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HORSE RACES AND USING KELLY CALC and IR BETS STEP3

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Replies: 245
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 12:49
Exeter 1.40

1st 2 Forest Pennant (IRE) 5-6 F :D
2nd 1 Flight Leader (IRE) 3-1


Jockey almost blundered twice on first 2 fences ...then almost fell off half way round ....he did really well after that though :D
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 12:53
2.15 PASS on race.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 12:58
2.25- Soubriquet


MONEY BANK now : £ 423
ODDS AVAILABLE : 19 ( Betfair)
PROBABILITY % = 9-1 ( 10%)
STAKE INDICATED : 19.66


WIN STAKE £12
PLACE STAKE £ 7.66 at 5.2


small cover bet £2 win SOLIS
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 13:03
2.05 on a point of "principle" laying Manyriverstocross IN PLACE MARKET to gain £15
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 13:10
layed fav in win market as well just at off ....so no loss win market ...but lost place bets in 2.05
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 13:12
2.15 not using KC just a £3 win bet on Gilsland at 3.9
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 13:25
2.25 two RFCs with 5/3 and 7/5 £2 each
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 13:35
2.40- Royal Wedding


MONEY BANK now : £ 409
ODDS AVAILABLE : 4.4 ( Betfair)
PROBABILITY % = 3-1 ( 25%)
STAKE INDICATED : 7.28


WIN STAKE £7.28

also £2 on RFC with 6/8
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 13:42
2.50- Green Belt Elite

MONEY BANK now : £ 395
ODDS AVAILABLE : 3.9 ( Betfair)
PROBABILITY % = 5-2 ( 28.57%)
STAKE INDICATED : 10.99

WIN STAKE £10.99
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 13:45
PSYC**DO was a last minute win bet ....but wrote offa wee bit IR ..small profit on that race.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 13:47
Laustra Bad £2 win in 2.50 cover bet
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 13:57
3.00 Got side tracked so no time on this race ...but doing small PLACE ONLY bets of £3 each on

POLOBURY and COLDWELLS
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 14:02
3.15 a bit open ...small £3 place only bet on DREAM GARDEN
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 14:09
3.25- Tara Taylor



MONEY BANK now : £ 397
ODDS AVAILABLE : 2.82 ( Betfair)
PROBABILITY % = 6-4 ( 40%)
STAKE INDICATED : 21.03


WIN STAKE £21.03

2 cover WIN bets of £3 on Power Shared

and £2 on Callerlilly
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 14:27
3.35- Doc Wells



MONEY BANK now : £ 376
ODDS AVAILABLE : 7 ( Betfair)
PROBABILITY % = 4-1 ( 20%)
STAKE INDICATED : 22.43


WIN STAKE £22.43

Also did a combination EXACTA with DW and 2 others
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 14:32
Callerlilly cover bet won :D
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 14:40
3.50- Secret Tune

MONEY BANK now : £ 373 before returns on last race
ODDS AVAILABLE : 12 ( Betfair)
PROBABILITY % =7-1 ( 12.5%)
STAKE INDICATED : 15.39


WIN STAKE £15.39

£3 win bet SUNSTTAN too as cover
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 14:45
Lost about £36 on DOC WELLS race....too much really :(
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 14:51
4.00 - King Raven
MONEY BANK now : £ 373
ODDS AVAILABLE : 17 ( Betfair)
PROBABILITY % =9-1 ( 10%)
STAKE INDICATED : 15.17

WIN STAKE £15.17


£6 PLACE as well at 5.11
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 14:54
last 2 races expensive !
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 14:59
Anay Turge £6 win cover in 4.00
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 15:09
Bad 3 race finish .....a poor day for selections....was due one ....but as usual it is at end of racing when losses incurred.....whether I am winning or losing that is when they tend to come .......

The write off on the cover bet CAERFILLY would have helped position.................it was going to be my MAIN SELECTION for race but it was top weight and that made me relegate it to only a cover bet....DRATTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 15:09
Lost over £100 on those last few races.............
By:
lee h2
When: 20 Nov 09 15:37
complete and utter guesswork which is adding nothing to the forum. just a long list of bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 15:42
You are just an idiot ....my apologies to idiots ......15 winners out of 50 bets at good odds up to YESTERDAY was NOT guesswork .......................................you work out the probabilty buffoon ]:)
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 15:47
Horse Racing: -£108.75 plus loss on TOTE bets £ 6

Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 25 markets

Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)
Horse Racing / Extr 20th Nov : To Be Placed 20-Nov-09 16:00 20-Nov-09 16:11 -3.00
Horse Racing / Extr 20th Nov : 2m1f Hcap Hrd 20-Nov-09 16:00 20-Nov-09 16:09 -26.17
Horse Racing / Ascot 20th Nov : To Be Placed 20-Nov-09 15:50 20-Nov-09 15:56 -4.00
Horse Racing / Ascot 20th Nov : 2m Hcap Hrd 20-Nov-09 15:50 20-Nov-09 15:56 -23.00
Horse Racing / Kelso 20th Nov : 2m6f Hcap Hrd 20-Nov-09 15:35 20-Nov-09 15:48 -30.43

Horse Racing / Extr 20th Nov : 2m5f Hcap Hrd 20-Nov-09 15:25 20-Nov-09 15:36 30.02
Horse Racing / Ascot 20th Nov : To Be Placed 20-Nov-09 15:15 20-Nov-09 15:23 -3.00
Horse Racing / Ascot 20th Nov : 3m Hcap Chs 20-Nov-09 15:15 20-Nov-09 15:23 -10.00
Horse Racing / Kelso 20th Nov : To Be Placed 20-Nov-09 15:00 20-Nov-09 15:16 11.07
Horse Racing / Kelso 20th Nov : 3m1f Hcap Chs 20-Nov-09 15:00 20-Nov-09 15:16 -3.00
Horse Racing / Extr 20th Nov : 2m1f Hcap Chs 20-Nov-09 14:50 20-Nov-09 14:57 -4.99
Horse Racing / Ascot (RFC) 20th Nov : Reverse FC 20-Nov-09 14:40 20-Nov-09 14:46 -2.00
Horse Racing / Ascot 20th Nov : 2m3f Hcap Chs 20-Nov-09 14:40 20-Nov-09 14:45 7.04
Horse Racing / Kelso (RFC) 20th Nov : Reverse FC 20-Nov-09 14:25 20-Nov-09 14:36 -4.00
Horse Racing / Kelso 20th Nov : To Be Placed 20-Nov-09 14:25 20-Nov-09 14:35 -9.66
Horse Racing / Kelso 20th Nov : 2m2f Hcap Hrd 20-Nov-09 14:25 20-Nov-09 14:34 -2.00
Horse Racing / Extr 20th Nov : 2m3f Hcap Chs 20-Nov-09 14:15 20-Nov-09 14:24 -3.00
Horse Racing / Ascot 20th Nov : To Be Placed 20-Nov-09 14:05 20-Nov-09 14:12 -11.31
Horse Racing / Ascot 20th Nov : 2m Hrd 20-Nov-09 14:05 20-Nov-09 14:12 0.00
Horse Racing / Extr (F/C) 20th Nov : Forecast 20-Nov-09 13:40 20-Nov-09 13:52 -4.00



Just a bad run of results lee h2.................


Horse Racing Extr 20th Nov : 2m5f Hcap Hrd Showing 1 - 5 of 5 Selections

Selection Odds Stake(£) Bid type Placed Profit/loss(£)
Alldunnandusted 6.40 2.00 Back 20-Nov-09 15:22 -2.00
Callerlilly 48.00 2.00 Back 20-Nov-09 15:08 94.00
Callerlilly 2.40 26.00 Lay 20-Nov-09 15:17 -36.40
Power Shared 15.50 3.00 Back 20-Nov-09 15:08 -3.00
Tara Taylor 2.72 21.03 Back 20-Nov-09 15:07 -21.03
*Average odds: On Off Back subtotal: 67.97
Lay subtotal: -36.40
Market subtotal: 31.57
Commission @ 4.91%: 1.55
Net Market Total: 30.02


As I said earlier , Callerlilly was my initial pick but I went against it and never made it a MAIN BET due to doubts on weigh on going for distance.....would be in profit had it been a MAIN BET....

Yesterday could have been a £500 profit day had I bet the same way as today .....just one of those days where the sections never paid off.....
By:
lee h2
When: 20 Nov 09 16:30
with you its always

coulda, shoulda, woulda but when you start betting you end up chasing and going skint.

This is your 5th or 6th attempt on here.

I remember the system you had with over 100 factors on each horse which had to be input to your database. WHATEVER happened to that!!!!
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 16:44
Lee I still am in profit and all you do is lie basically .....so go away and do your homework
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 16:48
lee h2 ....where were you on ATTEMPT 2 re profit made of approximately 1,090 points ?????[/b

Over all a 90 point profit withATTEMPTS 1 and 2.......and bearing in mind I am POSTING EARLY on here the odds were drastically effected.......Had the thread not been here...then PROFITS (PAPER) would have been at least 500 points more over 2 ATTEMPTS......so again you just lie....all the facts are on 2 previous threads ...[b]but all you do is listen to yersel.


]
You just crept back into your hole ......like all attention seekers do..............
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 20 Nov 09 16:57
Football: -£9.56 | Horse Racing: £203.57 Total P&L: £194.01


Still in PROFIT on this thread lee h2 .....so again you are just guessing re me losing ....as usual!
By:
lee h2
When: 20 Nov 09 17:11
and the 100 factor system that was so good

what happened to it???
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Nov 09 11:19
lee h2.....I already replied to that repetive question......so won't do so again........learn to read ....
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Nov 09 11:22
12.20 Qianshan Leader


MONEY BANK now : £ 142
ODDS AVAILABLE : 9 ( Betfair)
PROBABILITY % =7-1 ( 14.29 %)
STAKE INDICATED : 4.29

WIN STAKE £5
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Nov 09 11:31
12.45 - Coach Lane


MONEY BANK now : £ 139
ODDS AVAILABLE : 12.5 ( Betfair)
PROBABILITY % = 9-1 ( 10%)
STAKE INDICATED : 2.35


WIN STAKE £3
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Nov 09 11:36
12.55 - Plein Pouvoir


MONEY BANK now : £ 136
ODDS AVAILABLE : 8.2 ( Betfair)
PROBABILITY % = 4-1 ( 20%)
STAKE INDICATED : £11.29


WIN STAKE £12
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Nov 09 11:54
Watching LIV v MC so stopping til over.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Nov 09 12:44
My first bet today was on the LAVELLE one Qianshan Leader so hada wee back on EASTER LEGEND and Gold Reef in the recent race so about break-even today on horse racing so far.......may do 1 or 2 more yet.



Ascot 1.30

1st 1 Easter Legend 7-1
2nd 7 Ambrose Princess (IRE) 11-1
3rd 6 Gold Reef 12-1
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Nov 09 12:45
Horse Racing Ascot 21st Nov : 2m6f Hcap Hrd Showing 1 - 4 of 4 Selections

Selection Odds Stake(£) Bid type Placed Profit/loss(£)
Easter Legend 14.00 3.00 Back 21-Nov-09 13:21 39.00
Easter Legend 1.42 12.00 Lay 21-Nov-09 13:23 -5.04
Gold Reef 12.50 2.00 Back 21-Nov-09 13:22 -2.00
Ravello Bay 2.92 2.00 Back 21-Nov-09 13:21 -2.00
*Average odds: On Off Back subtotal: 35.00
Lay subtotal: -5.04
Market subtotal: 29.96
Commission @ 4.91%: 1.47
Net Market Total: 28.49


So at least backed it BEFORE market move on it :D
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Nov 09 14:05
Been doing small bets on horse racing and had a few winners ...so £33 up there ......just doing this today as need a break from doing the thread.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 21 Nov 09 14:56
Typically I keep off this thread most of day and my selections mainly win ......oh well a profit after timed is better than none :D

Horse Racing: £52.34


Horse Racing Showing 1 - 18 of 18 markets

Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)
Horse Racing / Ascot 21st Nov : 2m NHF 21-Nov-09 15:45 21-Nov-09 15:52 14.27
Horse Racing / Ling (RFC) 21st Nov : Reverse FC 21-Nov-09 15:40 21-Nov-09 15:50 4.55
Horse Racing / Ling 21st Nov : 1m2f Listed 21-Nov-09 15:40 21-Nov-09 15:49 6.39
Horse Racing / Hayd 21st Nov : 3m Hcap Chs 21-Nov-09 15:25 21-Nov-09 15:47 -0.14
Horse Racing / Hunt 21st Nov : 3m2f Hcap Hrd 21-Nov-09 15:15 21-Nov-09 15:29 1.90
Horse Racing / Ascot 21st Nov : 2m3f Grd2 Chs 21-Nov-09 15:10 21-Nov-09 15:18 -8.00
Horse Racing / Hunt 21st Nov : 2m4f Hcap Chs 21-Nov-09 14:45 21-Nov-09 14:55 14.42
Horse Racing / Ascot 21st Nov : 2m3f Grd2 Hrd 21-Nov-09 14:35 21-Nov-09 14:42 7.61
Horse Racing / Hayd 21st Nov : To Be Placed 21-Nov-09 14:20 21-Nov-09 14:30 2.57
Horse Racing / Hayd 21st Nov : 3m1f Hcap Hrd 21-Nov-09 14:20 21-Nov-09 14:29 3.54
Horse Racing / Hunt 21st Nov : 2m4f Hcap Hrd 21-Nov-09 14:10 21-Nov-09 14:15 0.00
Horse Racing / Ascot 21st Nov : 2m1f Hcap Chs 21-Nov-09 14:05 21-Nov-09 14:12 -0.40
Horse Racing / Hayd 21st Nov : 2m NHF 21-Nov-09 13:45 21-Nov-09 13:52 1.14
Horse Racing / Ascot 21st Nov : 2m6f Hcap Hrd 21-Nov-09 13:30 21-Nov-09 13:40 28.49
Horse Racing / Hayd 21st Nov : 2m Hrd 21-Nov-09 13:15 21-Nov-09 13:27 -2.00
Horse Racing / Ascot 21st Nov : 3m Hcap Chs 21-Nov-09 12:55 21-Nov-09 13:05 -8.00
Horse Racing / Hayd 21st Nov : 2m Hcap Chs 21-Nov-09 12:45 21-Nov-09 12:53 -5.00
Horse Racing / Ascot 21st Nov : 2m6f Nov Hrd 21-Nov-09 12:20 21-Nov-09 12:29 -9.00
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