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The Championship Thread 2020/21
The Championship Thread 2020/21
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Suppose if that's the remit then there's nothing that can be done
Probably why Morris hasn't sacked Cocu then |
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Coventry v Bournemouth tonight
Away win, need a win as I'm 3/11 They weren't lying when they said it was the hardest league to predict  |
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0-1
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Rovers are my team and I've been reading your thoughts with interest. I usually avoid betting on them but I was on last weekend because I think we can do really well this season.missing 2 key players from last season Dack and Travis, we are still looking a lot better and it's not just Armstrong getting the goals.
I wasn't impressed with Johnson when he arrived but he's come on a lot so far and we have a real find in young Dolan who for some strange reason Preston let go.Ayala has come in for aborioyo who has gone back to city, can't think why he isn't in their first team, thought we would miss him badly. So far so good then and I hope we can continue against Cardiff tomorrow. |
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1-1
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Peno
Decent game |
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that pen fella scores a lot of goals
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overs before half time ? surely not ?
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Be nice to see goals for a change
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1-2
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Need Bournemouth so that's good
1 more goal would be good |
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1-3
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1-3
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 I'm about to land my first one (team back) this thread  |
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goals a plenty rattling in tonight
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4/12
Norwich v Derby over 3.5 goals, hopefully Derby pick where they left off last week  |
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Blackburn v Cardiff
Blackburn have started very well, a bit unlucky to lose at Bournemouth, but Cardiff are a top 10 side and they are 4.1 which is good price for a side that seem to win half their away games in CV19 conditions. So I think Blackburn's good start is fully priced in at present. I would not knock Tony Mowbray too much, possibly with the exception of Celtic, he has done a good job wherever he has gone, usually on limited resources. |
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Analyst, agree Cardiff are no mugs,
TM has done a fantastic job since coming in, as I mentioned below I don't normally bet on my home team, but I think rovers are irresistible at the moment.im on them again tomorrow.hope that doesn't jinx it. We were only beaten by cherries in opening game by a world class goal otherwise we looked good value for all 3 points there, since 2 clean sheets and 11 goals in first 3 games is the most any team has scored this century.ive completely jinxed everything now |
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£2ew
I look at the stats in Blackburn's games at B`mouth and Derby and they fully deserved a point at Bournemouth (lost 3-2) and the three points at Derby.(won 5-0) Price has to be right for me on any bet. This is a picture into my brain and how I think.... In the Championship 2 equally matched teams odds should be something like (I like to get other people's opinions on this) 2.55 Home team (39%) 3.00 Away team (33%) 3.60 Draw (28%) This is for a game with no crowd which has made a difference in the Championship since June. If Blackburn were 10% better than Cardiff and expected to finish above Cardiff this season (promotion market has them about equal) I would adjust Blackburn to around 2.30 and Cardiff to around 3.30 There maybe is something in recent form and players available/not available that I am not accounting for, but I can't get Blackburn to be value at 2.14 now 2.16 and if I win on Blackburn I have to take a bit of commission off that. Maybe they are 20% better than Cardiff, but I can't stretch to that or my assumptions about home advantage are wrong. Ref Ayala is a good signing for Blackburn and any Championship club - the best £400k Boro spent in recent years when we bought him in 2013. He left Boro because Boro offered, it is rumoured 25% less money than his old contract and he thought he could do better and so his family sold up their house in lock down. Fulham and Leeds were supposedly interested and they pay higher than Boro, but with both promoted they have moved on for expensive fish. He was left without a club or contract in July and August, living on the Wirral with his wives family. |
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edit - it was 4-0 at Derby
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edit - it was 4-0 at Derby
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A very thorough , comprehensive analysis and I admire your depth of knowledge as a forumite.
A few things which would support my pro rovers argument ( I'm trying to not be biased, I usually avoid betting on them). Ayala, indeed a very good signing , last season we had issues with the back four, at one stage not long ago, all four first choice were out injured simultaneously , also players like Bell werent really coming up the standards perhaps anticipated, Derrick Williams wanted away but suddenly we are now looking a lot stronger and Ayala has yet to kick a ball in the games so far. Dack to return soon, a star player , even though we have lost Travis to injury already , the midfield performance has been very good so far. Most of the focus has been on Armstrong's goals up front 5 in 4 games, almost Calvert lewin levels. But out of nowhere had come Dolan who Mowbray and the players are really excited about.scored on his debut and again against Derby,a real handful . Agree on your pricing however I think it's about right , rovers don't usually win by big scorelines these days but we've had more goals than I think we could have dreamed of thus far. Championship is most competitive league in the country, I've backed rovers but wouldn't be in the least surprised if the bubble bursts today but I can't see past rovers at the moment, also we have a much more reliable keeper I believe. I'm on rovers but 4 is excellent value for Cardiff today, I expect goals whatever the result |
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no bet game for me for the reasons outlined in your posts .... could be anything
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Norwich Derby in the early kick off on paper looks a easy home win, Have just seen the Derby kine up and Rooney is playing as the lone striker and is 3.0 to have a shot on target and 17.0 boosted from 13.0 to have 2 or more shots on target both on the sportsbook on here. As well as looking like hes playing as the lone striker he takes the penalties and majority of free kicks.
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look a fair shout kings if he gets the service
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shoved a fiver on at 16/1!!!!!
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Anyone on here know why Luton are on the drift? From around 1.8 out to 1.95?
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Derby doing better than the price
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what a crap game so far 1 shot on target in the half
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The penalties are pathetic nowadays
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Missed pen after missed pen ffs
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Well overs ain't coming in
so 4/13 Derby been better, made it dull which is what they needed to do really |
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Derby taking Jozwiak off and leaving Rooney on just proves how clueless or on purpose Cocu is
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Rooney 2 shots on target cheers Kings
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0-1 rooney
*Scarpers out the room* |
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Well played Kings
Nice pick out that fair play |
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Norwich mugs
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Norwich been gash agree
The missed penalty though  |
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0-1 FT
That's the definition of a smash and grab |
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long season ahead for norwich
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