
I'm not sure it does show the stupidity. Effectively in this case the bets of a group of players are being funneled through Betfair by one organisation and the guys organising this get a massive commission discount, which means they get paid.

Is this by definition bad business for Betfair?
By:
Feck N. Eejit
When: 08 Feb 12 22:08
My summary isn't entirely true as they wouldn't be on 2% if they were breaking even on every market but I'd presume the bets would be getting placed through someone's account where the normal activity would maintain the account at 2%. If we assume that (and ignore the difficulties presented by the premium charge) then I'd have to say it's bad business for betfair unless you think the other mob's bets were mainly placed by non betfair customers (highly unlikely). Betfair are effectively paying the opposition while they build up their business.

I spent almost the entire flat season on a rival exchange getting an increment less odds than what was available on betfair but only paying a fraction of the commission. It's true that the betfair offer would disappear simultaneously so betfair effectively got my bet anyway BUT a) it helped liquidity on the rival exchange and b) such activity was probably helping the people arbing between exchanges decrease their betfair charges.
By:
Onebigbet
When: 12 Feb 12 22:27
can anyone explain whats going on here in simple terms? If their bet fair comm is 2% and they pocket 2% on smark*ts, how is the money being made?
By:
Feck N. Eejit
When: 13 Feb 12 09:15
Onebigbet, Let's say in an A v B case you bet 10K on A @ 2.0 which they hedge in their betfair a/c and later on I bet 10K on B @ 2.0 which they also hedge to their betfair a/c. On those two bets their betfair account will break even so they will pay no commission whereas they'll pick up £200 in commission from whichever of us wins.
By:
1.01 Layer
When: 13 Feb 12 09:49
Exchanges obviously cost very little to run then.
By:
TheInvestor2
When: 13 Feb 12 12:40
Yeah, unless you start paying the top guys millions a year and develop products like LMAX Devil
By:
Onebigbet
When: 15 Feb 12 00:11
cheers feck - got to say its a simple but genius idea
By:
TheVis
When: 15 Feb 12 10:03
got to agree with shapeshifter - this is nothing other than yet another BF copy.

Reading press articles and hearing one of the founders talk you would think a betting exchange was the newest hot thing to hit the tech industry.

I just do not see where they have any edge.
By:
duncan idaho
When: 15 Feb 12 11:29
Reading press articles and hearing one of the founders talk you would think a betting exchange was the newest hot thing to hit the tech industry.

that's called marketing....it's all the rage these days Cry
By:
artie
When: 15 Feb 12 13:49
"Nothing other than another BF copy". What's wrong with that ?
By:
SHAPESHIFTER
When: 15 Feb 12 14:09
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1n8rfFRvIH0
By:
SHAPESHIFTER
When: 15 Feb 12 14:10
"What the world needs now is another pop singer
Like I need a hole in the head"
By:
artie
When: 15 Feb 12 14:12
"Nothing other than another BF copy (with 2% comm.)" What's wrong with that ?
By:
SHAPESHIFTER
When: 15 Feb 12 14:15
Artie, if the ONLY selling point is the commission, their neighbors at the daq are years ahead of them. 

And, as a consumer, if the only thing that people focus on is the commission, well, power to you and enjoy shopping at pound stretcher.
By:
artie
When: 15 Feb 12 14:22
So,what would you like them to offer  ?
By:
funkymonkey
When: 15 Feb 12 14:44
Not sure it is fair to say the daq are years ahead at all.

Of course people will like the 2% comm at smarkets, I know I do.

You get BF prices at 2% comm, whereas with the purple you pay 3% standard and the price is almost always slightly out of kilter by at least a tick, sometimes several.

Info on markets/teams etc can be found on numerous websites, you dont need it all on the actual exchange itself.

Personally I would rather pay 2% at real market price and find my data elsewhere. The purple is still too poor for trading on most events so really can only be seen as an outright bet option, which means smarkets and pinnys are almost always better priced.
By:
bf_fananatic
When: 15 Feb 12 15:00
Letting punters bet against each other with almost zero over-rounds and only charging winners relative to success is probably the best betting model to ever grace the silicon screen.

Doubters, the jealous, the competition, the plain unlucky form an orderly queue at your nearest cliff edge Wink
By:
bf_fananatic
When: 15 Feb 12 15:01
And good luck to you all.
By:
TheVis
When: 16 Feb 12 09:55
Does smarkets bet in-running?
By:
SHAPESHIFTER
When: 16 Feb 12 17:24
No, but they seem to offer 5 places on horse racing Crazy
By:
Onebigbet
When: 17 Feb 12 02:39
actually they do match bets in running, it just doesn't show in money available. If you post a bet it will be taken as soon as bet fair's price is gobbled up. However, you are always at the back of the queue, maybe a tick or two worse off - I don't think for trading in running it is any good, but maybe a mathematician will prove me wrong with the 2% comm.

Are they behaving just like any other bookie by hedging at Betfair, or do other bookies not use bet fair to hedge every bet these days?
By:
thebandit
When: 18 Feb 12 01:40
TheVis
Does smarkets bet in-running?


Certainly on football/soccer they have various in-running games/fixtures etc.
By:
bf_fananatic
When: 18 Feb 12 04:31
One thing this last decade is quite apparent, online maverick and refreshing betting models are putting the oxygen back into gambling that the high street bookmakers have squeezed out by being biased one sided layers which now seems both antiquated and a failure as it relies on gambling addition to be stupid enough to accept a one sided business practice, thank god for exchanges putting both the fun and value back into betting sports betting.
By:
bf_fananatic
When: 18 Feb 12 04:32
amen!
By:
catflappo
When: 18 Feb 12 05:27
I agree with SHAPESHIFTER I don't think Betfair will be dislodged until the next big innovation comes along and before anyone asks, if I knew what that was then I would do it!
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