General Betting
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Is anyone interested in Goals to SHOTS ON TARGET RATIOS? why you should lay unquoted in every Man
Is anyone interested in Goals to SHOTS ON TARGET RATIOS? why you should lay unquoted in every Man
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if espn data correct, some games look odd...
charlton 4.33333sot*0.28=1.2 goals a game. opponent 4.33333sot*0.23=1 goal score should be 0.8 v 0.69 |
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started with a lay of unquoted
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nothing to suggest swindon will score 4+
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swindon should have 0.92 of a goal
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i am going to get in queue to green out unquoted as swindon score loads 61-75
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nothing to suggest 4+ goals.
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charlton are bang on for sot and swindon are above average so expectation should be that they will not have many more shots on goal.
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all green as my instinct took over from Sot
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70' 4(3) v 5(4)
0.84 v 0.92 |
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sot is saying ft 1-2.
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charlton are having an average game and swindon slightly above average , their sot ratio is at a wopping 0.5 but the amount of sots is just above average in the game on 77
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and 1-3
anyone who has layed unquoted and not green is in trouble. this is a game where a team has an average amount of sots but has a massive sot to goal ratio |
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ratio is now 0.66
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this game is not a good advert for sot
my instinct got me out when a team scores 4 goals and averages 0.66 sot to goal then there is nothing you can do. |
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Any Unquoted 17.00 21.00 Back 03-Jan-11 18:33 336.00
Any Unquoted 17.00 21.00 Lay 03-Jan-11 18:17 -336.00 *Average odds: On Off Back subtotal: 336.00 Lay subtotal: -336.00 Market subtotal: 0.00 Commission : 0.00 Net Market Total: 0.00 Profit and Loss is shown net of commission. All times are UKT ? unless ot |
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back for zara if anyone left
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jonnyg like I said I would seriously avoid backing 1/20 shots ... wait for better opportunities to back at odds against, they'll come along. Glad you traded out though :)
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you are so right homer.
could any system predict 6 goals in this game? summary charlton 4 sot bang on average and should have scored 1.44 goals. swindon above average with 6 sot and should have scored 1.38 |
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zara 4.5sot*0.27 v 6*0.4
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0(0) v 0(0) so far not suggesting a goal fest.
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cue the goal.
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forgetting sot for a mo the stats are saying overs. real overs away 88% and zara overs at home 75%
will try to exploit this with sot so if sot saying not many goals will back unders odds against  will give it a few mins. |
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score should be 0.27 v 0
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problem is looks like an average game but an average game =3.45 goals.
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Zaragoza 4.5sot*0.27= 1.2 goals expectation v opponent 6sot*0.4=2.4 goals.
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had a small bet on under 2.5 goals on basis real soc are underperforming sot.
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26' (1) v (0) so no expectation of loads of goals at all.
famous last words. |
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would imagine the whole betting world is on overs in this game. I am in the queue to green out.
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both teams are underperforming on sot
so no suggestion of goals at all. |
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that soc goal was most unexpected.
was in queue to green out Back Your Odds Your Stake Your Profit Under 2.5 Goals 2.46 £19.96 £29.14 Ref: Bet matched: 2.48 £0.04 £0.06 Ref: Bet matched: Lay Backer's Odds Backer's Stake Payout Liability Lay Backer's Odds Backer's Stake Payout Liability Under 2.5 Goals 2.1 £1.72 £3.61 £1.89 goal just as my bet was being taken. got to laugh. |
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1 sot v 1 sot
and 1-1 |
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layed overs at 1.25 so small downside.
the key here is that the game should still be 0-0. need a time frame without a goal to green out. appreciate the stats says overs but stats are there to be broken. |
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I was on under 3.5 after the first goal. Accuscore was also 1.6 v 0.9. Was hoping to green at half time. Bit of a nervous wait to get out with minimal damage now.
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both teams have also underperformed bigstyle.
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well soc certainly have.
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the game still might end as average sot. Gotta trust it. i think
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hello bug. Ht 3sot and 2 goals (just cannot factor that in).
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weather.
soc are well below their expected sot of 6, they have 1. zara have 2 and are on target for 4.5 the sot is saying the game will end under expected total goals of 3.615 |
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think the key in this game is expectation that there would be 3.6 goals and now 1-1 ht when it should have been 0-0ht. Will there be loads more goals in second half. the answer is if real soc wake up then there could be. they have underperformed.
what happens if they get back to their average? |
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so if they do average out then 1-3 would be a wise bet at 25/1?
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